Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.:
33.426.569 von Erbse1 am 20.02.08
18:11:51Hier noch den Kommentar des NeuroInvestor zu der
gestrigen Konferenz.
Positive: Much, much bigger RD market than I had expected to hear,
and the 15% incidence rate reported from anesthesiology would make
prophylactic treatment much more acceptable (reimbursors are more
likely to OK prevention of a bad event that happens 15% of the time
than if it happens 1-3%). The sleep apnea aspect is even larger,
and he noted they have some supportive animal data, and Big Pharma
interest.
Also positive: that the animal data shows both rescue and
prevention effects. The note that the animals not receiving CX717
died, as opposed to the CX717 animals still breathing normally, was
a compelling example of the stakes involved.
And they finally have a high-impact lead candidate for tox studies:
CX1837. That's something we've been waiting for...for a decade.
Mixed bag: Delay on the RD Phase IIa trials. It took a while for
him to give some detail--German inquiries about manufacturing and
chemistry--and to confidently state they expect to get started
shortly. Until he did that, I was pretty anxious.So the bottom line
is: trials delayed by bureaucracy, but likely to report two months
after the initial timeline. It's not optimal, but is a lot better
than 'we hope to work this out with the authorities, but we can't
guarantee it...'
Presentation issues: He mentioned ADHD for Org26756 only in
passing, didnt have it on the slide. That deserves more comment,
even without getting into any SP info (i.e. that it is reassuring
that Ampakines still are seen as viable for ADHD by the FDA)
When asked to explain 'high impacts', he led off by noting their
'seizure potential.' Not the take-home message I'd want to go
out.
The inlicensing option, even if they are still looking at it,
should be omitted from the presentation. It just sounds absurd when
discussing a company which projects $3 million on hand by the
beginning of 2009.
Overall: The RD prospects are better than I expected, there is a
time lag, and he did sound tired. There was no bad news that should
spur selling, but gratification (Phase IIa data ) is again delayed,
so we'll have to see when the uptrend resumes.
NeuroInvestment