Statoil - Die neue europäische Ölaktie ( Seite 100)

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 28.490.094 von Dirkix am 25.03.07 19:33:33Milchmädchenhausse nähert sich dem Ende.
Schon wieder ein kleines Warnsignal aus China--remember?sell in may and go away-better runbuy back in december!!
Ne dann schon lieber die ollen Lukoilrussen.

20.04.2007 15:19
Statoil says size of reserves at small Glitne field doubles
OSLO (Thomson Financial) - Norwegian oil and gas producer Statoil ASA (Nachrichten/Aktienkurs) said that the size of its small Glitne oil field had doubled and that its life had been extended to 2009 - and that such fields represented a major part of Statoil's future oil production.

When Glitne field started up in 2001 plans were for production to continue to 2003 with recoverable reserves to be 25 million barrels of oil.

'Everything indicates that we'll recover twice as much, closer to 50 million barrels,' said Glitne's operations manager Rolf Saltkjel.

Daily output is now 9000 barrels of oil a day. Operator Statoil says it will drill a seventh well this summer which will produce from October, doubling output.

'The development of smaller and more demanding fields is essential to our maintaining oil production of moe million barrels a day on the NCS (Norwegian Continental Shelf),' said Statoil senior vice president Astrid Soerensen.

Statoil says Glitne is a jewel in its portfolio of fields, and that smaller fields will become increasingly more important for the oil giant.

'Statoil is the largest operator of small fields on the NCS. Small fields are responsible for 17 pct of Statoil's oil and gas production,' said Soerensen.

'By 2015 production from them will probably make up as much as 20-30 pct.'

Glitne is the smallest stand alone development on the Norwegian continental shelf.

Statoil is operator with a 58.9 pct share. Other licensees are Total with 21.8 pct, DNO ASA with 10 pct and Dong with 9.3 pct.


(finanznachrichten.de)

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wird zwar wohl nicht den kurs irgendwie mitbestimmen, aber interessant vielleicht doch..

Das klingt nicht wirklich gut, ohne erfolgreiche internationale Expansion und Ausbau des Gasgeschäftes dürften damit die Umsätze bestimmt schrumpfen.


Norwegian authorities fear steep crude decline
by Jan Herdal

This is a direct quotation by Norwegian Oil Director Mr. Gunnar Berge from the Foreword to Facts - The Norwegian Petroleum Sector - 2007 (220-page PDF) published by the Norwegian Ministry of Petroleum and Energy on Friday, April w0:

Forecasts show that gas production is rising while oil production is declining. The number of exploration wells increased significantly in 2006 compared with the previous year, but only six new discoveries were made. These were made in four wellbores. This is figures for reflection [stet]. If we are to achieve the development that we want, with only a slow and gradual decline, serious efforts must be made in several areas.
(page 8)

What is the Norwegian Oil Director actually predicting here?

He is establishing "a slow and gradual decline" as a best case scenario for Norway, concluding that "serious efforts must be made in several areas" to achieve it. The alternative scenario? Steep decline.

Contrary to natural gas, Norwegian crude production has actually been in decline since 2001, but far from acknowledging Hubbert's Peak, the tune from the authorities has up till now been something like "maybe we will be on the increase again next year, due to our investments and many nice enhanced oil recovery (EOR) techniques." Now Hubbert's Peak is finally official in Norway - and the decline will at best be slow and gradual.

While the crude production forecast for 2007 is about 130 million standard cubic metres, the Norwegian crude reserves now officially stands at about 1 billion, reduced by nearly 15 percent only last year. Very little new oil will be coming on stream during the next few years due to minor discoveries. Under such circumstances, with an R/P* of 7-8 years, who can really believe in "a slow and gradual decline" ?

-Jan Herdal
oljekrisa.no


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* Reserves/Production (R/P) ratio - If the reserves remaining at the end of any year are divided by the production in that year, the result is the length of time that those remaining reserves would last if production were to continue at that level. (from BP)


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Other quotes from the Foreward by Mr. Berge:
The Norwegian Petroleum Directorate’s estimates show that we have produced and sold about one-third of our petroleum resources so far, while about one-fourth has yet to be discovered. Now it is important that we explore more to find deposits which, even though they may be smaller than the largest discoveries, are still large enough to warrant development.


One of the greatest challenges the industry faces in the years to come will be to attract clever brains. We work in a greying industry.


Over the next five to ten years, decisions will be made that may have significant consequences for oil production from the Norwegian continental shelf. These decisions deal with the issue of whether the gas resources in the respective fields shall be used as a drive mechanism to increase oil recovery, or whether it is more profitable to sell the gas.


When oil production declines, these fields will face important choices: When should we stop gas injection and turn to full gas export? When the gas is produced without being reinjected, the pressure in the reservoir drops and it becomes more difficult to extract the remaining oil. Therefore, if we sell too much gas too early, significant volumes of oil will be lost.


http://energybulletin.net/29073.html

24.04.2007]
13th Angola block find


The 13th oil find in deepwater block 31 off Angola has been made, according to operator BP and the Angolan state oil company, Sonangol. Statoil has a 13.33% share in the block.

The find, named Miranda, is located 11 kilometres south of the Titania find, which was made in October 2006. The well was drilled from the Jack Ryan drilling ship to a total depth of 5,116 metres. Water depth in the area is 2,436 metres.

Miranda is located around 375 kilometres north-west of the Angolan capital, Luanda.

The well tested at a flow rate of 3,822 barrels of oil per day (b/d) through a 48/64ths inch choke.

The other finds in the block are named Urano, Plutão, Saturno, Marte, Venus, Palas, Ceres, Juno, Astraea, Hebe, Titania and Terra.

Sonangol is the concessionaire in block 31. BP is operator with 26.67%. Statoil is a partner in a contractor group comprising ExxonMobil (25%), Sonangol (20%), Statoil (13.33%), Marathon (10%) and Tepa (5%).

Statoil also has a 13.33% share in blocks 15 and 17 off Angola and a 5% share in block 15/06.


(quelle: statoil.com)

.............

zum vorigen beitrag:

dass die ölreserven weltweit schwinden ist aus meiner sicht bereits allgemein bekannt - und auch, dass die skandinavischen reserven nicht immens groß sind. zudem reden wir von sachverhalten, die erst in einigen jahren deutlicher hervortreten werden (ca. 10 jahre). bis zu diesem zeitpunkt wird statoil sicherlich geeignete alternativen anzubieten haben - besonders im gas-markt.

auch nicht zu vergessen: je weniger öl vorhanden ist, desto höher dürfte zunächst einmal der preis pro barrel sein.

daher ist die annahme geringerer umsatz- und gewinnentwicklungen aufgrund von produktionsrückgängen nicht unbedingt zwingend.

aus sicht von 12 - 24 monaten dürfte daher diese entwicklung keinerlei negativen einfluss auf die kursentwicklung ausüben. (aus meiner persönlichen sicht)

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 28.995.731 von watashi1978 am 25.04.07 18:06:37Gelesen hatte ich das auch, aber die 13% bzw. 5% stake waren mir kein Post wert...

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 28.996.118 von Dirkix am 25.04.07 18:20:20 :-) ist ja kein zwang was zu posten..

aber: es sind nicht 13 oder 5%.. sondern 25%.. die anderen prozente bezogen sich auf sonstige felder in dem bereich..

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 29.010.900 von watashi1978 am 26.04.07 10:53:52Mal zu den Zukunfstaussichten (auch @ Eric):

Die Nordsee ist leer/declined, das ist klar!
Die Aufstellung von STATOIL ist bereits viel internationaler geworden, aber natürlich gibt es das nicht ohne Risiko, insbesondere das politische Risiko war bei STO bisher zu vernachlässigen, aber das ändert sich allmählich!
Probleme sehe ich da insbesondere im Orinico-Basin (Chaves)!
Angola halte ich (was STATOIL betrifft) für unbedeutend! Die Anteile sind zu gering!
Die wichtigen Targets sind IMO
- Algerien (politisches Risiko Islam, allerdings ist Norwegen nicht in direkter Schusslinie wie die Amis oder Briten),
- Golf von Mexiko (meteorologisches Risiko Hurrikane)
- Nordpolarmeer/Norwegische See/Barenssee (Snøhvit, Midnattssol, Obelix, Elida, Vøring Basin, bis hin zu Shtokman...)