@WBB
Bingo !
Ich gebe dir recht , aber nur insofern , als daß deine Theorie nur dann zutrifft, wenn die Opec wie Okt. 2000 geschehen die Fördermenge ausreichend steigern kann !
Aber wehe, wenn sie es nicht mehr in ausreichender Höhe vermag , dann, ja dann wird es für Europas Regierungen eng werden , da der Mob auf der Strasse tobt
Und m.E. wird das 2001 schon der Fall sein ! Die amerikanischen Reserven sind auf dem niedrigsten Stand seit 17 Jahren und können nicht aufgefüllt werden , da die Opec die Fördermengen wieder gekürzt hat , ganau wie von dir beschrieben.
Denn die jährlichen weltweiten Verbrauchssteigerungen (Indien+ China ) sind gewaltig ( 7-10 % pro Jahr !)
Und die Fördermengen in Europa und den USA fallen kontinuierlich !
Wir müssen jetzt umsteuern ! Aber unsere Politiker in der EU schlafen tief und fest ! ganz im Sinne der Oel-Multis die u.a. in den USA jetzt wieder das Sagen haben !
CU
PS dazu :
Oil prices soar on US gasoline crisis fears
REUTERS, London
World oil prices surged yesterday, ending sharply higher as investment funds took fright at the prospect of a summer gasoline shortage in the United States.
London Brent crude last traded $1.23 higher at $26.51 a barrel and US light stood $1.17 stronger at $28.45 at the close.
Oil prices briefly shed some gains in late trade but remained on high ground after United Nations figures showed that Iraq`s oil exports rose 471,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 2.29 million bpd in the week to April 6.
Iraq, bound by UN sanctions, also reached its highest four-week oil exports average since early November, with 2.24 million bpd through April 6.
Dealers said they were anticipating a seventh straight week of declines in US gasoline inventories when the American Petroleum Institute (API) issues US fuel stocks data after the close of business on Tuesday.
They said investment funds which were short oil futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange now were buying back contracts, helping push prices higher.
"US gasoline is getting incredibly tight and the funds are short. They could easily push the market higher again," said a London futures dealer.
Latest data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, released last Friday, showed speculators with their largest NYMEX crude short positions ( a bet that prices will fall ( in three years. "Gasoline provided the main support for the market yesterday with traders already positioning themselves for a bullish API report tonight," said Lawrence Eagles of GNI Research.
Eagles said the report would need to show a three per cent jump in refinery utilisation from a forecast one per cent to allay fears of a gasoline supply crunch.
Analysts also were expecting a 2.3 million barrel build in crude stocks and a decline of 1.1 million barrels in middle distillates, including heating oil and diesel fuel.
Last week, the API pegged gasoline stocks 10 million barrels below levels at the same time last year, when inventories proved insufficient to meet summer consumption and US pump prices surged to record highs at more than $2 a gallon.
US gasoline futures touched $1.00 a gallon on Monday for the first time since October and last traded 3.38 cents stronger at $1.0250 a gallon on Tuesday.
The US Department of Energy has warned that retail gasoline prices are likely to jump this summer if the US supply system experiences any disruptions or bottlenecks.
Average US retail prices, at $1.50 per gallon, have already topped the expected summer average price of $1.49, the DOE said on Monday.
The rise in US prices has forced European gasoline cargo prices above $300 a tonne for the first time in six months. Prices reached $314 a tonne on Tuesday and could soon translate into further price increase at the pump.
High US prices are making it profitable for sales of gasoline into the United States from Europe.
Last year European fuel protests saw farmers and hauliers lead demonstrations aimed at lowering government taxes on diesel and petrol.
Unlike the United States, Europe`s oil inventories look comfortably placed.
European crude and petroleum product inventories rose 7.32 million barrels in March for a year-on-year surplus of 19.32 million, European Union agency Stichting Euroilstock said.
Dealers said that the US gasoline market was countering the more bearish impact of a widespread economic slowdown and continued worries that members of the OPEC producers` cartel will not adhere to cuts in production quotas.
The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has cut output twice this year by a total 2.5 million bpd, with the most recent cut of one million bpd going into effect on April 1.
Industry reports indicate, however, that OPEC output exceeds the set limits.
Die Zeichen zu lesen ist nicht schwer !
CU
M_B_S