[posting]52553642[/posting]
Zitat von drogenfahnder: Solange man dafür den Nobelpreis verliehen wird, muss es wohl stimmen...oder?
Aber sowas von.
Dazu fällt mir dieses Zitat von Charlie Munger aus einer 1995er Rede ein:
Now let’s talk about efficient market theory, a wonderful economic doctrine that had a long vogue in spite of the experience of Berkshire Hathaway. In fact one of the economists who won -- he shared a Nobel Prize -- and as he looked at Berkshire Hathaway year after year, which people would throw in his face as saying maybe the market isn’t quite as efficient as you think, he said, “Well, it’s a two-sigma event.” And then he said we were a three-sigma event. And then he said we were a four-sigma event. And he finally got up to six sigmas -- better to add a sigma than change a theory, just because the evidence comes in differently. [Laughter] And, of course, when this share of a Nobel Prize went into money management himself, he sank like a stone.
Einfach genial, der Mann...