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    Flugzeugträger und Patriots als erziehungsmassnahme - 500 Beiträge pro Seite

    eröffnet am 15.01.07 13:14:39 von
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      schrieb am 15.01.07 13:14:39
      Beitrag Nr. 1 ()
      das wird die iraner ungemein beeindrucken.


      US: Gulf Military Moves Aimed At Iran's Negative Behavior


      BRUSSELS (AP)--Increased U.S. military activity in the Persian Gulf is meant to counter "very negative" behavior by Iran and undercut its belief that U.S. forces are overcommitted in Iraq, U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates said Monday.

      Gates said the time isn't right for diplomatic talks with Iran, but left open that possibility for the future.

      After meeting with senior officials at North Atlantic Treaty Organization headquarters, Gates was asked at a news conference what was behind the Bush administration's decision to deploy a Patriot missile battalion and a second aircraft carrier to the Gulf region - moves announced in connection with a further buildup of ground troops in Iraq.

      He noted the U.S. has taken a leading role in Gulf security for many decades.

      "We are simply reaffirming that statement of the importance of the Gulf region to the U.S. and our determination to be an ongoing strong presence in that area for a long time into the future," he said.

      Gates, who as recently as 2004 publicly called for diplomatic engagement with Iran, said the situation has changed. In 2004 Iran was concerned by the presence of U.S. forces on its eastern and western borders, in Iraq and Afghanistan. More recently, the Iranian government has come to see it differently, he said.

      "The Iranians clearly believe that we are tied down in Iraq, that they have the initiative, that they are in position to press us in many ways," he said. "They are doing nothing to be constructive in Iraq at this point."

      He added: ..the Iranians are acting in a very negative way in many respects. My view is that when the Iranians are prepared to play a constructive role in dealing with some of these problems then there might be opportunities for engagement."

      Gates spent a few hours at NATO headquarters for his initial meetings with allied officials and U.S. military officials. He arrived in the Belgian capital from London, where he met with U.K. officials on Sunday.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 15.01.07 17:08:26
      Beitrag Nr. 2 ()
      Die "Arab Times" meldet die Angriffspläne auf den Iran im April 2007. (http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article16169.htm).

      US military strike on Iran seen by April ’07

      Sea-launched attack to hit oil, N-sites

      By Ahmed Al-Jarallah
      Editor-in-Chief, the Arab Times

      01/14/07 "Arab Times" -- - KUWAIT CITY: Washington will launch a military strike on Iran before April 2007, say sources. The attack will be launched from the sea and Patriot missiles will guard all oil-producing countries in the region, they add. Recent statements emanating from the United States indicate the Bush administration’s new strategy for Iraq doesn’t include any proposal to make a compromise or negotiate with Syria or Iran. A reliable source said President Bush recently held a meeting with Vice President Dick Cheney, Defense Secretary Robert Gates, Secretary of State Dr Condoleezza Rice and other assistants in the White House where they discussed the plan to attack Iran in minute detail.

      According to the source, Vice President Dick Cheney highlighted the threat posed by Iran to not only Saudi Arabia but the whole region. “Tehran is not playing politics. Iranian leaders are using their country’s religious influence to support the aggressive regime’s ambition to expand,” the source quoted Dick Cheney as saying. Indicating participants of the meeting agreed to impose restrictions on the ambitions of Iranian regime before April 2007 without exposing other countries in the region to any danger, the source said “they have chosen April as British Prime Minister Tony Blair has said it will be the last month in office for him. The United States has to take action against Iran and Syria before April 2007.”

      Claiming the attack will be launched from the sea and not from any country in the region, he said “the US and its allies will target the oil installations and nuclear facilities of Iran ensuring there is no environmental catastrophe or after effects.” “Already the US has started sending its warships to the Gulf and the build-up will continue until Washington has the required number by the end of this month,” the source said. “US forces in Iraq and other countries in the region will be protected against any Iranian missile attack by an advanced Patriot missile system.”

      He went on to say “although US Defense Secretary Robert Gates and Secretary of State Dr Condoleezza Rice suggested postponing the attack, President Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney insisted on attacking Tehran without any negotiations based on the lesson they learnt in Iraq recently.” The Bush administration believes attacking Iran will create a new power balance in the region, calm down the situation in Iraq and pave the way for their democratic project, which had to be suspended due to the interference of Tehran and Damascus in Iraq, he continued. The attack on Iran will weaken the Syrian regime, which will eventually fade away, the source said.

      By Ahmed Al-Jarallah - Editor-in-Chief, the Arab Times
      Avatar
      schrieb am 15.01.07 17:43:50
      Beitrag Nr. 3 ()
      Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 26.937.787 von deka-dent am 15.01.07 17:08:26Na klar, von Kuwait City aus und als Journalist der "Arab Times" hat man den superheissen Draht ins Weisse Haus und weiss noch vor der gesamten US-Presse, dass die Adminstration plant, den Iran anzugreifen. :laugh::laugh:
      Avatar
      schrieb am 15.01.07 17:51:04
      Beitrag Nr. 4 ()
      Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 26.938.407 von PresAbeL am 15.01.07 17:43:50gibt es eigentlich irgendein Thema zu dem Du nicht allwissend bist?:kiss:
      Ich bin wirklich begeistert!:kiss:
      Avatar
      schrieb am 15.01.07 17:59:20
      Beitrag Nr. 5 ()
      Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 26.938.546 von brunnenmann am 15.01.07 17:51:04Habe ich hier vorgegeben, irgendetwas zu wissen? Ich habe doch nur gestaunt, was die Ahmeds bei der Arab Times so alles wissen. Aber ueber Deine Begeisterung freue ich mich natuerlich! Bin immer wieder beglueckt, wenn ich andere gluecklich machen kann ... :)

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      schrieb am 15.01.07 18:18:17
      Beitrag Nr. 6 ()
      Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 26.938.709 von PresAbeL am 15.01.07 17:59:20ich fürchte die von Dir sogn. "Achmeds" wissen mehr als die in den USA von Republikanern eingeschüchtere Presse. Vorallem drucken die "Achmeds" auch das was sie wissen und kneifen nicht den Schwanz ein. Aber so ist es halt!:D
      Avatar
      schrieb am 15.01.07 19:05:01
      Beitrag Nr. 7 ()
      Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 26.939.058 von brunnenmann am 15.01.07 18:18:17Brunnenmann, hier begibst Du Dich nun doch auf ein Feld, von dem ich mehr verstehe als Du: auf das der in den USA von Republikanern eingeschüchtere Presse.

      Nicht nur die Presse, die Medien insgesamt sind ueberwiegend in demokratischer Hand und die drucken bzw. senden, was sie wollen. Das Presserecht ist immer noch das freiheitlichste der Welt. Hier darfst Du unbehelligt im Namen der Meinungsfreiheit drucken, dass Bush und Cheney gemeine Moerder sind, waehrend Du in Deutschland noch nicht einmal ungestraft Deine Zweifel an der Echtheit des Kopfschmucks von Gasgerd publizieren darfst!

      Dass Du hier dann ausgerechnet auch noch die arabische Presse als leuchtendes Beispiel mutig ausgeuebter Pressefreiheit bringst, ist allerdings kurios!

      Aber so mancher Landsmann laesst sich ja dieser Tage in seinem anti-amerikanischen Elan zu Aeusserungen hinreissen, ueber die man nur noch den Kopf schuetteln kann.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 15.01.07 20:14:44
      Beitrag Nr. 8 ()
      Target Iran - Countdown Timeline
      The Bush Administration has almost certainly not approved the timing of military operations against Iran, and consequently any projection of the probable timing of such operations is neccessarily speculative. The election of Mahmoud Ahmadi-Nejad as Iran's new president would appear to preclude a negotiated resolution of Iran's nuclear program. The success of strikes against Iran's WMD facilities requires both tactical and strategic surprise, so there will not be the sort of public rhetorical buildup in the weeks preceeding hostilities, of the sort that preceeded the invasion of Iraq. To the contrary, the Bush Administration will do everything within its power to deceive Iran's leaders into believing that military action is not imminent.

      2001
      The Coalition for Democracy in Iran was formed in 2001 to mobilize the efforts of a variety of groups and individuals across the United States supporting the aspirations of the Iranian people for freedom, democracy and respect for human rights in Iran. The CDI strongly supports President Bush's designation of Iran as part of the deadly "axis of evil." Michael Ledeen [of the American Enterprise Institute], Morris Amitay [a former director of the American Israeli Public Affairs Committee, or AIPAC], and James Woolsley [former CIA director] formed the Coalition for Democracy in Iran, which has strong ties to the exiled Reza Pahlavi, the deceased shah's son.

      29 January 2002
      In his first State of the Union address, President Bush named three countries that he said continue to sponsor terror: North Korea, Iran and Iraq. He called them and their terrorist allies "an axis of evil," and said the price of indifference to them would be "catastrophic." He also warned that the country cannot afford to delay in further responding to the terrorist threat. "Time is not on our side," he said. "I will not wait on events, while dangers gather. I will not stand by, as peril draws closer and closer."

      01 June 2002
      Speaking to the graduating class at the U.S. Military Academy at West Point, New York, President Bush said "Containment is not possible when unbalanced dictators with weapons of mass destruction can deliver those weapons on missiles or secretly provide them to terrorist allies.... We have our best chance since the rise of the nation state in the 17th century to build a world where the great powers compete in peace instead of prepare for war.... America has, and intends to keep, military strengths beyond challenge, thereby making the destabilizing arms races of other eras pointless, and limiting rivalries to trade and other pursuits of peace."

      20 May 2003
      Senator Sam Brownback introduced the Iran Democracy Act, asking for $50 million to fund opposition groups dedicated to the overthrow of the Islamic regime. The Iran Democracy Act would provide funds for pro-democracy broadcasting into Iran, would reform radio Farda to make it more effective, and would state that it is the policy of the United States to support transparent, full democracy in Iran; to support an internationally-monitored referendum in Iran by which the Iranian people can peacefully change the system of government in Iran.

      02 June 2003
      The United States and its allies expressed concern at the Evian G-8 Summit about Iran's covert nuclear weapons program, stating that "we will not ignore proliferation implications of Iran's advanced nuclear program" and that "we offer our strongest support to comprehensive IAEA examination of this country's nuclear program."

      10 June 2003
      California Democrat Brad Sherman is set to introduce a bill in the House of Representatives that would serve as a counterpart to Senator Brownback’s Iran Democracy Act, which will allocate approximately $57 million to Iranian opposition groups and satellite TVs. Sherman’s bill, however, will also slap new sanctions on Iran, a “total” embargo” in order to “encourage the people of Iran to bring about a more peaceful and democratic government,”

      June 2003
      As of June 2003 a new national security presidential directive on Iran had gone through several competing drafts, but had yet to be approved by President Bush.

      16 June 2003
      The International Atomic Energy Agency's (IAEA) report on Iran has been given out to IAEA members prior to the IAEA Board of Governors meeting which begins June 16.

      3 July 2003
      Officials say Israel will destroy Natanz plant if Iran operates it Mark Hibbs Nucleonics Week, July 3, 2003

      12 February 2004
      On February 12, the Senate passed an important resolution, S. Res. 304, that was submitted that same day by Senator Brownback. Denouncing the elections as harmful for true democratic forces in Iran, the resolution stated that the policy of the United States should be to advocate a democratic government in Iran that will restore freedom to the people of Iran, abandon terrorism, protect human rights, and live in peace and security with the international community.

      08 March 2004
      On 26 November 2003 the International Atomic Energy Agency's Board requested the Director General to submit a comprehensive report on the implementation of the resolution on Iran by mid- February 2004, for consideration by the 08 March 2004 Board of Governors, or to report earlier if appropriate.

      06 May 2004
      The House passed H.CON.RES.398, which was introduced by HIRC Chairman Henry Hyde (R-IL) on March 25. It expresses “the concern of Congress over Iran’s development of the means to produce nuclear weapons,” and was passed under “suspension of the rules” on 06 May 2004. The final tally was 376 for the resolution, three against, 14 answering “present,” and 40 not voting. Opponents of this concurrent resolution charged that it led the country down the road to war against Iran. This resolution demands that Iran immediately cease all efforts to acquire nuclear enrichment activities and calls for the country to honor its stated commitments to grant IAEA inspectors unrestricted access to nuclear sites. But the resolution also calls upon all state parties to the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty--including the United States--to use ``all appropriate means to deter, dissuade, and prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.'' It also "calls on the President to use all appropriate means to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons..." Even if this bill doesn't authorize the use of force against Iran, it creates a precedent for future escalation, as did similar legislation endorsing ``regime change'' in Iraq back in 1998. This legislation called for yet more and stricter sanctions on Iran , including a demand that other countries also impose sanctions on Iran. Critics charged that sanctions were unmistakably a move toward war, particularly when, as in this legislation, a demand is made that the other nations of the world similarly isolate and blockade the country.

      15 July 2004
      On 15 July 2004 William S. Lind suggested that "an American-Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear facilities. Such an attack may very well be on the agenda as the "October Surprise," the distraction President George W. Bush desperately needs if the debacle in Iraq is not to lead to his defeat in November."

      22 July 2004
      Another concurrent resolution (S.CON.RES.81 calls upon all states party to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty), including the United States, to use appropriate means to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, was passed/agreed to in the Senate on 22 July 2004. This slightly less inflamatory bill was accepted by the House in conference, replacing the more inflamatory language of H.CON.RES.398.

      25 July 2004
      Iranian Intelligence Minister Ali Yunesi said in the northeastern city of Gorgan on 25 July 2004 that there is a "weak" possibility that archfoe Israel will attack Iran, Fars News Agency reported the same day. "Still, Iran has thought of the measures needed to repulse all attacks," he said. Separately, the head of the Iranian regular army's land forces, Brigadier General Nasir Mohammadifar, said in Mashhad in northeastern Iran on 25 July, "America would have attacked Iran by now if it were sure it could defeat us." Mohammadifar told a gathering of army inspectors that the United States is "intensely aware" of its "absolute" inability to attack Iran.

      17 August 2004
      Brig. Gen. Mohammad Baqer Zolqadr, the deputy chief of the elite Revolutionary Guards, said in a statement issued 17 August 2004, "If Israel fires a missile into the Bushehr nuclear power plant, it has to say goodbye forever to its Dimona nuclear facility, where it produces and stockpiles nuclear weapons." The head of the Revolutionary Guards' political bureau, Yadollah Javani, said said in a separate statement that "All the territory under the control of the Zionist regime, including its nuclear facilities, are within the range of Iran's advanced missiles."

      20 August 2004
      Iran might launch pre-emptive strikes to protect its nuclear facilities if they are threatened, Defence Minister Ali Shamkhani said in remarks broadcast on 20 August 2004. "We won't sit with our hands tied and wait until someone does something to us," Shamkhani told Arabic channel Al Jazeera when asked what Iran would do if the United States or Israel attacked its atomic facilities. "Some military leaders in Iran are convinced that the pre-emptive measures that America is talking about are not their right alone," he added in Persian. "Any strike on our nuclear facilities will be regarded as a strike on Iran and we will respond with all our might."

      13 September 2004
      The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will consider Iran's nuclear efforts during the IAEA Board meeting scheduled for 13 September in Vienna, Austria. The US may resort to the United Nations Security Council in an attempt to impose sanctions on Iran. The IAEA Board of Governors may report Iran's noncompliance to the United Nations Security Council, and the Security Council may take action under Articles 39 through 41 of the United Nations Charter to encourage or order Iran to cease its programs that would contribute to building a nuclear weapons capability. From 20-24 September 2004 the 48th Regular Session of the IAEA General Conference meets in Vienna, Austria.

      02 November 2004
      John Kerry's position is that "A nuclear armed Iran is an unacceptable risk to the national security of the United States and our allies in the region. While we have been preoccupied in Iraq, Iran has reportedly been moving ahead with its nuclear program. We can no longer sit on the sidelines and leave the negotiations to the Europeans. It is critical that we work with our allies to resolve these issues and lead a global effort to prevent Iran from obtaining the technology necessary to build nuclear weapons. Iran claims that its nuclear program is only to meet its domestic energy needs. John Kerry's proposal would call their bluff by organizing a group of states to offer Iran the nuclear fuel they need for peaceful purposes and take back the spent fuel so they cannot divert it to build a weapon. If Iran does not accept this offer, their true motivations will be clear. Under the current circumstances, John Kerry believes we should support the International Atomic Energy Agency's (IAEA) efforts to discern the full extent of Iran's nuclear program, while pushing Iran to agree to a verifiable and permanent suspension of its enrichment and reprocessing programs. If this process fails, we must lead the effort to ensure that the IAEA takes this issue to the Security Council for action."

      December 2004
      Sightings of unidentified flying objects in Iranian skies increased in late December 2004. There were sightings in Markazi Province (where Tehran is located) and Bushehr Province (where nuclear reactors are being built). Sightings in Isfahan Province occurred near Arak and Natanz (where other nuclear-related facilities are located). Observers suggested these could be military-reconnaissance aircraft. US combat aircraft allegedly were sighted near Khorramshahr on 29 December and again on 30 December 2004. An anonymous informed source said, "The circling of two American fighter planes on Wednesday and their maneuvers over border areas of Iran and Iraq indicated that the planes were involved in spying." It is not clear if the Iranian antiaircraft units were able to react to the alleged violation of their airspace.

      01 January 2005
      A US warplane reportedly violated Iranian air space, this time a border edge near Afghanistan in the eastern province of Razavi Khorassan, in the latest spate of such overflights reported by the press. According to the evening daily Kayhan, an American fighter entered Iranian air space Thursday night, flying over the southern border strip at Iran`s Mousa-Abad region for several minutes. The US warplane flew back to Afghanistan, from where it had entered the Iranian airspace, the paper added. Kayhan further quoted an unknown source as saying that three US warplanes had again violated Iranian air space in the southwestern cities of Khorramshahr and Abadan near the Iraqi border.

      23 June 2005
      Iran's ninth presidential election took place on 17 June 2005, with the runoff election taking place on 24 June 2005. Mahmoud Ahmadi-Nejad was elected as Iran's president. Ahmadinejad's campaign issued a statement which described Iran's nuclear program as "a flood which cannot be stopped by a match stick ... It's impossible to stop a nation's scientific progress with a bunch of irrelevant words ... We will hold talks from a rational point of view and if they accept our legitimate right we'll cooperate ... The analysts say no country, no matter how powerful they are, can attack Iran. It would be suicidal for a country to attack Iran... so we must not bend to threats."

      13 August 2005
      On 13 August 2005 President Bush once again refused to rule out the use of force against Iran. When asked in an interview with Israeli television if the use of force was an alternative if diplomacy failed, Bush said: "All options are on the table. ... The use of force is the last option for any president. You know we have used force in the recent past to secure our country... I have been willing to do so as a last resort in order to secure the country and provide the opportunity for people to live in free societies ... we want diplomacy to work and so we are working feverishly on the diplomatic route and, you know, we will see if we are successful or not. As you know I'm sceptical ... "

      23 September 2006
      The first day of Ramadan is 23 September 2006, and the last day is 22 October 2006.

      7 November 2006
      The US Congressional elections of 2006 will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2006. It is unclear how the United States election cycle would influence the timing of strikes against Iran. If the White House is risk averse, it would be unlikely to launch strikes in the run-up to the 2006 election [or the 2008 election]. However, as soon as the election concludes, risk averse domestic political inhibitions about the uncertain consequences of striking Iran might be greatly diminished. Alternately, it might be conjectured that the White House might judge that military strikes would rally the country around the President and his party. This would argue for timing the strikes as little as a week before the election, a pre-planned October Surprise.

      2006
      Some analysts predicted that Iran could acquire a nuclear weapon as early as 2006. As of mid-2003 the CIA reportedly assessed that Iran was two or three years away from developing nuclear weapons. IAEA head Mohamed ElBaradei told Der Spiegel 21 February 2005 that if Iran was determined to have nuclear weapons - as the US believes it is - it was “likely to have a bomb in two or three years”. These estimates would seem rather pessimistic. A more realistic date would seem to be around 2010.

      01 February 2007
      The year 2007 begins to mark the closing of the window of opportunity for military strkes against Iran.

      CBS News reported on 18 December 2006 that the Bush administration has decided to ramp up the naval presence in the Persian Gulf to send a message to Tehran. CBS reported that an additional aircraft carrier would be added to the Gulf contingent in January 2007, arriving on station around 01 February 2007. The New York Times reported 20 December 2006 that the Bremerton-based aircraft carrier CVN-74 John C. Stennis and its strike group could leave weeks earlier than planned as part of a move to increase the U.S. military presence in and around the Middle East. Moving up the Stennis’ departure date in January 2006 allows a longer overlap with USS Dwight D. Eisenhower, the carrier currently in the Persian Gulf. Eisenhower deployed 01 October 2006, and could remain on station into March 2007. It is difficult for one Carrier Air Wing [CVW] to conduct flight operations for much more than about 12 hours before having to stop. However, with the combined striking power of two CVWs, the Carrier Task Force (CTF) is able to conduct air operations over a continuous 24-hour cycle.

      If the White House is politically risk averse with reference to striking Iran, striking Iran in early February 2007 would allow the maximum time betweeenr the strikes and the 2008 Presidential election.

      1-11 February 2007 - Ten-Day Dawn
      The 10 Day Dawn (Daheh-ye Fajr) celebrations mark anniversary of the victory of the Islamic Revolution in 1979. On 12th of Bahman 1357 (01 February 1979), the Imam Khomeini appeared in Iran on the steps of an Air France plane. The great crowd of people who had gone to welcome their Imam were waiting at Mehrabad airport and along his way to Behesht-e Zahra Cemetery. They desired to meet their leader whom was returning to his homeland after a 15-year exile forced by the Shah’s regime. The whole city was illuminated and strewn with flowers. The Islamic Revolution gained the victory on 11 Febreary 1979. The Ten Day Dawn marks the victory of the Islamic Revolution in Iran in 1979 and is celebrated by Iranians each year.

      On 14 November 2006 President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said that two major technological achievements of the government will be made public during the Ten-Day Dawn (February 1-11) of 2007. He said this year's Ten-Day Dawn will the ten-day celebration of Iranian nation for its nuclear and technological achievements. "This year's Ten-Day Dawn period will mark the Iranian nation's success in mastering fuel cycle as well as its achievements in other fields," Ahmadinejad said. He said Iran possesses the “full nuclear fuel cycle and time is completely running in our favor in terms of diplomacy.” Further, “We will commission some 3,000 centrifuges by [the Ten-Day Dawn festivities at the beginning of February].” On 18 Decenber 2006 Government Spokesman Gholam Hossein Elham said that Iran will be announced as an established nuclear state during the 2007 Ten Day Dawn ceremonies.

      March 2007
      On 26 September 2006 Iran and Russia signed an agreement under which Russia will ship fuel to a nuclear power plant it is building in Iran by March 2007. The agreement was signed by Sergei Shmatko, head of Russia’s state-run company Atomstroiexport, and Mahmoud Hanatian, vice president of Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization. The document provides for supplying Russian fuel for the atomic energy plant in March, physical start-up in September 2007 and electric generation by November 2007. about 80 tons of fuel would be supplied by Russia for Iran.

      On 12 November 2006 Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Mohammad Ali Hosseini said Iran intended to install 3,000 uranium enrichment centrifuges by March 2007. Hosseini said Iran was doing all the work to install the centrifuges under control of the UN nuclear watchdog, adding that two cascades of 164 centrifuges were already in operation in the country. The 3,000 uranium enrichment centrifuges would give Iran the capability of producing enough Highly Enriched Uranium for about one atomic bomb annually.

      Either one of these events might be regarded as a "Red Line" by either Israel and/or the United States. That both would take place nearly simultaneously would seem to significantly raise the probability of strkes against Iran's WMD facilities in this timeframe.


      August 2007
      Monday, September 3rd is Labor Day 2007, the notional beginning of the 2008 Presidential campaign. If the White House is politically risk averse with reference to striking Iran, the weeks before Labor Day might mark the last opportune moment to do the deed before the Presidential campaign gets under way.

      4 November 2008
      The US presidential election of 2008 is scheduled to occur on November 4, 2008. If the White House judges that military strikes would rally the country around the President and his party, it would argue for timing strikes as little as a week before the election, a pre-planned October Surprise.

      20 January 2009
      The new President is innaugurated. Depending on political calculation, a final window of opportunity to strike Iran opens during the transition from the old President the new. If Bush judged that his incoming successor lacked the resolve to take the neccessary action, or if it were judged that blaming Bush would ease the way of the new President, there might be arguments for striking after the election but before the innauguration.

      31 December 2009
      If strikes have not occured by January 2009, the new President will have some months to decide on a course of action. If strikes have not occured by the end of 2009, American policy will have shifted from saying the Atomic Ayatollahs are unacceptable, to accepting them as an accomplished fact.


      http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/iran-timeline.htm…" target="_blank" rel="nofollow ugc noopener">
      http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/iran-timeline.htm…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 15.01.07 23:53:21
      Beitrag Nr. 9 ()
      Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 26.941.290 von Birk35 am 15.01.07 20:14:44 the Bush Administration will do everything within its power to deceive Iran\'s leaders into believing that military action is not imminent.

      Nun ja, am besten sie denken ihn noch nicht einmal! So wird es dann schon mal richtig laecherlich: je weniger Anzeichen es fuer ihn gibt, desto wahrscheinlicher der Militaerschlag.

      Absonsten ein sauberes Szenario, an desssen Ende die Atommacht Iran steht.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.01.07 03:04:35
      Beitrag Nr. 10 ()

      an desssen Ende die Atommacht Iran steht.

      Das wäre meine erste ganz große Fehleinschätzung ... aber so weit wird es niemals kommen ...


      Flugzeugträger und Patriots als erziehungsmassnahme

      Tja bei schwer erziehbaren muß die SuperNanny schon mal zum Kochlöffel greifen ....
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.01.07 03:09:09
      Beitrag Nr. 11 ()
      technostud....wir sollten lieber ueber unsere gemeinsammen freunde reden den sv werder:laugh:
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.01.07 03:11:43
      Beitrag Nr. 12 ()
      Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 26.947.189 von arbeitpferd am 16.01.07 03:09:09:laugh: ... Du meinst, bevor wir hier wg. unwichtigen, zweitrangigen, trivialen Themen aneinandergeraten ... :laugh:

      Ok. Einverstanden. ;)
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.01.07 03:11:56
      Beitrag Nr. 13 ()
      aber zum thema....wer ist eigentlich so bloed zu glauben das die demokraten den bush im momment auch nur einen cent geben fuer einen neuen krieg:laugh::laugh:
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.01.07 03:15:37
      Beitrag Nr. 14 ()
      Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 26.947.238 von arbeitpferd am 16.01.07 03:11:56Yep. Andererseits endet die Präsidentschaft nächstes Jahr ... und es ist gute, alte Tradition, daß der neue Präsident zu Beginn seiner Amtszeit eine Feuerprobe abgibt ...

      ... je schwächer der neue Präsident von außen gesehen werden könnte ... desto heftiger wird die Feuerprobe ...

      darf gar nicht an die Heftigkeit der Feuerprobe denken, wenn jemals eine Frau oder ein Schwarzer das Präsidentenamt antreten würde ... :laugh:
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.01.07 03:43:58
      Beitrag Nr. 15 ()
      es sind noch knapp 2 jahre....ich glaub es wird weder ein schwarzer noch eine frau ich glaub es wird nur einer der nicht einmal weiss der iraq liegt.....
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.01.07 06:02:02
      Beitrag Nr. 16 ()
      Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 26.947.759 von arbeitpferd am 16.01.07 03:43:58Da kann ich noch einen draufsetzen, arbeitpferd: es wird noch nicht einmal ein Dem!
      :laugh::laugh:
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.01.07 10:15:00
      Beitrag Nr. 17 ()
      Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 26.947.238 von arbeitpferd am 16.01.07 03:11:56aber zum thema....wer ist eigentlich so bloed zu glauben das die demokraten den bush im momment auch nur einen cent geben fuer einen neuen krieg

      ... The stimulus to the economy was welcome when the war started three years ago because labor and product markets were slack at the time. ...

      http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/iraq-impact-us-economy…

      kein zufall, dass die märkte daraufhin im märz 2003 gedreht haben. der irak-krieg als wirtschaftsmotor. also sollte so etwas notwendig sein, wird es kaum an der finanzierung dafür scheitern.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.01.07 10:41:43
      Beitrag Nr. 18 ()
      Bei Frau oder Schwarzer.....nehmen wir doch Condy ...alles in einer Person.

      cu DL
      Avatar
      schrieb am 23.01.07 13:01:53
      Beitrag Nr. 19 ()
      US Warns Iran To Back Off In Persian Gulf


      DUBAI (AP)--A second U.S. aircraft carrier strike group now steaming toward the Middle East is Washington's way of warning Iran to back down in its attempts to dominate the region, a top U.S. diplomat said here Tuesday.

      Nicholas Burns, the U.S. undersecretary of state for political affairs, ruled out direct U.S. negotiations with Iran and said a rapprochement between Washington and Tehran was "not possible" until Iran halts its enrichment of uranium.

      "The Middle East isn't a region to be dominated by Iran. The Gulf isn't a body of water to be controlled by Iran. That's why we've seen the United States station two carrier battle groups in the region," Burns said in an address to the Dubai-based Gulf Research Center, an influential think-tank.

      "Iran is going to have to understand that the United States will protect its interests if Iran seeks to confront us," Burns continued. "We will defend our interests if we are challenged. That might be a message Iran must understand."

      The U.S. aircraft carrier USS John C. Stennis and several accompanying ships are heading toward the Gulf to join an aircraft carrier group already in the region, the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower. The Stennis is expected to arrive in late February.

      The Stennis's arrival in the Middle East will mark the first time since the U.S.-led Iraq invasion in 2003 that the U.S. has had two carrier battle groups in the region.


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