2019 mit deutschen Aktien im Fokus: ein Trost- und Bittsteller-Thread (Seite 34)
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Das hatten wir schon mal, nur etwas anders dargestellt:
"'The distribution of P/E ratios for the S&P 500 shows that stocks today are more overvalued than they were in March 2000.' "
Mit Chart: https://twitter.com/jessefelder/status/1767560664615469251
"'The distribution of P/E ratios for the S&P 500 shows that stocks today are more overvalued than they were in March 2000.' "
Mit Chart: https://twitter.com/jessefelder/status/1767560664615469251
"Very bearish chart.
Finding good ‘quality labour’ is no longer a problem in the US.
Sharp increase in labour supply is underway (as per today’s NFIB report).
Not what a soft landing looks like"
Mit Chart: https://twitter.com/Lvieweconomics/status/176755835935850497…
Finding good ‘quality labour’ is no longer a problem in the US.
Sharp increase in labour supply is underway (as per today’s NFIB report).
Not what a soft landing looks like"
Mit Chart: https://twitter.com/Lvieweconomics/status/176755835935850497…
Sehr cooles Chart:
https://twitter.com/bespokeinvest/status/1767547342826168763
Eine Versiebenfachung in den letzten 15 Jahren. Und mit krassem Anstieg in den letzten Monaten.
Kommt mir allerdings irgendwie ein wenig suspekt vor, der Verlauf.
https://twitter.com/bespokeinvest/status/1767547342826168763
Eine Versiebenfachung in den letzten 15 Jahren. Und mit krassem Anstieg in den letzten Monaten.
Kommt mir allerdings irgendwie ein wenig suspekt vor, der Verlauf.
"Looking at the NY Fed Consumer Survey the one thing that leapt out was the slump in the "probability of finding a job in 3 months if job lost today" (especially for those earning >$100k)
Maybe economists & investors have given up on betting on a recession just at the wrong time!"
Mit Chart: https://twitter.com/albertedwards99/status/17674929255318693…
Maybe economists & investors have given up on betting on a recession just at the wrong time!"
Mit Chart: https://twitter.com/albertedwards99/status/17674929255318693…
Trading Spotlight
Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 75.435.057 von Der Tscheche am 11.03.24 22:44:08
Zitat daraus:
"As for the U.S. market in general, there has never been a sustained rally starting from a 34 Shiller P/E. The only bull markets that continued up from levels like this were the last 18 months in Japan until 1989, and the U.S. tech bubble of 1998 and 1999, and we know how those ended. Separately, there has also never been a sustained rally starting from full employment.The simple rule is you can’t get blood out of a stone. If you double the price of an asset, you halve its future return. The long-run prospects for the broad U.S. stock market here look as poor as almost any other time in history. (Again, a very rare exception was 1998-2000, which was followed by a lost decade and a half for stocks. And on some data, 1929, which was famously followed by the Great Depression."
Zitat von Der Tscheche: Neue Analyse von Geremy Grantham: https://www.gmo.com/europe/research-library/the-great-paradox-of-the-u.s.-market_viewpoints
Zitat daraus:
"As for the U.S. market in general, there has never been a sustained rally starting from a 34 Shiller P/E. The only bull markets that continued up from levels like this were the last 18 months in Japan until 1989, and the U.S. tech bubble of 1998 and 1999, and we know how those ended. Separately, there has also never been a sustained rally starting from full employment.The simple rule is you can’t get blood out of a stone. If you double the price of an asset, you halve its future return. The long-run prospects for the broad U.S. stock market here look as poor as almost any other time in history. (Again, a very rare exception was 1998-2000, which was followed by a lost decade and a half for stocks. And on some data, 1929, which was famously followed by the Great Depression."
Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 75.432.495 von Der Tscheche am 11.03.24 15:37:55
Sind nicht alle voll mit Puten.
Zitat von Der Tscheche: Tag der Loser heute?
"Tesla (+2,7%), Alphabet (+1,9%) und Apple (+1,8%) können sich heute dem Abverkauf im Tech-Sektor entziehen." stock3.com
Sind nicht alle voll mit Puten.
Neue Analyse von Geremy Grantham: https://www.gmo.com/europe/research-library/the-great-parado…
LOSER DAY
= bärisch (?)
Tag der Loser heute?
"Tesla (+2,7%), Alphabet (+1,9%) und Apple (+1,8%) können sich heute dem Abverkauf im Tech-Sektor entziehen." stock3.com
"Tesla (+2,7%), Alphabet (+1,9%) und Apple (+1,8%) können sich heute dem Abverkauf im Tech-Sektor entziehen." stock3.com
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