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Über Lang und Schwarz kann man jetzt mittlerweile auch CH handeln, zu einem deutlich besseren Spread als zuvor nur in "Frankfurt". Meint: Jetzt kann man auch hier einen Kauf realisieren und auch vernünftig wieder verkaufen.
Eben konnte ich einen guten Vergleich zwischen Charbone Hydrogen und HydroGraph finden, stammt also nicht von mir, den ich euch allen nicht vorenthalten möchte:
1. The Template: What Just Happened With HydroGraph?
HydroGraph Clean Power went from being a tiny, largely ignored nanomaterials company to a
market darling with a near-$1B CAD valuation in a very short period of time.
Key ingredients:
• Differentiated tech – A patented detonation process that produces ultra-high purity
graphene and other nanomaterials at low cost and low environmental footprint
• Modular, high-margin units – Their Hyperion systems are small, scalable units that can
crank out >10 tonnes/year of graphene with very attractive economics (each unit targeting
millions in revenue for relatively low capex).
• Massive TAM – Graphene is a “super-material” that can be dropped into many
industries: batteries, coatings, concrete, lubricants, etc.
• From sub-C$50M to ~C$1B – Earlier this year, HydroGraph was still treated like a
small, speculative story. Today, it’s trading around C$3, with a market cap in the C$850–
950M range, depending on the day.
In other words:
“Obscure, IP-rich, modular green tech with a huge TAM” → “re-rated once the market
believes commercialization is real.”
That’s precisely the lane Charbone is stepping into right now – just in hydrogen instead of
graphene.
2. Where Charbone Is Today: The Pre-Re-Rate Phase
Charbone’s current setup looks a lot like HydroGraph before its explosion:
• Still sub-C$50M market cap – ESGFIRE’s coverage pegs Charbone around a C$47M
market cap at ~C$0.25/share as of early November 2025.
• First plant now producing hydrogen – The Sorel-Tracy site in Quebec has completed
Phase 1A equipment installation and has produced its first clean UHP hydrogen, entering
commercial production. This is Quebec’s first local, decentralized, ultra-high-purity
hydrogen facility.
• Modular, network-based vision – Charbone is explicitly building a network of
decentralized clean hydrogen plants across North America, starting with Sorel-Tracy as
the flagship blueprint.
• First-mover pure-play – As of mid-2025, Charbone is still the only pure-play green
hydrogen producer on the Canadian public markets, listed on the TSXV (CH), OTCQB
(CHHYF), and the Frankfurt Stock Exchange (K47).
• Strategic asset acquisitions – They’ve acquired existing hydrogen production and
refueling assets from Harnois Énergies to accelerate commissioning and early revenue at
Sorel-Tracy instead of starting from a cold build.
So structurally, you’ve got:
Single-digit tens-of-millions market cap, first-of-its-kind plant just turned on, and a
scalable modular rollout plan.
That’s precisely the zone where significant multiple expansion can happen if the market starts to
believe the rollout story.
3. The Core Analogy: Why Charbone Could Be “The Next
HydroGraph”
Let’s break down the parallels.
(A) Scarcity + First-Mover Advantage
• HydroGraph: First meaningful public pure-play on high-purity, detonation-based
graphene. Once institutions and retail realized it was the way to play graphene
commercialization, the stock re-rated hard.
• Charbone: As of mid-2025, it’s the only pure-play green hydrogen producer on the
Canadian markets, with cross-listing into the US and Germany, and the first local UHP
green hydrogen facility in Quebec.
When capital wants exposure to a theme (graphene, green hydrogen, etc.) and there’s one clean,
liquid vehicle, the re-rating can be violent.
(B) Modular, Replicable Units
• HydroGraph: Hyperion systems – small modular detonation units, each with compelling
economics, scalable by just adding more units or sites.
• Charbone: Sorel-Tracy is explicitly positioned as the model plant for a decentralized
network; they’re using standardized, integrated electrolyzer packages (2.5 MW / 5 MW /
10 MW) that can be repeated across multiple locations.
If Sorel-Tracy works (technically + commercially), you don’t just have one plant – you have a
franchise model.
That’s precisely the type of story the market is willing to pay up for.
(C) Huge, Long-Duration TAM With Structural Tailwinds
• Hydrogen is not a fad – it’s being built into the energy transition strategies of major
economies for industrial decarbonization, mobility, backup power, etc. Global hydrogen
market projections move from ~US$225B in 2025 to >US$310B by 2030 (CAGR
~6.8%), and that doesn’t even fully capture policy-driven upside.
• Charbone sits in a sweet spot: clean UHP hydrogen + industrial gas distribution,
targeting local industrial, mobility, and backup-power demand where decarbonization is
mandated but local supply is limited.
HydroGraph’s premium is due to graphene being seen as a “super-material” with endless
applications. Green hydrogen has a similar narrative power: it’s the “missing molecule” for
decarbonizing hard-to-electrify sectors.
(D) Proof of Execution + Credibility Inflection
For HydroGraph, the inflection was:
• Demonstrating commercial-grade graphene quality (e.g., 99.8% pure fractal graphene)
and credible end-use data, then communicating a clear road to commercialization.
For Charbone, the comparable inflections are unfolding now:
1. First hydrogen molecules produced at Sorel-Tracy – This moves the story from
“developer” to “producer.”
2. Confirming construction + commissioning milestones on schedule – Recent updates
emphasize that the equipment installation and commissioning phases are on track, which
de-risks execution.
3. Acquiring and integrating existing hydrogen assets from Harnois – This is not just
theory; they’re consolidating real infrastructure and customer channels.
Once investors see:
“Plant is on, gas is flowing, customers are buying, and we’re announcing plant #2 / #3…”
…you’ve checked the same boxes that turned HydroGraph from a science project into a re-rated
commercialization story.
4. The Asymmetry: Sub-C$50M vs “Network Value”
Potential
Right now:
• Charbone market cap ≈ C$40–50M range.
• HydroGraph market cap ≈ C$850–950M today, having briefly touched valuations
around ~C$1B+ depending on share price and timing.
Charbone doesn’t need perfection to justify multiples of the current price:
• Sorel-Tracy Phase 1 alone offers early revenue, data, and proof of concept.
• The whole point of the strategy is a network of decentralized plants across North
America using a standardized modular approach, leveraging their first-mover pure-play
status in Canada.
If the market starts to:
1. Believe Charbone can roll out multiple Sorel-like plants, and
2. Assign a “platform” multiple instead of a “single asset micro-cap” multiple,
then going from sub-C$50M to several hundred million is conceptually very achievable.
A HydroGraph-style path to ~C$1B obviously requires:
• A proven, profitable unit model at Sorel-Tracy,
• A visible pipeline of additional sites, and
• Tight capital discipline, so growth doesn’t get drowned in dilution.
But structurally, the starting valuation vs strategic optionality looks similar to where
HydroGraph was before its move.
5. What Has to Go Right for a HydroGraph-Style Re-Rate
To be clear, nothing is guaranteed. For Charbone to potentially follow HydroGraph’s trajectory,
I’d watch for:
1. Clean execution at Sorel-Tracy
o Stable UHP hydrogen output
o Signed and disclosed offtake/customer relationships for recurring demand
o Evidence of decent margins at the plant level
2. Visible line-of-sight to plant #2, #3, #4…
o Announced sites with clear timelines, capex, and expected capacity
o Reuse of the Sorel playbook – same electrolyzer platforms, same construction
partners, same modular design
3. Smart financing and limited dilution
o Blending project finance, debt, and strategic capital rather than leaning entirely on
cheap equity
o Potential strategic partners (industrial gas, utilities, logistics, large industrials)
who want a green hydrogen footprint
4. Narrative + Scarcity Premium Kicking In
o As the only pure-play public green hydrogen producer in Canada with a
functioning plant, Charbone can be the way for institutions and retail to express
“local green hydrogen” in their portfolios.
If those pieces line up, the same formula that worked for HydroGraph applies:
Deep tech + modular units + scarce public equity + big TAM → big multiple expansion.
6. Bottom Line
HydroGraph showed what happens when the market wakes up to a small, IP-rich, modular
green-tech platform with a huge TAM and real commercialization milestones.
Charbone is now entering that pre-re-rate window:
• First plant on, first hydrogen produced
• Clear modular network strategy
• First-mover pure-play status in a massive, policy-supported market
• Still trading at a tiny market cap compared to the size of the opportunity
Could Charbone become “the next HydroGraph” and go from sub-C$50M to a HydroGraph-style
C$1B+ valuation?
It’s not guaranteed — but the ingredients are there, and we’re just now hitting the phase
Ein frischer Post aus CAN:
Besser höhere Gebühren, als ein 20 - 25% schlechterer Kurs beim Kauf und Verkauf.
CAN wird gerade kräftig durchgeschüttelt. Wir sind bis auf 0,28 CAD gefallen. Aktuell wieder im Steigen begriffen!
Ein emsiger User in CAN schrieb gerade, zur weiteren Entwicklung, auf Nachfrage:
Neueste Informationen:
Und bitte nicht vergessen: Frankfurt stellt keine passenden Kurse, da der Spread unangemessen hoch ist. Solltet ihr euch für einen Kauf entscheiden, dann bitte nur in Kanada kaufen, da man dort einen guten Spread hat, der bei Kauf aber auch Verkauf vorteilhafter ist!
Aus einem Post in CEO.CA von heute Morgen, zum Erklären des Geschäftsmodells von CH:
Hier noch der versprochene Link:
Es geht heute gerade weiter wie die letzten zwei Tage:
Sorry, mit dem Link hat es leider am Handy nicht geklappt. Dies hole ich heute Abend am PC nach.
Hier noch der Link dazu:
Mariusz Skonieczny December 1, 2025 Here is a summary of this YouTube video: • Historic Milestone Achieved: Charbone Hydrogen Corporation has officially begun producing green hydrogen at its Sorel-Tracy facility, a development anticipated for two years and considered a significant turning point for the company. • Successful Phase One Completion: The company has confirmed the successful installation of equipment for Phase One at its Sorel-Tracy site and has completed its first hydrogen production test, validating the system's functionality and performance parameters. • Management Confirmation: David Gagnon, CEO of Charbone, stated that the completion of Phase One and the successful production tests are key milestones, demonstrating the team's execution capabilities and marking the transition to commercial production. • Pioneering Facility: The Sorel-Tracy module plant is highlighted as the first local and decentralized clean ultra-high purity (UHP) hydrogen production facility in Quebec, aligning with Charbone's vision for a North American network of clean gas production and distribution. • Strategic Advantage of Local Production: The text emphasizes the cost-effectiveness of local green hydrogen production for industrial users, as the high cost of hydrogen transportation creates a competitive moat for decentralized facilities. • Phased Expansion and Valuation Potential: Sorel-Tracy is planned with five phases. Phase One projects sales of $5.1 million and an EBITDA of $2.6 million. However, Phase Five is projected to generate $66 million in sales and $33 million in EBITDA per project. • Significant Upside Potential: With a current market capitalization of approximately $20 million, the company's roadmap of potentially 16 projects, each reaching Phase Five with an EBITDA of $33 million, suggests a potential total value creation of over $5 billion. • Valuation Scenarios: Depending on Charbone's retained ownership percentage after project financing, the potential market cap could range from $500 million (10% ownership) to $2.5 billion (50% ownership), indicating substantial upside from the current valuation. • Game-Changing Announcement: The press release is deemed monumental and a "game-changer" because it validates the company's ability to execute its roadmap and achieve projected economics, justifying significant increases in its stock valuation. https://ceo.ca/CH https://ceo.ca/CHHYF.US (FSE: K47) https://ceo.ca/Hydrogen https://ceo.ca/Quebec (edited)
Heute von 0,25 CAD hoch auf 0,36 CAD.
