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    ROYAL GOLD (RGLD) - 500 Beiträge pro Seite

    eröffnet am 11.06.02 18:46:29 von
    neuester Beitrag 03.12.03 09:46:17 von
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      Avatar
      schrieb am 11.06.02 18:46:29
      Beitrag Nr. 1 ()
      Kevin Kennedy Recommend the Following Stock: RGLD
      Updated: Thursday, June 6, 2002 06:01 AM ET

      CHICAGO, June 6 /PRNewswire/ -- Kevin Kennedy returned a huge +77% return in 2001 for investors willing to think "small". Find out what the editor of the #1 rated Coolcat Explosive Small Cap Growth Stock Report recommends this year. http://www.featuredexpert2.zacks.com .

      Here are the highlights from the Featured Expert column:

      You will notice I have added an additional market-timing signal for the Wilshire Micro Cap Index. This index focuses on stocks ranked from 2,501-5,000 in the Wilshire 5000 in terms of market capitalization and will be a better gauge for the type of stocks I cover in the newsletter than the Nasdaq, which basically has become a technology barometer. I will still list the Nasdaq signals as well.

      I considered using the Russell 2000 or the S&P Small Cap Index, but both of these focus on stocks larger than those covered in the newsletter. The average Russell 2000 market cap is more than $500 million, while most of the stocks covered in the newsletter have market caps less than half of that. I also had trouble finding reliable, non-conflicting data for the Russell 2000 to backtest.

      Royal Gold (Nasdaq: RGLD)

      Royal Gold is the largest U.S.-based royalty company engaging in the acquisition and management of precious metals royalty interests. On May 9 the company reported record third-quarter net income of $1.6 million, or $0.09 per share, on royalty revenue of $3.1 million. That compares to net income of $359,000, or $0.02 per share, on royalty revenue of $1.4 million for the same period in fiscal 2001.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 11.06.02 19:04:40
      Beitrag Nr. 2 ()
      Die Zukunft ist unsicher und RGLD könnte positiv springen!
      Erinnere RGLD ist eine Goldaktie und Gold ist gewesen der beste Sektor (wenn Gold überhaupt einen Sektor gennant werden kann) für eine Weile nun. Ich mag es definitv überhaupt nicht, wenn RGLD in den Überverkauften Bereich geht. Ich denke das eine Menge Leute Gewinne mitnehmen und werde den letzten 10% Fall als einen guten Einstiegszeitpunkt ansehen.
      RGLD wird aktuell auf der 50 dma gehandelt. RGLD ist ein gutes Unternehmen und eine Goldaktie. Die Probleme dieser Welt sind weit davon entfernt von gelöst zu sein und Gold hatte etwas zu korrigieren. Und wie Ihr wißt, es geht nichts gerade und steil nach oben ohne irgendeine Pause. Ich bin überzeugt davon, das wir uns noch in einem Gold bull Markt befinden.

      peter.wedemeier1
      Avatar
      schrieb am 06.07.02 09:23:44
      Beitrag Nr. 3 ()
      ROYAL GOLD >Best gold & silver stocks for the half-year bei den gewichteten Gewinnen durch Aktienkurs die Nr. 1 http://www.mips1.net/MGGold.nsf/Current/4225685F0043D1B28525…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 06.07.02 09:26:57
      Beitrag Nr. 4 ()
      ROYAL GOLD >Best gold & silver stocks for the half-year bei den >$10 Precious Metals Aktien die Nr. 1
      http://www.mips1.net/MGGold.nsf/Current/4225685F0043D1B28525…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 10.07.02 08:46:02
      Beitrag Nr. 5 ()
      "I am buying gold," said Sidney H. Kosann, an investment banker at Morgan Lewins & Co. in New York. "`Gold by the end of this year will exceed $350 and by the end of next year will exceed $500."
      15.07 Calls gestern bei 35 cents! Erwarte das man bei diesen sein Geld bis Ende der Woche verdoppeln kann.
      Mehr Drohungen herausgegeben von bin Laden, der Dollar fällt wie ein Fels, und die Rede vom Präsidenten half dem Markt nicht!

      peter.wedemeier1

      Trading Spotlight

      Anzeige
      Nurexone Biologic
      0,4160EUR +1,22 %
      Die Aktie mit dem “Jesus-Vibe”!mehr zur Aktie »
      Avatar
      schrieb am 11.07.02 09:06:32
      Beitrag Nr. 6 ()
      RGLD über der 50 & 200 MA und sieht sehr gut aus!
      Go RGLD!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 12.07.02 10:49:05
      Beitrag Nr. 7 ()
      Royal Gold Completes an Offering of Common Stock

      DENVER, July 11 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- ROYAL GOLD, INC. (Nasdaq: RGLD - News; Toronto: RGL - News) today announced that the Company has sold 500,000 shares of common stock in a negotiated transaction resulting in gross proceeds of $6,875,000. The shares were sold, by use of a prospectus supplement, to a single institutional investor at a price of $13.75 per share.

      Stanley Dempsey, Chairman, CEO and President, said "the proceeds from this offering will be used to advance our royalty acquisition program and allow us to maintain a strong working capital position."

      Royal Gold is the largest U.S.-based royalty company engaging in the acquisition and management of precious metals royalty interests. Royal Gold is publicly traded on the Nasdaq National Market System, under the symbol "RGLD" and on the Toronto Stock Exchange, under the symbol "RGL." The Company`s web page is located at www.royalgold.com .

      SOURCE: Royal Gold, Inc.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.07.02 19:56:15
      Beitrag Nr. 8 ()
      Diese Aktie sollte gemäß dem MACD nun einen Aufschwung erleben.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 19.07.02 21:48:34
      Beitrag Nr. 9 ()
      Ich bin langfristig bullish für Gold.

      peter.wedemeier1
      Avatar
      schrieb am 23.07.02 10:50:58
      Beitrag Nr. 10 ()
      Eine riesiege Kaufgelegenheit! Unter $12,-,

      peter.wedemeier1
      Avatar
      schrieb am 29.07.02 10:35:11
      Beitrag Nr. 11 ()
      Auf aktuellem Goldpreis ist RGLD fair bewertet. Royal Gold zählt in dem Goldminensektor zu den besten Stockpicks. Und Gold befindet sich am Anfang von einem bull market. Der Dow Jones und der Nasdaq werden sehr bald einen weiteren heftigen Schlag bekommen. Dieses wird dann den Goldpreis nach oben treiben und den Dollarkurs nach unten.

      peter.wedemeier1
      Avatar
      schrieb am 31.07.02 09:29:59
      Beitrag Nr. 12 ()
      Mehr Gold! Gestiegen auf Volumen. Stochastic steigt auf aus Überverkauft. Gold wird ein Comeback erleben. Fügt etwas Gold zu eurem Portfolio hinzu! Ich mag Glamis Gold, Barrick Gold, Durban Roodeport Deep, Harmony Gold und natürlich Royal Gold.

      peter.wedemeier1
      Avatar
      schrieb am 19.08.02 17:08:56
      Beitrag Nr. 13 ()
      Breakout Buy Signal!

      peter.wedemeier1
      Avatar
      schrieb am 11.09.02 23:05:14
      Beitrag Nr. 14 ()

      One of the most well-known chart patterns is the "cup and handle." It was first devised by William O`Neil as one of his three primary patterns to trade on. To make a cup and handle, the stock typically dips in price, enters into a base where it trades up and down for a period, moves up on high volume, pauses (forming the handle) and then breaks out to new highs on high volume.

      Dan Zanger, editor of Chartpattern.com, has found an excellent example of a cup and handle in Royal Gold (nasdaq: RGLD - news - people ), a Denver-based gold company. It does not own any mines but collects royalties from properties owned by gold companies like Placer Dome (nyse: PDG - news - people ) and AngloGold (nyse: AU - news - people ). It currently is trading around $16.50.

      The chart pattern begins at "A," when the stock begins to fall. It then falls into a long base ("B") and then rises again on heavy volume ("C"). The small handle is created with sideways movement at "D." The stock then broke out on quadruple its normal volume.

      Zanger likes this pattern specifically because of its long, three-month base. O`Neil wrote in his 24 Essential Lessons for Investment Success that legitimate cup-and-handle formations must last at least seven weeks. Zanger thinks that after a brief pause the stock could rise to $23-$25 in the next six or seven weeks on the strength of the pattern.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 17.09.02 19:36:36
      Beitrag Nr. 15 ()
      Long Position geschlossen.

      peter.wedemeier1
      Avatar
      schrieb am 10.10.02 11:09:24
      Beitrag Nr. 16 ()
      Long Position eröffnet.

      peter.wedemeier1
      Avatar
      schrieb am 10.10.02 11:16:57
      Beitrag Nr. 17 ()
      Avatar
      schrieb am 11.10.02 08:59:13
      Beitrag Nr. 18 ()
      Gold rennt inverse zu den Indexes wie Dow Jones und Nasdaq. RGLD hat eine starke Unterstützung und ist mit gutem Volumen von Ihr wieder nach oben abgefedert. Bei RGLD könnt Ihr ein bullishes Szenario sehen und damit gehen.

      peter.wedemeier1
      Avatar
      schrieb am 13.10.02 09:01:29
      Beitrag Nr. 19 ()
      Bottom fishing!
      - 50-day EMA Unterstützung,
      - MACD positiv,
      - Stochastic überverkauft und
      - hohes Volumen.

      peter.wedemeier1
      Avatar
      schrieb am 15.10.02 08:08:35
      Beitrag Nr. 20 ()
      Überverkauft in einem Aufwärtstrend!
      Gold im generellen erscheint im Moment überverkauft im Aufwärtstrend. Geht mit einem Wert, der ein Top Performer war und sein wird wenn der Goldpreis steigen wird. Gebraucht Gold wie ein Proxy für Ressourcen und auch als ein Hedge gegen den schwachen Dollar.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.10.02 08:32:24
      Beitrag Nr. 21 ()
      COMEX gold dives to six-week low as stocks soar Tues 10/15/2002 15:20 EDT


      http://www.kitco.com./_a/news/33659.htm

      Dow Jones industrial, DAX, Nasdaq und Nemax:

      Ich denke das diese Rallye verkehrt ist. Ich empfehle dringend Gewinne mitzunehmen. Ich kann nicht helfen, aber ich denke diese bubble (und es ist nichts anderes!:) wird in den nächsten 24 Stunden platzen.
      Empfehlung: Raus aus sämtlichen Aktien des breiten Marktes!!!

      peter.wedemeeir1
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.10.02 08:34:33
      Beitrag Nr. 22 ()
      Strong Interest Stocks
      based on the Foolish 8 Strategy

      http://www.quicken.com/investments/strategyexperts/?strongpi…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.10.02 08:41:41
      Beitrag Nr. 23 ()
      The Passenger

      By Dave Skarica
      Sep 26 2002

      www.addictedtoprofits.com

      http://www.kitco.com./ind/Skarica/sep262002.html
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.10.02 08:46:08
      Beitrag Nr. 24 ()
      http://www.financialsense.com/metals/sinclair/tech/images/10…

      Ich gehe davon aus, das der Dollar Index seine Unterstützung nach unten durchbricht. -> Intel :)

      peter.wedemeeir1
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.10.02 08:48:27
      Beitrag Nr. 25 ()
      Avatar
      schrieb am 20.10.02 09:25:48
      Beitrag Nr. 26 ()
      To: TA Students
      From: Jim Sinclair
      Date: 10/18/2002
      RE: Fibonacci Retrenchments -- Support & Resistance


      http://www.financialsense.com/metals/sinclair/tech/lessons/1…




      Like GG, Royal Gold shows significant resilience against the forces of decline. The Fibonacci support line is slightly under 16, yet Royal has been holding at the $16 level and slightly higher forming a small up trend line.

      With some improvement of the MACD 3-6-7 and Momentum 14 RGLD, GG would lead the gold stocks out of this reaction
      Avatar
      schrieb am 27.10.02 08:13:44
      Beitrag Nr. 27 ()


      "Royal became royal again by positively resolving its downtrend on a day when gold shares in general were under pressure.

      It closed slightly above that important line. The MACD and momentum were positive."

      http://www.financialsense.com/metals/sinclair/tech/review/10…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 27.10.02 13:01:53
      Beitrag Nr. 28 ()
      @peter

      cup`n handle?:




      Gruß
      S.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 02.11.02 13:44:35
      Beitrag Nr. 29 ()


      Royal Gold: It did not take too much time for Royal to become royal again. There is a symmetrical triangle here. Refer to Edwards and McGee page 122-figure 53 and page 123 figure 54. For the measuring implication refer to page 139.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 08.11.02 17:44:48
      Beitrag Nr. 30 ()
      Among those with strong RS (Relative Strength) were Royal Gold (again), Glamis, Harmony, Goldfields, Meridian, Newmont. U can judge RS for yourself, just compare the price action, one chart with another. If U move out of weak shares into stronger RS shares it obviously strengthens your pf (portfolio).

      Gold Charts R Us
      "Trade gold stocks to triple your profits."
      GOLDEN BALL in your court

      from Harry Schultz
      posted November 8, 2002

      http://www.321gold.com/editorials/schultz/schultz110802.html
      Avatar
      schrieb am 10.11.02 16:17:55
      Beitrag Nr. 31 ()
      COMMENTS FROM JIM SINCLAIR:

      This is going to be the toughest call of this entire $300 - $330 sideways movement. The reason why is because, as we enter the $320 - $325 range, there is a knee-jerk reaction in the gold market. The gold market is so used to the arrival of JPM, Lehman, Goldman and Merrill as sellers pounding the market, that gold shares now almost automatically decelerate, as a knee-jerk reaction to gold being at the the $320 -$325 price. At this price, the gold shares` appreciation decelerates and actually stops dead in their tracks.

      What the market has failed to realize is that these gold dealers, due to their own liquidity situations, are now no longer the big position takers in gold as they were before. All they have been doing lately is exercising clients` orders. The sellers of gold that have come into gold market at the $320 - $325 area have not been the gold cartel. They have been the local floor traders and speculator computer traders. Again, not the cartel. This is why we have had higher lows as we chop sideways.

      I firmly believe the chances of taking out the $330 level to the upside before Christmas is real because the significant enemy of the gold price, the gold cartel, is out of business. They have had their trading capital called back to the parent holding company because of the effects of the credit downgrade on the parent holding companies. When the market wakes up that the enemy is no longer there, no event will be required to take gold above $330. It will simply go there.

      Here is how we will determine if gold is going to break out above $330:

      Have you wondered how I was able to determine the heads up and buy/sell points in this rally? Well, thanks to RGLD/GG and the use of proprietary measures in the duration period of the chart, the slow stochastic and Williams %R, I have when these leading (action-wise) gold shares entered an oversold condition, began to look for the buy and overbought for the sell. Now as gold approaches $330, if the gold shares (which historically know more about gold than gold does) are not into the overbought condition that have been so accurate, we will assume $330 is going to breach and NOT SELL our 1/3.

      This means we are remaining disciplined, but being superbly focused. I will, as we near this situation, be doing daily technical reviews. I consider the market at this time more critically positive than ever before in this 11-month rally. The magnificently symmetric, three-year golden tea cup formation* would break to the upside out of the handle at a close above $330. This type of a formation, over this amount of time, is extremely rare and super bullish. I have in my 43 years never seen a technical formation of this kind for this long a duration with this type of symmetry. It is rare and important. This type of a formation will launch only one thing, a huge Bull market, if resolved to the upside. The probability of failure after gold breaks to the upside above $330 from this type of a formation is less than 10%. Those odds are outrageously good for the long.

      We know the bull market in gold started 11 months ago, but history will record the breakout above the handle on the golden tea cup as "The Birth of the Gold Bull Market." This will occur because the amount of appreciation above the handle will be orders of magnitude compared to the 11-month appreciation we have already witnessed. Be assured that I am focused and will be keeping the Gold community as closely focused.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 30.11.02 09:26:12
      Beitrag Nr. 32 ()
      TECHNICAL REVIEW RGLD
      11.20.2002

      The panic of the shareholders hit them all, even those that are royal. Yet RGLD shows its regency still by withstand the gold share-pounding panicers with more dignity than others. Watch the Power Down Trend, PDT, for a key to the reversal upwards. The dollar will be your key, so your first focus is the USDX to key the reversal back to bullish on the gold shares. Clearly now RGLD is the front-running gold share leading the pack of non-hedgers. All non-hedgers are leading the hedgers who are in deep problems assuming, and I do, that gold is going much higher over time. NEM is, in my opinion, booking their hedge results as loans; while ABX is charging the results to individual projects as they mark to market.

      http://www.financialsense.com/metals/sinclair/tech/review/11…

      http://www.financialsense.com/metals/sinclair/tech/images/11…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.12.02 18:39:11
      Beitrag Nr. 33 ()
      Top of The Pops
      Strongest Gold Stocks
      Clive Maund
      4 December, 2002
      http://www.321gold.com/editorials/maund/maund120402_goldstoc…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 29.12.02 10:06:12
      Beitrag Nr. 34 ()
      December 27, 2002 12:00 p.m.
      Iraqi Aftershocks
      Being on the wrong side of history won’t be pretty.


      http://www.nationalreview.com/hanson/hanson122702.asp
      Avatar
      schrieb am 29.12.02 10:11:56
      Beitrag Nr. 35 ()
      Stock Money Inflows and Outflows
      12/27/2002 4:30 PM

      RGLD war unter den Werten mit den größten Money Inflows am Freitag!


      http://perk.mworld.com/m/m.w?lp=mpp&p=DCMF
      Avatar
      schrieb am 29.12.02 15:14:14
      Beitrag Nr. 36 ()
      Die amerikanischen Goldbugs lieben RGLD. Ist deren Liebling und eine schöne Holding-Aktie mit excellenten Royalties. Habe die selbst schon einige Zeit im Depot. Überrennt sämtliche Widerstände mühelos. So mühelos, daß einem manchmal Angst und Bange wird. Der Ferrari unter den GM. Moneyflow sehr positiv.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 30.12.02 09:41:11
      Beitrag Nr. 37 ()
      Which sectors offer opportunity?

      Weiss: The only sector we are recommending is certain selected gold mining shares.

      Add some gold or gold shares to the portfolio...

      What`ll it be in 2003?


      By Jeff Ostrowski, Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
      Sunday, December 29, 2002


      http://www.gopbi.com/partners/pbpost/epaper/editions/sunday/…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 30.12.02 23:14:56
      Beitrag Nr. 38 ()
      Avatar
      schrieb am 31.12.02 09:41:56
      Beitrag Nr. 39 ()
      "At the recent New Orleans seminar I stated that as a guess I believed we’d see the price of the Dow and the price of gold cross. At what level? My guess was around 3,000.

      To sum up, it’s my belief that the bear market in stocks is still in its early stages. I believe that the bull market in gold is also in its early stages." (The Best of Richard Russell)

      http://www.investmentrarities.com/
      Avatar
      schrieb am 31.12.02 09:43:48
      Beitrag Nr. 40 ()
      "gold and dow cross@3000"
      (Richard Russell)
      Avatar
      schrieb am 01.01.03 18:47:37
      Beitrag Nr. 41 ()
      Avatar
      schrieb am 01.01.03 18:58:53
      Beitrag Nr. 42 ()
      Planning Discussions Initiated
      by
      Saudi Arabia, Oman, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain

      Concerning A New
      Group of Six Arab Dinar
      by James Sinclair
      December 12, 2002

      http://www.financialsense.com/metals/sinclair/editorials/200…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 02.01.03 09:45:05
      Beitrag Nr. 43 ()
      "New York, Jan. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc., one of the five biggest traders in the $1.2 trillion-a-day currency market, forecasts the dollar will fall for a second year against the euro and yen.

      The firm, which 12 months ago predicted yesterday`s dollar- yen exchange rate within 1 percent, said the dollar will weaken to 115 yen and $1.12 per euro by year-end from 118.77 yen and $1.0491. The dollar had its first annual drop in the euro`s four- year history and fell for the first year in three against the yen last year as a slow U.S. economy, stock market slump and bond yields at four-decade lows reduced demand for the currency.

      ``We turn the year expecting weakness`` in the dollar, the firm said in a research report that wasn`t attributed to any analyst. Jim O`Neill, the London-based head of global economic research, oversees the firm`s currency forecasts.

      ``No doubt, someone will accuse us of not being bullish enough on the euro in coming days,`` the firm said.

      Currencies have been a strong point for Goldman in recent months. The firm`s fixed income, currency and commodities division produced net revenue of $793 million for the company`s fourth quarter, which ended Nov. 30, and a record $1.3 billion in the third quarter.

      At the end of 2001, Goldman predicted that the dollar would close out 2002 at 120 yen and $1.10 per euro. Those forecasts beat most predictions in a Bloomberg News survey 12 months ago: Only three of the 58 firms in the survey predicted the euro would be above $1 at yearend 2002 and only seven said the dollar would end the year at 120 yen or weaker.

      For 2003, Goldman is more bearish on the dollar than the average forecast from a Bloomberg News survey this month. In that survey, 51 currency analysts projected on average that the dollar would end 2003 at 124.24 yen and $1.02 per euro."
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.01.03 09:01:14
      Beitrag Nr. 44 ()
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.01.03 09:13:31
      Beitrag Nr. 45 ()
      Gold price rises as miners stop hedging
      Jan 2
      Stephen Wisenthal
      http://afr.com/companies/2003/01/02/FFXXWLT3EAD.html
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.01.03 17:33:16
      Beitrag Nr. 46 ()
      Hallo Peter.W.


      ich hab mal kurz nach auf der Web-Site von Royal gold geschaut.
      hab ich das richtig verstanden, dass das eine Holding ist, sowie etwa BB Biotech?
      Kannst du vielleicht ein paar zusammenfassende Daten über das Unternehmen hier reinstellen?

      danke
      grüße
      Avatar
      schrieb am 05.01.03 14:07:22
      Beitrag Nr. 47 ()
      Avatar
      schrieb am 06.01.03 10:33:14
      Beitrag Nr. 48 ()
      SEC urged to probe substance of Morgan gold business, not just origin of rumors

      11:45a ET Sunday, January 5, 2003

      Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

      GATA consultant James Turk, editor of The Freemarket
      Gold & Money Report, has just published in his
      newsletter an open letter asking the U.S. Securities
      and Exchange Commission to investigate the substance
      of Morgan Chase`s involvement with gold, rather than
      merely the source of rumors about that involvement --
      the latter being the kind of investigation Morgan
      Chase itself last week said it had asked the SEC for.

      Further, with his customarily brilliant investigative
      accounting style of journalism, Turk`s letter to the
      SEC lays out evidence that Morgan Chase may have been
      financing Enron`s most dubious deals with borrowed gold.

      Turk`s letter is appended here, and GATA supporters
      are urged to send a copy of it to the SEC along with
      their own request that the commission investigate
      Morgan Chase`s gold business as he proposes.

      The commission`s mailing address is:

      U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
      450 Fifth St.
      Washington, DC 20549

      CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
      Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.

      * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *

      JP Morgan, Enron, and Gold

      By James Turk, Editor
      The Freemarket Gold & Money Report
      www.FGMR.com
      Letter 317, January 6, 2003

      Copyright 2003 by The Freemarket Gold & Money Report


      I have today mailed the following letter to
      the Enforcement Division of the Securities
      and Exchange Commission. It`s about time that
      we learn the truth regarding JP Morgan
      Chase`s activity in the gold market, the full
      extent of its gold exposure, and whether it
      used gold loans to fund the so-called
      "disguised loans" that it arranged for Enron.
      Perhaps the SEC will help us learn the truth
      by investigating these matters and reporting
      the results.

      * * *

      Dear Sir/Madam:

      I am writing in regard to recent statements
      made by the management of JP Morgan Chase
      (JPM) relating to its activity in the gold
      market. This is to ask for your determination
      whether their statements are false or
      misleading.

      On January 2nd JPM announced that it had
      reached an out-of-court settlement with
      several insurance companies regarding JPM`s
      involvement with Enron. You will recall that
      these insurance companies had initiated this
      litigation, alleging in their lawsuit brought
      in New York federal court that certain
      trading transactions between JPM and Enron
      were shams, thereby negating the insurance
      contracts covering these transactions.

      In a press conference subsequent to their
      January 2nd announcement, JPM management
      commented on rumors relating to its activity
      in the gold market. I refer to the following
      CBSMarketWatch report by Luisa Beltran and
      Greg Morcroft published on January 2, 2003:

      "[JP Morgan Chase] executives said that,
      despite persistent rumors to the contrary, it
      has no exposure to the recent run-up in gold
      prices. `We don`t have any real exposure to
      gold. I don`t know where that rumor keeps
      coming from, but it`s not true,` CEO Harrison
      said. `We have seen this rumor pop up again
      and again,` added chief counsel McDavid, `and
      we have asked the SEC to look into it.`"

      I have no specific knowledge about these
      rumors, other than what I have learned from
      the media. But I am very pleased to hear that
      the SEC has been asked to investigate them.
      In this regard, I am writing to bring the
      following matters to your attention.

      Given that these so-called rumors "pop up
      again and again" as Mr. McDavid states,
      perhaps they have some basis in fact. It is a
      well-established truth that "buzz" about a
      company will often circulate before an event.

      For example, rumors about derivative problems
      in Long Term Capital Management circulated
      well before that company`s collapse. More
      recently, word of potential problems in Enron
      circulated freely, much of which was reported
      in the media. The protracted drop in Enron`s
      share price for several months before the
      resignation of its CEO, which itself occurred
      three months before that company`s
      bankruptcy, was an indication that the market
      believed (as evidenced by that company`s
      declining share price) the rumors about
      Enron`s problems had some basis in fact.

      In both of these instances, company
      management denied that there was any
      substance to the so-called "rumors" that were
      circulating, as JPM management has now also
      similarly done. I also bring to your
      attention the decline in JPM`s share price
      that occurred last year while these rumors
      about its gold exposure circulated.

      Thus, your investigation into the rumors
      about JPM`s activity in the gold market is
      timely, but the focus of your investigation
      should not be, as JPM management implies, how
      these so-called "rumors" started. Rather,
      your investigation should determine whether
      these rumors have any basis in fact. If they
      do, then this is to also ask for your
      determination whether the statements above by
      Messrs. Harrison and McDavid are false or
      misleading.

      To assist you, I would like to bring the
      following matters to your attention:

      1) The Wall Street Journal published an
      insightful article about JPM and Enron on
      January 25, 2002 ("Insurers Balk at Paying
      Bank Up to $1 Billion in Claims On Complex
      Transactions"). That article provides an
      overview about the financing provided by JPM
      to Enron, through Mahonia Ltd., a company
      Chase Manhattan (one of JPM`s predecessor
      companies) established in the Channel
      Islands.

      The article states:

      "Prepaying for future delivery of a commodity
      is known as a `gold trade,` because it is the
      way gold bullion has been trading for
      centuries. In recent years, trading
      companies, whether from Houston or Wall
      Street, have been making more use of this
      structure to buy and sell oil, natural gas
      and other commodities. Some commercial banks,
      including Chase Manhattan had to set up part
      of these trades overseas because their
      banking charters wouldn`t allow them to take
      delivery of commodities."

      The article describes what is generally known
      as a commodity swap, and gold is frequently
      used in one side of the transaction. As an
      ex-banker (1969 to 1980), I have some
      knowledge about how these transactions work,
      as banks are a facilitator for them.

      When gold is used to finance a commodity
      swap, bullion is borrowed from a central
      bank, and sold to raise dollars, which are
      then used to purchase the commodity on the
      other side of the transaction (oil and gas in
      the case of Enron). It is noteworthy that the
      WSJ article specifically mentions a "gold
      trade"; given this remark, anyone
      knowledgeable about commodity swaps might
      naturally assume that JPM/Mahonia was
      arranging gold-for-energy swaps for Enron.

      Thus, this WSJ article may be the original
      source of the so-called "rumors" referred to
      by JPM management. But importantly, this WSJ
      article also suggests that these rumors may
      have some basis in fact.

      The article did not specifically state from
      where Mahonia was obtaining the funding
      needed to purchase the commodity contracts it
      acquired from Enron (the so-called "disguised
      loans" the insurance companies contended were
      shams). Nor did a WSJ article published
      August 13, 2002, ("Enron Probe Shines Harsh
      Light on Financiers") disclose the nature or
      the original source of the funding needed to
      complete these commodity swaps, but this
      later article does provide more information
      about potential gold activities by JPM in its
      dealings with Enron:

      "In the world of commodities, particularly
      gold trading, the 50-year-old Mr. Mehta
      [Chase`s and then JPM`s head gold trader] was
      well known. His successful marketing of
      derivatives, and his enthusiasm for the use
      of these instruments, helped the gold-hedging
      business take off in the 1990s. Mr. Mehta and
      his team executed [deals which] allowed Enron
      to use an offshore vehicle known as Mahonia
      to raise hundreds of millions of dollars from
      J.P. Morgan."

      Taken together, there are enough facts
      disclosed in these two WSJ articles to
      suggest that gold loans could be one possible
      source of funding for Mahonia`s commodity
      swaps with Enron, and if so, these gold loans
      could lead to the "gold exposure" denied by
      JPM management.

      2) An article about Enron in The New York
      Times published on February 17, 2002, was
      important for the following statement (note
      the emphasis added by me):

      "Partly because of the way the loans [by
      JPM/Mahonia to Enron] were accounted for, the
      company [i.e., Enron] reported A SURGE IN ITS
      HEDGING ACTIVITY, ACCOMPLISHED USING
      FINANCIAL CONTRACTS CALLED DERIVATIVES,
      DURING ITS LAST FEW YEARS. When pressed about
      the increase by skeptical analysts, Enron
      officials said the numbers reflected hedges
      for commodity trades, not new financing, the
      analysts said."

      The key point here is the "surge" in
      derivative contracts entered into by Enron
      "during its last few years." Each derivative
      has two parties to the contract. To my
      knowledge it has not been disclosed who took
      the other side of the Enron contracts, but
      the following information from the U.S.
      Office of the Comptroller of the Currency
      offers one possible answer.

      According to its website, the OCC "charters,
      regulates, and supervises national banks to
      ensure a safe, sound, and competitive banking
      system that supports the citizens,
      communities, and economy of the United
      States." As part of this responsibility it
      collects information about the derivative
      exposure of the nation`s banks.

      The disclosure by Chase Manhattan Bank
      (before its merger with Morgan Bank) is
      telling. In three years from December 31,
      1997, to December 31, 2000, there was a surge
      in Chase`s gold derivative contracts from
      $11.8 billion to $29.8 billion. Because of
      the merger, it is not possible to determine
      from the OCC reports Chase`s derivative
      activity for 2001. But looking at the
      derivative exposure of JPM on a combined
      basis subsequent to its merger, it is
      noteworthy that after the Enron bankruptcy at
      the end of 2001, the gold derivative activity
      of JPM was unchanged -- at $41.0 billion
      reported at December 31, 2001, and $41.0
      billion as of September 30, 2002, the latest
      reporting period available. Thus, Chase`s
      derivative contracts in gold surged while
      Enron`s derivative contracts surged, and then
      remained unchanged after Enron collapsed.

      This pattern suggests that it is possible
      Chase (and JPM as its successor) was the
      counterparty to Enron`s derivative contracts.
      Further, this growth in gold derivative
      contracts provides further evidence to the
      possibility I note above that gold was used
      by Mahonia to fund the commodity swaps (the
      so-called "disguised loans") that it entered
      into with Enron.

      The August 13, 2002, Wall Street Journal
      article states:

      "Mr. Mehta has had other high-profile scrapes
      with controversy while at the bank. For
      instance, Mr. Mehta came under fire for the
      bank`s earlier arrangements with Sumitomo
      Corp., the Japanese trading company and the
      employer of a copper rogue trader named Yasuo
      Hamanaka who lost $2.6 billion in copper
      trades. Mr. Mehta`s team structured a number
      of derivatives transactions that allowed Mr.
      Hamanaka to raise money that didn`t appear to
      senior Sumitomo executives as debt, said
      people familiar with the deals."

      Thus, perhaps the rumors circulating about
      JPM`s gold exposure have some basis in fact.
      In any case, the above material does
      highlight the importance of your
      investigation.

      I note again Mr. Harrison`s statement: "We
      don`t have any real exposure to gold."
      Perhaps in your investigation you can ask him
      to define the term "real." That JPM has
      exposure to gold is undeniable from the OCC
      reports. And there are different kinds of
      exposure from derivatives -- price risk and
      counter-arty risk.

      It may be that through its derivative
      contracts, JPM believes it does not have any
      price exposure to gold. However, while the
      gold market has been generally quiescent and
      its price relatively stable the past few
      years, gold in recent weeks has become very
      active.

      As we have learned from the collapse of Long
      Term Capital Management, volatility
      undermines what otherwise may appear to be a
      safe derivatives position. So we will see in
      the weeks and months ahead whether JPM`s
      derivative exposure to the gold price is
      indeed under control.

      Given the size of its position, it may be
      difficult for JPM to keep its price risk
      controlled. JPM`s gold derivative exposure of
      $41 billion of notional value represents 117
      million ounces of gold -- a number that is
      nearly 50 percent greater than all the gold
      produced worldwide in a year. Thus it seems
      likely that the gold market may not be able
      to provide the liquidity JPM will need to
      keep its gold derivative position in balance
      in a period of increased gold price
      volatility, which is a result that would
      clearly negate Mr. Harrison`s contention that
      JPM does not have "any real exposure to
      gold."

      Then there is counterparty risk, which is
      always present because the financial position
      of companies changes. Counterparties deemed
      creditworthy when JPM entered into derivative
      contracts may no longer be financially as
      strong as before. Further, if in fact the
      simultaneous surge in Enron`s and JPM`s
      derivative contracts was not just
      coincidental and they were counterparties to
      each other, one has to wonder whether JPM has
      any ongoing exposure to Enron in these
      derivative contracts.

      It is noteworthy that JPM`s most recent 10-Q
      shows that derivative receivables rose $16.4
      billion, or 23.0 percent, in the nine months
      from December 31, 2001, to $87.5 billion as
      of September 30. The net change is actually
      25 percent when adjusting derivative
      receivables as of December 31, 2001, to
      reclassify to Other Assets the Enron-related
      surety receivables from the insurance
      companies in the case now settled.

      Does this glaring (and potentially alarming)
      surge in derivative receivables reported by
      JPM reflect an inability of JPM`s
      counterparties to deliver under their
      derivative contract commitments?

      And perhaps more importantly, to help
      evaluate the accuracy and therefore
      reliability of Mr. Harrison`s statement, what
      portion of this derivative receivable relates
      to gold?

      The point is that certain aspects of JPM`s
      derivative disclosure appear to be
      inadequate. Thus, this is to ask that you
      make a determination in your investigation
      whether JPM`s disclosure about its gold
      derivatives has been sufficient, and indeed
      whether the statements by its management
      about JPM`s gold exposure are not false or
      misleading.

      Lastly, your Internet site states: "The laws
      and rules that govern the securities industry
      in the United States derive from a simple and
      straightforward concept: All investors,
      whether large institutions or private
      individuals, should have access to certain
      basic facts about an investment prior to
      buying it. To achieve this, the SEC requires
      public companies to disclose meaningful
      financial and other information to the
      public, which provides a common pool of
      knowledge for all investors to use to judge
      for themselves if a company`s securities are
      a good investment."

      To achieve this objective, the SEC must
      investigate JPM in order to determine whether
      it is providing the investing public with
      sufficient disclosure on its gold exposure,
      which from the OCC reports is undeniable.

      Further, the SEC must determine whether the
      statements above by JPM management are false
      or misleading.

      I look forward to reading and learning the
      results of your investigation.

      For the sake of disclosure, I do not have any
      position in the stock of JPM.

      Yours truly,

      James Turk

      ----------------------------------------------------

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      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.03.03 16:49:41
      Beitrag Nr. 49 ()
      Weiß jemand etwas näheres warum die Aktie heute um über 20% in den Keller geht??
      Das kann doch nicht wahr sein!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.03.03 16:58:35
      Beitrag Nr. 50 ()
      die wurden abgestuft, mit kursziel 9 $.

      in 2 tagen wohl ein klarer kauf! :)
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.03.03 17:08:08
      Beitrag Nr. 51 ()
      Hmmmm. shit...

      Könntest du bitte den Link reinstellen?
      wäre nett, danke!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.03.03 17:09:27
      Beitrag Nr. 52 ()
      @Thinky

      Ergänzend zu @optim3

      dieser Kommentar, ist ca. 40 Minuten alt.
      Aber "danach" gibt es immer Kommentare!

      AKTUELLER KURS 14.57$

      Grüße

      Clochardanalyst

      "Before the bell Monday, we alerted investors to the downside pressure on shares of Royal Gold perhaps as a result of a negative Barrons article. RGLD opened lower at $15.00 and had been trading in a range for the better part of the session. However, in the past few minutes the stock has picked up momentum and is moving lower."
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.03.03 18:44:13
      Beitrag Nr. 53 ()
      06:41 ET RGLD Royal Gold shares appear "wildly overvalued" -- Barron`s (19.45)
      Barron`s suggests that stock`s 600% run in price over the past two years has left valuation stretched. Article focuses on metrics such as Price/Sales (30x trailing), earnings (65x), Price/Book (5.6x) and EBITDA (50x). "Indeed, giving the company the benefit of almost every doubt and making quite generous assumptions, the intrinsic value of Royal Gold is perhaps less than a third its current market price." Based on cash flow assumptions, Barron`s arrives at a value for the stock of $9.


      At $350 / ounce, RGLD is worth $4.59 a share. At $400 an ounce, RGLD would be worth $5.14 a share, Barron`s reported, citing the source.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.03.03 20:03:24
      Beitrag Nr. 54 ()
      Ich glaube nichtm dass sich verkaufen jetzt noch lohnt oder? Bin bei 22 eingestiegen zwischenzeitlich 28 und jetzt 12,80! Was denkt ihr dazu?
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.03.03 20:31:30
      Beitrag Nr. 55 ()
      Wenn man kein stop loss einhält...

      Royal Gold ist in der tat teuer, genau wie Goldcorp, Meridian, Agnico-Eagle etc.

      Insbesondere kann man bei Royalgold den Wert sehr genau berechnen, da es eben ein Royalty Wert ist. Hebel auf den Goldpreis ist auch kaum vorhanden (derselbe Grund).

      Traurig, daß man erst einen Barron`s Artikel braucht,um aufzuwachen. Vielleicht sind ja jetzt die Zeiten vorbei in denen einige Werte (Royalg, Goldcorp, Meridian, Agnico) so taten, als hätten wir Goldpreise von USD 500, und andere Goldpreise von unter USD 300 einpreisen.

      In Südafrika übrigens auch sehr schwache Minen, da der starke Rand sein übriges tut (R8/USD!!). Harmony hat die höchsten Kosten und reagiert damit am stärksten auf den starken Rand. Gold Fields und Anglo gehören noch immer zu den billigeren Werten.

      Sinclair und Schultz, die "Profis", sind damit wohl auch ganz schön auf die Klappe gegangen.

      Dummerweise lautet die Frage jetzt: Was ist eigentlich nicht zu teuer?
      Barrick und Placer wohl nicht, sind dafür aber Hedger.
      Anglo, Gold Fields und Harmony sind nur bei schwächerem Rand zu empfehlen, den sehe ich aber nicht. Außerdem kommen noch die Südafrikanischen Royalties.
      Newmont und Kinross sind wohl derzeit von den großen Werten die besten: kaum gehegt, billig. Newmont hat z.B. ohne Yandal noch ca. 3.5 Mio Unzen gehegt.
      Freeport kann man auch kaufen, Lihir evtl. (Hedges).

      Bei den kleineren Werten müßte teilweise auch noch ausgefegt werden, da tummeln sich ebenfalls viele bubbles.

      Gruß
      S.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.03.03 20:36:09
      Beitrag Nr. 56 ()
      @Thinky-Winky

      Verkaufen lohnt sich IMMER.

      Die Frage ist nur, ob du den Wert haben willst oder nicht. Wenn du ihn nicht haben willst -> verkaufen. Verlust/Gewinn ist egal. Man sollte sich nie nach dem Einstandspreis richten.

      Andererseits sind Minen nach dem Gold/XAU Verhältnis jetzt fabelhaft billig.

      Wenn du eine bessere Mine entdeckt solltest du switchen. Den Sektor ganz verlassen würde ich derzeit nicht.

      Man muß sich eben nur darüber im klaren sein, daß Goldminen die Formel-1 Fahrzeuge unter den Aktien sind: Extrem schnell gegen die Wand gefahren.

      Gruß
      S.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.03.03 23:52:47
      Beitrag Nr. 57 ()
      RGLD (19.45): We`ll repeat Thursday`s comments for those of you who have been feeling Royal`s pain. To wit, a full, 0.618 correction of the bull cycle begun last July from around $9 would bring Royal down to 16.45. Corrections of that magnitude are considered both normal and healthy in powerful bull markets such as this one.
      Black Box Forecasts: "Six hours ahead of its time"
      Rick Ackerman
      Full Trading Notes
      for Mon Mar 3, 2003

      Vamping at CNBC

      http://www.321gold.com/editorials/ackerman/current.html
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 00:05:44
      Beitrag Nr. 58 ()
      Guest Commentary, by Hans F. Sennholz

      Deficits Do Matter
      March 3, 2003
      http://www.prudentbear.com/archive_comm_article.asp?category…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 01:19:03
      Beitrag Nr. 59 ()
      A Royal Pain [Royal Gold (RGLD)] + Gold & More Trading Notes

      By: Rick Ackerman, Market Wise Black Box
      http://news.goldseek.com/MarketWise/1046733846.php
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 08:21:25
      Beitrag Nr. 60 ()
      "US$ 1,066,000,000 divided by 18,550,614 would be equal to US$ 57.46 per share for Royal Gold on the Franco Nevada model using the writer`s times gross revenues but for one year and multiplied by the 82 times which was the Franco Nevada number on February 18th 2001. The writer by her method came up with a value under US $10."

      "Note:

      Because the difference is so large and in the interest of time there is no need to go back and rationalize the foreign exchange number. Note also that the price of gold is now $349 and we are using an example that was established when gold was $280.

      Now be careful because we are comparing a large company to a smaller but a growing concern. However, the value is so much different from the article in Barrons that I think we need not go any further. I believe that my point has been made. I can only conclude that the writer does not favor gold or gold shares. Royal Gold has been the leader of the gold shares now for a significant period of time. There is a strategy that says if you kill the leader then you win the war. The leads for this article came from the writer`s source that is admitted to be short the stock. Did he cover today?"

      BARRON`S VERSUS ROYAL GOLD
      Q&A
      March 03, 2003
      http://www.jsmineset.com/s/Home.asp
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 08:27:51
      Beitrag Nr. 61 ()
      www.financialsense.com/

      The financial media buries the story. Wall Street seldom talks about it. Fed officials and economists see it as a positive development. I’m talking about the trade deficit, which is spiraling out of control. The US is now borrowing close to $10 billion a week from overseas investors to pay for consumption. Our current trade deficit is now 5% of GDP. A good majority of this trade deficit is with China. China is now a major holder of US debt. The trade imbalances and investment balances with China are now running close to $150 billion per year.

      As a financial barometer of future storms, that barometer is now flashing a major warning sign, telling me a major storm is approaching. The combination of financial and corporate debt, consumer debt, and government debt is now running at rates over $2 trillion a year. It is now taking $4.8 dollars of debt to produce $1 in GDP. The government deficit is now running at an annual rate of $300 billion and will get larger in the months ahead because of war and another dip into recession. In fact, at the rate of which debt is being accumulated, it looks like we are surely headed for another depression.


      About the only sector that is kicking in is consumer spending, fed by mortgage debt and equity drawdowns of homeowner equity. Mortgage brokers around the country are experiencing a brisk business in equity refinancing and equity cash withdrawals. My friend the mortgage broker is now working seven days a week to keep up with a flood of new mortgages that keep coming in each day. Homeowners and in particular households are now on their last legs as household debt levels grow at an annual rate approaching 10 percent. Without new refi money consumer spending would come to a complete standstill. Without rising stock markets consumers have pulled back on spending and have recently increased savings.

      As shown in the next two charts, household net worth has plummeted leaving only the homeowner equity as the last prop to support consumption. Next to homeowner equity borrowings the only other sector holding up the US economy is government deficit spending. Governments at all levels from city, to state, to the federal government are spending more money than they are taking in. Tax revenues are shrinking as the economy shrinks and more workers lose their jobs, companies go bankrupt and the economy slows even further.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 08:49:06
      Beitrag Nr. 62 ()
      TO GOLD LONGS...LEWIS ON RGLD & gold
      Lance Lewis...his wrap up has a detailed piece on rgld
      "That gives us a second total of $112.15 mil. When we add in the company’s cash of $28 mil, we get the following calculation: $169.58 mil + $112.15 mil + $28 mil = $309.73 mil/ 19.06 mil shares = $16.25 a share"
      "And in my opinion, gold will once again move back to a one to one ratio with the Dow, just as it did during the last bear market. So that means if the Fed can manage to inflate and keep the Dow at 5000 or 4000 or wherever, then gold will be at the same price per ounce. Try calculating RGLD’s theoretical value by plugging in $2000 or $4000 gold above just for fun."
      http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=8…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 17:13:13
      Beitrag Nr. 63 ()
      @p.wedemeier
      Diese Rechnung ist totaler Schwachsinn.

      Der Autor bewertet folgende Assets:

      GSR1= 5% (the sliding scale NSR jumps to 5% over $470) of 6.36 mil proven and probable (P&P) reserves x $500 oz gold= $159 mil
      BEI USD 350 GOLDPREIS NUR 111 MIO
      = -48 MIO

      GSR3= .7125% x 6.36 mil P&P x $500 oz gold = $3.18 mil (*Note: in the Barron`s article, this GSR3 was even mislabeled as GSR2. GSR2 is in fact a HIGHLY leveraged royalty (9% above $470) based on any finds on the property outside of the current Pipeline mine)
      USD 350 POG: USD 2.2 MIO
      = -1 MIO

      NVR1= .37% x 4 mil P&P x $500 oz gold = $7.4 mil
      USD 350 POG: USD 5.25 MIO
      = -2.1 MIO

      High Desert Acquisition:

      SJ Claims (operated by ABX) = 1% x 16.43 mil P&P x $500 = $82.15 mil
      USD 350 POG: USD 57.5 MIO
      = -25 MIO

      Leeville (operated by NEM) = 2% x 3 mil P&P x $500 = $30 mil
      BEI USD 350 POG: 21 MIO
      = -9 MIO

      Insgesamt ca. 85 MIO weniger bei derzeitigem Goldpreis. Dazu muß man noch sagen, daß die Royalty Raten derzeit niedriger liegen (hier werden ja immer die höchsten Raten angesetzt).

      Macht also selbst nach dieser optimistischen Rechnung
      $169.58 mil + $112.15 mil + $28 mil -85 mil = 225 mil
      225 Mio / 19 Mio Aktien = USD 11.84

      Derzeitiger Wert also vermutlich so USD 10.

      Interessant wird es erst bei höheren Goldpreisen, z.B. USD 3000
      Dann nämlich hätte man als Wert
      (170 mil + 112 mil)/500 * 3000 + 28 mil = USD 1720 MIO
      USD 1720 MIO / 19 MIO Aktien = USD 90 /Aktie

      D.h. bei +750% beim Goldpreis gewinnt Royalgold nur 590%. Da investiere ich lieber in phys. Gold...

      Gruß
      S.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 17:36:09
      Beitrag Nr. 64 ()
      @Saccard

      "proven and probable (P&P) reserves"

      Was ist mit den Ressourcen "measured, indicated, inferred"...vergißt Du die bei Deiner Rechnung nicht? Würde ich zumindest mit einem 40 %-Riskoabschlag mit aufnehmen.

      Gruß

      Sovereign, der RGLD nicht hält und momentan auch nicht ans kaufen denkt.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 17:52:31
      Beitrag Nr. 65 ()
      @Sovereign

      Genau, bei höheren Goldpreisen wachsen natürlich die Reserven. Allerdings steigen auch die Kosten und man müßte genau wissen, wie hoch die Kosten dann sind.

      Inferred ist übrigend ohnehin egal, einige Firmen führen solche Zahlen gar nicht erst auf.

      Trotzdem bleibt als Fakt, daß RGLD nicht mehr als USD 10 wert ist. Man könnte sonst ja auch bei Gold Fields 78 Mio Unzen * USD 300 = 23400 MIO
      23400 MIO / 470 MIO = USD 49
      rechnen. Wohlgemerkt, als jetziger Wert!

      Gruß
      S.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 17:58:24
      Beitrag Nr. 66 ()
      Top 20 Largest Consolidated Short Position Report
      Please find below the Top 20 Largest Consolidated Short Position Report Highlights. The report
      is produced twice monthly, effective the 15th and the end of each month. The report below covers
      the 2-week period ending February 15th, 2003.
      Issue Name Symbol As of Feb. 15 As of Jan. 31 Net Change
      NORTEL NETWORKS
      CORPORATION NT 65,226,351 61,916,607 3,309,744
      BOMBARDIER INC. CL `B` SV BBD.B 30,645,681 30,536,804 108,877
      DOMTAR INC. DTC 14,667,877 14,378,877 289,000
      ATI TECHNOLOGIES
      INCORPORATED ATY 13,937,172 13,034,281 902,891
      QUEBECOR WORLD INC. SV IQW 12,087,856 12,266,438 -178,582
      BEMA GOLD CORPORATION J BGO 11,751,697 10,957,998 793,699
      INCO LIMITED N 11,722,378 12,224,949 -502,571
      KINROSS GOLD CORPORATION K 10,870,948 21,862,599 -10,991,651
      BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION ABX 10,861,384 10,489,533 371,851
      STELCO INC. SERIES `A` STE.A 10,432,480 10,634,109 -201,629
      SHERRITT INTERNATIONAL
      CORPORATION RV S 9,584,402 9,585,283 -881
      SHAW COMMUNICATIONS INC. CL
      `B` NV SJR.B 9,440,547 11,735,846 -2,295,299
      ROYAL GROUP TECHNOLOGIES
      LIMITED SV RYG 9,122,909 8,489,037 633,872
      CELESTICA INC. SV CLS 8,725,160 8,362,031 363,129
      TECK COMINCO LIMITED CL `B` SV TEK.B 8,587,119 8,650,462 -63,343
      ZARLINK SEMICONDUCTOR INC. ZL 7,412,406 7,997,613 -585,207
      GOLDCORP INC. G 6,339,457 6,690,730 -351,273
      BCE INC. BCE 6,328,797 6,036,327 292,470
      AIR CANADA AC 6,119,807 5,432,665 687,142
      CAMBIOR INC. CBJ 5,606,519 5,114,411 492,108

      Unter den 20 meistgeshorteten can. Aktien 5 reine Goldwerte + weitere Rohstoffwerte.

      Das wird ja langsam pervers.

      Gruß
      S.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 19:17:12
      Beitrag Nr. 67 ()
      @Saccard

      Man sollte auch nicht vergessen, daß das royalty-business weniger mit Risiken verbunden ist, als die reine Goldförderung.
      Außerdem dürfte Royal Gold einen "Seltenheitsaufschlag" haben, andere reine royalty-Unternehmen sind mir momentan nicht bekannt nachdem Franco Nevada mit Newmont und Repadre mit Iamgold fusionierte.

      Gruß

      Sovereign
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 19:52:10
      Beitrag Nr. 68 ()
      @Saccard
      Ich glaube deine Antwort #63 ist absoluter Schwachsinn!
      RGLD momentan > $14! nicht mit $10! :laugh:
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 22:19:29
      Beitrag Nr. 69 ()
      A short seller of Royal Gold feeds story to Barrons

      BARRON`S VERSUS ROYAL GOLD
      Author: Jim Sinclair

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Q: Jim, An article in Barrons hammered Royal Gold. What do you think?

      A: I read that article and was quite surprised by it. Let me explain to you why before I look at valuation models. I do not comment on shares but we can do some simple mathematics together.

      Regarding the article:

      a. It said its lead came from a short seller of Royal Gold.

      b. It never made a comparison to the last royalty company that was popular, Franco Nevada.

      c. By the method of valuation given, it seemed to me that no gold company in this writer`s opinion had much market value.

      d. The writer values the company by taking 10 years revenues times one.

      e. The writer fails to admit that in the market today there is nothing comparable to Royal Gold.

      f. The writer gives Royal Gold no upside growth in this 10-year period used for evaluation.

      g. The writer gives no credit for the freedom from financing and no derivative involvement that Royal Gold enjoys.

      Therefore let`s do some simple mathematics concerning Franco Nevada`s valuation on the last day of its trading before it went into Newmont Mining.

      Using the writers times Total Revenues Approach:

      Franco Nevada:

      1/ Last trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange was $21.93 on February 18th 2002.

      2/ Number of shares outstanding 158,661,470.

      3/ Revenue last reported Dec. 2001 $40,200,000.

      4/ Value at takeover:
      158,661,470 shares X C$21.93 closing price equals $3,479,446,037.

      5/ Therefore the dollar value of the take over of Franco Nevada when gold was $280 was C$3,479,446,037.00.

      6/ Therefore, we take the revenue reported for fiscal year 2001 of $40,200,000 and divide it into the value of the Franco Nevada at the last trade of C$21.93.

      7/ Therefore, C$3,479,446,037 divided by $40,200,000 equals 86 times 2001 revenues. The figure times cash flow was 72 times.

      Now lets us compare this to what would be a similar valuation of Royal Gold:

      1.Total Revenues are estimate to be approximately $13,000,000 for 2003.

      2. According to the Denver gold Group there are 18,550,614 shares outstanding.

      3. Therefore US $13,000,000 times 82 divided by 18,550,614 will give us a statistical calculation of a statistical value of Royal Gold versus Franco Nevada at the time of the last sale of the only same similar for comparison`s sake.

      4. US$13,000,000 annual revenues times 82 is US$1,066,000,000 total value on the Franco Nevada model.

      5. US$ 1,066,000,000 divided by 18,550,614 would be equal to US$ 57.46 per share for Royal Gold on the Franco Nevada model using the writer`s times gross revenues but for one year and multiplied by the 82 times which was the Franco Nevada number on February 18th 2001. The writer by her method came up with a value under US $10.

      Note:

      Because the difference is so large and in the interest of time there is no need to go back and rationalize the foreign exchange number. Note also that the price of gold is now $349 and we are using an example that was established when gold was $280.

      Now be careful because we are comparing a large company to a smaller but a growing concern. However, the value is so much different from the article in Barrons that I think we need not go any further. I believe that my point has been made. I can only conclude that the writer does not favor gold or gold shares. Royal Gold has been the leader of the gold shares now for a significant period of time. There is a strategy that says if you kill the leader then you win the war. The leads for this article came from the writer`s source that is admitted to be short the stock. Did he cover today?
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 22:22:11
      Beitrag Nr. 70 ()
      From todays Financial Sense wrap up article...

      J.P. Morgan ordered by Japanese government to suspend stock trading for ten days due to the firm’s manipulation of the bond market. Government bars J.P. Morgan from participating in government bond auctions from March 3-14.

      So on a day like today we had executives pleading guilty, being investigated and Wall Street firms such as Morgan being temporarily suspended from trading due to manipulative stock and bond practices. We had more evidence that sales and profits at companies continue to decline while the economy, at least the manufacturing sector, looks like it is heading back into recession. As an investor if you need a reality check all that is necessary is to look at the daily hemlines and contrast them to the spin coming out of Wall Street and the financial media. Following their advice could be hazardous to your financial health. We believe that any recommendations coming out of Wall Street should be accompanied by the following warning.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 22:26:11
      Beitrag Nr. 71 ()
      RGLD $57 ODER MEHR WERT! (Jim Sinclair)
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 22:29:01
      Beitrag Nr. 72 ()
      THOM CALANDRA`S STOCKWATCH

      Gold stocks valued below spot price
      Some producers trading as if metal is 10 percent lower

      By Thom Calandra, CBS.MarketWatch.com
      Last Update: 12:12 PM ET March 3, 2003







      SAN FRANCISCO (CBS.MW) -- Not six months ago, gold miners were the stock market`s biggest money-maker. Now they`re the new whipping boys.


      http://www.marketwatch.com/news/yhoo/story.asp?source=blq/yh…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 22:37:18
      Beitrag Nr. 73 ()
      @peter
      Wir sprechen hier über WERT nicht Preis.

      Die Leute machen sich einfach etwas vor, wenn sie glauben der Wert wäre so hoch.

      Der Trick, der gravierende Faktor, bei der Bewertung von Royalty-Aktien ist die Fähigkeit des Managements. Lassonde ist nun wirklich genial, über Royalgolds Management weiß ich nichts, viele Deals scheinen die nicht gemacht zu haben.

      Der Vergleich mit Franco läßt Jim Sinclair langsam peinlich aussehen. Kein Wort davon, daß Franco 600 Mio USD cash hatte. Kein Wort davon, daß man 20% Anteil (USD 400 Mio) an Normandy hatte. Unter rausrechnen der assets, die nicht zum Umsatz beigetragen haben und über die Royalgold nicht verfügt (Normandy, 600 Mio cash, Aber, Öl) kommt man nach dem Franco-Nevada Modell auf ca. USD 25, nicht 57. Und da Franco damals gerade übernommen wurde und daher nochmal etwas Premium drin hatte, wohl so ca. USD 20 bis 25.

      Also: Royalty Werte gab es nie und wird es nie unter NAV geben. USD 14 Preis zu USD 10 "ermitteltem" Wert ist jedenfalls schon ein ganz gutes Verhältnis. Was zählt ist Management und nochmals Management. Als Beispiel nur der Franco Deal mit Echo Bay und TVX: die Anleihen billigst aufgekauft, in Aktien gewandelt und dann zur Gründung der neuen Kinross beigetragen. Gewinn: mehrere 100% (ich glaube es ist nah an einem 10-bagger).

      Gruß
      S.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 22:40:09
      Beitrag Nr. 74 ()
      WHAT WORRIES WARREN
      Avoiding a `Mega-Catastrophe`
      Derivatives are financial weapons of mass destruction. The dangers are now latent--but they could be lethal.
      FORTUNE
      Monday, March 3, 2003
      By Warren Buffett
      http://www.fortune.com/fortune/investing/articles/0,15114,42…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 22:51:14
      Beitrag Nr. 75 ()
      Q & A with Jim Sinclair

      Mon Mar 3, 2003
      BARRON`S VERSUS ROYAL GOLD
      Author: Jim Sinclair

      http://www.jsmineset.com/s/QAndA.asp?ReportID=54470&_Title=B…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 22:57:23
      Beitrag Nr. 76 ()
      Royal Gold Reports Reserve Additions at Royalty Properties
      Tuesday March 4, 1:38 pm ET
      * New Reserves Replace 83% of Pipeline Mining Complex 2002 Production; Mineralized Material up 52%
      * Bald Mountain Reserves Increase 56%
      * Martha Mine Boosted by 96% Reserve Increase
      * Reserves for the SJ Claims and Leeville Project Added to Royalty Portfolio


      DENVER, March 4 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- ROYAL GOLD, INC. (Nasdaq: RGLD - News; Toronto: RGL - News) in its annual ore reserve statement today announced updated reserve estimates for its royalty properties. Results at all royalty properties were positive. Reserves at the Pipeline Mining Complex were replaced to the extent of 83% of the ounces produced during calendar 2002, and additional mineralized material grew approximately 52 percent.
      Reserves, at the end of calendar 2002, at the Pipeline Mining Complex are approximately 6.6 million ounces, compared to approximately 6.8 million ounces at the end of calendar 2001. Approximately 1.1 million ounces of gold were produced in calendar 2002 at the Pipeline Mining Complex, which is the fifth consecutive year of over one million ounces of production.

      At Crossroads, mineralized material increased about 90 percent.

      Reserves at Bald Mountain increased by 56%, net of production of 170,400 ounces during calendar 2002. At the Martha mine, silver equivalent reserves increased 96% from 2.7 million ounces to 5.3 million ounces. Reserves for the SJ Claims and the Leeville project were also added to Royal Gold`s royalty portfolio, as a result of the acquisition of High Desert Mineral Resources in December 2002.

      Stanley Dempsey, Chairman, President & CEO of Royal Gold, Inc said, "We are very pleased with reserve replacement, and the addition of more reserves and mineralized material at properties where we hold royalties. Discovery of mineralized material and conversion of that material to ore reserves is a key driver of value for a gold royalty company. We are happy to be associated with high quality mine operators who have the technical and financial capability to keep adding reserves to the mines that are subject to our royalties."

      Pipeline Mining Complex, Lander County, Nevada

      The Company holds two sliding scale gross smelter return royalties ("GSR1" and "GSR2"), a fixed gross royalty ("GSR3"), and a net value royalty ("NVR1") on the Pipeline Mining Complex, in Lander County, Nevada. The GSR1 royalty covers the current mine footprint, and the GSR2 ("Super") royalty covers any reserves that are developed on the claim block lying outside the current mine footprint. The GSR2 royalty pays out at a rate that is 80% higher than that of GSR1, at all gold prices. The GSR3 royalty is a 0.71% fixed rate for the life of the mine. The 0.37% NVR1 covers production from the GAS Claims, an area of interest of approximately 4,000 acres including the South Pipeline deposit and Crossroads area, but not including the Pipeline pit. The NVR1 is calculated by deducting processing-related costs, but this royalty is not burdened by mining costs. Current production from the Pipeline Mining Complex is subject to GSR1, GSR3, and NVR1.

      The Pipeline Mining Complex is owned by the Cortez Joint Venture ("Cortez"), a joint venture between Placer Cortez Inc. (60%), a subsidiary of Placer Dome Inc. and Kennecott Explorations (Australia) Ltd. (40%), a subsidiary of Rio Tinto, and is one of the largest gold producers in North America.

      Placer Dome informed the Company that it has updated its ore reserve estimates for the Pipeline Mining Complex, as of December 31, 2002, based on a gold price projection of $300 per ounce. The royalty positions held by Royal Gold at the Pipeline Mining Complex relate to the following reserves as of December 31, 2002:
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 23:07:32
      Beitrag Nr. 77 ()
      Attention Business Editor:

      Royal Gold Reports Reserve Additions at Royalty Properties

      * New Reserves Replace 83% of Pipeline Mining Complex 2002 Production;
      Mineralized Material up 52%

      * Bald Mountain Reserves Increase 56%

      * Martha Mine Boosted by 96% Reserve Increase

      * Reserves for the SJ Claims and Leeville Project Added to Royalty
      Portfolio

      DENVER, March 4 /CNW/ --
      ROYAL GOLD, INC. (Nasdaq: RGLD; Toronto: RGL)
      http://www.newswire.ca/releases/March2003/04/c6852.html
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 23:08:26
      Beitrag Nr. 78 ()
      "NOTE: Management will hold a conference call on Friday, March 7, 2003, at
      12:00 noon Eastern (10:00 a.m. Mountain; 9:00 a.m. Pacific) time. The call
      will be simultaneously carried on the Company`s web site at www.royalgold.com
      under the "Presentations" section. A replay on the web site will be available
      approximately two hours after the call ends. The conference call will also
      available by calling 800-603-2779 or 706-634-7230."
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 23:17:45
      Beitrag Nr. 79 ()
      www.jsmineset.com/s/Home.asp

      General Editorial

      A MESSAGE TO THE GOLD COMMUNITY

      If you agree with the contents of this Letter to the Editor at Barron`s Financial Weekly then I suggest you send, in your own words, an email to Barron`s requesting a review of the article that was written concerning Royal Gold.

      Barron`s email address is: online.editors@barrons.com
      Barron`s fax NUMBER IS: 1-800-975-8618

      Letter to the Editor:

      Dear Sir or Madam:

      I am royally disappointed by Ms. Brammer`s article, "Royal Disappointment" for several reasons: Ms. Brammer`s source of information is an admitted short seller of Royal Gold; she makes no attempt to compare Royal Gold to the obvious comparable example, the royalty company, Franco Nevada; by the end of her method of valuation computation, no gold company has much market value; she values the company by taking 10 years revenues multiplied by one; she gives no upside growth in the 10-year period used for evaluation; and she gives no credit for the freedom from financing needs and lack of derivatives that Royal Gold enjoys. Royal Gold has a radically different business model than other gold companies and a comparison with the similar Franco Nevada (bought out by Newmont last year) casts Royal Gold`s valuation in a radically different light. Let`s do the math.

      Franco Nevada`s:

      1) Last trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange was C$21.93 on February 18th 2002.
      2) Number of shares outstanding was 158,661,470
      3) Revenue last reported on Dec. 2001 was $40,200,000. Using the author`s valuation multiplied by the "Total Revenues Approach," Franco Nevada`s
      4) value at takeover C$3,479,446,037.
      5) This valuation was achieved with a gold price of $280.
      6) Therefore, if we divide the revenue reported for FY 2001 of C$40,200,000 by the value of the Franco Nevada at the last trade of C$21.93.
      7) Therefore, C$3,479,446,037 divided by $40,200,000 equals 86 times 2001 revenues. The figure multiplied by cash flow was 73 times.

      Now let us compare this to what would be a similar valuation of Royal Gold
      (It is important to note that the price of gold is now $349):

      1) Total revenues are estimate to be approximately $13,000,000 for 2003.
      2) According to the Denver gold Group there are 18,550,614 shares outstanding.
      3) Therefore, US $13,000,000 multiplied by 86 divided by 18,550,614 will give us a calculation of Royal Gold`s value versus Franco Nevada at the time of the last sale of the only same similar for comparison`s sake.
      4) US$13,000,000 annual revenues multiplied by 86 is US$1,066,000,000 total value on the Franco Nevada valuation.
      5) US$ 1,066,000,000 divided by 18,550,614 would be equal to US$ 57.46 per share for Royal Gold on the Franco Nevada model using the Ms. Brammer`s gross revenues but for one year and multiplied by the 86 times which was the Franco Nevada number on February 18th 2001.

      With her method, Ms. Brammer came up with a value under US $10. Evaluating a radical business model can be hard. I suggest history-in the form of an actual buyout valuation for a similar company is the best guide.

      Obviously, Ms. Brammer does not favor gold or gold shares. Royal Gold has been the leader of the gold shares for a significant period of time. There is a strategy that says if you kill the leader then you win the war. Since the main source for this article is an admitted short seller, did he cover yesterday?

      Sincerely,

      James E. Sinclair
      CEO & Chairman, Tan Range Exploration (TNX on the TSE)
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.03.03 23:20:10
      Beitrag Nr. 80 ()
      ROYAL GOLD INC Annual Ore Reserve Update Conference Call
      Scheduled to start Fri, Mar 7, 2003, 12:00 pm Eastern
      Avatar
      schrieb am 05.03.03 08:28:18
      Beitrag Nr. 81 ()
      THOM CALANDRA`S STOCKWATCH

      Buffett intrigue: Is he buying gold?
      Commentary: Bullion bugs seize on his stock-trash talk

      By Thom Calandra, CBS.MarketWatch.com
      Last Update: 1:11 PM ET March 4, 2003


      SAN FRANCISCO (CBS.MW) -- Just hours after Warren Buffett took his annual bash at stocks and derivatives, bullion investors Tuesday speculated the famed financier was buying gold.


      http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/print_story.asp?print=1&guid…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 05.03.03 08:35:22
      Beitrag Nr. 82 ()
      Defending Royal Gold + Gold & More Trading Notes

      By: Rick Ackerman, Market Wise Black Box
      http://news.goldseek.com/MarketWise/1046821543.php
      Avatar
      schrieb am 05.03.03 08:38:26
      Beitrag Nr. 83 ()
      "Write to Barrons editor about article
      online.editors@barrons.com

      ========================================
      Here`s my letter to barrons:
      Hello,

      I read the recent article about Royal Gold in your publication.

      Unfortunately, the article and especially the analysis is GARBAGE.

      # Just because a stock rises, doesn`t make it over valued.

      # the author excluded any analysis of similar companies...one that comes to mind is Franco-Nevada...just before Newmont merged with them. Royalty companies work differently compared to explorers/producers. Whty doesn`t the author try to compare apples and apples. Instead it is apples and rocks.

      # the analysis used on RGLD is garbage. Companies get premiums for rapidly increasing profit potential. Evidently the author only believes internet stocks or tech stocks should get premiums for good profit results and high potential. Evidently Internet companies that have more debt than customers are more important than GOLD related companies that are DEBT free. According to the authors analysis if gold was to skyrocket to $1000 an ounce, RGLD would probably still be less than $7 bucks. That is utter nonsense...I am ashamed for yoru publication that you printed such foolishness.

      The author is a MORON...the article was stupid.

      Clearly it is the work of an idiot who knows nothing about valuation of any stock in any sector of any country."

      http://messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7079307&…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 05.03.03 08:40:56
      Beitrag Nr. 84 ()
      Sinclair`s LETTER to BARRONS
      VERBATIM from SINCLAIRS EMAIL


      If you agree with the contents of this Letter to the Editor at Barron`s
      Financial Weekly, then I suggest you send, in your own words, an email to
      Barron`s requesting a review of the article that was written concerning
      Royal Gold.

      Barron`s email address is: online.editors@barrons.com
      Barron`s fax NUMBER IS: 1-800-975-8618

      Letter to the Editor:

      Dear Sir or Madam:

      I am royally disappointed by Ms. Brammer`s article, "Royal Disappointment"
      for several reasons: Ms. Brammer`s source of information is an admitted
      short seller of Royal Gold; she makes no attempt to compare Royal Gold to
      the obvious comparable example, the royalty company, Franco Nevada; by the
      end of her method of valuation computation, no gold company has much market
      value; she values the company by taking 10 years revenues multiplied by
      one; she gives no upside growth in the 10-year period used for evaluation;
      and she gives no credit for the freedom from financing needs and lack of
      derivatives that Royal Gold enjoys. Royal Gold has a radically different
      business model than other gold companies and a comparison with the similar
      Franco Nevada (bought out by Newmont last year) casts Royal Gold`s
      valuation in a radically different light.

      Let`s do the math.

      Franco Nevada`s:

      1) Last trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange was C$21.93 on February 18th
      2002.
      2) Number of shares outstanding was 158,661,470
      3) Revenue last reported on Dec. 2001 was $40,200,000. Using the author`s
      valuation multiplied by the "Total Revenues Approach," Franco Nevada`s
      4) value at takeover C$3,479,446,037.
      5) This valuation was achieved with a gold price of $280.
      6) Therefore, if we divide the revenue reported for FY 2001 of C$40,200,000
      by the value of the Franco Nevada at the last trade of C$21.93.
      7) Therefore, C$3,479,446,037 divided by $40,200,000 equals 86 times 2001
      revenues. The figure multiplied by cash flow was 73 times.

      Now let us compare this to what would be a similar valuation of Royal Gold
      (It is important to note that the price of gold is now $349):

      1) Total revenues are estimate to be approximately $13,000,000 for 2003.
      2) According to the Denver gold Group there are 18,550,614 shares
      outstanding.
      3) Therefore, US $13,000,000 multiplied by 86 divided by 18,550,614 will
      give us a calculation of Royal Gold`s value versus Franco Nevada at the
      time of the last sale of the only same similar for comparison`s sake.
      4) US$13,000,000 annual revenues multiplied by 86 is US$1,066,000,000 total
      value on the Franco Nevada valuation.
      5) US$ 1,066,000,000 divided by 18,550,614 would be equal to US$ 57.46 per
      share for Royal Gold on the Franco Nevada model using the Ms. Brammer`s
      gross revenues but for one year and multiplied by the 86 times which was
      the Franco Nevada number on February 18th 2001.

      With her method, Ms. Brammer came up with a value under US $10. Evaluating
      a radical business model can be hard. I suggest history-in the form of an
      actual buyout valuation for a similar company is the best guide.

      Obviously, Ms. Brammer does not favor gold or gold shares. Royal Gold has
      been the leader of the gold shares for a significant period of time. There
      is a strategy that says if you kill the leader then you win the war. Since
      the main source for this article is an admitted short seller, did he cover
      yesterday?

      Sincerely,

      James E. Sinclair
      CEO & Chairman, Tan Range Exploration (TNX on the TSE)

      ===========================================================================
      Copyright (c) 2002 JIM SINCLAIR`S MINESET () All rights reserved. For
      more information visit our website at http://www.jsmin
      Avatar
      schrieb am 05.03.03 08:55:04
      Beitrag Nr. 85 ()
      Q & A with Jim Sinclair

      Mon Mar 3, 2003
      BARRON`S VERSUS ROYAL GOLD
      Author: Jim Sinclair

      http://www.jsmineset.com/s/QAndA.asp?ReportID=54470&_Title=B…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 05.03.03 09:08:58
      Beitrag Nr. 86 ()
      SPECIAL EDITION
      Five Smooth Stones
      How to Fight the Gold Goliaths and Win
      http://www.financialsense.com/Market/wrapup.htm
      Avatar
      schrieb am 05.03.03 09:22:01
      Beitrag Nr. 87 ()
      "TECHNICAL REVIEW
      Against all odds
      Gold & Silver Break Up & Out of Power Down Trends



      Anyone who does not believe that there is already a war on isn`t trading in gold & silver. The Bush Administration is, IMO, being driven in the Iraq situation by the "Sum of All Fears" (read "One Point Safe, a True Story"). In the same sense, the very large gold and gold share short position holders are unleashing all their fire power to cover their short position or ratio hedges before the Iraq and North Korean situations become "hot."

      The attack by the media on Royal Gold, and the many articles about supposed over-valuation in the gold shares that have appeared in recent days, is not simply coincidence, IMO.

      The media reacts positively to establishment types who are on the short side of gold, gold shares, and silver. When the hot tech stocks were running in 1995 to 2000, how many concentrated negative multi media articles did you see? None is the answer! They even used the NY Post over the weekend just in case the regular guys and gals had any investment in gold

      Against this barrage of manufactured media negativity on individual issues and gold itself, gold has started its upward move. Silver, being less bothersome to the opposition, started up earlier. We are building for a move over $400 and even though that may sound a long way off, it is not.

      Gold:

      Having broken both the overhead Stop/Go Fibonacci Resistance Line and the Power Down Trend Line, it is the beginning of the next phase in gold and a challenge of the $400 level. Of course there will be a fight, but that fight will be won by gold because this is a long-term gold bull market. No manipulation in history has ever succeeded in breaking the intention of a fundamentally-based bull or bear trend once it has started. Delay a trend, yes, but stop it never.

      Gold has support now at $350.50 and $348.50. Overhead resistance, which should give gold temporary trouble, is at $359- $361

      US Dollar:

      Now this is the Mother of all Bear Markets. I do not believe, even with success on the ground in Iraq, that a significant rally is possible. This is a target of the al Queda guerilla war economic strategy. This fact was revealed by the convicted murderer of Daniel Pearl of the Wall Street Journal during his trial in Pakistan. As usual, it was not carried in the Western Media.

      Right now there are levels of support right under the market. They run from .95 to 98.60. All of them are going to be tested in the next few weeks. Expect short hot rally experiences thanks to the Exchange Stabilization Fund - but that is all.

      Silver:

      Silver is acting better than gold because it offends less and the short side is smaller and less powerful. Silver is getting ready to fight its way back to $4.98 - $5.12.

      Right now silver has support at $4.65 and resistance at $4.73 followed by $4.82

      On the Investors Business Daily "Price Momentum Line," you will see that the bull intention of gold and silver held intact and remains so."

      http://www.jsmineset.com/s/Home.asp
      Avatar
      schrieb am 09.03.03 10:52:06
      Beitrag Nr. 88 ()
      Royal Gold Reports Reserve Additions at Royalty Properties Tuesday, March 4, 2003 01:38 PM ET Printer-friendly version * New Reserves Replace 83% of Pipeline Mining Complex 2002 Production;

      Mineralized Material up 52%


      * Bald Mountain Reserves Increase 56%

      * Martha Mine Boosted by 96% Reserve Increase

      * Reserves for the SJ Claims and Leeville Project Added to Royalty
      Portfolio


      DENVER, March 4 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ --

      http://www.quicken.com/investments/news/story/?story=NewsSto…
      Avatar
      schrieb am 13.03.03 14:44:58
      Beitrag Nr. 89 ()
      "It would be a good idea for the gold community to bombard the SEC & NASD with emails and letters demanding that illegal short sellers are identified and charged as the criminals they are. It is not simply that they take advantage of a DTC electronic stock settlement system to sell short. The CRIME is they sell short without putting up any money and then violate the up-tick law to pummel the shares into the dust. In my opinion, that is exactly what happened to Royal Gold and Royal Gold does not have a clue it even happened."

      "Royal Gold was the clear cut leader of all the gold shares for good reasons. However, I do not believe Royal Gold`s management even knows what happened to them. There are only nine employees in Royal Gold so clearly the gene pool can`t be broad. I do not hold much hope for them demanding an investigation unless their shareholders demand it for them. It was the gold community that stopped the hedgers from hedging. If you are concerned that this gang of thugs might rip off your stock, then write the SEC firmly demanding an investigation of the Royal Gold trading on the two Fridays prior to the Barron`s Monday article. If it was my decision to make, I would personally hunt down the people who ripped off more than $200,000,000 of my stockholder capitalization by tracing each and every transaction that took place to its source. The paper trail always leads to the perpetrator. All you have to do is follow the money trail and Voila, the criminal appears. Then I would get it back for the stockholders. I once spent $5,000,000 on a proxy contest with a public company based simply on principle with no economic reward. Something like this would be a DIVINE MISSION. However, I doubt the management of RGLD will do anything unless their stockholders and the gold community starts jumping up and down."

      http://www.jsmineset.com/s/Home.asp
      Avatar
      schrieb am 17.03.03 19:50:59
      Beitrag Nr. 90 ()
      RGLD (+3.35% bei $14.52) hat soeben die Führung vor SSRI (+3.10% bei $4.32) und KRY (+ 2.80% bei $1.10) übernommen.

      Go Gold Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 17.03.03 22:41:20
      Beitrag Nr. 91 ()
      RGLD (+ 4.55% bei $14.69) hat heute am Schluß doch noch die Nase vorne gehabt, beim Schlußspurt. Nachdem RANGY (+ 3.93% bei $9.52) vorher noch geführt hatte. Dann folgt SSRI mit
      (+ 3.34% bei $4.33).
      Avatar
      schrieb am 10.04.03 16:05:11
      Beitrag Nr. 92 ()


      RGLD (+ 3.29% bei $15.80) führt zu Handelsbeginn heute im US-Handel vor RANGY (+ 2.27% bei $12.15) und SWC (+ 1.65% bei $2.47).

      Go Gold und Palladium/Platinum Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 10.04.03 17:33:24
      Beitrag Nr. 93 ()
      RGLD (+ 3.40% bei $15.82) hat soeben die Führung im US-Handel wieder übernommen. RGLD führt nun vor KRY (+ 3.33% bei $0.930) und VGZ (+ 2.37% bei $3.46).

      Go Gold Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 10.04.03 18:49:08
      Beitrag Nr. 94 ()
      RGLD (+ 3.01% bei $15.76) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von KRY (+ 2.22% bei $0.920) übernommen. Beide führen nun vor VGZ (+ 2.07% bei $3.45).

      Go Gold Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 10.04.03 20:48:54
      Beitrag Nr. 95 ()
      RGLD (+ 2.88% bei $15.74) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung wieder übernommen. RGLD führt nun vor VGZ (+ 2.66% bei $3.47) und BVN (+ 2.32% bei $26.06).

      Go Gold Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 10.04.03 22:18:24
      Beitrag Nr. 96 ()
      RGLD (+ 2.75% bei $15.72) hat soeben im US-Handel wieder die Führung übernommen und führt nun vor RIC (+ 2.14% bei $3.34) und BVN (+ 2.08% bei $26.00).

      Go Gold Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 15.04.03 16:34:21
      Beitrag Nr. 97 ()


      RGLD (+ 2.59% bei $15.79) hat soeben im US-handel die Führung von SWC (+ 2.56% bei $2.40) und PDG (+ 1.98% bei $9.79) übernommen.

      Go Gold, Palladium und Platin Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 15.04.03 17:03:14
      Beitrag Nr. 98 ()
      RGLD (+ 1.94% bei $15.69) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von VGZ (+ 1.79% bei $3.42) zurück erobert. Beide führen nun vor BGO (+ 1.79% bei $1.14).

      Go Gold Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 15.04.03 19:32:57
      Beitrag Nr. 99 ()
      RGLD (+ 2.59% bei $15.79) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von PDG (+ 2.19% bei $9.81) zurück erobert. Beide führen nun vor NEM (+ 1.89% bei $26.42).

      Go Gold Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 15.04.03 20:50:52
      Beitrag Nr. 100 ()
      RGLD (+ 3.63% bei $15.95) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von MDG (+ 3.13% bei $9.89) zurück erobert. Beide führen nun vor PDG (+ 2.81% bei $9.87).

      Go Gold Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.04.03 16:34:19
      Beitrag Nr. 101 ()


      RGLD (+ 2.41% bei $16.59) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von MDG übernommen. RGLD führt nun vor SWC (+ 1.74% bei $2.34) und MDG (+ 1.71% bei $10.09).

      Go Gold, Platin und Palladium Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.04.03 17:05:19
      Beitrag Nr. 102 ()
      RGLD (+ 2.72% bei $16.64) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von SWC zurück erobert. RGLD führt nun vor KRY (+ 2.25% bei $0.910) und SWC (+ 1.74% bei $2.34).

      Go Gold, Platin und Palladium Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.04.03 17:34:18
      Beitrag Nr. 103 ()
      RGLD (+ 2.72% bei $16.64) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von KRY zurück erobert. RGLD führt nun vor MDG (+ 2.62% bei $10.18) und ASL (+ 1.16% bei $5.22).

      Go Gold Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.04.03 18:18:04
      Beitrag Nr. 104 ()
      RGLD (+ 3.33% bei $16.74) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von MDG (+ 3.23% bei $10.24) zurück erobert. Beide führen nun vor HL (+ 2.91% bei $3.54).

      Go Gold und Silber Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.04.03 20:33:28
      Beitrag Nr. 105 ()
      RGLD (+ 3.70% bei $16.80) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von ASL (+ 3.29% bei $5.33) zurück erobert. Beide führen nun vor HL (+ 2.91% bei $3.54).

      Go Gold und Silber Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 17.04.03 13:24:43
      Beitrag Nr. 106 ()
      Go Gold Go !
      Avatar
      schrieb am 17.04.03 16:07:05
      Beitrag Nr. 107 ()


      RGLD (+ 3.73% bei $17.80) führt heute zu Handelsbeginn im US-Handel vor DROOY (+ 3.26% bei $2.85) und PAL (+ 3.04% bei $2.37).

      Go Gold, Platin und Palladium Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 17.04.03 17:48:34
      Beitrag Nr. 108 ()
      RGLD (+ 3.96% bei $17.84) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von GLG (+ 3.94% bei $11.07) übernommen. Beide führen nun vor VGZ (+ 3.49% bei $3.56).

      Go Gold Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 12.05.03 19:12:44
      Beitrag Nr. 109 ()


      RGLD (+ 3.50% bei $18.03) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von GSS (+ 3.50% bei $2.07) übernommen. Beide führen nun vor PAL (+ 3.46% bei $2.39).

      Go Gold, Platin und Palladium Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 12.05.03 19:20:04
      Beitrag Nr. 110 ()
      Gap schließen und BREAKOUT!

      RGLD ist bereit das Gap zu schließen zu $20`s von $18. Dieses höhere Hoch, Tag für Tag ist ein bullishes Zeichen! Dieses Ausbrechen über $18 ist wichtig; dieses war der Widerstand, der nicht verletzt wurde im Monat April bei verschiedenen Anläufen. Nach $18 gibt es dort bis $20 keinen Widerstand mehr!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 14.05.03 20:37:30
      Beitrag Nr. 111 ()


      RGLD (+ 4.87% bei $18.72) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von PAL übernommen. RGLD führt nun vor MDG (+ 4.75% bei $11.47) und PAL (+ 3.20% bei $2.90).

      Go Gold, Platin und Palladium Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 14.05.03 21:04:45
      Beitrag Nr. 112 ()
      RGLD (+ 5.21% bei $18.78) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von PAL (+ 4.98% bei $2.95) zurück erobert. Beide führen nun vor MDG (+ 4.75% bei $11.47).

      Go Gold, Platin und Palladium Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 16.05.03 16:06:02
      Beitrag Nr. 113 ()


      RGLD (+ 3.46% bei $18.83) führt heute zu Handelsbeginn im US-Handel vor GFI (+ 3.09% bei $11.69) und GSS (+ 3.05% bei $2.03).

      Go Gold Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 19.05.03 20:07:11
      Beitrag Nr. 114 ()


      RGLD (+ 8.53% bei $20.08) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von PAL übernommen. RGLD führt nun vor DROOY (+ 8.05% bei $2.82) und PAL (+ 8.00% bei $2.97).

      Go Gold, Platin und Palladium Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 21.05.03 19:51:03
      Beitrag Nr. 115 ()


      RGLD (+ 3.74% bei $20.79) hat soeben im US-handel die Führung von AEM (+ 3.03% bei $11.21) übernommen. Beide führen nun vor RANGY (+ 2.96% bei $14.26).

      Go Gold Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 21.05.03 20:35:26
      Beitrag Nr. 116 ()
      RGLD (+ 5.29% bei $21.10) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von AEM übernommen. RGLD führt nun vor RANGY (+ 4.40% bei $14.46) und AEM (+ 4.14% bei $11.33).

      Go Gold Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 21.05.03 22:18:45
      Beitrag Nr. 117 ()
      RGLD (+ 5.34% bei $21.11) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von AEM (+ 4.50% bei $11.37) zurück erobert. Beide führen nun vor RANGY (+ 3.97% bei $14.40).

      Go Gold Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 22.05.03 00:18:16
      Beitrag Nr. 118 ()
      Short Squeeeeeeze ;)

      2:03PM Short-Squeeze Alert : While on the subject of heavily shorted stocks, the Gold & Silver Index (XAU +1.4%) has been on the mend of late, today breaking out to a 3-month high. With Index currently pushing out to best levels of the session, may begin to see some short-sellers move to cover positions in Royal Gold (RGLD 20.90 +0.86). Roughly 17% of co`s 15 mln share float has been sold short.



      :D
      Avatar
      schrieb am 05.06.03 16:11:19
      Beitrag Nr. 119 ()
      RGLD (+ 4.70% bei $19.14) führt im US-Handel vor DROOY
      (+ 4.26% bei $2.45) und PAL (+ 4.01% bei $3.37).

      Go Gold und Palladium Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 05.06.03 18:19:40
      Beitrag Nr. 120 ()
      RGLD (+ 7.82% bei $19.71) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von DROOY (+ 6.38% bei $2.50) zurück erobert. Beide führen nun vor PAAS (+ 4.75% bei $6.83).

      Go Gold und Silber Go!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 09.06.03 16:19:02
      Beitrag Nr. 121 ()
      RGLD (+ 2.90% bei $20.55) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von CDE übernommen. RGLD führt nun vor SSRI (+ 1.59% bei $5.10) und BVN (+ 1.55% bei $31.48).

      Go Gold go GATA go RGLD!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 09.06.03 17:21:26
      Beitrag Nr. 122 ()
      RGLD (+ 2.10% bei $20.39) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von BVN zurück erobert. RGLD führt nun vor GSS (+ 2.04% bei $2.50) und BVN (+ 1.65% bei $31.51).

      Go Gold go GATA go RGLD!


      Avatar
      schrieb am 09.06.03 18:19:40
      Beitrag Nr. 123 ()
      RGLD (+ 2.65% bei $20.50) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von GSS (+ 2.04% bei $2.50) zurück erobert. Beide führen nun vor BVN (+ 1.58% bei $31.49).

      Go Gold go GATA go RGLD!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 09.06.03 19:05:35
      Beitrag Nr. 124 ()
      RGLD (+ 2.20% bei $20.41) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von GSS (+ 2.04% bei $2.50) zurück erobert. Beide führen nun vor BVN (+ 1.74% bei $31.54).

      Go Gold go GATa go RGLD!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 09.06.03 20:49:39
      Beitrag Nr. 125 ()
      RGLD (+ 2.05% bei $20.38) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von GSS zurück erobert. RGLD führt nun vor BVN (+ 1.61% bei $31.50) und HL (+ 1.24% bei $4.07).

      Go Gold go GATA go RGLD!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 09.06.03 21:49:32
      Beitrag Nr. 126 ()
      RGLD (+ 2.10% bei $20.39) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von CDE zurück erobert. RGLD führt nun vor GSS (+ 1.63% bei $2.49) und CDE (+ 1.53% bei $1.33).

      Go Gold go GATA go RGLD!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 09.06.03 23:09:11
      Beitrag Nr. 127 ()
      RGLD (+ 1.35% bei $20.24) hat soeben im US-Handel die Führung von CDE zurück erobert. RGLD führt nun vor NEM (+ 1.11% bei $32.65).

      Go Gold go RGLD!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 18.06.03 16:10:27
      Beitrag Nr. 128 ()
      RGLD (+ 2.84% bei $22.06) fhrt zur Handelseröffnung im US-Handel vor KRY (+ 1.67% bei $1.83).

      Go Gold go GATA go RGLD!
      Avatar
      schrieb am 18.06.03 17:52:23
      Beitrag Nr. 129 ()
      Excellent RGLD analysis by Jim Sinclair

      *ttp://www.jsmineset.com/s/Home.asp

      When site opens up, scroll down until RGLD you get to RGLD commentary. Very compelling read. Sinclair sees RGLD in tripple digits and gives supportive data.

      Jim Sinclair predicts triple digits for RGLD

      check out his website.

      feels RGLD will be the front runner and has already started the up trend.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.12.03 09:46:17
      !
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