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According to a study released by the govt Office of Strategic Planning, the impact to the USA of nuclear war outbreaks overseas may have some good points.
"Radioactive fallout has been known to kill certain bacteria" says Dr Lee Abrams, co-author of the report. "Foodborne pathogens pose little threat after exposure to radiation, making food stay good on the shelf much longer".
The report goes on to note that increased radiation levels has been shown to cause various crops to grow to mammoth size, a boon to farmers.
Additionally, the long term effects of nuclear fallout is expected to decrease cases of teen pregnancy, eliminate crabgrass, and kill mold and mildew.
Economically, once the initial firestorm passes, expect a surge in iodine futures and pharmaceuticals. Additional growth would be expected in skin care products while sales of Cyalume sticks would drop significantly. Social Security claims would be expected to diminish.
Of concern, however, is the chance of urban juveniles developing thick crusty "Turtle-like" shells with a greenish tinge. Researchers have documented a few cases of this "Ninja" mutation in the 80`s, though it has not been seen since.
In a related story, FEMA has stated that the government will protect all citizens from any nuclear fallout.
A special squadron of F4D jets has been outfitted with a device to seed radiation clouds with particles of silver, in hopes of doing some good. Citizens are warned that it is against federal law to take measures of self protection or survival. Fallout/bomb shelters have been eliminated from building codes and deemed ineligible for zoning.
The government is your friend. Even radiation clouds (will) have silver linings. --
"Radioactive fallout has been known to kill certain bacteria" says Dr Lee Abrams, co-author of the report. "Foodborne pathogens pose little threat after exposure to radiation, making food stay good on the shelf much longer".
The report goes on to note that increased radiation levels has been shown to cause various crops to grow to mammoth size, a boon to farmers.
Additionally, the long term effects of nuclear fallout is expected to decrease cases of teen pregnancy, eliminate crabgrass, and kill mold and mildew.
Economically, once the initial firestorm passes, expect a surge in iodine futures and pharmaceuticals. Additional growth would be expected in skin care products while sales of Cyalume sticks would drop significantly. Social Security claims would be expected to diminish.
Of concern, however, is the chance of urban juveniles developing thick crusty "Turtle-like" shells with a greenish tinge. Researchers have documented a few cases of this "Ninja" mutation in the 80`s, though it has not been seen since.
In a related story, FEMA has stated that the government will protect all citizens from any nuclear fallout.
A special squadron of F4D jets has been outfitted with a device to seed radiation clouds with particles of silver, in hopes of doing some good. Citizens are warned that it is against federal law to take measures of self protection or survival. Fallout/bomb shelters have been eliminated from building codes and deemed ineligible for zoning.
The government is your friend. Even radiation clouds (will) have silver linings. --
Trading Spotlight
[b9February 19, 1997[/b]--The Stock Markets are in a state of dizzying euphoria. The Dow crosses the 4000 market, then the 5000 mark, the 6000 mark and quickly moves past the 7000 market. In fact the Dow exceeded 7,000 (Feb. `97) coming only four months after it first crossed the 6,000-mark and less than two years after it first topped 4,000.
History is going to show that the October 19, 1987 market meltdown wherein the Dow lost 508 points, or 22.6% of its value in one day, to close at 1738, was a mere signal of the markets awareness of economic troubles. The real stock market crash leading to a great depression is yet to befall upon the markets and peoples of the world.
Since the stock market`s precipitous drop on October 19, 1987, come to be known as Black Monday, the Dow has increased over 400% toping the 7000 mark in less than a decade. Stock market history has shown that the Dow generally only doubles itself every decade--not ever couple of years! Many experts are calling these exciting times and encourage others to take advantage of the gains that can be made in the stock market--I`m warning of a significant crash leading to cataclysmic economic depression.
Like anything, which lasts and sustains itself (the stock market in this case) there must be a solid foundation. There are two important gauges used to measure the stability of the market`s foundation. These are corporate earnings and gross national product (GNP); often seen as gross domestic product (GAP). If one or both of these increase proportionally to that of gains in the stock market one can feel more "secure" that there is real value. That is, if the country`s gross national product and/or corporate earnings double, then this well may be commensurate with a doubling of the stock market indexes. Current growth in corporate earnings and that of the GNP are woefully short of reflecting changes that the stock market is showing.
You may then ask, "What then is driving the markets upward?" There are several factors but one key factor has been that of a number of years of decreasing interest rates. When interest rates fall, money flows from banks and investment instruments which return an interest yield to that of the stock market. As money market managers, mutual fund managers, big businesses and investors see smaller and smaller returns on such things as Treasury Bills (T-Bills) and Certificates of Deposit (CD`s) they move their money--the move has been primarily to that of the stock markets. As money starts flowing into the stock market, stock prices begin to appreciate--the capital value of stocks and the overall markets begin to rise. Others see this, and wanting to take advantage of the profit opportunities, move their money there as well--a further appreciation in stocks occurs. The cycle continues until it becomes a heated frenzy. More and more move money to the markets and with this appears a raging seemingly unstoppable bull market. Movement of large pools of capital to the stock market build certainty and confidence. Let the fool be fooled but don`t you be the fool. An uncontrolled, overheated stock market is an illusion of prosperity; actual reality is distorted and contorted. Even the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank (the Fed) Chairman, Alan Greenspan has publicly voiced his concern over the heights that the markets are achieving. Cooling the markets might be achieved by the Fed raising interest rates but higher interest rates would stifle economic growth. Be assured markets do eventually correct themselves and reflect real value as opposed to inflated values.
Some will tell you that the stock market is an indicator of future economic prosperity. This well can be but that presupposes that the market is acting "rationally"--a market reflecting and digesting significant and relevant economic, social and demographic data. Are we to believe that we are soon going to see corporate earnings and the GNP increase by 200, 300 or even 400%? Are we to believe that shortly the American economy will see an increase in its annual GNP from approximately 7 trillion dollars to that of 14, 21 or 28 trillion? We`ll see this, in the near future, only if we enter into hyperinflation--a most deadly state.
The markets around the world continue to ignore some very ugly and nasty economic realities. Western governments are still feverishly fighting trying to balance budgets and this says nothing about being able to pay back the trillions owed. The markets continue to ignore the ever persistent U.S. trade deficit--the world is awash in U.S. currency. So much so that the U.S. dollar has depreciated significantly against important currencies such as the German Mark and the Japanese Yen. Western governments around the world have continued to intervene in the currency markets buying up U.S. dollars to help `artificially` stabilize the U.S. dollar. The market continues to discount and ignore that real wages, by in large, have been static and in many cases have been falling for nearly a decade--consumer`s lack purchasing power--a key ingredient needed to sustain economic growth. The market keeps neglecting to factor in the effects that will ripple through the economy as more people continue to find themselves permanently unemployed or under-employed.
What about an economic recession? Recessions have plagued the economies of the world for as long as records have been kept. In fact, if you look through the history books you will find that a recession has hit in almost every decade. The 70`s, the 80`s and we had a recession at the beginning of the 90`s. How far away is the next recession? Our next recession could be right around the corner. In our case, I think our next depression is probably right around the corner. If you`re thinking that when you go to sleep at night the market is stable until the next morning, take a look at Stock Market Time Zones (Net Scoop Main Menu). We live in a global financial world now. When one market is closing another is opening on a different continent. The Dow could close in New York at say, 7,000 for you only to wake up at it opening at 5,000.
Who said we can`t have another great depression? Whoever told you that needs to take a refresher course in economic history. Throughout all of man`s history there have always been growth periods, recessions and depressions. However, after each "Great Depression" the public is assured that such travesty and economic hardship can never, and will never happen again. Such dreams of economic utopia have always met reality--economic recession and depression!
Sadly, many of the biggest losers are people who truly can`t afford to be losing their capital. Often, the general public stays out of the stock market until the last stages of a bull market. It is at this point that they are enticed by the ease of quick gains and big profits. Certainly many individuals make money but it is a matter of knowing when to cash out. Many were automatically cashed out, permanently, on October 19, 1987, causing untold hardship for thousands of individuals and families around the world. "But you have to stay in the market for the long-term," you will hear many say. Let`s look at it this way. You buy today on the stock market`s high, it "corrects" by some 200% of its recent gains and then continues on a "normal" coarse thereafter. It could take two decades for it to double and to bring you back to your starting point. That`s two decades of lost investment opportunity and at the end you are essentially in the same financial position, save for argument some amounts you may receive as dividend payments. If any of this stock market investment money came from borrowing, margin or hedging, then you may find yourself further in the hole. CAN YOU AFFORD THE RISK?
"I`m not invested in the stock market so I don`t have to worry," many would say. Everyone has a vested interest in the stock market when there is a meltdown! A stock market collapse that leads to severe economic recession or depression affects us all--socially, economically and politically. Also, many are investing in the markets but don`t realize it. Many large company pension funds regularly invest in the stock market. A number of administered Registered Retirement Savings Plans have also placed large pools of people`s "retirement funds" into stocks, bonds, mutual funds and other such market investments. Don`t underestimate the power of the market in its ability to affect your personal life.
Always remember, "What is too good to be true, probably is too good to be true." If you are looking for quick money, then you had better be prepared and in a position to lose it as fast as you may make it. There have proven to be very few, "get rich quick schemes" in the marketplace. Prudent investing and seeking "solid" investments are always paramount but extreme caution should be taken by all when we have a situation involving overheated markets.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
History is going to show that the October 19, 1987 market meltdown wherein the Dow lost 508 points, or 22.6% of its value in one day, to close at 1738, was a mere signal of the markets awareness of economic troubles. The real stock market crash leading to a great depression is yet to befall upon the markets and peoples of the world.
Since the stock market`s precipitous drop on October 19, 1987, come to be known as Black Monday, the Dow has increased over 400% toping the 7000 mark in less than a decade. Stock market history has shown that the Dow generally only doubles itself every decade--not ever couple of years! Many experts are calling these exciting times and encourage others to take advantage of the gains that can be made in the stock market--I`m warning of a significant crash leading to cataclysmic economic depression.
Like anything, which lasts and sustains itself (the stock market in this case) there must be a solid foundation. There are two important gauges used to measure the stability of the market`s foundation. These are corporate earnings and gross national product (GNP); often seen as gross domestic product (GAP). If one or both of these increase proportionally to that of gains in the stock market one can feel more "secure" that there is real value. That is, if the country`s gross national product and/or corporate earnings double, then this well may be commensurate with a doubling of the stock market indexes. Current growth in corporate earnings and that of the GNP are woefully short of reflecting changes that the stock market is showing.
You may then ask, "What then is driving the markets upward?" There are several factors but one key factor has been that of a number of years of decreasing interest rates. When interest rates fall, money flows from banks and investment instruments which return an interest yield to that of the stock market. As money market managers, mutual fund managers, big businesses and investors see smaller and smaller returns on such things as Treasury Bills (T-Bills) and Certificates of Deposit (CD`s) they move their money--the move has been primarily to that of the stock markets. As money starts flowing into the stock market, stock prices begin to appreciate--the capital value of stocks and the overall markets begin to rise. Others see this, and wanting to take advantage of the profit opportunities, move their money there as well--a further appreciation in stocks occurs. The cycle continues until it becomes a heated frenzy. More and more move money to the markets and with this appears a raging seemingly unstoppable bull market. Movement of large pools of capital to the stock market build certainty and confidence. Let the fool be fooled but don`t you be the fool. An uncontrolled, overheated stock market is an illusion of prosperity; actual reality is distorted and contorted. Even the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank (the Fed) Chairman, Alan Greenspan has publicly voiced his concern over the heights that the markets are achieving. Cooling the markets might be achieved by the Fed raising interest rates but higher interest rates would stifle economic growth. Be assured markets do eventually correct themselves and reflect real value as opposed to inflated values.
Some will tell you that the stock market is an indicator of future economic prosperity. This well can be but that presupposes that the market is acting "rationally"--a market reflecting and digesting significant and relevant economic, social and demographic data. Are we to believe that we are soon going to see corporate earnings and the GNP increase by 200, 300 or even 400%? Are we to believe that shortly the American economy will see an increase in its annual GNP from approximately 7 trillion dollars to that of 14, 21 or 28 trillion? We`ll see this, in the near future, only if we enter into hyperinflation--a most deadly state.
The markets around the world continue to ignore some very ugly and nasty economic realities. Western governments are still feverishly fighting trying to balance budgets and this says nothing about being able to pay back the trillions owed. The markets continue to ignore the ever persistent U.S. trade deficit--the world is awash in U.S. currency. So much so that the U.S. dollar has depreciated significantly against important currencies such as the German Mark and the Japanese Yen. Western governments around the world have continued to intervene in the currency markets buying up U.S. dollars to help `artificially` stabilize the U.S. dollar. The market continues to discount and ignore that real wages, by in large, have been static and in many cases have been falling for nearly a decade--consumer`s lack purchasing power--a key ingredient needed to sustain economic growth. The market keeps neglecting to factor in the effects that will ripple through the economy as more people continue to find themselves permanently unemployed or under-employed.
What about an economic recession? Recessions have plagued the economies of the world for as long as records have been kept. In fact, if you look through the history books you will find that a recession has hit in almost every decade. The 70`s, the 80`s and we had a recession at the beginning of the 90`s. How far away is the next recession? Our next recession could be right around the corner. In our case, I think our next depression is probably right around the corner. If you`re thinking that when you go to sleep at night the market is stable until the next morning, take a look at Stock Market Time Zones (Net Scoop Main Menu). We live in a global financial world now. When one market is closing another is opening on a different continent. The Dow could close in New York at say, 7,000 for you only to wake up at it opening at 5,000.
Who said we can`t have another great depression? Whoever told you that needs to take a refresher course in economic history. Throughout all of man`s history there have always been growth periods, recessions and depressions. However, after each "Great Depression" the public is assured that such travesty and economic hardship can never, and will never happen again. Such dreams of economic utopia have always met reality--economic recession and depression!
Sadly, many of the biggest losers are people who truly can`t afford to be losing their capital. Often, the general public stays out of the stock market until the last stages of a bull market. It is at this point that they are enticed by the ease of quick gains and big profits. Certainly many individuals make money but it is a matter of knowing when to cash out. Many were automatically cashed out, permanently, on October 19, 1987, causing untold hardship for thousands of individuals and families around the world. "But you have to stay in the market for the long-term," you will hear many say. Let`s look at it this way. You buy today on the stock market`s high, it "corrects" by some 200% of its recent gains and then continues on a "normal" coarse thereafter. It could take two decades for it to double and to bring you back to your starting point. That`s two decades of lost investment opportunity and at the end you are essentially in the same financial position, save for argument some amounts you may receive as dividend payments. If any of this stock market investment money came from borrowing, margin or hedging, then you may find yourself further in the hole. CAN YOU AFFORD THE RISK?
"I`m not invested in the stock market so I don`t have to worry," many would say. Everyone has a vested interest in the stock market when there is a meltdown! A stock market collapse that leads to severe economic recession or depression affects us all--socially, economically and politically. Also, many are investing in the markets but don`t realize it. Many large company pension funds regularly invest in the stock market. A number of administered Registered Retirement Savings Plans have also placed large pools of people`s "retirement funds" into stocks, bonds, mutual funds and other such market investments. Don`t underestimate the power of the market in its ability to affect your personal life.
Always remember, "What is too good to be true, probably is too good to be true." If you are looking for quick money, then you had better be prepared and in a position to lose it as fast as you may make it. There have proven to be very few, "get rich quick schemes" in the marketplace. Prudent investing and seeking "solid" investments are always paramount but extreme caution should be taken by all when we have a situation involving overheated markets.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donnerstag, 21.11.2002 Woche 47
• 08:00 - ! DE Bruttoinlandsprodukt 3. Quartal
• 08:00 - DE Drittmitteleinnahmen Hochschulen 2002
• 08:45 - FR Haushaltsausgaben Oktober
• 09:30 - EU EZB Ratssitzung
• 13:45 - ! EU EZB Ergebnis Ratssitzung
• 14:30 - ! US Erstanträge Arbeitslosenhilfe (Woche)
• 14:30 - CA Großhandelsumsatz September
• 14:30 - CA Verbraucherpreise Oktober
• 16:00 - ! US Frühindikatoren Oktober
• 18:00 - ! US Philadelphia-Fed-Index November
• 18:45 - US Rede Chicago Fed Präsident Moskow
• 20:00 - US Staatsetat Oktober
• 22:30 - US Wochenausweis Geldmenge
• 08:00 - ! DE Bruttoinlandsprodukt 3. Quartal
• 08:00 - DE Drittmitteleinnahmen Hochschulen 2002
• 08:45 - FR Haushaltsausgaben Oktober
• 09:30 - EU EZB Ratssitzung
• 13:45 - ! EU EZB Ergebnis Ratssitzung
• 14:30 - ! US Erstanträge Arbeitslosenhilfe (Woche)
• 14:30 - CA Großhandelsumsatz September
• 14:30 - CA Verbraucherpreise Oktober
• 16:00 - ! US Frühindikatoren Oktober
• 18:00 - ! US Philadelphia-Fed-Index November
• 18:45 - US Rede Chicago Fed Präsident Moskow
• 20:00 - US Staatsetat Oktober
• 22:30 - US Wochenausweis Geldmenge
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