!! Verdammt nochmal !! Warum explodiert der Silber Preis nicht ?? - 500 Beiträge pro Seite

[ThaiGuru]

http://www.financialsense.com/Market/wrapup.htm

When you squeeze lemons, you get lemonade
When you squeeze the shorts, you get a bull market.

Silver Producers Held Hostage

Just as there has been an effort to maintain and put a hold on stock prices, there appears to be another unnatural effort to keep bullion prices and the share prices of precious metals companies down. I covered a portion of this yesterday when I talked about the huge short positions in five key silver stocks. http://www.financialsense.com/Market/daily/thursday.htm
There are less than 10 key producers of silver in the world. These companies are primary silver producers as opposed to base metals producers or gold companies that mine silver as a by-product. Silver stocks have fallen precipitously in July, and then again, after their rally from their July lows. The drop in prices corresponds with large short positions that have been taken in each and every one of these stocks. Like the large silver short position in the COMEX, they remain vulnerable to the efforts of any hedge fund looking to affect a squeeze.


Shorting Silver

Silver Producer Short Position Friday`s Volume Days to Cover


APEX Silver 792,000 79,100 10 Tage
Coeur d`Alene Mines 3,881,000 526,400 7.4 Tage
Hecla Mining 2,405,000 391,000 6.2 Tage
Pan American Silver 1,00,200 201,525 5.0 Tage
Silver Standard Resources 874,000 190,960 4.6 Tage



A similar position now exists for the silver shorts. As the table above shows, short interest in most stocks would take between 5-10 days to cover. Since most computer screens would pick up on any change in volume, the shorts have to be careful of when and how they cover. They will have to use stealth to cover their tracks by buying back in slowly so as not to alert program trading monitors to any abrupt change in volume. If they tried to cover at once, the price would take off as it did in May and in June.

This buying may already be taking place as this chart of money flow indicates in Coeur d’Alene Mines. Volume has been slowly edging back up since the August bottom. Based on Friday’s trading, it would take the shorts more than 7 days to fully cover.

Something`s Gotta Give For Silver



In addition, these stocks are at key technical support levels presenting a good buying opportunity to add to positions or to enter the market. As this long-term Kitco chart of silver indicates, the price of the metal is at rock bottom having fallen over 90 percent from its peak back in the last bull market of the 1970’s. Silver is scarce today and it is getting harder to find. The metal has been running a supply deficit for well over a decade and the government`s own stockpiles of the metal have been exhausted. I recently had a long conversation with two geologists who have supported this view. There is one large silver mine potential in Latin America that may be difficult and expensive to mine. However, for the most part, very few new and large silver deposits have been discovered. Additionally, most silver is a by-product of base metal mining. As more base metal producers shut down mines, silver deficits should increase in the years ahead. At current prices of $4.49 silver is uneconomical to mine. Would your mining company explore for silver at these prices if you couldn’t mine the metal profitably?

Despite its historical role as money for over 5,000 years, the uses of silver as a key industrial metal keep expanding from batteries to water purification to non-pollutant marine paint. It may surprise most Americans, but around the globe in India, Asia, and the Middle East, silver is viewed as money. In many languages the word for money is silver! Most of the demand for precious metals is coming from emerging markets where precious metals are used as a form of savings and investments. In cultures much more ancient than ours, and who view and distrust paper money, silver and gold = money. It has been that way for over 5,000 years, despite the best efforts of statists to discredit it.



Silver is Undervalued in a Major Way

I have recently received numerous e-mails regarding silver`s role in a deflationary environment such as we experienced during the Great Depression. We need a few facts first. During the Great Depression, there was surplus of silver in the country. Congress actually passed a law requiring the Treasury to buy silver. This was a period when the government’s great stockpiles were accumulated. After its nadir in 1933, silver actually performed much better than gold. Gold prices were capped at $35 an ounce. Charts and other fundamental aspects will be covered in next week`s Wrap Up as supply dynamics begin to unfold in the months ahead. Simply put, silver is undervalued in a major way. Prices have been kept down through short selling since there are no large deposits of silver that can be loaned out to bullion banks from the vaults of central bankers. The only way to keep silver prices down is through the use of derivatives or paper contracts. Large supplies of the metal simply don’t exist. Mainly consuming above-ground stockpiles accumulated over decades has made up silver deficits. Those stockpiles will be running short over the next 18 months. The Treasury will have to go into the market to buy the metal for its silver eagle program. The Treasury purchase of 10 million may not sound like much until you add it to a 100 million plus existing supply deficit. One can only speculate as to how high it will go when gold and the metals take off as confidence in paper evaporates with each new oncoming financial crisis -- not to mention potential geopolitical rogue waves.

The smart money already owns silver. Buffett bought his stake in 1997. He took delivery and then shipped it to safe keeping overseas. Others such as Soros, Gates, and Tish have bought because they apparently recognize silver’s gross undervaluation. Gates already owns 11.8 percent of Pan American Silver, a position he has held and has added to over time. I also know of five other fund managers who own significant positions in some of the companies listed above. In fairness and part of full disclosure I also own some of these companies in my own account or for my clients.

Den vollen Bericht, und noch mehr Hintergrund Informationen, gibt es hier:

http://www.financialsense.com/Market/wrapup.htm

[ThaiGuru]

Diese Grafik sagt eigentlich schon alles aus!

Desshalb steigt Silber nicht.

Gruss

ThaiGuru



www.financialsense.com

[ThaiGuru]

Weltsilberbilanz:

http://www.weigl-fdl.de/body_angebotsdefizit.html

[derbayer]

wahrscheinlich ist das pulver nass! oder aber der zünder hat versagt! versuch`s mal mit semtex. *lol*

db

[TFischer]

...womit Du mit Sicherheit sämtliche Naaachrichtendiienste auf dich aufmerksam gemacht hast, denn Semmmtexxx ist garantiert ein Leckerbissen für die Fillterr.

Also immer sauber bleiben

TFischer

[xnickel]

Hab wieder mal reingesehen, weil der Titel meine Seelenlage beschreibt.

Leider nur das übliche Gemähre seit 15 Jahren.
Nichts von Abhängigkeit des Verbrauchs vom Preis.
Keine Perspektive auf neue-, auch bei höherem Preis rentable, Großanwendungen.
Nichts, was mehr als eine solide Anlage anzeigt.

So bleibt das ewig ein Brikettglimmen.
Bei diesem ewig gleichen Gesabbel wird das nie eine Explosion

xn

[DBrix]

Wenn man davon ausgeht,
dass die Lagerbestände z.Z. noch 240 Mio Unzen betragen,
und dass das Angebotsdefizit auf ca. 60 Mio Unzen p.a. zurückgefallen ist,
dann müssen wir uns eben noch bis zum Jahre 2006 gedulden!

Na und? Ich werde bis dahin fleissig traden und zwischendurch immer mal wieder ein paar Kilos beiseite legen.

[granitbiss]

@ DBrix

sehe ich auch so.
Wenn bei Gold/Silber die physische Nachfrage befriedigt wird, wo soll da was "explodieren"

[xnickel]

So ein paar Verschwörungsphantasten fordern doch immer wieder durch umwandeln von Papiersilber in physische Lagerung eine Silberbubble.

Depperte Spinner die.

Bubbles sind Betrug und die Forderung danach, na ja spare den Kommentar.

Nur der rentable Verbrauch bringt`s.

Soooo schlecht sieht`s auf längere Sicht nicht aus.

xn

[aneises2]

Es geht doch schon in die richtige Richtung ;-)

http://commodities.thefinancials.com/EX_CommodityMovers.html

Gruß
aneises2

[axelkitzing]

#10 aneises2

Ich bin seit kurzer Zeit in Silber und Goldminen investiert.
Leider habe ich zu einem Zeitpunkt investiert, als alle noch bei guter Stimmumg waren.

Zur Zeit ist die Stimmung sehr schlecht und einige Investierten werden am Montag wieder short gehen.

Also wird sich in nächster Zeit der Preis für die Goldminen wieder gen Süden gehen.

Es nutzt also nichts, wenn der Silber- und Goldpreis steigen und die Stimmung bei den Leuten schlecht ist.

Oder seid Ihr anderer Meinung ??

Gruß Axel

[Der_Glueckliche]

Die keimabtötende Wirkung des Silber lässt sich viel billiger auch mit Kupfer erreichen (nur aufpassen im sauren Milieu!).

Silber wird allerdings meines Wissens für konventionelle Fotos und Spiegel immer noch benötigt.

Wahrscheinlich wird soviel Silber bei der Kupfer- und Goldproduktion als Nebenprodukt gewonnen, daß es nicht wesentlich steigen wird, solange keine neue wichtige Massenanwendung gefunden wird.

Und die Vorstellung in Zukunft mit Gold- und Silbermünzen oder -plättchen meine Einkäufe zu tätigen erscheint mir mehr und mehr lächerlich.

[Kratzbaum72]

Gruß

[Kratzbaum72]

Gruß