Original-Research
Flughafen Wien AG (von NuWays AG): BUY
Für Sie zusammengefasst
- BUY upgrade to EUR 57 target price for 12m
- 3rd runway cancellation removes €2bn CapEx risk
- High ROE, lowest peer leverage and top punctuality
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Original-Research: Flughafen Wien AG - from NuWays AG Classification of NuWays AG to Flughafen Wien AG |
| Company Name: | Flughafen Wien AG |
| ISIN: | AT00000VIE62 |
| Reason for the research: | Update |
| Recommendation: | BUY |
| Target price: | EUR 57 |
| Target price on sight of: | 12 months |
| Last rating change: | |
| Analyst: | Simon Keller |
Cleared for take-off; Up to BUY
We upgrade FLU to BUY. The shares have delivered nearly no return since our June 2023 Hold initiation, yet the underlying case has notably improved: the operational base is stronger, the equity story has de-risked, and the group remains exposed to structurally growing air-travel demand.
Three overhangs have lifted. First, the LCC capacity cuts by Ryanair and Wizz are now reflected in the run-rate rather than a major remaining forecast risk, creating a cleaner base for FY26. Second, the cancellation of the 3rd runway removes a potential € 2bn CapEx risk. The remaining investment pipeline is clearly defined, with T3 South scheduled for 2027 and Pier North for 2031, both fundable through operating cash flow, existing cash and moderate additional debt if needed. Third, from January 2026, the airport-charge regime returned to the statutory formula. While the 2026 tariff reset lowers the passenger-tariff base, this headwind is now implemented. From 2027, tariffs should again reflect inflation, coupled with an incentive structure to support traffic growth at Vienna.
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