Four in Five Business Leaders Expect Permanent Disruption as AI, Tariffs and Critical Minerals Competition Reshape Global Commerce, Finds DMCC Future of Trade Report

• DMCC Future of Trade 2026 report finds global trade will be shaped by AI, tariff shock, critical minerals and clean tech competition
• More than 80% of global trade leaders expect slow trade growth with ongoing disruption, while only 4% expect best-case scenario
• AI-related goods made up 43% of global merchandise trade growth in first half of 2025, growing five times faster than non-AI goods
• Nearly one fifth of goods imports impacted by tariffs or similar measures
• South-South trade accounts for around 35% of global trade, outpacing North-North flows
• Future of Trade 2026 launches in London before follow up events in Dubai and Singapore
• Full report can be accessed and downloaded here: www.futureoftrade.com 

DUBAI, UAE, June 10, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- DMCC, the leading international business district that drives the flow of global trade through Dubai, today launched its Future of Trade 2026 report that finds that global trade will remain resilient over the next two years but fundamentally reshaped by artificial intelligence, structural tariff volatility, supply chains designed for resilience, and a contest for industrial advantage in critical minerals and infrastructure powering global clean energy and technologies.

To view the Multimedia News Release, please click: 
https://www.multivu.com/dmcc/9402751-en-ai-tariffs-critical-minerals-competition-reshape-global-commerce-dmcc-trade-report

The report, Future of Trade 2026: Rebuilding Through Rupture, comes as businesses confront a sharp deterioration in the predictability of the global trade landscape. Nearly 20% of global merchandise imports are now subject to tariffs or similar restrictions, up from 12.6% a year earlier, while more than four in five business leaders surveyed by DMCC expect slow growth, continued supply chain disruption and prolonged geopolitical volatility in the coming years. Almost 12% expect a worst-case scenario driven by escalating conflict, tariffs, sanctions and financial fragmentation. Only 4% expect a best-case outcome.

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