Orchid Island Capital Announces Estimated Fourth Quarter 2023 Results, January 2024 Monthly Dividend and December 31, 2023 RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE: ORC) announced today that the Board of Directors of the Company declared a monthly cash dividend for the month of January 2024. The dividend of $0.12 per share will be paid February 27, 2024 to holders of record of the Company’s common stock on January 31, 2024, with an ex-dividend date of January 30, 2024. The Company plans on announcing its next common stock dividend on February 14, 2024.

The Company intends to make regular monthly cash distributions to its holders of common stock. In order to qualify as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”), the Company must distribute annually to its stockholders an amount at least equal to 90% of its REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding any net capital gain. The Company will be subject to income tax on taxable income that is not distributed and to an excise tax to the extent that a certain percentage of its taxable income is not distributed by specified dates. The Company has not established a minimum distribution payment level and is not assured of its ability to make distributions to stockholders in the future.

As of January 10, 2024, the Company had 51,303,301 shares of common stock outstanding. As of December 31, 2023, the Company had 51,636,074 shares outstanding. As of September 30, 2023, the Company had 52,332,306 shares of common stock outstanding.

Estimated December 31, 2023 Book Value Per Share

The Company’s estimated book value per share as of December 31, 2023 was $9.10. The Company computes book value per share by dividing total stockholders' equity by the total number of outstanding shares of common stock. At December 31, 2023, the Company's preliminary estimated total stockholders' equity was approximately $469.9 million with 51,636,074 shares of common stock outstanding. These figures and the resulting estimated book value per share are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm.

Estimated Net Income Per Share and Realized and Unrealized Gains and Losses on RMBS and Derivative Instruments

The Company estimates it generated a net income per share of $0.52, which includes $0.65 per share of net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments for the quarter ended December 31, 2023. These amounts compare to total dividends declared during the quarter of $0.36 per share. Net income per common share calculated under generally accepted accounting principles can, and does, differ from our REIT taxable income. The Company views REIT taxable income as a better indication of income to be paid in the form of a dividend rather than net loss. Many components of REIT taxable income can only be estimated at this time and our monthly dividends declared are based on both estimates of REIT taxable income to be earned over the course of the current quarter and calendar year and a longer-term estimate of the REIT taxable income of the Company. These figures are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm.

Estimated Total Return on Equity

The Company’s estimated total return on equity for the quarter ended December 31, 2023 was 6.1%. The Company calculates total return on equity as the sum of dividends declared and paid during the quarter plus changes in book value during the quarter, divided by the Company’s stockholders’ equity at the beginning of the quarter. The total return was $0.54 per share, comprised of dividends per share of $0.36 and an increase in book value per share of $0.18 from September 30, 2023.

RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

Details of the RMBS portfolio as of December 31, 2023 are presented below. These figures are preliminary and subject to change and, with respect to figures that will appear in the Company's financial statements and associated footnotes as of and for the quarter ended December 31, 2023, are subject to review by the Company's independent registered public accounting firm:

• RMBS Valuation Characteristics
• RMBS Assets by Agency
• Investment Company Act of 1940 (Whole Pool) Test Results
• Repurchase Agreement Exposure by Counterparty
• RMBS Risk Measures

About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests on a leveraged basis in Agency RMBS. Our investment strategy focuses on, and our portfolio consists of, two categories of Agency RMBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass-through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae, and (ii) structured Agency RMBS. The Company is managed by Bimini Advisors, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company’s distributions. These forward-looking statements are based upon Orchid Island Capital, Inc.’s present expectations, but these statements are not guaranteed to occur. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022.

RMBS Valuation Characteristics
($ in thousands)
																																						Realized
																																		Realized				Oct-23 -
																																		Dec-23				Dec-23
																		Net												Weighted				CPR				CPR
																		Weighted												Average				(1-Month)				(3-Month)				Modeled Interest
		Current				Fair				% of				Current				Average												Maturity				(Reported				(Reported				Rate Sensitivity (1)
Type		Face				Value				Portfolio				Price				Coupon				GWAC				Age				(Months)				in Jan)				in Jan)				(-50 BPS)				(+50 BPS)
Fixed Rate RMBS
30yr 3.0			1,397,684				1,254,194				32.21	%			89.73				3.00	%			3.46	%			33				322				4.1	%			4.9	%			39,039				(39,468	)
30yr 3.5			194,229				182,008				4.67	%			93.71				3.50	%			4.04	%			46				303				4.4	%			7.1	%			5,100				(5,147	)
30yr 4.0			562,107				533,974				13.71	%			95.00				4.00	%			4.78	%			23				334				2.0	%			3.0	%			13,626				(14,488	)
30yr 4.5			341,313				332,168				8.53	%			97.32				4.50	%			5.45	%			18				340				7.2	%			6.7	%			6,793				(7,445	)
30yr 5.0			552,620				549,324				14.11	%			99.40				5.00	%			5.93	%			16				341				4.5	%			3.6	%			10,329				(11,709	)
30yr 5.5			271,469				275,465				7.07	%			101.47				5.50	%			6.43	%			9				350				0.6	%			4.5	%			4,246				(5,093	)
30yr 6.0			321,521				327,820				8.42	%			101.96				6.00	%			6.99	%			9				346				8.0	%			9.2	%			3,768				(4,616	)
30yr 6.5			335,505				344,680				8.85	%			102.73				6.50	%			7.39	%			5				352				9.6	%			9.1	%			2,785				(3,602	)
30yr 7.0			74,697				77,449				1.99	%			103.68				7.00	%			7.94	%			3				356				0.8	%			n/a				534				(652	)
Total Pass Through RMBS			4,051,145				3,877,082				99.57	%			95.70				4.33	%			5.06	%			22				334				4.6	%			5.4	%			86,220				(92,220	)
Structured RMBS
IO 20yr 4.0			8,771				882				0.02	%			10.06				4.00	%			4.57	%			144				89				11.1	%			9.6	%			5				(5	)
IO 30yr 3.0			2,963				359				0.01	%			12.13				3.00	%			3.64	%			107				241				0.8	%			0.8	%			-				-
IO 30yr 4.0			81,439				14,263				0.37	%			17.51				4.00	%			4.60	%			112				239				12.2	%			8.3	%			(293	)			224
IO 30yr 4.5			3,487				674				0.02	%			19.34				4.50	%			4.99	%			162				185				8.8	%			6.8	%			(6	)			3
IO 30yr 5.0			1,894				394				0.01	%			20.80				5.00	%			5.36	%			162				186				10.0	%			9.6	%			(7	)			5
IO Total			98,554				16,572				0.43	%			16.82				4.01	%			4.60	%			118				223				11.6	%			8.1	%			(302	)			228
IIO 30yr 4.0			26,776				358				0.01	%			1.34				0.00	%			4.40	%			75				274				1.8	%			6.9	%			105				(87	)
Total Structured RMBS			125,330				16,930				0.43	%			13.51				3.15	%			4.55	%			109				234				9.5	%			7.9	%			(197	)			141
Total Mortgage Assets		$	4,176,475			$	3,894,012				100.00	%							4.30	%			5.05	%			25				331				4.8	%			5.5	%		$	86,023			$	(92,079	)

		Average			Hedge		Modeled Interest
		Notional			Period		Rate Sensitivity (1)
Hedge		Balance			End		(-50 BPS)				(+50 BPS)
3-Month SOFR Futures		$	(100,000	)	May-25		$	(1,000	)		$	1,000
5-Year Treasury Future(2)			(471,500	)	Mar-24			(8,818	)			8,686
10-Year Treasury Future(3)			(470,000	)	Mar-24			(10,339	)			10,036
Swaps			(2,326,500	)	Nov-29			(59,619	)			57,475
TBA			(645,700	)	Jan-24			(10,822	)			12,804
Swaptions			(800,000	)	May-24			(61	)			365
Hedge Total		$	(4,813,700	)			$	(90,659	)		$	90,366
Rate Shock Grand Total							$	(4,636	)		$	(1,713	)

(1)	Modeled results from Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Yield Book. Interest rate shocks assume instantaneous parallel shifts and horizon prices are calculated assuming constant SOFR option-adjusted spreads. These results are for illustrative purposes only and actual results may differ materially.
(2)	Five-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of $108.77 at December 31, 2023. The market value of the short position was $512.9 million.
(3)	Ten-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of $112.89 at December 31, 2023. The market value of the short position was $530.6 million.

RMBS Assets by Agency
($ in thousands)
						Percentage
		Fair				of
Asset Category		Value				Portfolio
As of December 31, 2023
Fannie Mae		$	2,714,192				69.7	%
Freddie Mac			1,179,820				30.3	%
Total Mortgage Assets		$	3,894,012				100.0	%

Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test
($ in thousands)
						Percentage
		Fair				of
Asset Category		Value				Portfolio
As of December 31, 2023
Non-Whole Pool Assets		$	142,646				3.7	%
Whole Pool Assets			3,751,366				96.3	%
Total Mortgage Assets		$	3,894,012				100.0	%

Borrowings By Counterparty
($ in thousands)
										Weighted				Weighted
						% of				Average				Average
		Total				Total				Repo				Maturity			Longest
As of December 31, 2023		Borrowings				Debt				Rate				in Days			Maturity
RBC Capital Markets, LLC		$	300,275				8.1	%			5.54	%			16		1/17/2024
Citigroup Global Markets Inc			298,549				8.1	%			5.55	%			26		1/26/2024
Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc			284,167				7.7	%			5.57	%			22		1/29/2024
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC			266,958				7.2	%			5.54	%			18		1/18/2024
Cantor Fitzgerald & Co			257,999				7.0	%			5.54	%			44		2/13/2024
ASL Capital Markets Inc.			244,611				6.6	%			5.54	%			17		1/29/2024
Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.			218,540				5.9	%			5.56	%			26		1/26/2024
Mirae Asset Securities (USA) Inc.			200,200				5.4	%			5.53	%			52		4/22/2024
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith			193,715				5.2	%			5.56	%			16		1/26/2024
Daiwa Securities America Inc.			179,787				4.9	%			5.54	%			24		1/24/2024
ABN AMRO Bank N.V.			177,114				4.8	%			5.55	%			20		1/31/2024
Bank of Montreal			169,041				4.6	%			5.55	%			16		1/16/2024
StoneX Financial Inc.			168,852				4.6	%			5.55	%			16		1/16/2024
Goldman, Sachs & Co			160,410				4.3	%			5.56	%			18		1/29/2024
Banco Santander SA			154,412				4.2	%			5.53	%			71		3/22/2024
ING Financial Markets LLC			128,758				3.5	%			5.55	%			16		1/16/2024
Marex Capital Markets Inc.			115,143				3.1	%			5.53	%			9		1/16/2024
DV Securities, LLC Repo			88,423				2.4	%			5.55	%			48		2/29/2024
South Street Securities, LLC			80,295				2.2	%			5.57	%			59		2/28/2024
Lucid Cash Fund USG LLC			9,840				0.3	%			5.55	%			18		1/18/2024
Lucid Prime Fund, LLC			8,560				0.2	%			5.55	%			18		1/18/2024
Total Borrowings		$	3,705,649				100.0	%			5.55	%			26		4/22/2024

 

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The Orchid Island Capital Stock at the time of publication of the news with a raise of +0,63 % to 7,96EUR on Lang & Schwarz stock exchange (10. Januar 2024, 22:35 Uhr).