BREXIT Retail Forecast Report - Anticipating the Damage of Leaving the EU - Research and Markets - Seite 2

And at this point the BoE will be forced to raise interest rates, as UK inflation starts to soar, the oil price recovers ...

Report Structure:

Executive summary - Brexit and retail - business continuity planning

Total Retail Sales - The threat of stagflation to come

Total retail sales growth: 2007/8-14/15, negative for the first time since WW2

Inflation: CPi, 2007-2015, inflation has vanished, interest rates on hold

Inflation: monthly data, if Brexit happens inflation to come back with a vengeance

Inflation: the considerable risk of stagflation post Brexit

Total retail sales: value non-seasonally adjusted - in £billions, 2007 - 17 f

Population: per capita spend 2015 (£), Brexit permanently lowering the shopper base?

Population: what will EU migrants do in case of Brexit? Workforce impact

Food & Grocery - Insulated at first, then at the mercy of the discounters

Food & Grocery: growth 2010 - 15, forecast, inflation, volume for 2016/7

Food & Grocery: in £billions 2010 - 17f, devastation of local farming, no more CAP

Food & Grocery: big 4 to suffer, discounters to win

Non-Food: clothing & footwear - Industry facing an exodus

Clothing & Footwear: Growth 2011 - 15, forecast, inflation, volume 16-17, price shock to come

Clothing & Footwear: Total sales (£m), 2011 - 17 f, the end of fast fashion?, tourism decline

Clothing & Footwear: sourcing complications outside EU, domestic revival?

Clothing & Footwear: domestic shoppers priced out, fashionista exodus, ecommerce impact

Non-Food: DIY, Furniture, Homewares - Homeowners: falling house prices and higher mortgages

The home sectors: Total growth 2010 - 15, forecast, inflation, volume 2016 - 17

The home sectors: Total sales (£m) 2011 - 17f, falling house prices, impact on banks

The home sectors: residential property to take a hit - taking down DIY along with it

Online - Going back a decade

Online: Total growth (%) 2011-2015, forecast 2016/7, potentially disastrous

Online: Total sales (£m) 2011 - 17 f, potential brain drain

Outlook - Uncertain and unnecessary

Outlook: Brexit unpractical and threatens breakup of UK

Outlook: from integration to isolation - losing decades of progress

Sources

For more information visit http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/f7z3nb/brexit_forecast

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