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    DGAP-News  146  0 Kommentare Lloyds Banking Group PLC: Q1 2021 Interim Management Statement

    DGAP-News: Lloyds Banking Group PLC / Key word(s): Quarterly / Interim Statement
    Lloyds Banking Group PLC: Q1 2021 Interim Management Statement

    28.04.2021 / 09:00
    The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.


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    Q1 2021 Interim Management Statement

    28 April 2021

     

    RESULTS FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 MARCH 2021

    "The coronavirus pandemic continues to have a significant impact on people, businesses and communities in the UK and around the world. Whilst we are seeing positive signs, notably the progress of the vaccine roll-out and the emergence from lockdown restrictions, the outlook remains uncertain. The Group remains absolutely focused on supporting its customers and Helping Britain Recover from the financial effects of the pandemic.

    The long-run transformation of the Group has positioned the business well to address the challenges of the pandemic. We have made a strong start to the year with the quarterly results and on delivering Strategic Review 2021.

    It is with both pride and sadness that I will step down as Group Chief Executive later this month. Most importantly, the Group is well placed for sustainable success and the publication of Strategic Review 2021 in February shows that the Group has clear execution outcomes for 2021, underpinned by long-term strategic vision. The Group also has exceptional people. I am very proud of all of our colleagues across the Group, who have again shown their continued dedication and relentless focus on supporting their customers through these challenging times."

    António Horta-Osório, Group Chief Executive

    "As this is António's last set of results, I would like to take this opportunity to thank him, on behalf of the Board, for his outstanding contribution. Over the last decade he has led the transformation of the business; delivering its purpose of Helping Britain Prosper whilst creating a truly customer focussed business underpinned by strong financial foundations."

    Robin Budenberg, Chair

     

     

     

     

    HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 MARCH 2021

    Solid financial performance reflects business momentum and improved economic outlook

    • Statutory profit after tax of £1,397 million supported by business momentum and a release of expected credit loss provisions, given the improved economic outlook. Statutory return on tangible equity of 13.9 per cent with tangible net assets per share of 52.4 pence
    • Recovering trading surplus of £1,748 million, a reduction of 12 per cent compared to the first three months of 2020, but an increase of 21 per cent on the final quarter of 2020
      • Net income of £3.7 billion, down 7 per cent year on year (up 2 per cent on the previous quarter), with higher average interest-earning assets of £439 billion, net interest margin of 2.49 per cent and other income of £1.1 billion
      • Total costs of £1.9 billion down 2 per cent, driven by continued operating cost control and lower remediation costs
    • Asset quality remains strong with credit experience benign. Net impairment credit of £323 million in the quarter, driven by a £459 million release given the UK's improved economic outlook. Management judgements in respect of coronavirus retained, now c.£1 billion including the £400 million central overlay taken in the fourth quarter

    Balance sheet and capital strength further enhanced

    • Capital build of 54 basis points in the quarter with CET1 ratio of 16.7 per cent, significantly ahead of the ongoing target of c.12.5 per cent, plus a management buffer of c.1 per cent and regulatory requirements of c.11 per cent
    • Loans and advances up £3.3 billion in the quarter to £443.5 billion, including £6.0 billion open mortgage book growth
    • Customer deposits up £11.7 billion in the quarter to £462.4 billion with Retail current accounts up £5.6 billion
    • Loan to deposit ratio of 96 per cent provides a strong liquidity position and significant potential to lend into recovery

    Outlook

    • Given the solid financial performance in the first quarter of 2021, the Group is enhancing its guidance for 2021. Based on the Group's current economic assumptions:
      • Net interest margin now expected to be in excess of 245 basis points
      • Operating costs to reduce to c.£7.5 billion
      • Net asset quality ratio now expected to be below 25 basis points
      • Risk-weighted assets in 2021 to be broadly stable on 2020
      • Statutory return on tangible equity now expected to be between 8 and 10 per cent, excluding c.2.5 percentage point benefit from tax rate changes
    • Accruing dividends with intention to resume progressive and sustainable ordinary dividend policy

     

     

     

     

     

     

    INCOME STATEMENT - UNDERLYING BASIS

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Mar
    2021

     

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Mar
    2020

     

     

    Change

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Dec 2020

     

     

    Change

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    %

     

    £m

     

     

    %

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Net interest income

    2,677 

     

     

     

    2,950 

     

     

     

    (9)

     

     

    2,677 

     

     

     

     

    Other income

    1,135 

     

     

     

    1,226 

     

     

     

    (7)

     

     

    1,066 

     

     

     

     

    Operating lease depreciation

    (148)

     

     

     

    (224)

     

     

     

    34 

     

     

    (150)

     

     

     

     

    Net income

    3,664 

     

     

     

    3,952 

     

     

     

    (7)

     

     

    3,593 

     

     

     

     

    Operating costs

    (1,851)

     

     

     

    (1,877)

     

     

     

     

     

    (2,028)

     

     

     

     

    Remediation

    (65)

     

     

     

    (87)

     

     

     

    25 

     

     

    (125)

     

     

     

    48 

     

    Total costs

    (1,916)

     

     

     

    (1,964)

     

     

     

     

     

    (2,153)

     

     

     

    11 

     

    Trading surplus

    1,748 

     

     

     

    1,988 

     

     

     

    (12)

     

     

    1,440 

     

     

     

    21 

     

    Impairment

    323 

     

     

     

    (1,430)

     

     

     

     

     

    (128)

     

     

     

     

    Underlying profit

    2,071 

     

     

     

    558 

     

     

     

     

     

    1,312 

     

     

     

    58 

     

    Restructuring

    (173)

     

     

     

    (63)

     

     

     

     

     

    (233)

     

     

     

    26 

     

    Volatility and other items

     

     

     

    (421)

     

     

     

     

     

    (202)

     

     

     

     

    Payment protection insurance provision

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    (85)

     

     

     

     

    Statutory profit before tax

    1,898 

     

     

     

    74 

     

     

     

     

     

    792 

     

     

     

     

    Tax (expense) credit

    (501)

     

     

     

    406 

     

     

     

     

     

    (112)

     

     

     

     

    Statutory profit after tax

    1,397 

     

     

     

    480 

     

     

     

     

     

    680 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Earnings per share

    1.8p

     

     

    0.5p

     

     

     

     

    0.7p

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Banking net interest margin

    2.49%

     

     

    2.79%

     

     

    (30)bp

     

    2.46%

     

     

    3bp

    Average interest-earning banking assets

    £439bn

     

     

    £432bn

     

     

     

     

    £437bn

     

     

     

    Cost:income ratio

    52.3%

     

     

    49.7%

     

     

    2.6pp

     

    59.9%

     

     

    (7.6)pp

    Asset quality ratio

    (0.29)%

     

     

    1.30%

     

     

    (159)bp

     

    0.11%

     

     

    (40)bp

    Return on tangible equity

    13.9%

     

     

    3.7%

     

     

    10.2pp

     

    5.9%

     

     

    8.0pp

     

     

    KEY BALANCE SHEET METRICS

     

    At 31 Mar
    2021

     

    At 31 Mar 2020

     

    Change

    %

     

    At 31 Dec 2020

     

    Change

    %

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Loans and advances to customers1

    £444bn

     

    £443bn

     

     

     

    £440bn

     

     

    Customer deposits2

    £462bn

     

    £428bn

     

     

     

    £451bn

     

     

    Loan to deposit ratio

    96%

     

    103%

     

    (7)pp

     

    98%

     

    (2)pp

    CET1 ratio3

    16.7%

     

    14.2%

     

    2.5pp

     

    16.2%

     

    0.5pp

    CET1 ratio pre IFRS 9 transitional relief3,4

    15.8%

     

    13.9%

     

    1.9pp

     

    15.0%

     

    0.8pp

    Transitional MREL ratio3

    36.1%

     

    34.5%

     

    1.6pp

     

    36.4%

     

    (0.3)pp

    UK leverage ratio3

    6.0%

     

    5.3%

     

    0.7pp

     

    5.8%

     

    0.2pp

    Risk-weighted assets

    £199bn

     

    £209bn

     

    (5)

     

     

    £203bn

     

    (2)

     

    Wholesale funding

    £106bn

     

    £126bn

     

    (16)

     

     

    £109bn

     

    (4)

     

    Liquidity coverage ratio (12 month average)

    134%

     

    138%

     

    (4)pp

     

    136%

     

    (2)pp

    Tangible net assets per share

    52.4p

     

    57.4p

     

    (5.0)p

     

    52.3p

     

    0.1p

    1. Excludes reverse repos of £52.8 billion (31 March 2020: £55.2 billion; 31 December 2020: £58.6 billion).
    2. Excludes repos of £8.5 billion (31 March 2020: £9.4 billion; 31 December 2020: £9.4 billion).
    3. Incorporating profits for the period that remain subject to formal verification in accordance with the Capital Requirements Regulation.
    4. CET1 ratio pre IFRS 9 transitional relief reflects the full impact of IFRS 9, prior to the application of transitional arrangements for capital that provide relief for the impact of IFRS 9.
     

    QUARTERLY INFORMATION

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Mar
    2021

     

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Dec
    2020

     

     

    Quarter
    ended
    30 Sep
    2020

     

     

    Quarter
    ended
    30 Jun
    2020

     

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Mar
    2020

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Net interest income

    2,677 

     

     

     

    2,677 

     

     

     

    2,618 

     

     

     

    2,528 

     

     

     

    2,950 

     

     

    Other income

    1,135 

     

     

     

    1,066 

     

     

     

    988 

     

     

     

    1,235 

     

     

     

    1,226 

     

     

    Operating lease depreciation

    (148)

     

     

     

    (150)

     

     

     

    (208)

     

     

     

    (302)

     

     

     

    (224)

     

     

    Net income

    3,664 

     

     

     

    3,593 

     

     

     

    3,398 

     

     

     

    3,461 

     

     

     

    3,952 

     

     

    Operating costs

    (1,851)

     

     

     

    (2,028)

     

     

     

    (1,858)

     

     

     

    (1,822)

     

     

     

    (1,877)

     

     

    Remediation

    (65)

     

     

     

    (125)

     

     

     

    (77)

     

     

     

    (90)

     

     

     

    (87)

     

     

    Total costs

    (1,916)

     

     

     

    (2,153)

     

     

     

    (1,935)

     

     

     

    (1,912)

     

     

     

    (1,964)

     

     

    Trading surplus

    1,748 

     

     

     

    1,440 

     

     

     

    1,463 

     

     

     

    1,549 

     

     

     

    1,988 

     

     

    Impairment

    323 

     

     

     

    (128)

     

     

     

    (301)

     

     

     

    (2,388)

     

     

     

    (1,430)

     

     

    Underlying profit (loss)

    2,071 

     

     

     

    1,312 

     

     

     

    1,162 

     

     

     

    (839)

     

     

     

    558 

     

     

    Restructuring

    (173)

     

     

     

    (233)

     

     

     

    (155)

     

     

     

    (70)

     

     

     

    (63)

     

     

    Volatility and other items

     

     

     

    (202)

     

     

     

    29 

     

     

     

    233 

     

     

     

    (421)

     

     

    Payment protection insurance provision

     

     

     

    (85)

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Statutory profit (loss) before tax

    1,898 

     

     

     

    792 

     

     

     

    1,036 

     

     

     

    (676)

     

     

     

    74 

     

     

    Tax (expense) credit

    (501)

     

     

     

    (112)

     

     

     

    (348)

     

     

     

    215 

     

     

     

    406 

     

     

    Statutory profit (loss) after tax

    1,397 

     

     

     

    680 

     

     

     

    688 

     

     

     

    (461)

     

     

     

    480 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Banking net interest margin

    2.49%

     

     

    2.46%

     

     

    2.42%

     

     

    2.40%

     

     

    2.79%

     

    Average interest-earning banking assets

    £439bn

     

     

    £437bn

     

     

    £436bn

     

     

    £435bn

     

     

    £432bn

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Cost:income ratio

    52.3%

     

     

    59.9%

     

     

    56.9%

     

     

    55.2%

     

     

    49.7%

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Asset quality ratio

    (0.29)%

     

     

    0.11%

     

     

    0.27%

     

     

    2.16%

     

     

    1.30%

     

    Gross asset quality ratio

    (0.18)%

     

     

    0.16%

     

     

    0.28%

     

     

    2.19%

     

     

    1.35%

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Return on tangible equity1

    13.9%

     

     

    5.9%

     

     

    6.0%

     

     

    (6.1)%

     

     

    3.7%

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Loans and advances to customers2

    £444bn

     

     

    £440bn

     

     

    £439bn

     

     

    £440bn

     

     

    £443bn

     

    Customer deposits3

    £462bn

     

     

    £451bn

     

     

    £447bn

     

     

    £441bn

     

     

    £428bn

     

    Loan to deposit ratio

    96%

     

     

    98%

     

     

    98%

     

     

    100%

     

     

    103%

     

    Risk-weighted assets

    £199bn

     

     

    £203bn

     

     

    £205bn

     

     

    £207bn

     

     

    £209bn

     

    Tangible net assets per share

    52.4p

     

     

    52.3p

     

     

    52.2p

     

     

    51.6p

     

     

    57.4p

     

    1. Revised basis, calculation shown on page 10.
    2. Excludes reverse repos.
    3. Excludes repos.

     

     

    BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS

     

    At 31 Mar
    2021

     

    At 31 Mar 2020

     

    Change

     

    At 31 Dec 2020

     

    Change

     

    £bn

     

    £bn

     

    %

     

    £bn

     

    %

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Loans and advances to customers

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Open mortgage book

    283.3 

     

     

    268.1 

     

     

     

     

    277.3 

     

     

     

    Closed mortgage book

    15.9 

     

     

    17.9 

     

     

    (11)

     

     

    16.5 

     

     

    (4)

     

    Credit cards

    13.5 

     

     

    16.7 

     

     

    (19)

     

     

    14.3 

     

     

    (6)

     

    UK Retail unsecured loans

    7.8 

     

     

    8.6 

     

     

    (9)

     

     

    8.0 

     

     

    (3)

     

    UK Motor Finance

    14.9 

     

     

    15.8 

     

     

    (6)

     

     

    14.7 

     

     

     

    Overdrafts

    0.9 

     

     

    1.2 

     

     

    (25)

     

     

    0.9 

     

     

     

    Retail other1

    10.3 

     

     

    9.3 

     

     

    11 

     

     

    10.4 

     

     

    (1)

     

    SME2

    41.1 

     

     

    32.0 

     

     

    28 

     

     

    40.6 

     

     

     

    Mid Corporates

    4.0 

     

     

    4.7 

     

     

    (15)

     

     

    4.1 

     

     

    (2)

     

    Corporate and Institutional

    45.6 

     

     

    60.9 

     

     

    (25)

     

     

    46.0 

     

     

    (1)

     

    Commercial Banking other

    4.1 

     

     

    4.9 

     

     

    (16)

     

     

    4.3 

     

     

    (5)

     

    Wealth

    1.0 

     

     

    0.9 

     

     

    11 

     

     

    0.9 

     

     

    11 

     

    Central items

    1.1 

     

     

    2.1 

     

     

    (48)

     

     

    2.2 

     

     

    (50)

     

    Loans and advances to customers3

    443.5 

     

     

    443.1 

     

     

     

     

    440.2 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Customer deposits

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Retail current accounts

    103.0 

     

     

    79.9 

     

     

    29 

     

     

    97.4 

     

     

     

    Commercial current accounts2,4

    47.2 

     

     

    34.5 

     

     

    37 

     

     

    47.6 

     

     

    (1)

     

    Retail relationship savings accounts

    158.2 

     

     

    144.1 

     

     

    10 

     

     

    154.1 

     

     

     

    Retail tactical savings accounts

    13.8 

     

     

    12.7 

     

     

     

     

    14.0 

     

     

    (1)

     

    Commercial deposits2,5

    125.5 

     

     

    142.5 

     

     

    (12)

     

     

    122.7 

     

     

     

    Wealth

    14.1 

     

     

    13.3 

     

     

     

     

    14.1 

     

     

     

    Central items

    0.6 

     

     

    1.4 

     

     

    (57)

     

     

    0.8 

     

     

    (25)

     

    Total customer deposits6

    462.4 

     

     

    428.4 

     

     

     

     

    450.7 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Total assets

    869.5 

     

     

    861.7 

     

     

     

     

    871.3 

     

     

     

    Total liabilities

    820.0 

     

     

    809.0 

     

     

     

     

    821.9 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Ordinary shareholders' equity

    43.4 

     

     

    46.6 

     

     

    (7)

     

     

    43.3 

     

     

     

    Other equity instruments

    5.9 

     

     

    5.9 

     

     

     

     

    5.9 

     

     

     

    Non-controlling interests

    0.2 

     

     

    0.2 

     

     

     

     

    0.2 

     

     

     

    Total equity

    49.5 

     

     

    52.7 

     

     

    (6)

     

     

    49.4 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Ordinary shares in issue, excluding own shares

    70,936m

     

    70,411m

     

     

     

    70,812m

     

     

    1. Primarily Europe.
    2. Includes Retail Business Banking.
    3. Excludes reverse repos.
    4. Primarily non interest-bearing Commercial Banking current accounts.
    5. Primarily Commercial Banking interest-bearing accounts.
    6. Excludes repos.
     

    REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE

    Solid financial performance reflects business momentum and improved economic outlook

    The Group's statutory profit before tax for the first quarter of 2021 was £1,898 million, benefiting from solid business momentum and a net impairment credit as a result of the UK's improved economic outlook. Underlying profit was £2,071 million, compared to £558 million in the first three months of 2020, reflecting both the improved impairment outcome and lower total costs, partially offset by lower net income. Trading surplus is recovering at £1,748 million, down 12 per cent compared to the first three months of 2020, but up 21 per cent on the fourth quarter of 2020.

    Net income
    Net interest income of £2,677 million was down 9 per cent year on year, impacted by a reduced banking net interest margin of 2.49 per cent, reflecting the lower rate environment. The Group's banking net interest margin was up 3 basis points compared to the fourth quarter of 2020 reflecting the continued optimisation of the Corporate and Institutional book within Commercial Banking, strong customer deposit inflows and funding and capital benefits following the liability management exercise in the fourth quarter of 2020. Relative to the fourth quarter of 2020, lower structural hedge net interest income was largely offset by growth in mortgage volumes at attractive margins.

    Average interest-earning banking assets were up 2 per cent compared to the first quarter of 2020 at £439 billion, driven by growth in the open mortgage book and an increase in government-backed lending. This was partially offset by lower balances in credit cards, motor finance and unsecured personal loans, as well as the effects of the continued optimisation of the Corporate and Institutional book within Commercial Banking. Low single-digit percentage growth in average interest-earning assets is now expected in 2021.

    The Group manages the risk to its earnings and capital from movements in interest rates centrally by hedging the net liabilities which are stable or less sensitive to movements in rates. As at 31 March 2021 the Group's structural hedge had an approved capacity of £210 billion (in-line with year-end 2020), a nominal balance of £207 billion (31 December 2020: £186 billion) which has increased towards approved capacity and a weighted-average duration of around three-and-a-half years (31 December 2020: around two-and-a-half years). The Group generated £0.5 billion (on a 3 month LIBOR basis) of gross income from the structural hedge balances in the first quarter of 2021 (first quarter of 2020: £0.7 billion, fourth quarter of 2020: £0.5 billion) with emerging benefits from higher market rates seen in the quarter. Following the end of the quarter, the Group's approved structural hedge capacity has been increased to £225 billion, capturing part of the liability growth since the beginning of 2020 and reflecting the Group's continued success in attracting current account balances over the last year.

    The Group now expects the net interest margin for 2021 to be in excess of 245 basis points.

    Other income of £1,135 million was 7 per cent lower than in the first quarter of 2020 reflecting lower levels of customer activity and new business as a consequence of the coronavirus pandemic, particularly within Retail and Insurance and Wealth. This was in part mitigated by strong performance in the Group's equity investment businesses. In aggregate the Group's other income was up 6 per cent relative to the fourth quarter of 2020, when the Group took a charge in Insurance and Wealth for the annual basis review.

    Operating lease depreciation reduced to £148 million (three months to 31 March 2020: £224 million) as a result of the continued impact of a smaller Lex fleet size, combined with a benefit from the more resilient used car price outlook of
    c.£30 million.

    Total costs
    Total costs of £1,916 million were 2 per cent lower than in the first three months of 2020, driven by continued control of operating costs, down 1 per cent at £1,851 million whilst continuing to prioritise investment in the business.

    The Group continues to expect operating costs for 2021 to reduce to c.£7.5 billion including net coronavirus-related costs and compensation headwinds.

     

     

    REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE (continued)

    Remediation charges of £65 million (three months to 31 March 2020: £87 million) were related to pre-existing programmes. As highlighted in the 2020 results, in relation to HBOS Reading, decisions from the independent panel re-review on direct and consequential losses will start to be issued during 2021. This is likely to result in further charges but it is not possible to estimate the potential impact at this stage.

    Impairment
    The impairment charge in the quarter was a net credit of £323 million, compared to a charge of £1,430 million in the first quarter of 2020. The net credit in the quarter was driven by continued strong asset quality with a low charge of £209 million given the continued benign credit environment and a £459 million release of expected credit loss (ECL) allowances resulting from improvements to the UK's economic outlook. The Group has retained the judgemental overlays applied at year end and has continued to offset modelled releases not deemed reflective of underlying risk. Management judgements in respect of coronavirus of c.£1 billion (31 December 2020: c.£0.9 billion) include a central £400 million overlay (31 December 2020: £400 million), as well as c.£600 million of judgements within the underlying portfolios (31 December 2020: c.£500 million).

    The Group's ECL allowance reduced in the quarter from £6.9 billion to £6.2 billion, of which £459 million resulted from improvements to the economic outlook, including the impact of the extension of the Government's Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme. Reductions in Commercial Banking ECL also reflect improved outcomes on restructuring cases, lower flows to default and recent reductions in exposures due to asset optimisation.

    The ECL allowance remains high by historical standards and is consistent with the Group's updated macroeconomic projections. It assumes that a large proportion of expected losses will crystallise over the next 12 to 18 months as support measures subside and unemployment increases.

    Observed credit performance has remained stable in the quarter, with the flow of assets into arrears, defaults and write-offs remaining at low levels in part due to the continued effectiveness of support schemes, including the Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme and payment holidays extended by the Group which have now largely matured. The Group has maintained judgemental ECL allowances in respect of losses assumed to have been suppressed over the last 12 months by support schemes, given that cumulative losses remain lower than would have ordinarily been anticipated.

    The Group's £400 million central overlay was added at year end in recognition of the significant uncertainty with regard to the efficacy of the vaccine, the vaccination rollout, potential virus mutations and economic performance post lockdown restrictions and Government support. Although the base case outlook has improved in the first quarter, the Group still considers these risks to remain and that the conditioning assumptions for the base case and associated scenarios around this do not necessarily capture these unprecedented risks.

    Given the benefit recognised in the first quarter of the year, the full year charge is now expected to be materially lower than the guidance set out at year-end. Based on the Group's improved economic assumptions, the net asset quality ratio for 2021 is now expected to be below 25 basis points.

     

     

    REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE (continued)

    Impairment charge

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Mar
    2021

     

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Mar
    2020

     

     

    Change

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Dec 2020

     

     

    Change

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    %

     

    £m

     

     

    %

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Charges pre-updated multiple economic scenarios1

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Retail

    321 

     

     

     

    325 

     

     

     

     

     

    383 

     

     

     

    16 

     

    Commercial Banking

    (111)

     

     

     

    52 

     

     

     

     

     

    41 

     

     

     

     

    Other

    (1)

     

     

     

    (9)

     

     

     

    89 

     

     

    (6)

     

     

     

    83 

     

     

    209 

     

     

     

    368 

     

     

     

    43 

     

     

    418 

     

     

     

    50 

     

    Coronavirus impacted restructuring cases2

    (73)

     

     

     

    218 

     

     

     

     

     

    (31)

     

     

     

     

    Updated economic outlook:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Retail

    (240)

     

     

     

    564 

     

     

     

     

     

    (417)

     

     

     

    42 

     

    Commercial Banking

    (219)

     

     

     

    280 

     

     

     

     

     

    (42)

     

     

     

     

    Other

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    200 

     

     

     

     

     

    (459)

     

     

     

    844 

     

     

     

     

     

    (259)

     

     

     

    (77)

     

    Impairment (credit) charge

    (323)

     

     

     

    1,430 

     

     

     

     

     

    128 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Asset quality ratio

    (0.29)%

     

     

    1.30%

     

     

    (159)bp

     

    0.11%

     

     

    (40)bp

    Gross asset quality ratio

    (0.18)%

     

     

    1.35%

     

     

    (153)bp

     

    0.16%

     

     

    (34)bp

    1. Charges based on economic assumptions as at 31 December 2019.
    2. Additional (releases)/charges on cases subject to restructuring at the end of 2019, where the coronavirus pandemic is considered to have had a direct effect upon the recovery strategy.

    ECL allowance as a percentage of drawn balances

     

    At 31 Mar

    20211

     

    At 31 Dec

    20201

     

    Change

     

    £m

     

    £m

     

    %

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Stage 2 gross loans and advances to customers

    53,626 

     

     

    60,514 

     

     

    (11)

     

    Stage 2 loans and advances to customers as % of total

    10.7%

     

    12.0%

     

    (1.3)pp

    Stage 2 ECL allowances2

    2,384 

     

     

    2,727 

     

     

    (13)

     

    Stage 2 ECL allowances2 as % of Stage 2 drawn balances

    4.4%

     

    4.5%

     

    (0.1)pp

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Stage 3 gross loans and advances to customers

    8,970 

     

     

    9,089 

     

     

    (1)

     

    Stage 3 loans and advances to customers as a % of total

    1.8%

     

    1.8%

     

     

    Stage 3 ECL allowances2

    2,348 

     

     

    2,508 

     

     

    (6)

     

    Stage 3 ECL allowances2 as % of Stage 3 drawn balances3

    27.1%

     

    28.6%

     

    (1.5)pp

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Total loans and advances to customers4

    502,055 

     

     

    505,129 

     

     

    (1)

     

    Total ECL allowance2

    6,194 

     

     

    6,832 

     

     

    (9)

     

    Total ECL allowances2 as % of drawn balances3

    1.2%

     

    1.4%

     

    (0.2)pp

    1. Underlying basis. Refer to basis of presentation on page 19.
    2. Expected credit loss.
    3. Total and Stage 3 ECL allowances as a percentage of drawn balances are calculated excluding loans in recoveries in Retail and Commercial Banking of £321 million (31 December 2020: £317 million). Comparatives restated to reflect exclusion of Commercial Banking recoveries.
    4. Includes reverse repos of £52.8 billion (31 December 2020: £58.6 billion).

    REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE (continued)

    Statutory profit
    Restructuring costs of £173 million, up from £63 million in the first quarter of 2020 but down from £233 million in the fourth quarter of 2020, reflected increased severance and technology research and development costs, as well as slightly higher property transformation costs. Volatility and other items reduced to net nil in the first quarter of 2021 (three months to 31 March 2020: net loss of £421 million) with positive insurance volatility and other gains offsetting fair value unwind and the amortisation of purchased intangibles.

    Return on tangible equity for the period was 13.9 per cent (three months to 31 March 2020: 3.7 per cent) and earnings per share were 1.8 pence (three months to 31 March 2020: 0.5 pence), both reflecting the benefit of the impairment credit.

    The Group recognised a tax expense of £501 million in the period compared to a credit of £406 million in the first three months of 2020. The prior year credit included an uplift in deferred tax assets following the announcement by the UK Government that it would maintain the corporation tax rate at 19 per cent. On 3 March 2021, the Government announced its intention to increase the rate of corporation tax from 19 per cent to 25 per cent with effect from 1 April 2023. Had this change in corporation tax rate been substantively enacted at 31 March 2021, the impact would have been to recognise a      c.£1 billion deferred tax credit in the income statement and a c.£150 million debit within other comprehensive income, increasing the Group's net deferred tax asset by c.£850 million.

    Given the improved outlook for both the net interest margin and asset quality ratio, the statutory return on tangible equity for 2021 is now expected to be between 8 and 10 per cent, excluding a c.2.5 percentage point benefit from tax rate changes.

    Balance sheet
    Loans and advances to customers were up £3.3 billion in the quarter at £443.5 billion, benefiting from an increase of £6.0 billion in the open mortgage book, more than offsetting lower unsecured Retail, Corporate and Institutional, and closed mortgage book balances. Customer deposits of £462.4 billion were up £11.7 billion in the quarter compared to £450.7 billion at 31 December 2020 and included a further increase in Retail current accounts of £5.6 billion to £103.0 billion. The Group's loan to deposit ratio of 96 per cent provides a strong liquidity position and significant potential to lend into recovery.

    Capital
    The Group's CET1 capital ratio has increased from 16.2 per cent at 31 December 2020 to 16.7 per cent, reflecting capital build in the quarter of 54 basis points, prior to the impact of the dividend accrual. Banking business capital build (pre impairments credit) of 55 basis points and underlying risk-weighted asset reductions of 31 basis points were partly offset by pension contributions and other movements of 26 basis points. The net impact of the impairments credit and partial release of IFRS 9 transitional relief during the quarter was a 6 basis points reduction which included 5 basis points relating to the phased reduction in static relief. The impact of the dividend accrual in the quarter equated to 5 basis points and is currently based upon a pro-rated amount of the 2020 full year dividend.

    As previously noted the Group will update the market on interim dividend payments with the half-year results, subsequent to reviewing the PRA's update on distributions which is expected ahead of the half-year results reporting cycle for the large UK banks. In the interim the Group's dividend accrual has been made on an appropriately prudent basis (as set out above) in accordance with PRA guidance. As previously stated, the Board intends to resume its progressive and sustainable ordinary dividend policy with the dividend at a higher level than 2020.

    The PRA is continuing to consult on a proposal to reverse the revised capital treatment of intangible software assets that was implemented in December 2020 via EU capital regulations. Should the PRA proceed with their proposal then the reinstatement of the original requirement to deduct these assets from capital will come into force during the year. This would lead to a c.50 basis points reduction in the Group's CET1 capital ratio (net of a reduction in associated risk-weighted assets) and based on the position at 31 March 2021 the ratio would reduce to 16.2 per cent.

     

    REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE (continued)

    Risk-weighted assets reduced by £3.8 billion during the quarter, primarily driven by optimisation activity undertaken in Commercial Banking of around £2.5 billion and foreign exchange and other market impacts of £1.1 billion, alongside limited credit migration and balance sheet growth. The Group continues to expect 2021 risk-weighted assets to be broadly stable on 2020.

    The Board's view of the ongoing level of CET1 capital required by the Group to grow the business, meet regulatory requirements and cover uncertainties remains at c.12.5 per cent, plus a management buffer of c.1 per cent. The Group's CET1 capital regulatory requirement is currently c.11 per cent.

    The transitional total capital ratio reduced to 23.0 per cent (31 December 2020: 23.3 per cent) and the transitional minimum requirement for own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL) reduced to 36.1 per cent (31 December 2020: 36.4 per cent) reflecting the impact of movements in rates and the annual reduction in transitional limits applied to legacy tier 1 and tier 2 instruments, which more than offset the increase in CET1 capital. The UK leverage ratio increased to 6.0 per cent.

     

    ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION

     
    1.                 Banking net interest margin and average interest-earning assets

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Mar
    2021

     

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Mar
    2020

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Group net interest income - statutory basis (£m)

    2,266 

     

     

     

    5,185 

     

     

    Insurance gross up (£m)

    352 

     

     

     

    (2,265)

     

     

    Volatility and other items (£m)

    59 

     

     

     

    30 

     

     

    Group net interest income - underlying basis (£m)

    2,677 

     

     

     

    2,950 

     

     

    Non-banking net interest expense (£m)

    26 

     

     

     

    44 

     

     

    Banking net interest income - underlying basis (£m)

    2,703 

     

     

     

    2,994 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Net loans and advances to customers (£bn)1

    443.5 

     

     

     

    443.1 

     

     

    Impairment provision and fair value adjustments (£bn)

    5.7 

     

     

     

    4.8 

     

     

    Non-banking items:

     

     

     

     

     

    Fee-based loans and advances (£bn)

    (4.9)

     

     

     

    (7.6)

     

     

    Other non-banking (£bn)

    (1.8)

     

     

     

    (3.1)

     

     

    Gross banking loans and advances (£bn)

    442.5 

     

     

     

    437.2 

     

     

    Averaging (£bn)

    (3.1)

     

     

     

    (5.6)

     

     

    Average interest-earning banking assets (£bn)

    439.4 

     

     

     

    431.6 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Banking net interest margin (%)

    2.49 

     

     

     

    2.79 

     

     

    1. Excludes reverse repos.
       
     
    1.                 Return on tangible equity

    As announced at the full year results, the Group has revised its definition of return on tangible equity. Statutory profit after tax is adjusted to deduct profit attributable to non-controlling interests and other equity holders and is divided by average tangible equity.

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Mar
    2021

     

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Mar
    2020

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Average ordinary shareholders' equity (£bn)

    43.3 

     

     

     

    44.1 

     

     

    Average intangible assets (£bn)

    (6.2)

     

     

     

    (6.1)

     

     

    Average tangible equity (£bn)

    37.1 

     

     

     

    38.0 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Group statutory profit after tax (£m)

    1,397 

     

     

     

    480 

     

     

    Less profit attributable to non-controlling interests and other equity holders (£m)

    (122)

     

     

     

    (132)

     

     

    Adjusted statutory profit after tax (£m)1

    1,275 

     

     

     

    348 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Return on tangible equity (%)1

    13.9 

     

     

     

    3.7 

     

     

    1. Revised basis, quarter ended 31 March 2020 restated.
     

    ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)

    1.                 Further impairment detail

    The analyses which follow have been presented on an underlying basis. Refer to basis of presentation on page 19.

    Impairment charge by division

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Mar
    2021

     

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Mar
    2020

     

     

    Change

     

    Quarter
    ended
    31 Dec
    2020

     

     

    Change

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    %

     

    £m

     

     

    %

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    UK Mortgages

    (72)

     

     

     

    160 

     

     

     

     

     

    (146)

     

     

     

    51 

     

    Credit cards

    28 

     

     

     

    349 

     

     

     

    92 

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Loans and overdrafts

    108 

     

     

     

    225 

     

     

     

    52 

     

     

    146 

     

     

     

    26 

     

    UK Motor Finance

    11 

     

     

     

    76 

     

     

     

    86 

     

     

    (42)

     

     

     

     

    Other

     

     

     

    79 

     

     

     

    92 

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Retail

    81 

     

     

     

    889 

     

     

     

     

     

    (34)

     

     

     

     

    Commercial Banking

    (403)

     

     

     

    550 

     

     

     

     

     

    (32)

     

     

     

     

    Insurance and Wealth

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    (2)

     

     

     

     

    Central Items

    (1)

     

     

     

    (10)

     

     

     

    90 

     

     

    196 

     

     

     

     

    Total impairment charge

    (323)

     

     

     

    1,430 

     

     

     

     

     

    128 

     

     

     

     

     

    Movements in ECL by division on an underlying basis

     

    ECL at
    31 Mar
    2021

     

     

    Net ECL

    increase/(decrease)

     

     

    Write-offs

    and other

     

     

    Income

    statement

    charge

     

     

    ECL at
    31 Dec
    2020

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    UK Mortgages

    1,518 

     

     

     

    (87)

     

     

     

    (15)

     

     

     

    (72)

     

     

     

    1,605 

     

     

    Credit cards

    894 

     

     

     

    (64)

     

     

     

    (92)

     

     

     

    28 

     

     

     

    958 

     

     

    Loans and overdrafts

    707 

     

     

     

    (8)

     

     

     

    (116)

     

     

     

    108 

     

     

     

    715 

     

     

    UK Motor Finance

    503 

     

     

     

     

     

     

    (9)

     

     

     

    11 

     

     

     

    501 

     

     

    Other

    221 

     

     

     

    (8)

     

     

     

    (14)

     

     

     

     

     

     

    229 

     

     

    Retail

    3,843 

     

     

     

    (165)

     

     

     

    (246)

     

     

     

    81 

     

     

     

    4,008 

     

     

    Commercial Banking

    1,932 

     

     

     

    (470)

     

     

     

    (67)

     

     

     

    (403)

     

     

     

    2,402 

     

     

    Other

    451 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    (1)

     

     

     

    450 

     

     

    Total1

    6,226 

     

     

     

    (634)

     

     

     

    (311)

     

     

     

    (323)

     

     

     

    6,860 

     

     

    1. Total ECL includes £32 million relating to other non customer-related assets (31 December 2020: £28 million).

    ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)

    Group loans and advances to customers and expected credit loss allowances - underlying basis

     

    Stage 1

     

     

    Stage 2

     

     

    Stage 3

     

     

    Total

     

     

    Stage 2

    as % of

    total

     

     

    Stage 3

    as % of

    total

     

    At 31 March 2021

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Loans and advances to customers

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    UK Mortgages

    260,458 

     

     

     

    35,838 

     

     

     

    4,428 

     

     

     

    300,724 

     

     

     

    11.9 

     

     

     

    1.5 

     

     

    Credit cards

    10,632 

     

     

     

    3,189 

     

     

     

    352 

     

     

     

    14,173 

     

     

     

    22.5 

     

     

     

    2.5 

     

     

    Loans and overdrafts

    7,652 

     

     

     

    1,439 

     

     

     

    324 

     

     

     

    9,415 

     

     

     

    15.3 

     

     

     

    3.4 

     

     

    UK Motor Finance

    12,947 

     

     

     

    2,256 

     

     

     

    232 

     

     

     

    15,435 

     

     

     

    14.6 

     

     

     

    1.5 

     

     

    Other

    18,170 

     

     

     

    1,218 

     

     

     

    182 

     

     

     

    19,570 

     

     

     

    6.2 

     

     

     

    0.9 

     

     

    Retail1

    309,859 

     

     

     

    43,940 

     

     

     

    5,518 

     

     

     

    359,317 

     

     

     

    12.2 

     

     

     

    1.5 

     

     

    SME

    28,063 

     

     

     

    3,322 

     

     

     

    860 

     

     

     

    32,245 

     

     

     

    10.3 

     

     

     

    2.7 

     

     

    Other

    46,297 

     

     

     

    6,331 

     

     

     

    2,526 

     

     

     

    55,154 

     

     

     

    11.5 

     

     

     

    4.6 

     

     

    Commercial Banking

    74,360 

     

     

     

    9,653 

     

     

     

    3,386 

     

     

     

    87,399 

     

     

     

    11.0 

     

     

     

    3.9 

     

     

    Insurance and Wealth

    856 

     

     

     

    33 

     

     

     

    59 

     

     

     

    948 

     

     

     

    3.5 

     

     

     

    6.2 

     

     

    Central items2

    54,384 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    54,391 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Total gross lending

    439,459 

     

     

     

    53,626 

     

     

     

    8,970 

     

     

     

    502,055 

     

     

     

    10.7 

     

     

     

    1.8 

     

     

    ECL allowance on drawn balances

    (1,273)

     

     

     

    (2,186)

     

     

     

    (2,340)

     

     

     

    (5,799)

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Net balance sheet carrying value

    438,186 

     

     

     

    51,440 

     

     

     

    6,630 

     

     

     

    496,256 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Group ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn)

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    UK Mortgages

    100 

     

     

     

    751 

     

     

     

    667 

     

     

     

    1,518 

     

     

     

    49.5 

     

     

     

    43.9 

     

     

    Credit cards

    190 

     

     

     

    532 

     

     

     

    172 

     

     

     

    894 

     

     

     

    59.5 

     

     

     

    19.2 

     

     

    Loans and overdrafts

    210 

     

     

     

    334 

     

     

     

    163 

     

     

     

    707 

     

     

     

    47.2 

     

     

     

    23.1 

     

     

    UK Motor Finance3

    177 

     

     

     

    171 

     

     

     

    155 

     

     

     

    503 

     

     

     

    34.0 

     

     

     

    30.8 

     

     

    Other

    51 

     

     

     

    117 

     

     

     

    53 

     

     

     

    221 

     

     

     

    52.9 

     

     

     

    24.0 

     

     

    Retail1

    728 

     

     

     

    1,905 

     

     

     

    1,210 

     

     

     

    3,843 

     

     

     

    49.6 

     

     

     

    31.5 

     

     

    SME

    130 

     

     

     

    162 

     

     

     

    123 

     

     

     

    415 

     

     

     

    39.0 

     

     

     

    29.6 

     

     

    Other

    193 

     

     

     

    316 

     

     

     

    999 

     

     

     

    1,508 

     

     

     

    21.0 

     

     

     

    66.2 

     

     

    Commercial Banking

    323 

     

     

     

    478 

     

     

     

    1,122 

     

     

     

    1,923 

     

     

     

    24.9 

     

     

     

    58.3 

     

     

    Insurance and Wealth

    11 

     

     

     

     

     

     

    10 

     

     

     

    22 

     

     

     

    4.5 

     

     

     

    45.5 

     

     

    Central items

    400 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    406 

     

     

     

     

     

     

    1.5 

     

     

    Total ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn)

    1,462 

     

     

     

    2,384 

     

     

     

    2,348 

     

     

     

    6,194 

     

     

     

    38.5 

     

     

     

    37.9 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Group ECL allowances (drawn and undrawn) as a % of loans and advances to customers4

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    UK Mortgages

     

     

     

    2.1 

     

     

     

    15.1 

     

     

     

    0.5 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Credit cards

    1.8 

     

     

     

    16.7 

     

     

     

    59.7 

     

     

     

    6.3 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Loans and overdrafts

    2.7 

     

     

     

    23.2 

     

     

     

    64.7 

     

     

     

    7.6 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    UK Motor Finance

    1.4 

     

     

     

    7.6 

     

     

     

    66.8 

     

     

     

    3.3 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Other

    0.3 

     

     

     

    9.6 

     

     

     

    40.2 

     

     

     

    1.1 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Retail1

    0.2 

     

     

     

    4.3 

     

     

     

    22.7 

     

     

     

    1.1 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    SME

    0.5 

     

     

     

    4.9 

     

     

     

    16.8 

     

     

     

    1.3 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Other

    0.4 

     

     

     

    5.0 

     

     

     

    39.6 

     

     

     

    2.7 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Commercial Banking

    0.4 

     

     

     

    5.0 

     

     

     

    34.5 

     

     

     

    2.2 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Insurance and Wealth

    1.3 

     

     

     

    3.0 

     

     

     

    16.9 

     

     

     

    2.3 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Central items

    0.7 

     

     

     

     

     

     

    85.7 

     

     

     

    0.7 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Total ECL allowances (drawn and undrawn) as a % of loans and advances to customers

    0.3 

     

     

     

    4.4 

     

     

     

    27.1 

     

     

     

    1.2 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    1. Retail balances exclude the impact of the HBOS and MBNA acquisition related adjustments.
    2. Includes reverse repos of £52.8 billion.
    3. UK Motor Finance for Stages 1 and 2 include £168 million relating to provisions against residual values of vehicles subject to finance leasing agreements. These provisions are included within the calculation of coverage ratios.
    4. Total and Stage 3 ECL allowances as a percentage of drawn balances exclude loans in recoveries in Retail of £186 million, and in Commercial Banking of £135 million.

    ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)

     

    Stage 1

     

     

    Stage 2

     

     

    Stage 3

     

     

    Total

     

     

    Stage 2

    as % of

    total

     

     

    Stage 3

    as % of

    total

     

    At 31 December 2020

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Loans and advances to customers

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    UK Mortgages

    253,043 

     

     

     

    37,882 

     

     

     

    4,459 

     

     

     

    295,384 

     

     

     

    12.8 

     

     

     

    1.5 

     

     

    Credit cards

    11,454 

     

     

     

    3,264 

     

     

     

    339 

     

     

     

    15,057 

     

     

     

    21.7 

     

     

     

    2.3 

     

     

    Loans and overdrafts

    7,710 

     

     

     

    1,519 

     

     

     

    307 

     

     

     

    9,536 

     

     

     

    15.9 

     

     

     

    3.2 

     

     

    UK Motor Finance

    12,786 

     

     

     

    2,216 

     

     

     

    199 

     

     

     

    15,201 

     

     

     

    14.6 

     

     

     

    1.3 

     

     

    Other

    17,879 

     

     

     

    1,304 

     

     

     

    184 

     

     

     

    19,367 

     

     

     

    6.7 

     

     

     

    1.0 

     

     

    Retail1

    302,872 

     

     

     

    46,185 

     

     

     

    5,488 

     

     

     

    354,545 

     

     

     

    13.0 

     

     

     

    1.5 

     

     

    SME

    27,015 

     

     

     

    4,500 

     

     

     

    791 

     

     

     

    32,306 

     

     

     

    13.9 

     

     

     

    2.4 

     

     

    Other

    43,543 

     

     

     

    9,816 

     

     

     

    2,733 

     

     

     

    56,092 

     

     

     

    17.5 

     

     

     

    4.9 

     

     

    Commercial Banking

    70,558 

     

     

     

    14,316 

     

     

     

    3,524 

     

     

     

    88,398 

     

     

     

    16.2 

     

     

     

    4.0 

     

     

    Insurance and Wealth

    832 

     

     

     

    13 

     

     

     

    70 

     

     

     

    915 

     

     

     

    1.4 

     

     

     

    7.7 

     

     

    Central items2

    61,264 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    61,271 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Total gross lending

    435,526 

     

     

     

    60,514 

     

     

     

    9,089 

     

     

     

    505,129 

     

     

     

    12.0 

     

     

     

    1.8 

     

     

    ECL allowance on drawn balances

    (1,385)

     

     

     

    (2,493)

     

     

     

    (2,495)

     

     

     

    (6,373)

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Net balance sheet carrying value

    434,141 

     

     

     

    58,021 

     

     

     

    6,594 

     

     

     

    498,756 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Group ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn)

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    UK Mortgages

    110 

     

     

     

    798 

     

     

     

    697 

     

     

     

    1,605 

     

     

     

    49.7 

     

     

     

    43.4 

     

     

    Credit cards

    250 

     

     

     

    548 

     

     

     

    160 

     

     

     

    958 

     

     

     

    57.2 

     

     

     

    16.7 

     

     

    Loans and overdrafts

    224 

     

     

     

    344 

     

     

     

    147 

     

     

     

    715 

     

     

     

    48.1 

     

     

     

    20.6 

     

     

    UK Motor Finance3

    197 

     

     

     

    171 

     

     

     

    133 

     

     

     

    501 

     

     

     

    34.1 

     

     

     

    26.5 

     

     

    Other

    46 

     

     

     

    124 

     

     

     

    59 

     

     

     

    229 

     

     

     

    54.1 

     

     

     

    25.8 

     

     

    Retail1

    827 

     

     

     

    1,985 

     

     

     

    1,196 

     

     

     

    4,008 

     

     

     

    49.5 

     

     

     

    29.8 

     

     

    SME

    142 

     

     

     

    234 

     

     

     

    126 

     

     

     

    502 

     

     

     

    46.6 

     

     

     

    25.1 

     

     

    Other

    217 

     

     

     

    507 

     

     

     

    1,169 

     

     

     

    1,893 

     

     

     

    26.8 

     

     

     

    61.8 

     

     

    Commercial Banking

    359 

     

     

     

    741 

     

     

     

    1,295 

     

     

     

    2,395 

     

     

     

    30.9 

     

     

     

    54.1 

     

     

    Insurance and Wealth

    11 

     

     

     

     

     

     

    11 

     

     

     

    23 

     

     

     

    4.3 

     

     

     

    47.8 

     

     

    Central items

    400 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    406 

     

     

     

     

     

     

    1.5 

     

     

    Total ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn)

    1,597 

     

     

     

    2,727 

     

     

     

    2,508 

     

     

     

    6,832 

     

     

     

    39.9 

     

     

     

    36.7 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Group ECL allowances (drawn and undrawn) as a % of loans and advances to customers4

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    UK Mortgages

     

     

     

    2.1 

     

     

     

    15.6 

     

     

     

    0.5 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Credit cards

    2.2 

     

     

     

    16.8 

     

     

     

    58.8 

     

     

     

    6.4 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Loans and overdrafts

    2.9 

     

     

     

    22.6 

     

     

     

    64.2 

     

     

     

    7.6 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    UK Motor Finance

    1.5 

     

     

     

    7.7 

     

     

     

    66.8 

     

     

     

    3.3 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Other

    0.3 

     

     

     

    9.5 

     

     

     

    39.3 

     

     

     

    1.2 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Retail1

    0.3 

     

     

     

    4.3 

     

     

     

    22.5 

     

     

     

    1.1 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    SME

    0.5 

     

     

     

    5.2 

     

     

     

    19.1 

     

     

     

    1.6 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Other

    0.5 

     

     

     

    5.2 

     

     

     

    42.9 

     

     

     

    3.4 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Commercial Banking

    0.5 

     

     

     

    5.2 

     

     

     

    38.2 

     

     

     

    2.7 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Insurance and Wealth

    1.3 

     

     

     

    7.7 

     

     

     

    15.7 

     

     

     

    2.5 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Central items

    0.7 

     

     

     

     

     

     

    85.7 

     

     

     

    0.7 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Total ECL allowances (drawn and undrawn) as a % of loans and advances to customers

    0.4 

     

     

     

    4.5 

     

     

     

    28.6 

     

     

     

    1.4 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    1. Retail balances exclude the impact of the HBOS and MBNA acquisition related adjustments.
    2. Includes reverse repos of £58.6 billion.
    3. UK Motor Finance for Stages 1 and 2 include £192 million relating to provisions against residual values of vehicles subject to finance leasing agreements. These provisions are included within the calculation of coverage ratios.
    4. Total and Stage 3 ECL allowances as a percentage of drawn balances exclude loans in recoveries in Retail of £179 million, and in Commercial Banking of £138 million.

    ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)

    Group Stage 2 loans and advances to customers - underlying basis

     

    Up to date

     

    1-30 days

    past due2

     

    Over 30 days past due

     

    Total

     

    PD movements

     

    Other1

     

     

     

     

    Gross

    lending

     

    ECL3

     

    Gross

    lending

     

    ECL3

     

    Gross

    lending

     

    ECL3

     

    Gross

    lending

     

    ECL3

     

    Gross

    lending

     

    ECL3

    £m

     

    £m

     

    £m

     

    £m

     

    £m

     

    £m

     

    £m

     

    £m

     

    £m

     

    £m

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    At 31 March 2021

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    UK Mortgages

    25,319 

     

     

    317 

     

     

    4,172 

     

     

    179 

     

     

    3,163 

     

     

    92 

     

     

    3,184 

     

     

    163 

     

     

    35,838 

     

     

    751 

     

    Credit cards

    2,897 

     

     

    417 

     

     

    189 

     

     

    76 

     

     

    75 

     

     

    24 

     

     

    28 

     

     

    15 

     

     

    3,189 

     

     

    532 

     

    Loans and overdrafts

    904 

     

     

    202 

     

     

    366 

     

     

    63 

     

     

    131 

     

     

    49 

     

     

    38 

     

     

    20 

     

     

    1,439 

     

     

    334 

     

    UK Motor Finance

    765 

     

     

    62 

     

     

    1,324 

     

     

    55 

     

     

    128 

     

     

    36 

     

     

    39 

     

     

    18 

     

     

    2,256 

     

     

    171 

     

    Other

    473 

     

     

    67 

     

     

    589 

     

     

    34 

     

     

    69 

     

     

     

     

    87 

     

     

     

     

    1,218 

     

     

    117 

     

    Retail

    30,358 

     

     

    1,065 

     

     

    6,640 

     

     

    407 

     

     

    3,566 

     

     

    210 

     

     

    3,376 

     

     

    223 

     

     

    43,940 

     

     

    1,905 

     

    SME

    3,026 

     

     

    148 

     

     

    208 

     

     

     

     

    35 

     

     

     

     

    53 

     

     

     

     

    3,322 

     

     

    162 

     

    Other

    6,055 

     

     

    307 

     

     

    100 

     

     

     

     

    60 

     

     

     

     

    116 

     

     

     

     

    6,331 

     

     

    316 

     

    Commercial Banking

    9,081 

     

     

    455 

     

     

    308 

     

     

    11 

     

     

    95 

     

     

     

     

    169 

     

     

     

     

    9,653 

     

     

    478 

     

    Insurance and Wealth

    19 

     

     

     

     

    11 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    33 

     

     

     

    Central items

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Total

    39,458 

     

     

    1,520 

     

     

    6,959 

     

     

    419 

     

     

    3,663 

     

     

    219 

     

     

    3,546 

     

     

    226 

     

     

    53,626 

     

     

    2,384 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    At 31 December 2020

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    UK Mortgages

    28,049 

     

     

    354 

     

     

    4,067 

     

     

    189 

     

     

    2,663 

     

     

    82 

     

     

    3,103 

     

     

    173 

     

     

    37,882 

     

     

    798 

     

    Credit cards

    2,916 

     

     

    422 

     

     

    220 

     

     

    78 

     

     

    92 

     

     

    28 

     

     

    36 

     

     

    20 

     

     

    3,264 

     

     

    548 

     

    Loans and overdrafts

    959 

     

     

    209 

     

     

    388 

     

     

    68 

     

     

    126 

     

     

    45 

     

     

    46 

     

     

    22 

     

     

    1,519 

     

     

    344 

     

    UK Motor Finance

    724 

     

     

    62 

     

     

    1,321 

     

     

    55 

     

     

    132 

     

     

    37 

     

     

    39 

     

     

    17 

     

     

    2,216 

     

     

    171 

     

    Other

    512 

     

     

    56 

     

     

    651 

     

     

    44 

     

     

    69 

     

     

    14 

     

     

    72 

     

     

    10 

     

     

    1,304 

     

     

    124 

     

    Retail

    33,160 

     

     

    1,103 

     

     

    6,647 

     

     

    434 

     

     

    3,082 

     

     

    206 

     

     

    3,296 

     

     

    242 

     

     

    46,185 

     

     

    1,985 

     

    SME

    4,229 

     

     

    219 

     

     

    150 

     

     

     

     

    40 

     

     

     

     

    81 

     

     

     

     

    4,500 

     

     

    234 

     

    Other

    9,505 

     

     

    501 

     

     

    97 

     

     

     

     

    37 

     

     

     

     

    177 

     

     

     

     

    9,816 

     

     

    507 

     

    Commercial Banking

    13,734 

     

     

    720 

     

     

    247 

     

     

     

     

    77 

     

     

     

     

    258 

     

     

     

     

    14,316 

     

     

    741 

     

    Insurance and Wealth

     

     

     

     

    12 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    13 

     

     

     

    Central items

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Total

    46,895 

     

     

    1,823 

     

     

    6,906 

     

     

    444 

     

     

    3,159 

     

     

    213 

     

     

    3,554 

     

     

    247 

     

     

    60,514 

     

     

    2,727 

     

    1. Includes forbearance, client and product-specific indicators not reflected within quantitative PD assessments.
    1. Includes assets that have triggered PD movements, or other rules, given that being 1-29 days in arrears in and of itself is not a Stage 2 trigger.
    2. Expected credit loss allowances on loans and advances to customers (drawn and undrawn).

     

    ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)

    UK economic assumptions - Base case scenario by quarter

    Key quarterly assumptions made by the Group are shown below. Gross domestic product is presented quarter on quarter, house price growth and commercial real estate growth is presented year on year.

     

    First

    quarter

    2021

    Second

    quarter

    2021

    Third

    quarter

    2021

    Fourth

    quarter

    2021

    First

    quarter

    2022

    Second

    quarter

    2022

    Third

    quarter

    2022

    Fourth

    quarter

    2022

     

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Gross domestic product

    (1.6)

     

    3.7 

     

    1.5 

     

    1.2 

     

    1.4 

     

    0.9 

     

    0.5 

     

    0.4 

     

    UK Bank Rate

    0.10 

     

    0.10 

     

    0.10 

     

    0.10 

     

    0.10 

     

    0.10 

     

    0.10 

     

    0.10 

     

    Unemployment rate

    5.2 

     

    5.6 

     

    6.2 

     

    7.0 

     

    6.7 

     

    6.3 

     

    6.0 

     

    5.7 

     

    House price growth

    4.9 

     

    6.1 

     

    0.7 

     

    (0.8)

     

    (0.8)

     

    (1.1)

     

    (0.4)

     

    0.5 

     

    Commercial real estate price growth

    (4.5)

     

    (1.0)

     

    (1.0)

     

    (1.8)

     

    (0.8)

     

    (0.2)

     

    1.2 

     

    1.9 

     

    UK economic assumptions - Scenarios by year

    Key annual assumptions made by the Group are shown below. Gross domestic product is presented as an annual change, house price growth and commercial real estate price growth are presented as the growth in the respective indices within the period. UK Bank Rate and unemployment rate are averages for the period.

    At 31 March 2021

    2021

    2022

    2023

    2024

    2025

    2021-2025

     

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    Upside

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Gross domestic product

    5.7 

     

    4.6 

     

    1.4 

     

    1.3 

     

    1.2 

     

    2.8 

     

    UK Bank Rate

    0.81 

     

    1.19 

     

    0.98 

     

    1.20 

     

    1.43 

     

    1.12 

     

    Unemployment rate

    4.9 

     

    4.9 

     

    4.4 

     

    4.2 

     

    4.1 

     

    4.5 

     

    House price growth

    0.8 

     

    4.0 

     

    6.0 

     

    4.3 

     

    3.6 

     

    3.7 

     

    Commercial real estate price growth

    9.3 

     

    4.8 

     

    2.3 

     

    (0.4)

     

    (0.4)

     

    3.1 

     

    Base case

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Gross domestic product

    5.0 

     

    5.0 

     

    1.6 

     

    1.3 

     

    1.3 

     

    2.8 

     

    UK Bank Rate

    0.10 

     

    0.10 

     

    0.21 

     

    0.44 

     

    0.69 

     

    0.31 

     

    Unemployment rate

    6.0 

     

    6.2 

     

    5.4 

     

    5.0 

     

    4.8 

     

    5.5 

     

    House price growth

    (0.8)

     

    0.5 

     

    2.2 

     

    1.7 

     

    1.7 

     

    1.1 

     

    Commercial real estate price growth

    (1.8)

     

    1.9 

     

    1.5 

     

    0.8 

     

    0.6 

     

    0.6 

     

    Downside

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Gross domestic product

    4.5 

     

    4.2 

     

    1.4 

     

    1.1 

     

    1.3 

     

    2.5 

     

    UK Bank Rate

    0.12 

     

    0.12 

     

    0.09 

     

    0.17 

     

    0.33 

     

    0.17 

     

    Unemployment rate

    6.9 

     

    7.7 

     

    6.9 

     

    6.3 

     

    5.9 

     

    6.8 

     

    House price growth

    (4.1)

     

    (6.9)

     

    (5.2)

     

    (3.9)

     

    (2.2)

     

    (4.5)

     

    Commercial real estate price growth

    (9.0)

     

    (4.0)

     

    (0.6)

     

    0.0 

     

    0.9 

     

    (2.6)

     

    Severe downside

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Gross domestic product

    2.8 

     

    3.4 

     

    1.1 

     

    1.3 

     

    1.4 

     

    2.0 

     

    UK Bank Rate

    0.03 

     

    0.01 

     

    0.02 

     

    0.03 

     

    0.05 

     

    0.03 

     

    Unemployment rate

    8.4 

     

    10.0 

     

    9.0 

     

    8.1 

     

    7.4 

     

    8.6 

     

    House price growth

    (5.9)

     

    (11.7)

     

    (10.7)

     

    (7.9)

     

    (4.1)

     

    (8.1)

     

    Commercial real estate price growth

    (19.8)

     

    (11.3)

     

    (4.7)

     

    (1.0)

     

    1.1 

     

    (7.5)

     

    ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)

    At 31 December 2020

    2020

    2021

    2022

    2023

    2024

    2020-2024

     

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    Upside

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Gross domestic product

    (10.5)

     

    3.7 

     

    5.7 

     

    1.7 

     

    1.5 

     

    0.3 

     

    UK Bank Rate

    0.10 

     

    1.14 

     

    1.27 

     

    1.20 

     

    1.21 

     

    0.98 

     

    Unemployment rate

    4.3 

     

    5.4 

     

    5.4 

     

    5.0 

     

    4.5 

     

    5.0 

     

    House price growth

    6.3 

     

    (1.4)

     

    5.2 

     

    6.0 

     

    5.0 

     

    4.2 

     

    Commercial real estate price growth

    (4.6)

     

    9.3 

     

    3.9 

     

    2.1 

     

    0.3 

     

    2.1 

     

    Base case

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Gross domestic product

    (10.5)

     

    3.0 

     

    6.0 

     

    1.7 

     

    1.4 

     

    0.1 

     

    UK Bank Rate

    0.10 

     

    0.10 

     

    0.10 

     

    0.21 

     

    0.25 

     

    0.15 

     

    Unemployment rate

    4.5 

     

    6.8 

     

    6.8 

     

    6.1 

     

    5.5 

     

    5.9 

     

    House price growth

    5.9 

     

    (3.8)

     

    0.5 

     

    1.5 

     

    1.5 

     

    1.1 

     

    Commercial real estate price growth

    (7.0)

     

    (1.7)

     

    1.6 

     

    1.1 

     

    0.6 

     

    (1.1)

     

    Downside

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Gross domestic product

    (10.6)

     

    1.7 

     

    5.1 

     

    1.4 

     

    1.4 

     

    (0.4)

     

    UK Bank Rate

    0.10 

     

    0.06 

     

    0.02 

     

    0.02 

     

    0.03 

     

    0.05 

     

    Unemployment rate

    4.6 

     

    7.9 

     

    8.4 

     

    7.8 

     

    7.0 

     

    7.1 

     

    House price growth

    5.6 

     

    (8.4)

     

    (6.5)

     

    (4.7)

     

    (3.0)

     

    (3.5)

     

    Commercial real estate price growth

    (8.7)

     

    (10.6)

     

    (3.2)

     

    (0.8)

     

    (0.8)

     

    (4.9)

     

    Severe downside

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Gross domestic product

    (10.8)

     

    0.3 

     

    4.8 

     

    1.3 

     

    1.2 

     

    (0.8)

     

    UK Bank Rate

    0.10 

     

    0.00 

     

    0.00 

     

    0.01 

     

    0.01 

     

    0.02 

     

    Unemployment rate

    4.8 

     

    9.9 

     

    10.7 

     

    9.8 

     

    8.7 

     

    8.8 

     

    House price growth

    5.3 

     

    (11.1)

     

    (12.5)

     

    (10.7)

     

    (7.6)

     

    (7.5)

     

    Commercial real estate price growth

    (11.0)

     

    (21.4)

     

    (9.8)

     

    (3.9)

     

    (0.8)

     

    (9.7)

     

    ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)

    ECL sensitivity to economic assumptions

    The measurement of ECL reflects an unbiased probability-weighted range of possible future economic outcomes. The Group achieves this by generating four economic scenarios to reflect the range of outcomes; the central scenario reflects the Group's base case assumptions used for medium-term planning purposes, an upside and a downside scenario are also selected together with a severe downside scenario. The base case, upside and downside scenarios carry a 30 per cent weighting; the severe downside is weighted at 10 per cent.

    The table below shows the Group's ECL for the upside, base case, downside and severe downside scenarios. The stage allocation for an asset is based on the overall scenario probability-weighted PD and, hence, the Stage 2 allocation is constant across all the scenarios. ECL applied through individual assessments and post-model adjustments is reported flat against each economic scenario, reflecting the basis on which they are evaluated.

    Probability-

    weighted

     

     

    Upside

     

     

    Base case

     

     

    Downside

     

     

    Severe

    downside

     

    Underlying basis

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

    £m

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    UK Mortgages

    1,518 

     

     

     

    1,088 

     

     

     

    1,285 

     

     

     

    1,736 

     

     

     

    2,854 

     

     

    Other Retail

    2,325 

     

     

     

    2,145 

     

     

     

    2,266 

     

     

     

    2,442 

     

     

     

    2,697 

     

     

    Commercial Banking

    1,932 

     

     

     

    1,572 

     

     

     

    1,777 

     

     

     

    2,124 

     

     

     

    2,898 

     

     

    Other

    451 

     

     

     

    451 

     

     

     

    451 

     

     

     

    451 

     

     

     

    451 

     

     

    At 31 March 2021

    6,226 

     

     

     

    5,256 

     

     

     

    5,779 

     

     

     

    6,753 

     

     

     

    8,900 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    UK Mortgages

    1,605 

     

     

     

    1,192 

     

     

     

    1,382 

     

     

     

    1,815 

     

     

     

    2,884 

     

     

    Other Retail

    2,403 

     

     

     

    2,216 

     

     

     

    2,345 

     

     

     

    2,522 

     

     

     

    2,780 

     

     

    Commercial Banking

    2,402 

     

     

     

    1,910 

     

     

     

    2,177 

     

     

     

    2,681 

     

     

     

    3,718 

     

     

    Other

    450 

     

     

     

    448 

     

     

     

    450 

     

     

     

    450 

     

     

     

    456 

     

     

    At 31 December 2020

    6,860 

     

     

     

    5,766 

     

     

     

    6,354 

     

     

     

    7,468 

     

     

     

    9,838 

     

     

     

    Application of judgement in adjustments to modelled ECL allowances

    Judgements are not typically assessed under each distinct economic scenario used to generate ECL, but instead are applied on the basis of final modelled ECL which reflects the probability weighted view of all scenarios. All adjustments are assessed quarterly and are subject to internal review and challenge, including by the Audit Committee, to ensure that amounts are appropriately calculated and that there are specific release criteria within a reasonable timeframe.

    The coronavirus pandemic and the various support measures that have been put in place have resulted in an economic environment which differs significantly from the historical economic conditions upon which the impairment models have been built. As a result, there is a need for management judgement to be applied, as seen in the elevated levels present since year end.

    Given continued macroeconomic uncertainties, the Group has retained the judgemental overlays applied at year end for coronavirus and other unrelated model limitations. Management judgements in respect of coronavirus of c.£1 billion (31 December 2020: c.£0.9 billion) include the central £400 million overlay (31 December 2020: £400 million) in respect of risks around base case conditioning assumptions which are not sufficiently captured by the Group's approach to multiple economic scenarios, as well as c.£600 million of judgements within the underlying portfolios (31 December 2020: c.£500 million).

     

    ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)

    Commercial Banking lending in key coronavirus-impacted sectors1

     

    At 31 March 2021

     

    At 31 December 2020

     

    Drawn

     

    Undrawn

     

    Drawn and undrawn

     

    Drawn as a % of Group loans and advances

     

    Drawn

     

    Undrawn

     

    Drawn and undrawn

     

    Drawn as a % of Group loans and advances

    £bn

     

    £bn

     

    £bn

     

    %

     

    £bn

     

    £bn

     

    £bn

     

    %

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Retail non-food

    2.1 

     

     

    1.6 

     

     

    3.7 

     

     

    0.4

     

    2.1 

     

     

    1.7 

     

     

    3.8 

     

     

    0.4

    Automotive dealerships2

    2.0 

     

     

    1.7 

     

     

    3.7 

     

     

    0.4

     

    1.8 

     

     

    2.0 

     

     

    3.8 

     

     

    0.4

    Oil and gas

    1.1 

     

     

    2.5 

     

     

    3.6 

     

     

    0.2

     

    1.1 

     

     

    2.7 

     

     

    3.8 

     

     

    0.2

    Construction

    0.7 

     

     

    1.5 

     

     

    2.2 

     

     

    0.1

     

    0.8 

     

     

    1.7 

     

     

    2.5 

     

     

    0.2

    Passenger transport

    1.4 

     

     

    0.8 

     

     

    2.2 

     

     

    0.3

     

    1.1 

     

     

    1.1 

     

     

    2.2 

     

     

    0.2

    Hotels

    1.6 

     

     

    0.3 

     

     

    1.9 

     

     

    0.4

     

    1.8 

     

     

    0.3 

     

     

    2.1 

     

     

    0.4

    Leisure

    0.5 

     

     

    0.7 

     

     

    1.2 

     

     

    0.1

     

    0.6 

     

     

    0.7 

     

     

    1.3 

     

     

    0.1

    Restaurants and bars

    0.6 

     

     

    0.4 

     

     

    1.0 

     

     

    0.1

     

    0.6 

     

     

    0.5 

     

     

    1.1 

     

     

    0.1

    Total

    10.0 

     

     

    9.5 

     

     

    19.5 

     

     

    2.0

     

    9.9 

     

     

    10.7 

     

     

    20.6 

     

     

    2.0

    1. Lending classified using ONS Standard Industrial Classification codes at legal entity level; drawn balances exclude c.£1 billion lending under the Coronavirus Business Interruption Loan Scheme and the Bounce Back Loan Scheme.
    2. Automotive dealerships includes Black Horse Motor Wholesale lending (within Retail).
     

    Support measures

    Retail payment holiday characteristics1

     

    Mortgages

     

    Cards

     

    Loans

     

    Motor

     

    Total

     

    000s

    £bn

     

    000s

    £bn

     

    000s

    £bn

     

    000s

    £bn

     

    000s

    £bn

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Total payment holidays granted

    491

    61.6 

     

     

    341

    1.7 

     

     

    304

    2.4 

     

     

    161

    2.2 

     

     

    1,297

    68.0 

     

    First payment holiday still in force

    6

    0.9 

     

     

    10

    0.0 

     

     

    7

    0.1 

     

     

    5

    0.1 

     

     

    29

    1.1 

     

    Matured payment holidays - repaying

    443

    55.4 

     

     

    282

    1.4 

     

     

    259

    2.1 

     

     

    139

    1.8 

     

     

    1,123

    60.7 

     

    Matured payment holidays - extended

    15

    2.0 

     

     

    9

    0.0 

     

     

    14

    0.1 

     

     

    6

    0.1 

     

     

    43

    2.3 

     

    Matured payment holidays - missed payment

    27

    3.3 

     

     

    41

    0.2 

     

     

    24

    0.2 

     

     

    11

    0.2 

     

     

    103

    3.9 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    As a percentage of total matured

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Matured payment holidays - repaying

    91%

    91%

     

    85%

    85%

     

    87%

    87%

     

    89%

    86%

     

    89%

    91%

    Matured payment holidays - extended

    3%

    3%

     

    3%

    3%

     

    5%

    5%

     

    4%

    5%

     

    3%

    3%

    Matured payment holidays - missed payment

    6%

    5%

     

    12%

    12%

     

    8%

    8%

     

    7%

    9%

     

    8%

    6%

    1. Data as at 31 March 2021. Analysis of mortgage payment holidays excludes St James Place, Intelligent Finance and Tesco; motor finance payment holidays excludes Lex Autolease. Total payment holidays granted are equal to the sum of first payment holiday still in force and matured payment holidays. Charged-off balances are included within missed payments. Totals and percentages calculated using unrounded numbers.

    Government-backed loan scheme approvals and value1

     

    000s

     

    £bn

     

     

     

     

    Coronavirus Business Interruption Loan Scheme

    10.5

     

    2.5

    Bounce Back Loan Scheme

    343.3

     

    9.7

    Coronavirus Large Business Interruption Loan Scheme

    0.1

     

    0.7

    Total

    353.9

     

    12.9

    1. Data as at 2 April 2021.
     

    BASIS OF PRESENTATION

    This release covers the results of Lloyds Banking Group plc together with its subsidiaries (the Group) for the three months ended 31 March 2021.

    Statutory basis: Statutory profit / loss before tax and statutory profit after tax are included within this document. However, a number of factors have had a significant effect on the comparability of the Group's financial position and results. Accordingly, the results are also presented on an underlying basis.

    Underlying basis: The statutory results are adjusted for certain items which are listed below, to allow a comparison of the Group's underlying performance

    1. Restructuring, including severance-related costs, property transformation, technology research and development, regulatory programmes and merger, acquisition and integration costs
    2. Volatility and other items, which includes the effects of certain asset sales, the volatility relating to the Group's hedging arrangements and that arising in the insurance businesses, the unwind of acquisition-related fair value adjustments and the amortisation of purchased intangible assets
    3. Payment protection insurance provisions

    Analyses of lending and ECL allowances are presented on an underlying basis. On a statutory basis, purchased or originated credit-impaired (POCI) assets include a fixed pool of mortgages that were purchased as part of the HBOS acquisition at a deep discount to face value reflecting credit losses incurred from the point of origination to the date of acquisition. Over time, these POCI assets will run off as the loans redeem, pay down or losses will be crystallised. The underlying basis assumes that the lending assets acquired as part of a business combination were originated by the Group and are classified as either Stage 1, 2 or 3 according to the change in credit risk over the period since origination. Underlying ECL allowances have been calculated accordingly. The Group uses the underlying basis to monitor the creditworthiness of the lending portfolio and related ECL allowances.

    On a statutory basis, reverse repurchase and repurchase transaction balances are accounted for as loans and advances to customers and as customer deposits, respectively. However, as such balances do not form part of the core lending and deposit-taking business of the Group they are excluded when reporting loans and advances to customers and customer deposits on an underlying basis.

    Unless otherwise stated, income statement commentaries throughout this document compare the three months to 31 March 2021 to the three months to 31 March 2020 and the balance sheet analysis compares the Group balance sheet as at 31 March 2021 to the Group balance sheet as at 31 December 2020.

    Alternative performance measures: The Group uses a number of alternative performance measures, including underlying profit, in the discussion of its business performance and financial position. There have been no changes to the definitions used by the Group; further information on these measures is set out on page 348 of the Group's 2020 Annual Report and Accounts.

    Capital: Capital and leverage ratios reported as at 31 March 2021 incorporate profits for the period that remain subject to formal verification in accordance with the Capital Requirements Regulation. The Q1 2021 Interim Pillar 3 Report can be found at: https://www.lloydsbankinggroup.com/investors/financial-downloads/

     

    FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

    This document contains certain forward looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and section 27A of the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended, with respect to the business, strategy, plans and/or results of Lloyds Banking Group plc together with its subsidiaries (the Group) and its current goals and expectations relating to its future financial condition and performance. Statements that are not historical or current facts, including statements about the Group's or its directors' and/or management's beliefs and expectations, are forward looking statements. Words such as 'believes', 'achieves', 'anticipates', 'estimates', 'expects', 'targets', 'should', 'intends', 'aims', 'projects', 'plans', 'potential', 'will', 'would', 'could', 'considered', 'likely', 'may', 'seek', 'estimate' and variations of these words and similar future or conditional expressions are intended to identify forward looking statements but are not the exclusive means of identifying such statements. Examples of such forward looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements or guidance relating to: projections or expectations of the Group's future financial position including profit attributable to shareholders, provisions, economic profit, dividends, capital structure, portfolios, net interest margin, capital ratios, liquidity, risk-weighted assets (RWAs), expenditures or any other financial items or ratios; litigation, regulatory and governmental investigations; the Group's future financial performance; the level and extent of future impairments and write-downs; statements of plans, objectives or goals of the Group or its management including in respect of statements about the future business and economic environments in the UK and elsewhere including, but not limited to, future trends in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, credit and equity market levels and demographic developments; statements about competition, regulation, disposals and consolidation or technological developments in the financial services industry; and statements of assumptions underlying such statements. By their nature, forward looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend upon circumstances that will or may occur in the future. Factors that could cause actual business, strategy, plans and/or results (including but not limited to the payment of dividends) to differ materially from forward looking statements made by the Group or on its behalf include, but are not limited to: general economic and business conditions in the UK and internationally; market related trends and developments; fluctuations in interest rates, inflation, exchange rates, stock markets and currencies; any impact of the transition from IBORs to alternative reference rates; the ability to access sufficient sources of capital, liquidity and funding when required; changes to the Group's credit ratings; the ability to derive cost savings and other benefits including, but without limitation, as a result of any acquisitions, disposals and other strategic transactions; potential changes in dividend policy; the ability to achieve strategic objectives; the Group's ESG targets and/or commitments; changing customer behaviour including consumer spending, saving and borrowing habits; changes to borrower or counterparty credit quality impacting the recoverability and value of balance sheet assets; concentration of financial exposure; management and monitoring of conduct risk; exposure to counterparty risk (including but not limited to third parties conducting illegal activities without the Group's knowledge); instability in the global financial markets, including Eurozone instability, instability as a result of uncertainty surrounding the exit by the UK from the European Union (EU) and the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement, instability as a result of the potential for other countries to exit the EU or the Eurozone, and the impact of any sovereign credit rating downgrade or other sovereign financial issues; political instability including as a result of any UK general election and any further possible referendum on Scottish independence; technological changes and risks to the security of IT and operational infrastructure, systems, data and information resulting from increased threat of cyber and other attacks; natural, pandemic (including but not limited to the COVID-19 pandemic) and other disasters, adverse weather and similar contingencies outside the Group's control; inadequate or failed internal or external processes or systems; acts of war, other acts of hostility, terrorist acts and responses to those acts, or other such events; geopolitical unpredictability; risks relating to sustainability and climate change, including the Group's ability along with the government and other stakeholders to manage and mitigate the impacts of climate change effectively; changes in laws, regulations, practices and accounting standards or taxation, including as a result of the UK's exit from the EU; changes to regulatory capital or liquidity requirements (including regulatory measures to restrict distributions to address potential capital and liquidity stress) and similar contingencies outside the Group's control; the policies, decisions and actions of governmental or regulatory authorities or courts in the UK, the EU, the US or elsewhere including the implementation and interpretation of key laws, legislation and regulation together with any resulting impact on the future structure of the Group; the ability to attract and retain senior management and other employees and meet its diversity objectives; actions or omissions by the Group's directors, management or employees including industrial action; changes in the Group's ability to develop sustainable finance products and the Group's capacity to measure the climate impact from its financing activity, which may affect the Group's ability to achieve its climate ambition; changes to the Group's post-retirement defined benefit scheme obligations; the extent of any future impairment charges or write-downs caused by, but not limited to, depressed asset valuations, market disruptions and illiquid markets; the value and effectiveness of any credit protection purchased by the Group; the inability to hedge certain risks economically; the adequacy of loss reserves; the actions of competitors, including non-bank financial services, lending companies and digital innovators and disruptive technologies; and exposure to regulatory or competition scrutiny, legal, regulatory or competition proceedings, investigations or complaints. Please refer to the latest Annual Report on Form 20-F filed by Lloyds Banking Group plc with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC), which is available on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov, for a discussion of certain factors and risks. Lloyds Banking Group plc may also make or disclose written and/or oral forward looking statements in reports filed with or furnished to the SEC, Lloyds Banking Group plc annual reviews, half-year announcements, proxy statements, offering circulars, prospectuses, press releases and other written materials and in oral statements made by the directors, officers or employees of Lloyds Banking Group plc to third parties, including financial analysts. Except as required by any applicable law or regulation, the forward looking statements contained in this document are made as of today's date, and the Group expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward looking statements contained in this document to reflect any change in the Group's expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. The information, statements and opinions contained in this document do not constitute a public offer under any applicable law or an offer to sell any securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or financial instruments.

     

    CONTACTS

    For further information please contact:

     

    INVESTORS AND ANALYSTS
    Douglas Radcliffe

    Group Investor Relations Director

    020 7356 1571

    douglas.radcliffe@lloydsbanking.com

    Edward Sands

    Director of Investor Relations

    020 7356 1585

    edward.sands@lloydsbanking.com

    Eileen Khoo

    Director of Investor Relations

    07385 376435

    eileen.khoo@lloydsbanking.com

    Nora Thoden

    Director of Investor Relations - ESG

    020 7356 2334

    nora.thoden@lloydsbanking.com


    CORPORATE AFFAIRS
    Grant Ringshaw

    External Relations Director

    020 7356 2362

    grant.ringshaw@lloydsbanking.com

    Matt Smith

    Head of Media Relations

    020 7356 3522

    matt.smith@lloydsbanking.com

     

     

    Copies of this interim management statement may be obtained from:

    Investor Relations, Lloyds Banking Group plc, 25 Gresham Street, London EC2V 7HN

    The statement can also be found on the Group's website - www.lloydsbankinggroup.com

     

    Registered office: Lloyds Banking Group plc, The Mound, Edinburgh, EH1 1YZ

    Registered in Scotland No. 95000

     

     

     

     

     

    This information is provided by RNS, the news service of the London Stock Exchange. RNS is approved by the Financial Conduct Authority to act as a Primary Information Provider in the United Kingdom. Terms and conditions relating to the use and distribution of this information may apply. For further information, please contact rns@lseg.com or visit www.rns.com.



    28.04.2021 Dissemination of a Corporate News, transmitted by DGAP - a service of EQS Group AG.
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    Language: English
    Company: Lloyds Banking Group PLC
    Gresham Street
    EC2V 7HN London
    United Kingdom
    Phone: 020 7626 1500
    Internet: www.lloydsbankinggroup.com
    ISIN: GB0008706128
    WKN: 871784
    Listed: Regulated Unofficial Market in Berlin, Dusseldorf, Frankfurt, Hamburg, Hanover, Munich, Stuttgart, Tradegate Exchange; London, BX, SIX
    EQS News ID: 1189630

     
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