Petrel Res PLC - Auf in die Charts! - 500 Beiträge pro Seite
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ISIN: IE0001340177 · WKN: 694395 · Symbol: PET
0,0225
GBP
+9,76 %
+0,0020 GBP
Letzter Kurs 03.05.24 London
Werte aus der Branche Öl/Gas
Wertpapier | Kurs | Perf. % |
---|---|---|
1.300,00 | +23,81 | |
0,8529 | +22,54 | |
34,02 | +20,81 | |
0,8000 | +14,29 | |
19,650 | +11,77 |
Wertpapier | Kurs | Perf. % |
---|---|---|
12,145 | -8,89 | |
4,6700 | -10,19 | |
6,4900 | -10,97 | |
4,2000 | -11,39 | |
0,7400 | -22,11 |
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An alle Petrel-Neulinge:
Der Preis für Petrel wird in London "gemacht".
Bitte achtet auf die RT-Kurse an dieser Stelle.
Glück auf!
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Der Preis für Petrel wird in London "gemacht".
Bitte achtet auf die RT-Kurse an dieser Stelle.
Glück auf!
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Hier ist ein TOPLINK über Pressemitteilungen
zum aktuellen Stand des Ölgesetzes:
http://www.newsnow.co.uk/newsfeed/?name=Iraq+-+Oil
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zum aktuellen Stand des Ölgesetzes:
http://www.newsnow.co.uk/newsfeed/?name=Iraq+-+Oil
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!
Dieser Beitrag wurde vom System automatisch gesperrt. Bei Fragen wenden Sie sich bitte an feedback@wallstreet-online.de
... mal Faktor Pfundkurs ca. 1,48:
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In London wird der Kurs gemacht!!!
>>> Bei RNS => Verdopplung wahrscheinlich!
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>>> Bei RNS => Verdopplung wahrscheinlich!
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80k ...
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Iraq Oil, Gas & Petrochemical Summit
>>> Die Entscheidung am 28.-30.Mai 2007 in Amman!
http://www.iraqdevelopmentprogram.org/idp/events/iog/index.h…
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>>> Die Entscheidung am 28.-30.Mai 2007 in Amman!
http://www.iraqdevelopmentprogram.org/idp/events/iog/index.h…
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RNS RNS RNS RNS RNS RNS RNS RNS RNS RNS RNS RNS RNS RNS RNS
Petrel Resources PLC
13 March 2007
Petrel Resources PLC announces that it was informed today that Man Financial
Limited is interested in 2,614,095 ordinary shares in the Company, representing
3.78 per cent. of the issued share capital.
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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Petrel Resources PLC
13 March 2007
Petrel Resources PLC announces that it was informed today that Man Financial
Limited is interested in 2,614,095 ordinary shares in the Company, representing
3.78 per cent. of the issued share capital.
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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Es wird wieder gekauft:
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Amman to host Iraq oil summit
Posted: Monday, March 19, 2007
Jordan's capital Amman will host the Iraq Oil, Gas, Petrochemical & Electricity Summit in May.
The summit, to be held from May 28 to 30, 2007, will welcome representation from the Iraqi ministries of Oil, Industry & Minerals and Electricity, as well as the Iraq Energy Council, Investment Promotion Agency and the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) Ministry for Natural Resources.
It will also host many of the state companies operating under the Iraqi Ministry of Oil and senior representatives from the Iraq Reconstruction Management Office (IRMO), said an official spokesman.
For the most important sectors of the Iraqi economy, this historic landmark event will be the first of its kind since the formation of Iraq's Unity Government, with these key decision makers participating with the full intent of establishing relationships and entering into contractual negotiations with all international operators wishing to be part of both the upstream and downstream sectors.
Iraq has the world's second largest proven oil reserves and the government is now finalising its new hydrocarbon laws, following the declaration of the investment laws for the extractive industries.
More information on how to register for the summit is available at www.iraqdevelopmentprogram.org/idp/events/iog/index.htm´
TradeArabia News Service
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Posted: Monday, March 19, 2007
Jordan's capital Amman will host the Iraq Oil, Gas, Petrochemical & Electricity Summit in May.
The summit, to be held from May 28 to 30, 2007, will welcome representation from the Iraqi ministries of Oil, Industry & Minerals and Electricity, as well as the Iraq Energy Council, Investment Promotion Agency and the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) Ministry for Natural Resources.
It will also host many of the state companies operating under the Iraqi Ministry of Oil and senior representatives from the Iraq Reconstruction Management Office (IRMO), said an official spokesman.
For the most important sectors of the Iraqi economy, this historic landmark event will be the first of its kind since the formation of Iraq's Unity Government, with these key decision makers participating with the full intent of establishing relationships and entering into contractual negotiations with all international operators wishing to be part of both the upstream and downstream sectors.
Iraq has the world's second largest proven oil reserves and the government is now finalising its new hydrocarbon laws, following the declaration of the investment laws for the extractive industries.
More information on how to register for the summit is available at www.iraqdevelopmentprogram.org/idp/events/iog/index.htm´
TradeArabia News Service
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Freitag = Petreltag
Sunday Tribune Article 19/3/07
IRISH oil exploration company Petrel Resources has revealed that it plans to upgrade its current deals with the Iraqi government to production sharing agreements once the country's new petroleum law is passed.
"With regards to our development field in the south, we could work there now, " said the company's managing director, David Horgan.
Petrel are confident that the government will ratify its claim to the oil rights for a large chunk of land in the western Iraq, Western Desert Block 6.
The company may also aim to get a 'super giant' oilfield, which would yield over 10 billion barrels of oil. The new law would end the legal limbo in the Iraqi oil industry, which did not allow foreign oil companies to enter into production agreements there.
Petrel currently has contracts to study the Merjan oil field in central Iraq and to assist the state to bring the Subba & Luhais oil field in southern Iraq under production. Although the law does not specify the terms of production agreements, Horgan said that it was likely that Petrel would get 60 to 70% of the oil produced by its fields until it had recovered the cost of its investment and 20% after that.
However, Jon Marks, editor of Iraq Focus, a London-based specialist newsletter aimed at the oil industry, said it was unclear whether it was safe enough to extract oil at Petrel's proposed fields.
"There has been a decrease in violence in Baghdad due to the US push but it has been displaced to other areas, " he said. Marks added that there was a good chance that insurgents would start attacking foreign oil contractors. Although Petrel's proposed fields were the best geological prospect in Iraq, few other oil companies were confident of extracting oil outside the relatively stable Kurdish area in the north of the country.
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Sunday Tribune Article 19/3/07
IRISH oil exploration company Petrel Resources has revealed that it plans to upgrade its current deals with the Iraqi government to production sharing agreements once the country's new petroleum law is passed.
"With regards to our development field in the south, we could work there now, " said the company's managing director, David Horgan.
Petrel are confident that the government will ratify its claim to the oil rights for a large chunk of land in the western Iraq, Western Desert Block 6.
The company may also aim to get a 'super giant' oilfield, which would yield over 10 billion barrels of oil. The new law would end the legal limbo in the Iraqi oil industry, which did not allow foreign oil companies to enter into production agreements there.
Petrel currently has contracts to study the Merjan oil field in central Iraq and to assist the state to bring the Subba & Luhais oil field in southern Iraq under production. Although the law does not specify the terms of production agreements, Horgan said that it was likely that Petrel would get 60 to 70% of the oil produced by its fields until it had recovered the cost of its investment and 20% after that.
However, Jon Marks, editor of Iraq Focus, a London-based specialist newsletter aimed at the oil industry, said it was unclear whether it was safe enough to extract oil at Petrel's proposed fields.
"There has been a decrease in violence in Baghdad due to the US push but it has been displaced to other areas, " he said. Marks added that there was a good chance that insurgents would start attacking foreign oil contractors. Although Petrel's proposed fields were the best geological prospect in Iraq, few other oil companies were confident of extracting oil outside the relatively stable Kurdish area in the north of the country.
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Production Sharing Agreement 01/5/07
RNS Number:8331V
Petrel Resources PLC
01 May 2007
PETREL RESOURCES PLC
Petrel awarded Production Sharing Agreement in Jordan
* Petrel awarded PSA by Jordanian government covering East Safawi Block
* Highly prospective exploration territory, close to producing fields in both
Syria and Jordan
* 3 year exploration programme agreed, commencing with seismic interpretation
and acquisition to define drilling targets
Petrel Resources, the AIM-listed oil explorer and developer operating in Iraq,
has finalised a Production Sharing Agreement (PSA) on the East Safawi Block in
Jordan. The PSA Effective Date will be May 1st when it will be published in the
Official Gazette of Jordan.
The East Safawi Block forms part of the oil and gas prospective Arabian Desert.
The East Safawi block adjoins the producing gas field at Risha and neighbouring
oil producing blocks in Syria. The oil targets are in shallow formations and
there are well-established gas plays at deeper levels.
The Jordanian Production Sharing terms are world class. The contractor receives
60% of oil production - or gas equivalent - up to 10,000 barrels daily, with a
sliding scale to a 35% share of production over 100,000 barrels daily oil
equivalent.
The agreement allows for a 3 year first phase exploration. Initial work includes
seismic reprocessing and reinterpretation and new seismic. Targets identified
will be followed up by drilling. Work already completed by Petrel on the block
suggests a number of drillable targets. Drilling is expected to take place in
late 2008 - early 2009, depending on operational developments.
Jordan is a stable constitutional monarchy. The Jordanian authorities are
pro-business. Jordan is part of the Arab gas pipeline project and will be both a
contributor and reliable access route for Middle Eastern gas exports to Europe.
Petrel Managing Director, David Horgan, commented:
'This is a good block, in a highly prospective area: the Arabian Desert has both
oil and gas potential. With great terms already in place, we are starting work
straight away, reprocessing and acquiring seismic to identify drilling targets.
Winning the East Safawi Production Sharing Agreement is the culmination of three
years work with the Jordanian authorities. Terms are world-class, especially
for oil. Jordan is an excellent business location: secure, friendly and
pro-business, which geographically and geologically fits well into Petrel's
Iraq-centred strategy".
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RNS Number:8331V
Petrel Resources PLC
01 May 2007
PETREL RESOURCES PLC
Petrel awarded Production Sharing Agreement in Jordan
* Petrel awarded PSA by Jordanian government covering East Safawi Block
* Highly prospective exploration territory, close to producing fields in both
Syria and Jordan
* 3 year exploration programme agreed, commencing with seismic interpretation
and acquisition to define drilling targets
Petrel Resources, the AIM-listed oil explorer and developer operating in Iraq,
has finalised a Production Sharing Agreement (PSA) on the East Safawi Block in
Jordan. The PSA Effective Date will be May 1st when it will be published in the
Official Gazette of Jordan.
The East Safawi Block forms part of the oil and gas prospective Arabian Desert.
The East Safawi block adjoins the producing gas field at Risha and neighbouring
oil producing blocks in Syria. The oil targets are in shallow formations and
there are well-established gas plays at deeper levels.
The Jordanian Production Sharing terms are world class. The contractor receives
60% of oil production - or gas equivalent - up to 10,000 barrels daily, with a
sliding scale to a 35% share of production over 100,000 barrels daily oil
equivalent.
The agreement allows for a 3 year first phase exploration. Initial work includes
seismic reprocessing and reinterpretation and new seismic. Targets identified
will be followed up by drilling. Work already completed by Petrel on the block
suggests a number of drillable targets. Drilling is expected to take place in
late 2008 - early 2009, depending on operational developments.
Jordan is a stable constitutional monarchy. The Jordanian authorities are
pro-business. Jordan is part of the Arab gas pipeline project and will be both a
contributor and reliable access route for Middle Eastern gas exports to Europe.
Petrel Managing Director, David Horgan, commented:
'This is a good block, in a highly prospective area: the Arabian Desert has both
oil and gas potential. With great terms already in place, we are starting work
straight away, reprocessing and acquiring seismic to identify drilling targets.
Winning the East Safawi Production Sharing Agreement is the culmination of three
years work with the Jordanian authorities. Terms are world-class, especially
for oil. Jordan is an excellent business location: secure, friendly and
pro-business, which geographically and geologically fits well into Petrel's
Iraq-centred strategy".
raiso
Sehr interessanter Artikel!
http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=31524
Die PR ist gut:
Petrel PSA Deal Shows New Attraction in Jordan Oil
By Sven Ridley-Wordich
07 May 2007 at 12:09 PM GMT-04:00
AMSTERDAM (ResourceInvestor.com) -- Irish-based oil and gas minnow Petrel Resources has reported that it has finalized a Production Sharing Agreement (PSA) on the East Safawi Block in Jordan.
The junior has struck a deal entailing a three-year exploration phase, which includes seismic work such as reprocessing and reinterpretation of existing data and acquiring new geophysical data. At the same time, Petrel will assess the option of an all-out drilling program late 2007 – early 2008. Petrel’s coup is remarkable as until now only majors, such as Petrobras or independents have been able to access the rather attractive undeveloped oil and gas reserves of Jordan.
Due to changes to the oil law, Jordan has become a very attractive area to operate. Analysts have stated that current PSA regulations have made Jordan to one of the top most attractive acreage holders in the world. In the new PSAs, Jordan awards concession holders 60% of total oil production or its equivalent in natural gas. The latter is feasible up to a production volume of 10,000 bpd of crude oil. Production volumes higher than 10,000 bpd are receiving a sliding scale to 35% share of production over 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.
The new Petrel PSA is for the East Safawi Block, which is part of the highly oil and gas prospective Arabian Desert. Petrel is very optimistic about the potential, as the block borders a producing gas field at Risha and neighbouring oil producing blocks in Syria. Based on existing seismic interpretation, Petrel already has identified oil targets in shallow formations, with several gas plays at hand.
Petrel’s entering into Jordan follows several other major oil and gas companies setting up shop in Jordan. The Middle Eastern country always has been regarded as uninteresting due to security reasons and the lack of highly prospective areas. These assessments have, however, changed dramatically as of late.
After discovering a vast oil shale reserve, Jordan has entered into the same league as Canada. Jordan has become one of the top most attractive investment and operational acreage holders in regards to oil shale and heavy oil developments. Due to increased crude oil prices and the lack of accessible new reserves elsewhere, interest has been growing to develop the country’s oil shale.
Brazilian oil and gas major Petrobras has signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) in March 2007 with Jordan’s Natural Resources Authority (NRA) for a feasibility study for the exploration of oil shale reserves. The Brazilian major will assess the commercial viability of surface oil shale deposits in the Attarat umm Ghudran block in the centre of the kingdom.
At the same time, the NRA has been discussing with British-Dutch oil and gas major Shell [NYSE:RDS-B] the option of exploration and production of deep oil shale deposits. This would be the fourth MoU signed by the NRA lately for oil shale developments.
Oil Shale Energy of Jordan, the local/UK joint venture Jordan Energy & Mining and a Saudi/local consortium International Corporation for Oil Shale Investment are also currently setting up assessments. Jordan’s Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources has already stated that it could be presenting a new oil shale licensing round soon. The government is pursuing the development of 24 known surface oil shale deposits that contain more than 50 billion tonnes of geological reserves.
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http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=31524
Die PR ist gut:
Petrel PSA Deal Shows New Attraction in Jordan Oil
By Sven Ridley-Wordich
07 May 2007 at 12:09 PM GMT-04:00
AMSTERDAM (ResourceInvestor.com) -- Irish-based oil and gas minnow Petrel Resources has reported that it has finalized a Production Sharing Agreement (PSA) on the East Safawi Block in Jordan.
The junior has struck a deal entailing a three-year exploration phase, which includes seismic work such as reprocessing and reinterpretation of existing data and acquiring new geophysical data. At the same time, Petrel will assess the option of an all-out drilling program late 2007 – early 2008. Petrel’s coup is remarkable as until now only majors, such as Petrobras or independents have been able to access the rather attractive undeveloped oil and gas reserves of Jordan.
Due to changes to the oil law, Jordan has become a very attractive area to operate. Analysts have stated that current PSA regulations have made Jordan to one of the top most attractive acreage holders in the world. In the new PSAs, Jordan awards concession holders 60% of total oil production or its equivalent in natural gas. The latter is feasible up to a production volume of 10,000 bpd of crude oil. Production volumes higher than 10,000 bpd are receiving a sliding scale to 35% share of production over 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.
The new Petrel PSA is for the East Safawi Block, which is part of the highly oil and gas prospective Arabian Desert. Petrel is very optimistic about the potential, as the block borders a producing gas field at Risha and neighbouring oil producing blocks in Syria. Based on existing seismic interpretation, Petrel already has identified oil targets in shallow formations, with several gas plays at hand.
Petrel’s entering into Jordan follows several other major oil and gas companies setting up shop in Jordan. The Middle Eastern country always has been regarded as uninteresting due to security reasons and the lack of highly prospective areas. These assessments have, however, changed dramatically as of late.
After discovering a vast oil shale reserve, Jordan has entered into the same league as Canada. Jordan has become one of the top most attractive investment and operational acreage holders in regards to oil shale and heavy oil developments. Due to increased crude oil prices and the lack of accessible new reserves elsewhere, interest has been growing to develop the country’s oil shale.
Brazilian oil and gas major Petrobras has signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) in March 2007 with Jordan’s Natural Resources Authority (NRA) for a feasibility study for the exploration of oil shale reserves. The Brazilian major will assess the commercial viability of surface oil shale deposits in the Attarat umm Ghudran block in the centre of the kingdom.
At the same time, the NRA has been discussing with British-Dutch oil and gas major Shell [NYSE:RDS-B] the option of exploration and production of deep oil shale deposits. This would be the fourth MoU signed by the NRA lately for oil shale developments.
Oil Shale Energy of Jordan, the local/UK joint venture Jordan Energy & Mining and a Saudi/local consortium International Corporation for Oil Shale Investment are also currently setting up assessments. Jordan’s Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources has already stated that it could be presenting a new oil shale licensing round soon. The government is pursuing the development of 24 known surface oil shale deposits that contain more than 50 billion tonnes of geological reserves.
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Tageschart
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Petrel Resources Production Sharing Agreement
RNS Number:9736W
Petrel Resources PLC
22 May 2007
PETREL RESOURCES PLC
PRODUCTION SHARING AGREEMENT IN JORDAN FINALISED
* East Safawi Block is prospective exploration territory, close to producing
fields
* 3 year exploration programme agreed, commencing with technical analysis and
seismic to define drilling targets
Further to the announcement on 1 May, Petrel Resources, the AIM-listed oil
explorer and developer operating in Iraq, confirms finalisation of a Production
Sharing Agreement (PSA) on the East Safawi Block in Jordan. King Abdullah of
the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan attended the ceremony, where a total of $2.5
billion of investment was announced by the Jordanian authorities.
East Safawi forms part of the prospective Arabian Desert. The East Safawi block
adjoins the producing gas field at Risha and oil producing blocks in Syria. The
oil targets are in shallow formations and there are well-established gas plays
at depth.
Jordanian Production Sharing terms are clear and attractive. The contractor
receives 60% of oil production - or gas equivalent - up to 10,000 barrels daily,
with a sliding scale to a 35% share of production over 100,000 barrels daily oil
equivalent. There were no material objections to the Petrel contract in
parliament or elsewhere.
The agreement envisages a 3 year first phase exploration. Initial work includes
seismic reprocessing and reinterpretation and new seismic. Targets identified
are expected to be drilled in 2008/09, depending on operational developments.
Jordan is a stable constitutional monarchy. Building on the success of his
father King Hussein, King Abdullah personally attended the East Safawi and other
signing ceremonies, which underlined Jordan's commitment to responsible
international investment.
Jordan's success, based on pro-business policies, is a model for the region.
Even political turbulence in neighbouring countries has been turned to advantage
by Jordan, which has attracted outstanding entrepreneurs and investment.
Historically, a concern was that Jordan is most prospective for gas. This is
now seen as an advantage, due to the massive international increase in demand
for natural gas, both in the region and further. With the Arab gas pipeline
project well advanced, and planned to extend to Turkey and into the European
network, Jordan will be both a supplier and reliable access route for Middle
Eastern gas exports to Europe.
Petrel Managing Director, David Horgan, commented:
'East Safawi is prospective: analysis reinforced our belief that the Arabian
Desert has considerable oil and gas potential.
At a time of resource nationalism elsewhere, we are heartened by Jordanian
consensus in favour of this project. There were no objections in Parliament or
the mainstream media to Petrel's contract. His Majesty publicly demonstrated
commitment by hosting the signing ceremony - giving comfort to citizens and
investors.
Winning the East Safawi Production Sharing Agreement is the culmination of three
years work. Terms are world-class, especially for oil. Jordan is both secure
and pro-business, complementing Petrel's Iraq-centred strategy'.
Contacts:
David Horgan, Managing Director + 353 87 292 3500
John Teeling, Chairman + 353 1 8332833
College Hill
Paddy Blewer +44 (0)20 7457 2074
Nick Elwes
Blue Oar Securities
John Wakefield +44 (0) 117 93300
Directors: John Teeling, Chairman, David Horgan, Managing, Guy Delbes (FR), Stefano Borghi (ITL), Jim Finn, Company
Secretary
Registered Office: 162 Clontarf Road, Dublin 3, Ireland
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Iraqi politicians agree deal on sharing oil, says Kurd minister
Michael Howard in Sulaymaniya
Thursday June 21, 2007
The Guardian
Iraq\'s Kurdish leaders said last night they had struck an important deal with the central government in Baghdad over a law to divide up Iraq\'s oil revenues, which is seen by the Bush administration as one of the benchmarks in attempts to foster national reconciliation.
Ashti Hawrami, the minister for natural resources in the Kurdistan regional government, told the Guardian the text had been finalised late last night after 48 hours of \"tough bargaining\" with Baghdad. The deal represented \"a genuine revenue sharing agreement\" that was transparent and would benefit all the people of Iraq and help pull the country together, he said.
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Michael Howard in Sulaymaniya
Thursday June 21, 2007
The Guardian
Iraq\'s Kurdish leaders said last night they had struck an important deal with the central government in Baghdad over a law to divide up Iraq\'s oil revenues, which is seen by the Bush administration as one of the benchmarks in attempts to foster national reconciliation.
Ashti Hawrami, the minister for natural resources in the Kurdistan regional government, told the Guardian the text had been finalised late last night after 48 hours of \"tough bargaining\" with Baghdad. The deal represented \"a genuine revenue sharing agreement\" that was transparent and would benefit all the people of Iraq and help pull the country together, he said.
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Petrel Resources says Iraq oil projects on track despite turmoil UPDATE
(Adds interview with managing director)
LONDON (Thomson Financial) - Petrel Resources PLC said its oil fields in
southern Iraq are on track to be on stream by 2010, despite mounting violence
and unrest in the country.
The fields -- Subba and Luhais -- are capable of pumping up to 240,000
barrels a day, said Petrel, the contractor for the 197 mln usd project.
Petrel said it continues to search for more projects in war-torn Iraq and is
looking forward to the passage of the Hydrocarbon Law, which it believes will
open up "significant opportunities" for the company.
"We have worked in Iraq for eight years and understand the potential and the
need for oil development in the country," said chairman John Teeling.
"The imminent passing of the Hydrocarbon Law will offer numerous development
opportunities. With the backing of our partner, the Japanese giant Itochu Corp,
we hope to participate in these developments," he said.
The long-awaited Hydrocarbon Law, expected to be passed this year, aims to
open up Iraq's vast but largely undeveloped oil industry to foreign investors.
In 2006 Petrel and Itochu signed a strategic alliance agreement covering
future exploration work in Iraq.
Itochu assisted Petrel in the exploration and technical study of the Merjan
field. The technical and geological review of the field has been completed and
the results submitted to the Iraqi authorities.
Petrel's managing director David Horgan told Thomson Financial News in an
interview that the group is unperturbed by the political uncertainty that has
prevailed after the fall of Saddam Hussein in 2003.
"We're not worried about politics in Iraq. We've worked with the fifth
government in Iraq, (plus) four years under Saddam," he said.
Petrel's projects have not been affected by the escalating insurgency,
Horgan said, describing the southern part as a "much safer" place than the
northern and central areas.
"We're happy to stay in Iraq over the long term. We don't see any reason why
things won't work out in the end," he stressed.
The group found Iraqi oil officials "very honourable" and are only hoping to
adopt the "best practice" standards in order to attract more foreign capital,
said Horgan.
Iraq's proven oil reserves stand at about 115 bln barrels, and are the
world's third largest after those of Saudi Arabia and Iran. The cost of
producing oil in the country, estimated at below 2 usd a barrel, is probably the
lowest in the world, according to industry experts.
Several companies have sought alliances with Petrel, Horgan said, noting
that Itochu will be top of its list should it decide to get a partner in future
contracts, including Block 6.
The 10,000 square kilometre Block 6, located in the western desert, is
believed to be holding around 3-5 bln barrels of oil.
Petrel gave an update on its Iraqi projects after it unveiled a pretax loss
of 415,570 eur in 2006, against a loss of 481,535 eur previously. It has yet to
make revenues.
At 1.41 pm, Petrel shares were unchanged at 61 pence.
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(Adds interview with managing director)
LONDON (Thomson Financial) - Petrel Resources PLC said its oil fields in
southern Iraq are on track to be on stream by 2010, despite mounting violence
and unrest in the country.
The fields -- Subba and Luhais -- are capable of pumping up to 240,000
barrels a day, said Petrel, the contractor for the 197 mln usd project.
Petrel said it continues to search for more projects in war-torn Iraq and is
looking forward to the passage of the Hydrocarbon Law, which it believes will
open up "significant opportunities" for the company.
"We have worked in Iraq for eight years and understand the potential and the
need for oil development in the country," said chairman John Teeling.
"The imminent passing of the Hydrocarbon Law will offer numerous development
opportunities. With the backing of our partner, the Japanese giant Itochu Corp,
we hope to participate in these developments," he said.
The long-awaited Hydrocarbon Law, expected to be passed this year, aims to
open up Iraq's vast but largely undeveloped oil industry to foreign investors.
In 2006 Petrel and Itochu signed a strategic alliance agreement covering
future exploration work in Iraq.
Itochu assisted Petrel in the exploration and technical study of the Merjan
field. The technical and geological review of the field has been completed and
the results submitted to the Iraqi authorities.
Petrel's managing director David Horgan told Thomson Financial News in an
interview that the group is unperturbed by the political uncertainty that has
prevailed after the fall of Saddam Hussein in 2003.
"We're not worried about politics in Iraq. We've worked with the fifth
government in Iraq, (plus) four years under Saddam," he said.
Petrel's projects have not been affected by the escalating insurgency,
Horgan said, describing the southern part as a "much safer" place than the
northern and central areas.
"We're happy to stay in Iraq over the long term. We don't see any reason why
things won't work out in the end," he stressed.
The group found Iraqi oil officials "very honourable" and are only hoping to
adopt the "best practice" standards in order to attract more foreign capital,
said Horgan.
Iraq's proven oil reserves stand at about 115 bln barrels, and are the
world's third largest after those of Saudi Arabia and Iran. The cost of
producing oil in the country, estimated at below 2 usd a barrel, is probably the
lowest in the world, according to industry experts.
Several companies have sought alliances with Petrel, Horgan said, noting
that Itochu will be top of its list should it decide to get a partner in future
contracts, including Block 6.
The 10,000 square kilometre Block 6, located in the western desert, is
believed to be holding around 3-5 bln barrels of oil.
Petrel gave an update on its Iraqi projects after it unveiled a pretax loss
of 415,570 eur in 2006, against a loss of 481,535 eur previously. It has yet to
make revenues.
At 1.41 pm, Petrel shares were unchanged at 61 pence.
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David Horgan im Interview vor der Irak-Kommission am 08.06.07:
http://www.channel4.com/news/microsites/I/the_iraq_commissio…
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http://www.channel4.com/news/microsites/I/the_iraq_commissio…
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Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 31.048.714 von raiso am 06.08.07 12:01:14Hey raiso, schön dich zu "sehen"
So langsam trägt das Ding Früchte...
So langsam trägt das Ding Früchte...
Kurdish region passes own oil law
Web posted at: 8/7/2007 3:30:41
Source ::: REUTERS
ARBIL, Iraq • Iraq\'s largely autonomous Kurdish region passed its own oil law yesterday, despite Iraq\'s parliament having failed to pass a national law after months of negotiations by the country\'s main political blocs.
Kurdish officials stressed that it had been drawn up in line with the national constitution and did not contradict the federal law, which Iraq\'s leaders agreed on July 3 but has not yet been sent to parliament.
The draft federal oil law is now in limbo while the national parliament is on its summer break for the month of August. No date has been set to debate it.
Iraq has the world\'s third-largest oil reserves, which are mainly in the north and the south of the country.
The national hydrocarbon law is seen as pivotal by Washington to reconciling warring Iraqis, rebuilding Iraq\'s shattered economy and attracting foreign investment.
After a week-long debate, Kurdish lawmakers passed the Petroleum Law of the Kurdistan Region unanimously.
\"We have freedom and now we have a law that enables us to make new projects and sign new contracts for the benefit of our people,\" Kurdistan\'s Minister for Natural Resources, Ashti Hawrami said.
\"There is no problem with the previous contracts that we signed already before issuing this law, but we will review them to persuade all of them that these contracts are legal.\"
The Kurdistan region has signed several agreements with foreign companies.
The Kurdish law provides for the establishment of the Kurdistan National Oil Company and says \"the regional government shall share revenue derived from petroleum with all the people of Iraq.\"
Kurdistan forced renegotiation of the national hydrocarbon law, fearing that it gave the federal government too much control over oil exploration, revenue-sharing and negotiating contracts with foreign companies.
Web posted at: 8/7/2007 3:30:41
Source ::: REUTERS
ARBIL, Iraq • Iraq\'s largely autonomous Kurdish region passed its own oil law yesterday, despite Iraq\'s parliament having failed to pass a national law after months of negotiations by the country\'s main political blocs.
Kurdish officials stressed that it had been drawn up in line with the national constitution and did not contradict the federal law, which Iraq\'s leaders agreed on July 3 but has not yet been sent to parliament.
The draft federal oil law is now in limbo while the national parliament is on its summer break for the month of August. No date has been set to debate it.
Iraq has the world\'s third-largest oil reserves, which are mainly in the north and the south of the country.
The national hydrocarbon law is seen as pivotal by Washington to reconciling warring Iraqis, rebuilding Iraq\'s shattered economy and attracting foreign investment.
After a week-long debate, Kurdish lawmakers passed the Petroleum Law of the Kurdistan Region unanimously.
\"We have freedom and now we have a law that enables us to make new projects and sign new contracts for the benefit of our people,\" Kurdistan\'s Minister for Natural Resources, Ashti Hawrami said.
\"There is no problem with the previous contracts that we signed already before issuing this law, but we will review them to persuade all of them that these contracts are legal.\"
The Kurdistan region has signed several agreements with foreign companies.
The Kurdish law provides for the establishment of the Kurdistan National Oil Company and says \"the regional government shall share revenue derived from petroleum with all the people of Iraq.\"
Kurdistan forced renegotiation of the national hydrocarbon law, fearing that it gave the federal government too much control over oil exploration, revenue-sharing and negotiating contracts with foreign companies.
Nur noch 24 Tage...!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Iraq Ministry official invites international
companies to explore Iraq’s petrochem sector
Companies seeking to explore
commercial opportunities throughout
Iraq's petrochemical sector should look to
attend the forthcoming Iraq Oil, Gas,
Petrochemical & Electricity Summit,
which will take place in Dubai on
2-4 September 2007.
The summit will welcome a senior level delegation from the Iraqi Ministry of Industry & Minerals,
to be led by H.E. Fawzi Al-Hariri, Iraqi Minister of Industry & Minerals, who will be attending the
summit with a delegation of senior deputies and including the Director General for
Petrochemicals, the Director General for Petrochemical Industries and the Director General for
Petrochemical Investments.
H.E. Widad Osman, Minister of Industry for the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), will
also be attending the summit with a ministerial delegation.
These key decision makers will participate at the landmark summit, the first of its kind to bring
ministers and other senior officials to establish relationships and enter into contractual
negotiations with international energy operators.
These high level officials will be outlining requirements for the petrochemical sector, covering
issues such as refinery and petrochemical integration, feedstock flexibility and production
availability for petrochemical production, as well as focusing on new petrochemical projects.
The officials will also be making themselves available to hold private consultations with senior
executives from the pre-eminent energy operators. Only the best-in-breed companies will be
represented at board level at the summit, building the relationships that are crucial to the future
of Iraq's energy sector. The event has already attracted the leaders in this field including Exxon,
Chevron, BP, Basell, ABB, Siemens, BASF and Shell, to name but a few.
http://www.ameinfo.com/128683.html
raiso
Iraq Ministry official invites international
companies to explore Iraq’s petrochem sector
Companies seeking to explore
commercial opportunities throughout
Iraq's petrochemical sector should look to
attend the forthcoming Iraq Oil, Gas,
Petrochemical & Electricity Summit,
which will take place in Dubai on
2-4 September 2007.
The summit will welcome a senior level delegation from the Iraqi Ministry of Industry & Minerals,
to be led by H.E. Fawzi Al-Hariri, Iraqi Minister of Industry & Minerals, who will be attending the
summit with a delegation of senior deputies and including the Director General for
Petrochemicals, the Director General for Petrochemical Industries and the Director General for
Petrochemical Investments.
H.E. Widad Osman, Minister of Industry for the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), will
also be attending the summit with a ministerial delegation.
These key decision makers will participate at the landmark summit, the first of its kind to bring
ministers and other senior officials to establish relationships and enter into contractual
negotiations with international energy operators.
These high level officials will be outlining requirements for the petrochemical sector, covering
issues such as refinery and petrochemical integration, feedstock flexibility and production
availability for petrochemical production, as well as focusing on new petrochemical projects.
The officials will also be making themselves available to hold private consultations with senior
executives from the pre-eminent energy operators. Only the best-in-breed companies will be
represented at board level at the summit, building the relationships that are crucial to the future
of Iraq's energy sector. The event has already attracted the leaders in this field including Exxon,
Chevron, BP, Basell, ABB, Siemens, BASF and Shell, to name but a few.
http://www.ameinfo.com/128683.html
raiso
AGM Reminder
16 August 2007
WHEN: Wednesday 22nd August 2007
TIME: 12 Noon
WHERE: Westbury Hotel, Off Grafton Street, Dublin 2.
Dear Shareholder
After official business, David Horgan, will make a presentation on the current state of activities in Iraq.
The AGM will be preceded at 11am by the AGM of Connemara Mining Company. You are most welcome to attend.
Yours sincerely
John J Teeling
Chairman
16 August 2007
WHEN: Wednesday 22nd August 2007
TIME: 12 Noon
WHERE: Westbury Hotel, Off Grafton Street, Dublin 2.
Dear Shareholder
After official business, David Horgan, will make a presentation on the current state of activities in Iraq.
The AGM will be preceded at 11am by the AGM of Connemara Mining Company. You are most welcome to attend.
Yours sincerely
John J Teeling
Chairman
Independent.ie
Petrel aims to resist advances of majors
By Ciaran Byrne
Wednesday August 22 2007
http://www.independent.ie/business/irish/petrel-aims-to-resi…
The world's biggest oil companies are jockeying for position ahead of the expected passing of the country's new hydrocarbon laws.
A scramble for Iraq's vast energy resources is expected with the putting in place of the first legal framework for investing in the country's energy.
Major global firms have stayed away from Iraq, which has the world's third-largest oil reserves, because of the continuing bloody insurgency and lack of legal protections.
Companies such as Shell and BP have banned their personnel from Iraq but smaller companies such as Petrel, based in Dublin, have continued to operate there.
Operators
Now, the big players are expected to woo the smaller operators or even take them over - but Petrel is determined to ignore the overtures.
The company, which holds its agm in Dublin today, has been operating in Iraq since 1999 and employs 13 contractors in the country.
It has contracts worth $200m and managing director David Horgan expects the Iraqi government to ratify its claim to the oil rights for a large chunk of land in western Iraq.
Petrel, which is backed by Japanese industrial giant Itochu, is also hoping to win the rights to a "super giant" oilfield, which could yield over 10bn barrels of oil.
Mr Horgan told the Irish Independent: "We've been approached countless times and resisted. We have a sugar daddy ourselves (Itochu) and they fund half our overheads.
"We've been here since '99 and we're in a sweet spot for what's about to happen. We're an Irish firm with no baggage and we want to stay independent."
Mr Horgan rejected statements by some observers that the oil laws will trigger an unseemly scramble for rights that will have no benefit for ordinary Iraqi people.
He said: "We want to move forward. Many people are unemployed and lack the skills. We employ Iraqis on the ground and we want to make more progress."
Iraq has discovered reserves of 115bn barrels, of which only 40bn barrels have been developed. There are large parts of the country that remain unexplored.
"It was a high-risk strategy for some of these small companies to get involved in Iraq," said one London-based energy analyst at a private investment bank.
"But that's what they do - go where nobody else will go and get the head start. If the legal issues are sorted out, they will look quite attractive."
- Ciaran Byrne
Petrel aims to resist advances of majors
By Ciaran Byrne
Wednesday August 22 2007
http://www.independent.ie/business/irish/petrel-aims-to-resi…
The world's biggest oil companies are jockeying for position ahead of the expected passing of the country's new hydrocarbon laws.
A scramble for Iraq's vast energy resources is expected with the putting in place of the first legal framework for investing in the country's energy.
Major global firms have stayed away from Iraq, which has the world's third-largest oil reserves, because of the continuing bloody insurgency and lack of legal protections.
Companies such as Shell and BP have banned their personnel from Iraq but smaller companies such as Petrel, based in Dublin, have continued to operate there.
Operators
Now, the big players are expected to woo the smaller operators or even take them over - but Petrel is determined to ignore the overtures.
The company, which holds its agm in Dublin today, has been operating in Iraq since 1999 and employs 13 contractors in the country.
It has contracts worth $200m and managing director David Horgan expects the Iraqi government to ratify its claim to the oil rights for a large chunk of land in western Iraq.
Petrel, which is backed by Japanese industrial giant Itochu, is also hoping to win the rights to a "super giant" oilfield, which could yield over 10bn barrels of oil.
Mr Horgan told the Irish Independent: "We've been approached countless times and resisted. We have a sugar daddy ourselves (Itochu) and they fund half our overheads.
"We've been here since '99 and we're in a sweet spot for what's about to happen. We're an Irish firm with no baggage and we want to stay independent."
Mr Horgan rejected statements by some observers that the oil laws will trigger an unseemly scramble for rights that will have no benefit for ordinary Iraqi people.
He said: "We want to move forward. Many people are unemployed and lack the skills. We employ Iraqis on the ground and we want to make more progress."
Iraq has discovered reserves of 115bn barrels, of which only 40bn barrels have been developed. There are large parts of the country that remain unexplored.
"It was a high-risk strategy for some of these small companies to get involved in Iraq," said one London-based energy analyst at a private investment bank.
"But that's what they do - go where nobody else will go and get the head start. If the legal issues are sorted out, they will look quite attractive."
- Ciaran Byrne
Petrel Resources AGM Statement
RNS Number:6383C
Petrel Resources PLC
22 August 2007
Highlights of the Managing Director's Statement
Petrel Resources AGM
Dublin
22nd August, 2007
The expected passage of the Iraqi Hydrocarbon Law opens the door to full
participation by private companies in exploring for and developing Iraqi oil.
Iraq is one of the last great under explored and under developed onshore oil
provinces. The exploration success rate is high. Iraq's oil bearing structures
are large with straightforward reservoirs and low geological and engineering
risks. The deep horizons which provide most production in neighbouring Saudi
Arabia, Kuwait and Iran have to date been largely untouched in Iraq.
In normal circumstances a state oil company would limit foreign involvement, but
Iraq's rare circumstances require attractive terms to entice foreign investment
and technology. Our competitive advantage is our relationships built up over 10
years. We have the capacity and the ability to increase quickly recoveries from
existing reservoirs and to add new barrels to Iraq's reserves.
Petrel has been active in Iraq for the last decade. The successful management
of the large Subba & Luhais oil field development in Southern Iraq shows that
dedicated contractors can operate on the ground. To date, we have suffered no
direct incidents and have enjoyed the warm cooperation of local communities.
The Iraqi authorities and especially the Ministry of Oil, continue to be
committed to and supportive of our efforts.
Petrel continues to have favourable backing from suppliers. Our Iraqi and
international staff have shown exceptional dedication and flexibility. Apart
from on the ground activities, they have produced tenders for the development of
oil and gas fields which are considered the technical benchmark by the relevant
bodies. Our Technical Cooperation Agreement analysis and technology transfer
was also judged first rate. Our pioneering exploration work in the Western
desert blended local expertise with state of the art technology.
In Itochu, our Japanese partner, we have the long term support of one of the
world's largest downstream oil players.
Our shareholders have shown long term commitment in the face of sanctions and
war. Though political uncertainty remains, Iraq now has a sovereign elected
government committed to developing its hydrocarbons. Legal title to risk
sharing agreements will soon be a reality.
Petrel is demonstrating that it can operate in the oil rich South of Iraq. We
will continue to aggressively deepen and broaden our activities in this region.
All resolutions were passed at the meeting.
Contacts:
David Horgan, Managing Director + 353 87 292 3500
John Teeling, Chairman + 353 1 8332833
College Hill
Paddy Blewer +44 (0)20 7457 2074
Nick Elwes
Blue Oar Securities Plc
John Wakefield +44 (0) 117 933 0020
Simon Moynagh
www.petrelresources.com
Notes to Editors:
Petrel Resources is focused on the long-term objective of exploring for and
developing Iraqi oil & gas, in close cooperation with the Iraqi Ministry of Oil.
Petrel is the international company most active in Iraq since 2003. It
operates the largest Engineering Procurement and Supervision of Construction
(EPC) contract at the Subba & Luhais oil fields near Basra.
Petrel also operates the Merjan oil field Technical Cooperation Agreement in
partnership with Japanese conglomerate Itochu-Cieco.
Petrel has been working on Block 6 since 2002. Block 6 is the choice 10,000 sq
km block in the Iraqi Western Desert, with large structures and high potential
for Mesozoic oil and Paleozoic gas and condensate.
Petrel was launched under current management in 1997 and listed on the AIM in
August 2000. It has 1,800 shareholders, and is capitalised at approximately
#65m.
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
RNS Number:6383C
Petrel Resources PLC
22 August 2007
Highlights of the Managing Director's Statement
Petrel Resources AGM
Dublin
22nd August, 2007
The expected passage of the Iraqi Hydrocarbon Law opens the door to full
participation by private companies in exploring for and developing Iraqi oil.
Iraq is one of the last great under explored and under developed onshore oil
provinces. The exploration success rate is high. Iraq's oil bearing structures
are large with straightforward reservoirs and low geological and engineering
risks. The deep horizons which provide most production in neighbouring Saudi
Arabia, Kuwait and Iran have to date been largely untouched in Iraq.
In normal circumstances a state oil company would limit foreign involvement, but
Iraq's rare circumstances require attractive terms to entice foreign investment
and technology. Our competitive advantage is our relationships built up over 10
years. We have the capacity and the ability to increase quickly recoveries from
existing reservoirs and to add new barrels to Iraq's reserves.
Petrel has been active in Iraq for the last decade. The successful management
of the large Subba & Luhais oil field development in Southern Iraq shows that
dedicated contractors can operate on the ground. To date, we have suffered no
direct incidents and have enjoyed the warm cooperation of local communities.
The Iraqi authorities and especially the Ministry of Oil, continue to be
committed to and supportive of our efforts.
Petrel continues to have favourable backing from suppliers. Our Iraqi and
international staff have shown exceptional dedication and flexibility. Apart
from on the ground activities, they have produced tenders for the development of
oil and gas fields which are considered the technical benchmark by the relevant
bodies. Our Technical Cooperation Agreement analysis and technology transfer
was also judged first rate. Our pioneering exploration work in the Western
desert blended local expertise with state of the art technology.
In Itochu, our Japanese partner, we have the long term support of one of the
world's largest downstream oil players.
Our shareholders have shown long term commitment in the face of sanctions and
war. Though political uncertainty remains, Iraq now has a sovereign elected
government committed to developing its hydrocarbons. Legal title to risk
sharing agreements will soon be a reality.
Petrel is demonstrating that it can operate in the oil rich South of Iraq. We
will continue to aggressively deepen and broaden our activities in this region.
All resolutions were passed at the meeting.
Contacts:
David Horgan, Managing Director + 353 87 292 3500
John Teeling, Chairman + 353 1 8332833
College Hill
Paddy Blewer +44 (0)20 7457 2074
Nick Elwes
Blue Oar Securities Plc
John Wakefield +44 (0) 117 933 0020
Simon Moynagh
www.petrelresources.com
Notes to Editors:
Petrel Resources is focused on the long-term objective of exploring for and
developing Iraqi oil & gas, in close cooperation with the Iraqi Ministry of Oil.
Petrel is the international company most active in Iraq since 2003. It
operates the largest Engineering Procurement and Supervision of Construction
(EPC) contract at the Subba & Luhais oil fields near Basra.
Petrel also operates the Merjan oil field Technical Cooperation Agreement in
partnership with Japanese conglomerate Itochu-Cieco.
Petrel has been working on Block 6 since 2002. Block 6 is the choice 10,000 sq
km block in the Iraqi Western Desert, with large structures and high potential
for Mesozoic oil and Paleozoic gas and condensate.
Petrel was launched under current management in 1997 and listed on the AIM in
August 2000. It has 1,800 shareholders, and is capitalised at approximately
#65m.
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
raiso
Das Zocker-Ding wird schon bald zum Pennystock mutieren. Rette sich, wer kann!!
Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 33.945.468 von Cichla am 22.04.08 19:21:54
Das Zocker-Ding wird schon bald zum Pennystock mutieren. Rette sich, wer kann!!
Weil du das sagst wird die Aktie bestimmt nicht fallen.
Kannst ja gerne auf einen fallenden Kurs spekulieren wenn du möchtest.
Das Zocker-Ding wird schon bald zum Pennystock mutieren. Rette sich, wer kann!!
Weil du das sagst wird die Aktie bestimmt nicht fallen.
Kannst ja gerne auf einen fallenden Kurs spekulieren wenn du möchtest.
Meister Horgan spricht zur Lage im Ölmarkt...
... und der Pet-Kurs steigt!
Market tired of speculation means Opec's oil bubble is about to burst
David Horgan
http://www.tribune.ie/article.tvt?_scope=Tribune%2FBusiness%…
WE'RE in a speculative bubble for oil. Prices have soared and volatility increased. The higher the price, the greater the future premium. The market is about financial speculation, rather than a mechanism for consumers and producers to hedge risk.
This bubble will burst suddenly when hot money tires of the speculation and exits. Sudden price falls often happen. Demand is softening while new supply and substitutes emerge.
But we won't return to cheap oil. The Saudi Oil Minister's view that the new base level is under $80 is about right. This gives high returns to conventional oil projects and underwrites unconventional fuels and alternatives, which we need.
It's worth remembering that 2004 changed the markets. Industry observers were not surprised at price rises following the Iraq war: supply was tight in 2004. Invasion of Iraq, threats to Iran and strikes elsewhere raised the spectre of supply interruptions. Demand was exploding in 'Chindia' but also strong in Ireland and the USA. The situation has since changed: every year since 2005 consensus demand forecasts have been revised downwards - and now run at a third of normal. There's still demand growth in developing countries but it's subdued. If Chinese drove as much as say South Koreans, world consumption would rise by 12% - yet few Chinese seem keen to buy expensive fuel.
Opec cannot impose a ceiling The history of oil markets is about attempts to manage price - usually successfully. This effort collapsed since 2004, when prices surged through the 'Opec band'. Since physical trade became divorced from financial trade what can Opec or consumers do?
Opec is too afraid of a price collapse to act.
Opec can impose a floor but not a ceiling. The market will have to bust. We will not revert to the pre-bubble situation. The market will evolve into a more balanced but still not-cheap and volatile market.
But why do speculators now lead rather than follow? There have always been speculators and traders - but traditionally they have been specialists, aligned with real players. What's new AP is the emergence of 'Black Box' or momentum traders using technical analysis to exploit futures markets trends, by going long or short.
In classical theory they should increase volatility but not price.
But why are the speculators so bullish?
Bullish sentiment reflects longer term concerns: growth driving oil demand, worries about developing and transporting known reserves and worries about "peak oil".
When Colin Campbell published his 1999 book few punters took it seriously. They preferred the Economist's view that oil would fall to $7. Now peak oil has become fashionable. But the supply curve at $120 differs from that of $20. We passed peak production of conventional cheap onshore oil in 2001, but output has continued to grow due to higher recoveries from existing reservoirs, substitutes and especially exploring deeper offshore. We have used 46% of conventional oil but only 27% of the total including heavy oil, enhanced recovery and yet-to-find.
The world as a whole is different to individual fields: an undulating plateau is more likely than a precipitous decline. (David Horgan is MD of Petrel Resources)
raiso
... und der Pet-Kurs steigt!
Market tired of speculation means Opec's oil bubble is about to burst
David Horgan
http://www.tribune.ie/article.tvt?_scope=Tribune%2FBusiness%…
WE'RE in a speculative bubble for oil. Prices have soared and volatility increased. The higher the price, the greater the future premium. The market is about financial speculation, rather than a mechanism for consumers and producers to hedge risk.
This bubble will burst suddenly when hot money tires of the speculation and exits. Sudden price falls often happen. Demand is softening while new supply and substitutes emerge.
But we won't return to cheap oil. The Saudi Oil Minister's view that the new base level is under $80 is about right. This gives high returns to conventional oil projects and underwrites unconventional fuels and alternatives, which we need.
It's worth remembering that 2004 changed the markets. Industry observers were not surprised at price rises following the Iraq war: supply was tight in 2004. Invasion of Iraq, threats to Iran and strikes elsewhere raised the spectre of supply interruptions. Demand was exploding in 'Chindia' but also strong in Ireland and the USA. The situation has since changed: every year since 2005 consensus demand forecasts have been revised downwards - and now run at a third of normal. There's still demand growth in developing countries but it's subdued. If Chinese drove as much as say South Koreans, world consumption would rise by 12% - yet few Chinese seem keen to buy expensive fuel.
Opec cannot impose a ceiling The history of oil markets is about attempts to manage price - usually successfully. This effort collapsed since 2004, when prices surged through the 'Opec band'. Since physical trade became divorced from financial trade what can Opec or consumers do?
Opec is too afraid of a price collapse to act.
Opec can impose a floor but not a ceiling. The market will have to bust. We will not revert to the pre-bubble situation. The market will evolve into a more balanced but still not-cheap and volatile market.
But why do speculators now lead rather than follow? There have always been speculators and traders - but traditionally they have been specialists, aligned with real players. What's new AP is the emergence of 'Black Box' or momentum traders using technical analysis to exploit futures markets trends, by going long or short.
In classical theory they should increase volatility but not price.
But why are the speculators so bullish?
Bullish sentiment reflects longer term concerns: growth driving oil demand, worries about developing and transporting known reserves and worries about "peak oil".
When Colin Campbell published his 1999 book few punters took it seriously. They preferred the Economist's view that oil would fall to $7. Now peak oil has become fashionable. But the supply curve at $120 differs from that of $20. We passed peak production of conventional cheap onshore oil in 2001, but output has continued to grow due to higher recoveries from existing reservoirs, substitutes and especially exploring deeper offshore. We have used 46% of conventional oil but only 27% of the total including heavy oil, enhanced recovery and yet-to-find.
The world as a whole is different to individual fields: an undulating plateau is more likely than a precipitous decline. (David Horgan is MD of Petrel Resources)
raiso
Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 34.130.535 von raiso am 20.05.08 09:37:36Meister Horgan spricht zur Lage im Ölmarkt...
... und der Pet-Kurs steigt!
... und der Pet-Kurs steigt!
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