10th Annual Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Mobile Forecast Projects 70 Percent of Global Population Will Be Mobile Users With 1.5 Connections per Capita by 2020 - Seite 3

Machine-to-Machine (M2M) Connections and Wearable Devices Continue to Rise
M2M refers to applications that enable wireless and wired systems to communicate with other devices of the same ability (e.g., GPS/navigation, asset tracking, utility meters, security/surveillance video, healthcare monitoring, et al.). Wearable devices can be worn (e.g., smart watches and health monitors) and communicate to the network either directly via embedded cellular connectivity or through another device (primarily a smartphone) via Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, etc. Wearable devices are a subset of the M2M category in the forecast.

• By 2020, M2M connections will represent 26.4 percent of mobile-connected devices -- up from 7.7 percent in 2015.
• By 2020, M2M connections will generate 6.7 percent of total mobile traffic -- up from 2.7 percent in 2015.
• Global wearables will grow six-fold from 2015 to 2020.
• By 2020, there will be more than 600 million wearable devices in use, up from nearly 97 million in 2015.
  
  

Mobile Network Speeds and 4G Connection Growth

• Average global mobile network speeds will increase 3.2 fold from 2015 (2.0 Mbps) to 2020 (6.5 Mbps). Global 4G adoption is the primary catalyst for mobile speed improvements.
• By 2020:
  • 4G connections will account for 40.5 percent of all mobile connections -- up from 13.7 percent in 2015.
  • 3G connections will account for 38.7 percent of all mobile connections -- up from 33.7 percent in 2015.
  • 2G connections will account for 13.5 percent all mobile connections -- down from 52.3 percent in 2015.
• 4G traffic will grow 13-fold from 2015 to 2020.
• By 2020, 4G connections will account for 72 percent of total mobile data traffic -- up from 47 percent of total mobile data traffic in 2015.
  
  

Wi-Fi Hotspots Are Growing

• Globally, total Wi-Fi hotspots, including home spots, will grow 7X from 2015 (64 million) to 2020 (432 million). Globally, home spots will grow from 57 million (2015) to 423 million (2020).
• In 2015, monthly Wi-Fi offload traffic (3.9 exabytes) exceeded monthly mobile/cellular traffic (3.7 exabytes) for the first time.
• By 2020, 38.1 exabytes Wi-Fi offload traffic will be generated each month, continuing to exceed projected monthly mobile/cellular traffic (30.6 exabytes).