Chartanalyse zu E*Trade - Trader haben kurzfristig 25% Kurschance - 500 Beiträge pro Seite

[DRNASDAQ]

Da es hier im Board ja doch wenigstens ein paar E*Trade interessierte gibt hab ich dies zum Anlaß genommen um eine Chartanalyse durchzuführen.



Wie man anhand meiner Analyse bewegt sich E*Trade seit den schrecklichen Terroranschlägen vom 11. September in zwei äußerst intakten Aufwärtstrends. Die Aktie hat augrund Fundamentaler Nachrichten mitte Oktober, Anfang November, Anfang Dezember große Kurssprünge veranstaltet. Auf jede dieser Kursentwicklung erfolgte eine leichte Konsolidierung.
Interessant für uns ist aber besonders der Kurssprung von Anfang Oktober, der auf ein positiv überraschendes Quartalsergebnis zurückzuführen ist. In diesem Kurssprung bildete sich ein Runaway Gap, das dann gegen Ende Oktober gefüllt wurde.
Die Entwicklung deshalb so interessant, da die damalige Situation zur heutigen (meiner Meinung nach) vergleichbar ist.
Wieder dürften die Quartalsergebnisse gut ausfallen (Gewinnprognose wurde seitens E*Trade angehoben), die Meldung, daß E*Trade 20 Millionen eigene Aktien zurückkaufen will und seine Anteile von Softbank zurückkaufen will (vergl. Meldung von "The Bull Market" ) dürften zu dem ohnehin positiven Marktumfeld die Kauflust der Anleger schüren.
Dennoch denke ich, daß es trotz der fundamental guten Lage des Unternehmens zu einem zu schnellen und evtl. zu kräftigen Kursanstieg der Aktie kommen wird.
So dürfte meiner Meinung nach der erste Widerstand bei ca. 13-13,20$ relativ problemlos genommen werden. Der zweite Widerstand bei ca. 15,50$ dürfte dann aber meiner Meinung nach eine zu deutliche Hürde für E*Trade darstellen. So sollte die Aktie innerhalb der nächsten Tage das Niveau der zuletzt angesprochenen 15,50$ erreichen, dann aber vielleicht stark konsoliedíeren und das bereits entstandene Runaway Gap II im Bereich von 11,75$ auffüllen.

Fazit:
Ich rechne mit einer hohen Volatilität der Aktie für die nächste Woche. Risikobewußte Anleger sollten heute, möglichst vor Börsenöffnung in den USA probieren sich ein paar Stück zu ergattern. Der Kursverlauf in den USA könnte angesichts des positiven Marktumfelds und der erhöten Prognosen erfreulich verlaufen. Nach Börsenschluß werden dann die Zahlen veröffentlicht, welche dann für den weiteren Kursverlauf bestimmend sein sollten.

In diesem Sinne wünsche ich uns allen eine positive Woche

DRNASDAQ

P.S.: Falls das Bild nicht angezeigt werden sollte ist hier die URL: http://de.geocities.com/felix23382/chart.bmp

[Rbroker]

Hi, interessant ist auch die Entwicklung zum Benchmark. Als alter Etrader habe ich meine eigenen Diagramme seit Jahren angelegt. So wurde der Benchmark schon lange geschnitten und der Kurs läuft schön voraus (gleiches ist übrigens auch bei Netbank zu beobachten). Somit finde ich, daß ausreichend Kurspotential vorhanden ist.
MfG und auf steigende Kurse.
Rbroker

[DRNASDAQ]

So, wie von mir vorausgesagt wurde das Runaway Gap II geschlossen. Die weitergehende Konsolidierung ist auf die gespannte Marktsituation zurückzuführen und auf die von den Analysten angesprochene starke Kurssteigerung innerhalb der letzten Monate.
Vorsicht für die Aktie ist geboten, wenn sie unter 10$ rutscht, da dort eine Unterstützungslinie, sowie der Aufwärtstrend verläuft. Ebenfalls wachsam sollte man sein, wenn die Nasdaq unter die Charttechnisch wichtige Marke von 1930 Punkten rutscht.
Mein Tip daher: Leute die investiert sind sollten Aktien halten, da der Markt auch mal schnell drehen kann, der Rest steigt bei 10$ ein, was ungefähr 11€ entspricht. Sollte der Kurs signifikant unter die 10$ Marke rutschen MUß verkauft werden.

[Kunsti]

Gibt es denn nicht mal was neues von unserer E*Trade.Was den Kurs mal über 20€ steigen läßt?

[fegebesen]

Die E*TRADE Group Inc. gab gestern die Übernahme der US-amerikanischen Online-Trading-Plattform Tradescape bekannt. Mit der Übernahme wird die E*TRADE Group mit über 200.000 Trades täglich der größte Online Broker in den USA nach Handelsvolumen und übertrifft damit Ameritrade/Datek und Charles Schwab.

Weitere Details entnehmen Sie bitte der nachfolgenden Presseinformation.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

E*TRADE Financial Media Contact:
Connie Dotson
E*TRADE Group, Inc.
916-858-8835
[e-mail]

E*TRADE Financial Investor Relations Contact:
Robert Simmons
E*TRADE Group, Inc.
916-859-4004
[e-mail]


E*TRADE FINANCIAL TO ACQUIRE TRADESCAPE,
A LEADING ONSITE ACTIVE-TRADING PLATFORM,
AND ONLINE TRADING TECHNOLOGY FROM
A.B. WATLEY FOR $105 MILLION

• Acquisitions Allow E*TRADE Financial to Further Strengthen Diversification Strategy by Delivering Best of Breed in Onsite and Online Technology for Active Traders
• Purchases Enhance and Leverage E*TRADE Financial Multi-touchpoint Strategy
• Deal Will Be Immediately Accretive and Adds More Than 100,000 Trades Per Day

MENLO PARK, Calif., - April 10, 2002 - E*TRADE Group, Inc. (NYSE: ET) today announced a definitive agreement to acquire privately held Tradescape 1, a leading onsite active-trading platform, for $100 million in common stock. Also announced today is the acquisition of online trading technology from A.B. Watley, valued at $5 million. The combined acquisitions advance E*TRADE Financial`s diversification strategy, enabling the Company to continue growing its leadership position within the active customer segment by providing active traders a superior value proposition through innovative onsite and online technology.
Today’s announcements allow a broader customer base to leverage E*TRADE Financial’s many touchpoints, including its flagship E*TRADE Financial New York Center and the 20 Tradescape locations, providing active traders increased access to E*TRADE Financial’s diversified offerings. The Company`s multi-touchpoint strategy combined with the newly acquired Tradescape technology platform, powered by LightSpeedTM, will allow E*TRADE Financial to further enhance its Power E*TRADE offering for the active trader segment.
"E*TRADE Financial is rigorously disciplined in the execution of our very focused business model and acquisition strategy. It is based on finding those opportunities which are priced right for the marketplace and that add significant value to the Company, our shareowners and our stakeholders," said Christos M. Cotsakos, Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, E*TRADE Group, Inc. "We have the currency and resources for selective, disciplined acquisitions, allowing us to look at all opportunities, but select only the best. Through the strategic acquisitions of Tradescape and the A.B. Watley technology, at the right price and on the right terms, E*TRADE Financial is solidly positioning itself as a leading provider of active trading services."
The online trading technology from A.B. Watley provides the data delivery and presentation layer portions that power parts of the Company’s Power E*TRADE Pro product, giving E*TRADE the ability to independently manage all aspects of its Power E*TRADE offering. This transaction, coupled with Tradescape, will enable E*TRADE Financial to provide its active customers with the best of breed in onsite and online technology as it continues to combine features to develop the best solution for active traders.
"By acquiring enhanced product offerings and proprietary technologies, and by significantly increasing the number of transactions per day to over 200,000, E*TRADE Financial continues to accelerate our vision of becoming a global leader in the delivery of innovative and integrated personalized financial services to meet the unique needs of customer households and specific market segments," continued Cotsakos.
The Tradescape acquisition is expected to be slightly accretive to E*TRADE Financial earnings this year, within the Company`s current 2002 guidance, with an expected accretion of up to 10 percent to 2003 earnings per share from ongoing operations, including any payments associated with the contingent consideration.
The terms of the Tradescape deal include $100 million in common stock and additional contingent stock consideration of up to $180 million. The additional contingent consideration will become payable on a pro-rated basis only if Tradescape business exceeds certain aggressive earnings targets and revenue goals for the remainder of 2002 and all of calendar year 2003.
"Tradescape delivers incremental revenue at attractive margins and positions E*TRADE as a leader in daily average transactions," said Jarrett Lilien, Chief Brokerage Officer and Managing Director, Asia Pacific and Latin America, E*TRADE Group, Inc. "The performance-driven contingent stock consideration helps to ensure the value proposition of the deal in accordance with our disciplined acquisition strategy. Over a period of months, we have explored numerous alternatives and firmly concluded that the acquisition of Tradescape is the ideal choice."
The Tradescape acquisition includes the purchase of Momentum Securities, LLC, an onsite brokerage firm for individual professional traders, Tradescape Securities, LLC, a direct access brokerage firm for active online traders and Tradescape Technologies` high-speed direct access trading software, technology and network services. The acquisition does not include Market XT, which remains a subsidiary of Tradescape Corp.
"E*TRADE Financial is the perfect home for Tradescape," said Omar Amanat, Chief Executive Officer, Tradescape. "We are delighted to be joining such a fully integrated financial services provider that shares a similar philosophy of speed and excellence in trade execution. We look forward to leveraging their professionalism and strong brand, while contributing expertise and technologies that will be key elements in growing this active trader customer segment going forward."
Building on its efficient operating platform, the acquisition of these combined technologies provide E*TRADE Financial a powerful capability, delivering an increasingly dynamic real-time trading experience to its active traders. By acquiring the ability to control its own future in the active market, E*TRADE Financial is well positioned to seize opportunities that make strategic sense for its customers, shareowners and stakeholders, while also reinforcing its commitment to driving future growth among our core business lines.
The Tradescape transaction is subject to customary regulatory and closing conditions and is expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2002. Each of the acquisitions will be discussed in further detail during the Company`s upcoming first quarter 2002 earnings conference call scheduled for April 17, 2002.

About E*TRADE Financial
E*TRADE Financial brings together a personalized and fully integrated financial services solution that includes investing, banking, lending, planning and advice. Delivered in a multi-touchpoint platform, the products, services, content and information at E*TRADE Financial are available to customer households through E*TRADE Financial Centers, Zones, ATMs and branded web sites throughout the world. Securities products and services are offered by E*TRADE Securities, Incorporated (member NASD/SIPC), bank products and services are offered by E*TRADE Bank (member FDIC), mortgages are offered by E*TRADE Mortgage Corp., and E*TRADE Financial Advisor is a service of E*TRADE Advisory Services, Inc., an investment adviser registered with the SEC.


# # #


Important Notice
E*TRADE, the E*TRADE logo and Stateless Architecture are registered trademarks of E*TRADE Group, Inc. or its subsidiaries. The statements contained in this news release that are forward-looking are based on current expectations that are subject to a number of uncertainties and risks, and actual results may differ materially. The uncertainties and risks include, but are not limited to, changes in market activity, anticipated increases in the rate of new customer acquisition, the conversion of new visitors to the site to customers, seasonality, the development of new products and services, the enhancement of existing products and services, competitive pressures (including price competition), system failures, economic and political conditions, changes in consumer behavior and the introduction of competing products having technological and/or other advantages. Further information about these risks and uncertainties can be found in the information included in the annual report filed by E*TRADE Group, Inc. with the SEC on Form 10-K (including information under the caption "Risk Factors") and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q.

1 The Tradescape acquisition includes the purchase of Momentum Securities, LLC, an onsite brokerage firm for individual professional traders, Tradescape Securities, LLC, a direct access brokerage firm for active online traders and Tradescape Technologies` high-speed direct access trading software, technology and network services. The acquisition does not include Market XT, which remains a subsidiary of Tradescape Corp.