After the crash - when to get back in? - 500 Beiträge pro Seite

[Now_What]

I thought it would be cool to start an english language thread. It's easier for myself (I admit), and also, it should help our friends from the US who have been bringing all this money to Europe over the past year to join in the discussions.

The question is clear: when to get back into stocks. The answer isn't obvious, as:
- in the past, the way down has generally been much faster than the way up
- no-one wants to catch a "falling knive", i.e. buy too early
- everyone wants to snap up good value stocks at attractive levels ("buy the dips")

So timing is everything on the way down, more so than on the way up. Any suggestions? Let's have your thoughts- in English please.

[zehntausend]

speak german to me my friend

[098cba]

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 33.126.634 von Now_What am 22.01.08 10:32:14

Glaubst du im Ernst, dass auch nur ein Ami diesen Thread liest?
Na ja, jedenfalls hast du offenbar Sinn für Humor.

[mie]

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 33.126.634 von Now_What am 22.01.08 10:32:14

Hello now what,

when to buy again, that is a really good question. I have been in cash for quite some time now, so now I am hoping in making some profit out of this crisis.

I think it will be interesting how America reacts this afternoon. Normally I would expect at least a brisk countermovement, but if the crash has seen its bottom already I do not dare to say.

Greetings
mie

[Datteljongleur]

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 33.126.634 von Now_What am 22.01.08 10:32:14

Have you a stückle Schnur im Sack?
O yes en ganza Bobbel!

[towlander]

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 33.126.907 von 098cba am 22.01.08 10:54:04

if you don´t understand 0098cba:

"think you in reality, that too only one american this thread read?
go on, although have you obviously sense for humor"

[dicki31785]

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 33.126.634 von Now_What am 22.01.08 10:32:14

It is a very tough situation...due to the fact there is too much uncertainty in the market...I opened a thread(risk vs uncertainty) back in the summer with a very nice article concerning uncertainty and I think the factors described are even more applicable to todays situation...article is in englisch so take a look...

i sold all my stocks on janurary 4th so i hold 100% liquidity at this point...most of my money is working for me in a money market fund in the US...The subprimes brought the american economy to a screeching halt...though unlike many other i am still not totally convinced recession is coming...the american economy tends to reinvent itself many times due to the fact it is not so constrained by regulators as the european economies are...but right now the bears are in control...and till some good news comes(which might take awhile at least in the US) this is going to stay that way....espically in germany where we are known to be overly pessimistic...since i think recession is harder to fall into nowadays due to the fact of the globalized market which i hope will save the american economy...though i am still not sure what americans can export?!?computers...ipods...??!??since at the current $ price the exports should soar which they do not..

the question remains if the dive of stocks is an overreaction or justified...the future will tell...the first time i am going to look at stocks again when the dax hits the 6200 and if that doesn't hold 5000...i think the earnings season over here will be pretty decent...so that might give the stocks some traction..

but if not this could be a slaugtherhouse...since the banks in my opinion are trying to get their money back by going short...and selling the stocks meanwhile...and the small investors cannot conquer the banks, fonds, insurance groups...so in resume, in my opionion, the slide will continue until we hear some better news...maybe bank of america and apple can contribute to that today...though two stocks are not going to make or break the market...but if the dismal performances of US stocks continue the dax will follow...as it always does...
Kind regards,
CW

[shagerage]

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 33.126.830 von zehntausend am 22.01.08 10:49:23

[ICGDepp]

äh...mhh...ähh...jes...its e rili tricki sitjueschen