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Who�s in Your Fave 5 (Commodities)?
By Dr. Russell McDougal
You know I�m a resource guy. We�re in a long-term commodity bull market that will be one for the ages. Periodically, it�s ideal to take an inventory of exactly how we stand with particular sectors. Which are my favorites at the present time?
Let�s start with two �bonus� commodities. These are so special that all others pale in comparison.
These two beloved resources have been in a long and devastating bear market. In fact, they have seen little use for well over 200 years. This, in spite of the fact they are needed now more than ever. They are greatly appreciated by the masses of people yet abhorred by the political and financial crowd. You will never hear these mentioned on Bubblevision or Cramer.
Each of these forgotten substances has extraordinary uses in its own right. The real magic appears, however, when they are used in conjunction with each other. Ancient formulas have recently been unearthed that describe how best to combine them. Shockingly, when used together they can truly solve most of the ailments of modern day USA. Application of these ancient remedies will soon bring about honest money and honest markets once again. Our politicians will clean up their act and represent the Constitution and the citizens who put them in office. Lobbyists will be scrambling for cover. CEOs will be accountable to shareholders. A new syndicated show will soon debut�Name that Perpwalker! Too good to be true you think? You know by now I simply go where the truth leads.
Trump-like fortunes are set to be made for those that invest in these precious substances on a timely basis (or is Trump bankrupt again?). You�ll kick yourself for not thinking of this panacea yourself. While I�m dead set against anyone being lynched or maimed, I heartily recommend you�Go Long Tar and Feathers!
When this thing breaks, there�ll be an empty tar pit in California and nekked birds from coast to coast. An extreme shortage is on the horizon. It�s not going to be easy to fully cover the Pennsylvania Avenue and Wall Street bozos with their deserved attire. Maybe these newly fowled creatures will track some hot and sticky feathers into the nests of those who pull their strings.
The serious part of this editorial is finished now. Let�s now look at some other key commodities.
Silver-
Silver has had a really nice run the last five years. It is currently near $18 for good reason. It was suppressed for decades, but now the jig is up. I long ago lent unsolicited advice to the feds. They were too busy trying to rig markets and statistics to ever consider an intelligent approach to silver �management�.
As you can see, the price of silver was contained between $4 and $5 for an extended period. This virtually guaranteed higher silver prices because the miners couldn�t bring forth high quantities of silver at such low prices. The advice, at the time, was to let silver quickly and naturally head towards $8 or $9 and let the miners do their dirty work for them.
That would have been the sensible way to keep silver off the radar screen. It�s merely a commodity, right? It couldn�t possibly be competition to the global fiat currency system. Or could it? They insisted upon their futile attempts to hold silver down against its fundamentals. Oh well.
Some folks around the world have this strange idea that silver is actually money. There seems to be a lot of them too. That�s a tough battle to fight with fiat money heading to the crapper.
Silver has retraced some of its 2008 gains. That�s typically what happens when prices skyrocket. The long-term bull remains intact. The miners are still notbringing forth the supply required to put out this fire.
The advice to the silver managers remains the same. The miners will bring forth ample supply if they are allowed sufficient profits and sufficient time. Deny their profits and silver will just go that much higher before this bull market ends.
Silver should be a minimum of $30 right now. The longer it is suppressed, the higher it will go.
The silver mining stocks appear to have little connection with the physical substance. They remain depressed and unloved. You can make extraordinary profits from a particularly well chosen silver stock at present prices. All the more so at $25 or $30. Please don�t tell anyone, though, because some of us are still working on buying gobs of silver miners and explorers. Shhh�
Gold-
It�s pretty much the same story here with this precious metal. The knuckleheads at the Fed/Treasury have long tried to suppress this market against its fundamentals. That is a doomed strategy from the start. They attempted to force gold below $200. They wasted their supplies of gold in defending points that were way too low� $300, $350, $400, $500 etc. The advice at the time was to allow a high enough price that the miners could bring forth ample supply to keep the price down.
The anti-gold forces remain well behind the curve to this day. They have scared the crap out of the miners with all their suppressive shenanigans over the years. The miners remain on pins and needles in fear of the bottom dropping out of their product. They have yet to ramp up production. South African gold production is crippled by long standing government energy policies and subsequent power outages. Global production continues to fall in spite of seemingly �high� gold prices.
The fiat loving central planners have another opportunity to square things in the gold arena. Allow gold to go to $1250 as soon as possible and let it be known that it will stay at that level for an extended period. The gold companies would get quite excited and actually ply their trade. Gold would pour out of the ground in short order. There would likely be an oversupply in no time and the price of gold would stabilize and eventually maybe even go lower.
The miners would be happy. Mining shareholders would be happy. Most physical gold holders would be happy. Central banks would be able to cease their uneconomical dumping. The gold cartel could then turn its attention to more important things like rigging the stock market and fixing the broken clownbuck.
The exploration and mining stocks get less than Rodney Dangerfield respect these days. There is a chasm between the share prices and the price of gold. I continue to see the anomaly in the shares.
A bit of research would demonstrate the global historical affinity for all things gold. Do our elitist leaders know there are a bunch of people in India, China, the Middle East and other developing countries? These foreigners think of gold as money and they aren�t the ones that are confused.
Gold is performing its historic function. Government follies continue as far as the eye can see. We have yet to hit bottom. Gold will continue to grind higher. The present economic and monetary crisis could hardly be more precious metal friendly.
I�ll highlight a few more desirable commodities in next week�s edition. In the meantime, make sure you are loaded with gold and silver� but don�t neglect the tar and feathers!
Invest resourcefully,
Rusty
P.S. To let me know what you thought of today's article, send an e-mail to: feedback@investorsdailyedge.com.
By Dr. Russell McDougal
You know I�m a resource guy. We�re in a long-term commodity bull market that will be one for the ages. Periodically, it�s ideal to take an inventory of exactly how we stand with particular sectors. Which are my favorites at the present time?
Let�s start with two �bonus� commodities. These are so special that all others pale in comparison.
These two beloved resources have been in a long and devastating bear market. In fact, they have seen little use for well over 200 years. This, in spite of the fact they are needed now more than ever. They are greatly appreciated by the masses of people yet abhorred by the political and financial crowd. You will never hear these mentioned on Bubblevision or Cramer.
Each of these forgotten substances has extraordinary uses in its own right. The real magic appears, however, when they are used in conjunction with each other. Ancient formulas have recently been unearthed that describe how best to combine them. Shockingly, when used together they can truly solve most of the ailments of modern day USA. Application of these ancient remedies will soon bring about honest money and honest markets once again. Our politicians will clean up their act and represent the Constitution and the citizens who put them in office. Lobbyists will be scrambling for cover. CEOs will be accountable to shareholders. A new syndicated show will soon debut�Name that Perpwalker! Too good to be true you think? You know by now I simply go where the truth leads.
Trump-like fortunes are set to be made for those that invest in these precious substances on a timely basis (or is Trump bankrupt again?). You�ll kick yourself for not thinking of this panacea yourself. While I�m dead set against anyone being lynched or maimed, I heartily recommend you�Go Long Tar and Feathers!
When this thing breaks, there�ll be an empty tar pit in California and nekked birds from coast to coast. An extreme shortage is on the horizon. It�s not going to be easy to fully cover the Pennsylvania Avenue and Wall Street bozos with their deserved attire. Maybe these newly fowled creatures will track some hot and sticky feathers into the nests of those who pull their strings.
The serious part of this editorial is finished now. Let�s now look at some other key commodities.
Silver-
Silver has had a really nice run the last five years. It is currently near $18 for good reason. It was suppressed for decades, but now the jig is up. I long ago lent unsolicited advice to the feds. They were too busy trying to rig markets and statistics to ever consider an intelligent approach to silver �management�.
As you can see, the price of silver was contained between $4 and $5 for an extended period. This virtually guaranteed higher silver prices because the miners couldn�t bring forth high quantities of silver at such low prices. The advice, at the time, was to let silver quickly and naturally head towards $8 or $9 and let the miners do their dirty work for them.
That would have been the sensible way to keep silver off the radar screen. It�s merely a commodity, right? It couldn�t possibly be competition to the global fiat currency system. Or could it? They insisted upon their futile attempts to hold silver down against its fundamentals. Oh well.
Some folks around the world have this strange idea that silver is actually money. There seems to be a lot of them too. That�s a tough battle to fight with fiat money heading to the crapper.
Silver has retraced some of its 2008 gains. That�s typically what happens when prices skyrocket. The long-term bull remains intact. The miners are still notbringing forth the supply required to put out this fire.
The advice to the silver managers remains the same. The miners will bring forth ample supply if they are allowed sufficient profits and sufficient time. Deny their profits and silver will just go that much higher before this bull market ends.
Silver should be a minimum of $30 right now. The longer it is suppressed, the higher it will go.
The silver mining stocks appear to have little connection with the physical substance. They remain depressed and unloved. You can make extraordinary profits from a particularly well chosen silver stock at present prices. All the more so at $25 or $30. Please don�t tell anyone, though, because some of us are still working on buying gobs of silver miners and explorers. Shhh�
Gold-
It�s pretty much the same story here with this precious metal. The knuckleheads at the Fed/Treasury have long tried to suppress this market against its fundamentals. That is a doomed strategy from the start. They attempted to force gold below $200. They wasted their supplies of gold in defending points that were way too low� $300, $350, $400, $500 etc. The advice at the time was to allow a high enough price that the miners could bring forth ample supply to keep the price down.
The anti-gold forces remain well behind the curve to this day. They have scared the crap out of the miners with all their suppressive shenanigans over the years. The miners remain on pins and needles in fear of the bottom dropping out of their product. They have yet to ramp up production. South African gold production is crippled by long standing government energy policies and subsequent power outages. Global production continues to fall in spite of seemingly �high� gold prices.
The fiat loving central planners have another opportunity to square things in the gold arena. Allow gold to go to $1250 as soon as possible and let it be known that it will stay at that level for an extended period. The gold companies would get quite excited and actually ply their trade. Gold would pour out of the ground in short order. There would likely be an oversupply in no time and the price of gold would stabilize and eventually maybe even go lower.
The miners would be happy. Mining shareholders would be happy. Most physical gold holders would be happy. Central banks would be able to cease their uneconomical dumping. The gold cartel could then turn its attention to more important things like rigging the stock market and fixing the broken clownbuck.
The exploration and mining stocks get less than Rodney Dangerfield respect these days. There is a chasm between the share prices and the price of gold. I continue to see the anomaly in the shares.
A bit of research would demonstrate the global historical affinity for all things gold. Do our elitist leaders know there are a bunch of people in India, China, the Middle East and other developing countries? These foreigners think of gold as money and they aren�t the ones that are confused.
Gold is performing its historic function. Government follies continue as far as the eye can see. We have yet to hit bottom. Gold will continue to grind higher. The present economic and monetary crisis could hardly be more precious metal friendly.
I�ll highlight a few more desirable commodities in next week�s edition. In the meantime, make sure you are loaded with gold and silver� but don�t neglect the tar and feathers!
Invest resourcefully,
Rusty
P.S. To let me know what you thought of today's article, send an e-mail to: feedback@investorsdailyedge.com.
UPDATE 7 - Lead and zinc rally on short-covering
Wed Jul 9, 2008 3:06pm EDT
* Lead up 10.4 pct and zinc jumps 6.6 pct on short-covering
* Copper off lows on Peruvian strike threat, demand woes
persist
* Aluminium turns up, high LME stocks still a concern
(Updates with New York closing copper prices, adds analyst
comments)
By Raissa Kasolowsky
LONDON, July 9 (Reuters) - Lead jumped 10.4 percent on
Wednesday on signs London Metal Exchange stocks started to level
off and zinc rallied 6.6 percent as investors covered their short
positions, traders said.
Aluminium turned higher at the close, but it was still down
from a record high as abundant supplies of the metal weighed on
sentiment.
Lead for delivery in three months MPB3 hit an intraday high
of $1,800 per tonne just after it closed at $1,790, up 9.8
percent, compared to $1,630 on Tuesday.
"Stocks appear to be levelling out after four months of strong
gains," said analyst David Thurtell at BNP Paribas.
"Cancelled warrants have jumped in recent days, which suggests
that the low prices of recent weeks has sparked some significant
offtake."
Lead prices have more than halved since early March as LME
inventories have more than doubled due to lack of demand.
There was also talk of supply disruptions in the United
States.
"This triggered a little bit more interest in the market and
now several stops have been triggered," a trader said.
Zinc bounced 6.6 percent on short-covering, traders said,
after prices have fallen some 23 percent so far this year.
Zinc MZN3 closed at its intraday high of $1,865 per tonne
against $1,750 on Tuesday.
ALUMINIUM TURNS HIGHER
Aluminium MAL3 for three-months delivery closed up at $3,190
per tonne, after trading in negative terrain for most of the
session. On Tuesday it closed at $3,145, after falling almost 6
percent.
The metal hit a record high of $3,320 on Monday on supply
concerns in China, aluminium's top producer.
But sentiment was dampened after the rally due to high stock
levels in LME warehouses at around 1.08 million tonnes, enough for
more than 10 days of global consumption.
"There's a lot of metal around on the LME and off-warrant, and
premiums are generally drifting lower," said analyst Daniel Smith
at Standard Chartered.
"It's difficult to create a particularly bullish scenario for
aluminium."
Energy-intensive aluminium, used in transport, packaging and
power, gained nearly 40 percent since the start of the year,
mainly due to power problems threatening supply in China.
This week's move was triggered by Aluminium Corp of China
(Chalco) (2600.HK: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) (601600.SS: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), which said the firm's two
aluminium smelters -- with combined capacity of 500,000 tonnes --
in Shanxi province had tight power supplies. [ID:nHKG18057]
Copper MCU3 last traded at $8,200/8,210 per tonne, unchanged
from Tuesday's close.
In New York, copper for September delivery HGU8 ended up
4.25 cents at $3.7390 a lb on the the New York Mercantile
Exchange's COMEX division.
The metal, used in wiring and construction, touched an
all-time high of $8,940 per tonne in London and hurdled the $4
mark in New York on July 2, after a strike in Peru raised supply
fears.
On Wednesday, workers at Freeport-McMoRan's (FCX.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) Cerro
Verde copper pit in Peru plan to strike starting July 16, a union
leader said. [ID:nN09403474]
But Leon Westgate, an analyst at Standard Bank, did not think
the action would have much of an impact on the market.
"The last strike was short lived, and they have given notice,
so it is not a wildcat action," he said.
Catherine Virga, an analyst with CPM Group in New York,
agreed.
"In Peru, they are normally not long-running issues. As long
as it's just them, I don't think it will be something sustainable,
especially with continued increases in stock levels on the LME."
LME copper warehouse stocks jumped 2,150 tonnes to 124,325
tonnes on Wednesday.
Nickel MNI3 closed down at $21,450 a tonne from $20,600,
while tin MSN3 last traded at $22,800/22,850 from $22,450.
(Additional reporting by Anna Stablum in London and Chris Kelly
in New York; Editing by Christian Wiessner)
Wed Jul 9, 2008 3:06pm EDT
* Lead up 10.4 pct and zinc jumps 6.6 pct on short-covering
* Copper off lows on Peruvian strike threat, demand woes
persist
* Aluminium turns up, high LME stocks still a concern
(Updates with New York closing copper prices, adds analyst
comments)
By Raissa Kasolowsky
LONDON, July 9 (Reuters) - Lead jumped 10.4 percent on
Wednesday on signs London Metal Exchange stocks started to level
off and zinc rallied 6.6 percent as investors covered their short
positions, traders said.
Aluminium turned higher at the close, but it was still down
from a record high as abundant supplies of the metal weighed on
sentiment.
Lead for delivery in three months MPB3 hit an intraday high
of $1,800 per tonne just after it closed at $1,790, up 9.8
percent, compared to $1,630 on Tuesday.
"Stocks appear to be levelling out after four months of strong
gains," said analyst David Thurtell at BNP Paribas.
"Cancelled warrants have jumped in recent days, which suggests
that the low prices of recent weeks has sparked some significant
offtake."
Lead prices have more than halved since early March as LME
inventories have more than doubled due to lack of demand.
There was also talk of supply disruptions in the United
States.
"This triggered a little bit more interest in the market and
now several stops have been triggered," a trader said.
Zinc bounced 6.6 percent on short-covering, traders said,
after prices have fallen some 23 percent so far this year.
Zinc MZN3 closed at its intraday high of $1,865 per tonne
against $1,750 on Tuesday.
ALUMINIUM TURNS HIGHER
Aluminium MAL3 for three-months delivery closed up at $3,190
per tonne, after trading in negative terrain for most of the
session. On Tuesday it closed at $3,145, after falling almost 6
percent.
The metal hit a record high of $3,320 on Monday on supply
concerns in China, aluminium's top producer.
But sentiment was dampened after the rally due to high stock
levels in LME warehouses at around 1.08 million tonnes, enough for
more than 10 days of global consumption.
"There's a lot of metal around on the LME and off-warrant, and
premiums are generally drifting lower," said analyst Daniel Smith
at Standard Chartered.
"It's difficult to create a particularly bullish scenario for
aluminium."
Energy-intensive aluminium, used in transport, packaging and
power, gained nearly 40 percent since the start of the year,
mainly due to power problems threatening supply in China.
This week's move was triggered by Aluminium Corp of China
(Chalco) (2600.HK: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) (601600.SS: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), which said the firm's two
aluminium smelters -- with combined capacity of 500,000 tonnes --
in Shanxi province had tight power supplies. [ID:nHKG18057]
Copper MCU3 last traded at $8,200/8,210 per tonne, unchanged
from Tuesday's close.
In New York, copper for September delivery HGU8 ended up
4.25 cents at $3.7390 a lb on the the New York Mercantile
Exchange's COMEX division.
The metal, used in wiring and construction, touched an
all-time high of $8,940 per tonne in London and hurdled the $4
mark in New York on July 2, after a strike in Peru raised supply
fears.
On Wednesday, workers at Freeport-McMoRan's (FCX.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) Cerro
Verde copper pit in Peru plan to strike starting July 16, a union
leader said. [ID:nN09403474]
But Leon Westgate, an analyst at Standard Bank, did not think
the action would have much of an impact on the market.
"The last strike was short lived, and they have given notice,
so it is not a wildcat action," he said.
Catherine Virga, an analyst with CPM Group in New York,
agreed.
"In Peru, they are normally not long-running issues. As long
as it's just them, I don't think it will be something sustainable,
especially with continued increases in stock levels on the LME."
LME copper warehouse stocks jumped 2,150 tonnes to 124,325
tonnes on Wednesday.
Nickel MNI3 closed down at $21,450 a tonne from $20,600,
while tin MSN3 last traded at $22,800/22,850 from $22,450.
(Additional reporting by Anna Stablum in London and Chris Kelly
in New York; Editing by Christian Wiessner)
Source: IRIS (09 July 2008)
MCX Zinc futures move upward
Zinc futures jumped higher on MCX today (Jul. 9, 2008).
Zinc July contract opened at Rs 77.35 as against its previous closing at Rs 77.20, tossed in range of Rs 77.10-78.60 and last quoted price for the same was Rs 78.15, up by 1.23%. (3.08 p.m., Wednesday)
Zinc Aug contract opened at Rs 79.10 as against its previous closing at Rs 78.55, moved in range of Rs 78.50-79.95 and last quoted price for the same was Rs 79.45, up by 1.15%.
Similarly, Zinc Sept. contract was trading up 1% at Rs 80.80 a kg as against its previous closing at Rs 80.
MCX Zinc futures move upward
Zinc futures jumped higher on MCX today (Jul. 9, 2008).
Zinc July contract opened at Rs 77.35 as against its previous closing at Rs 77.20, tossed in range of Rs 77.10-78.60 and last quoted price for the same was Rs 78.15, up by 1.23%. (3.08 p.m., Wednesday)
Zinc Aug contract opened at Rs 79.10 as against its previous closing at Rs 78.55, moved in range of Rs 78.50-79.95 and last quoted price for the same was Rs 79.45, up by 1.15%.
Similarly, Zinc Sept. contract was trading up 1% at Rs 80.80 a kg as against its previous closing at Rs 80.
Silber zieht an und ist wieder über der 18 
Trading Spotlight
Aber bitte nicht weitersagen!!
Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 34.467.547 von to_siam am 09.07.08 09:58:48der Doofkopp war ich. Aber bitte nicht weitersagen!!
Etwas Aufmerksam hat unsere Silber-Zink-Blei-Perle ja wieder bekommen gestern, auch heute wurde schon wieder gekauft in Frankfurt:
Trevali Resources Corp. Regi..
Börse: Frankfurt
Datum: 09.07.08
Tickliste Zeit Kurs Volumen
09:11:41 1,20 600
09:07:30 1,20 300
Die obigen Kurse sind fair vom deutschen Makler gestellt, dass kann man nicht anders sagen. Aber wir hatten ja auch schon den Berliner "Kollegen", der jemandem mal € 1,80 abgenommen hatte, während man in Frankfurt für € 1,60 kaufen konnte.
Ich denke immer noch meine eigene Zeit letztes Jahr zurück, wo ich Null Schimmer von diesem Geschäft hatte und oft zu viel Geld bezahlt habe, weil ich einfach uninformiert und/oder zu ungeduldig war.
Daher für den einen oder anderen neu Interessierten hier, der vielleicht noch nicht alles weiß, ein paar Order-Hinweise:
Bei größeren Aufträgen ab > 3.000 Shares würde ich immer in Kanada ordern, wenn es die Hausbank ermöglicht. Unten ist ein direkter Link zur CNQ, wo Angebot und Nachfrage kostenlos einsehbar sind. Tipp: Nicht unbedingt am Ask kaufen, einfach ins "obere" Bid legen und erstmal abwarten.
Wer in Deutschland ordern will oder muss, dem lege ich persönlich den Börsenplatz Frankfurt ans Herz. Bei Onvista (Link ebenfalls unten), kann man sich ebenfalls über Angebot und Nachfrage gut informieren.
Zur Gewissheit würde ich jedoch immer den letzten Kurs in Kanada mit einem Währungsrechner umrechnen (Link auch unten). Der Deutsche Makler "holt" Euch die gewünschten Aktien nach Deutschland, dazu muss man ihm aber einen fairen Kurs geben und auch eine kleine Gewinnspanne (auch seine Kinder haben Hunger) gönnen.
Wichtig: Aber nicht unlimitiert ans Werk gehen (gilt insbesondere für Börse Berlin), gerade bei größeren Aufträgen. Außerdem sollte man beachten, dass in Kanada ab 15.30 MEZ gehandelt wird, was dem deutschen Makler erst den "Einkauf" dort ermöglich. Insbesondere größere Stückzahlen wird er vorher und damit "leer" nur mit entsprechenden Sicherheitsaufschlägen an Euch verkaufen. Man muss also bis späten Nachmittag/frühen Abend etwas Geduld aufbringen.
Direkter Link zu Onvista:
http://aktien.onvista.de/snapshot.html?ID_OSI=18543192&SEARC…
Direkter Link zur CNQ:
http://www.cnq.ca/Page.asp?PageID=2013&AA_RecordID=228
Link zu einem Währungsrechner:
http://de.moneycentral.msn.com/investor/market/crncconverter…
So, nun viel Erfolg beim Einkauf. Die Aktie wird diesen Erfolg IMHO wohl schon sehr bald hinlegen (6-12 Monate), auch in dieser wahrlich schwierigen Zeit...
Trevali Resources Corp. Regi..
Börse: Frankfurt
Datum: 09.07.08
Tickliste Zeit Kurs Volumen
09:11:41 1,20 600
09:07:30 1,20 300
Die obigen Kurse sind fair vom deutschen Makler gestellt, dass kann man nicht anders sagen. Aber wir hatten ja auch schon den Berliner "Kollegen", der jemandem mal € 1,80 abgenommen hatte, während man in Frankfurt für € 1,60 kaufen konnte.
Ich denke immer noch meine eigene Zeit letztes Jahr zurück, wo ich Null Schimmer von diesem Geschäft hatte und oft zu viel Geld bezahlt habe, weil ich einfach uninformiert und/oder zu ungeduldig war.
Daher für den einen oder anderen neu Interessierten hier, der vielleicht noch nicht alles weiß, ein paar Order-Hinweise:
Bei größeren Aufträgen ab > 3.000 Shares würde ich immer in Kanada ordern, wenn es die Hausbank ermöglicht. Unten ist ein direkter Link zur CNQ, wo Angebot und Nachfrage kostenlos einsehbar sind. Tipp: Nicht unbedingt am Ask kaufen, einfach ins "obere" Bid legen und erstmal abwarten.
Wer in Deutschland ordern will oder muss, dem lege ich persönlich den Börsenplatz Frankfurt ans Herz. Bei Onvista (Link ebenfalls unten), kann man sich ebenfalls über Angebot und Nachfrage gut informieren.
Zur Gewissheit würde ich jedoch immer den letzten Kurs in Kanada mit einem Währungsrechner umrechnen (Link auch unten). Der Deutsche Makler "holt" Euch die gewünschten Aktien nach Deutschland, dazu muss man ihm aber einen fairen Kurs geben und auch eine kleine Gewinnspanne (auch seine Kinder haben Hunger) gönnen.
Wichtig: Aber nicht unlimitiert ans Werk gehen (gilt insbesondere für Börse Berlin), gerade bei größeren Aufträgen. Außerdem sollte man beachten, dass in Kanada ab 15.30 MEZ gehandelt wird, was dem deutschen Makler erst den "Einkauf" dort ermöglich. Insbesondere größere Stückzahlen wird er vorher und damit "leer" nur mit entsprechenden Sicherheitsaufschlägen an Euch verkaufen. Man muss also bis späten Nachmittag/frühen Abend etwas Geduld aufbringen.
Direkter Link zu Onvista:
http://aktien.onvista.de/snapshot.html?ID_OSI=18543192&SEARC…
Direkter Link zur CNQ:
http://www.cnq.ca/Page.asp?PageID=2013&AA_RecordID=228
Link zu einem Währungsrechner:
http://de.moneycentral.msn.com/investor/market/crncconverter…
So, nun viel Erfolg beim Einkauf. Die Aktie wird diesen Erfolg IMHO wohl schon sehr bald hinlegen (6-12 Monate), auch in dieser wahrlich schwierigen Zeit...
Silver Fallacies
Source: David Morgan, Silver Investor 07/08/2008
I recently read an “advotorial” suggesting silver to be a fantastic investment, and I could not agree more. However, the author was stating that all short positions have to eventually be covered with physical silver and that when this took place there would be a price explosion.
It is a fallacy that all short positions have to be covered and the shorts will have to buy silver to cover. First, to state that all positions have to be covered is misleading; a position can remain open for a very long time, because as the contract becomes due, it can be rolled over. Technically, it is not the same position, because when it is “rolled forward,” it is a different month and involves a different contract, but basically the contract is moved out to a later date. This rolling takes place all the time in the futures markets.
The second fallacy is more important because almost all the shorts in the silver market can close their positions with cash, no silver required. Let’s say silver moves UP fifty cents in one day and you are short the market. You just had what is known as a bad day. You will get a phone call from your broker asking you for more money to be placed into your account. You can instruct your futures broker to close out your short positions and all you would be responsible for is a check, not silver. This does not mean that a price explosion to the upside cannot take place. However, it is important to recognize that if physical silver were required to cover the short position the price movement could be far greater!
Yes, silver does get purchased and moved off the exchange, but this is only about one to two percent of all the activity as represented by market activity. This is another area not very well understood. Each month the CFTC publishes delivery notices, but these are notices, not actual deliveries. Many in the industry know that some of these delivery notices are NEVER acted upon! Yet we see some pretty well respected Internet sites that proclaim so much silver was gulped up off the exchange. This is not true; other notices and/or paper swaps or transactions offset most notices. In simple terms, there could be “notices” for several million ounces of silver in a given delivery month, but when all is said and done not much has really happened. Oh, let me restate: a whole lot has happened on paper but not much in a physical way.
Yet, with all this paper silver flying around, the physical market is the most important and will at some point drive the price, no matter what the paper pushers intend. Since the world’s financial system is becoming so stressed with bad debt that cannot be repaid, institutional and retail investors alike are seeking higher quality investments. First, this will translate into government-backed debt (bonds), and certain currencies will become the flavor of the month. For example, the euro or Canadian dollar will be favored, but all of this “money movement” is really the last vestige of the bankers selling people on the idea that paper currency is safe if only you are smart enough to choose the right paper currency.
As the carry trade unwinds and a new era of quality replaces one of quantity, the precious metals will reassert themselves in the overall financial landscape. Gold will be sought by institutions and, yes, even the central banks again at some point, but silver is held by few governments—China and India being the only two—and both hold pitifully small amounts of silver at this point. The once vast silver holdings of the United States of America were depleted several years ago.
As momentum builds and more and more precious metals are purchased, the prices will be reflective of these purchases, and since one of the main purposes for purchasing will be wealth preservation or financial survival, don’t rule out the underdog—silver! You see, big institutions, banks, and the elite will flock to gold, but remember “the poor man’s gold”? Literally, millions of people have something to protect and these people will flock to the safety of the physical silver market.
This buying frenzy will drive the price far higher than most people imagine at this point, since there are far more “poor” people than rich people and since there is far less silver than gold available in investment form. The percentage gain in silver and silver related investments will be noted in financial history, just as the silver “corner” by the Hunt Brothers was in 1980!
It is an honor to be,
David Morgan
Source: David Morgan, Silver Investor 07/08/2008
I recently read an “advotorial” suggesting silver to be a fantastic investment, and I could not agree more. However, the author was stating that all short positions have to eventually be covered with physical silver and that when this took place there would be a price explosion.
It is a fallacy that all short positions have to be covered and the shorts will have to buy silver to cover. First, to state that all positions have to be covered is misleading; a position can remain open for a very long time, because as the contract becomes due, it can be rolled over. Technically, it is not the same position, because when it is “rolled forward,” it is a different month and involves a different contract, but basically the contract is moved out to a later date. This rolling takes place all the time in the futures markets.
The second fallacy is more important because almost all the shorts in the silver market can close their positions with cash, no silver required. Let’s say silver moves UP fifty cents in one day and you are short the market. You just had what is known as a bad day. You will get a phone call from your broker asking you for more money to be placed into your account. You can instruct your futures broker to close out your short positions and all you would be responsible for is a check, not silver. This does not mean that a price explosion to the upside cannot take place. However, it is important to recognize that if physical silver were required to cover the short position the price movement could be far greater!
Yes, silver does get purchased and moved off the exchange, but this is only about one to two percent of all the activity as represented by market activity. This is another area not very well understood. Each month the CFTC publishes delivery notices, but these are notices, not actual deliveries. Many in the industry know that some of these delivery notices are NEVER acted upon! Yet we see some pretty well respected Internet sites that proclaim so much silver was gulped up off the exchange. This is not true; other notices and/or paper swaps or transactions offset most notices. In simple terms, there could be “notices” for several million ounces of silver in a given delivery month, but when all is said and done not much has really happened. Oh, let me restate: a whole lot has happened on paper but not much in a physical way.
Yet, with all this paper silver flying around, the physical market is the most important and will at some point drive the price, no matter what the paper pushers intend. Since the world’s financial system is becoming so stressed with bad debt that cannot be repaid, institutional and retail investors alike are seeking higher quality investments. First, this will translate into government-backed debt (bonds), and certain currencies will become the flavor of the month. For example, the euro or Canadian dollar will be favored, but all of this “money movement” is really the last vestige of the bankers selling people on the idea that paper currency is safe if only you are smart enough to choose the right paper currency.
As the carry trade unwinds and a new era of quality replaces one of quantity, the precious metals will reassert themselves in the overall financial landscape. Gold will be sought by institutions and, yes, even the central banks again at some point, but silver is held by few governments—China and India being the only two—and both hold pitifully small amounts of silver at this point. The once vast silver holdings of the United States of America were depleted several years ago.
As momentum builds and more and more precious metals are purchased, the prices will be reflective of these purchases, and since one of the main purposes for purchasing will be wealth preservation or financial survival, don’t rule out the underdog—silver! You see, big institutions, banks, and the elite will flock to gold, but remember “the poor man’s gold”? Literally, millions of people have something to protect and these people will flock to the safety of the physical silver market.
This buying frenzy will drive the price far higher than most people imagine at this point, since there are far more “poor” people than rich people and since there is far less silver than gold available in investment form. The percentage gain in silver and silver related investments will be noted in financial history, just as the silver “corner” by the Hunt Brothers was in 1980!
It is an honor to be,
David Morgan
5 von 5 Sternen heute für den Trevali-
Thread und danke für die Illustrationen.
Ein paar wissen, wie sehr ich gerade
diese Aktie mag.
Tasche
Thread und danke für die Illustrationen.
Ein paar wissen, wie sehr ich gerade
diese Aktie mag.
Tasche
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