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The Best Little Investment Opportunity I Know
By Tim Hanson
October 20, 2009 | Comments (2)
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Global investing guru Jim Rogers has said that his incredible success in investing is the result of two basic principles:
1. Buying things that are cheap; and
2. Buying things that are about to see a dynamic change in their favor.
Put those principles together, and you'll succeed as an investor by buying assets that are out of favor -- just before they come back in favor.
Sounds like market timing
Being able to execute these basic principles successfully and repeatedly requires that you either have more information than the stock market at large, or have more intelligently interpreted the information that is available to the stock market at large.
In other words, you probably can't pull off this little trick when it comes to big tech names such as Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO) or eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY). These names are tracked by just about every professional and amateur investor out there, as well as by trade magazines, blogs, nerdy 12-year-olds ... you get the point.
Rogers has demonstrated, however, that you can pull it off in niches where you can gain an informational advantage over the market.
And that doesn't mean you're practicing market timing -- it just means you've noticed a real-world trend in a niche that the broader market hasn't caught onto yet.
O niche, where art thou?
There's good news in this regard: Thanks to the recent chaos in the financial sector, there are more chances to take advantage of market inefficiencies than ever before (or at least since the bull market of the 1990s). That's because -- bear with me here -- stock market analysts are losing their jobs.
Now, the aim here is not to celebrate others' misfortune. Instead, it's to point out that between last September and the middle of this past May, according to Factset Research, there have been more than 2,200 instances of an analyst dropping coverage of a company.
That means opportunity ... for you
Less coverage means less public information, and less public information means a greater opportunity for you to either get more information than the market, or better interpret the information that is available to the market.
This is particularly true if you're willing to look at investment opportunities that few others have the time or resources to consider.
At Motley Fool Global Gains, we believe that some of today's best opportunities exist a little bit off the beaten track. Say, for example, in rural China -- the best little investing opportunity I know.
See, international investing is becoming more popular, as Americans recognize that they can get greater growth and cheaper prices from international holdings in Brazil, India, China, and elsewhere than they can from U.S. stocks. Thus, the major companies in these major emerging markets -- names like MercadoLibre (Nasdaq: MELI), Infosys Technologies (Nasdaq: INFY), and Vale (NYSE: VALE) -- are fairly well-covered by U.S. analysts.
That's not true, however, if you get to the less-traveled parts of China -- a niche whose stocks look pretty cheap today and should benefit over the next few years from a dynamic change in their favor.
One example
First, you may not know that rural China has been and will remain the fastest-growing part of China.
Second, you may not know that rural China stands to benefit significantly from government infrastructure projects and social safety net spending.
And third, you may not know that rural China has long been considered the most entrepreneurial part of China (see the research of MIT's Yasheng Huang) and is home to many companies that are poised to take advantage of further economic liberalizations.
The takeaway
Add it all up, and that makes for a very bright future for a niche that few investors are talking about. That gives you the opportunity to follow Jim Rogers' advice and buy cheap assets that are about to see a dynamic change in their favor.
That's what we seek to do over and over again at Motley Fool Global Gains, our global investing newsletter that's devoted to studying investment opportunities around the world. A major part of our investment research involves actually traveling around the world, to meet with companies and get the view from the ground. You can see what we're recommending by clicking here to join Global Gains free for 30 days.
Already a member of Global Gains? Log in at the top of this page.
This article was first published June 18, 2009. It has been updated.
Tim Hanson is co-advisor of Motley Fool Global Gains. He does not own shares of any company mentioned. eBay is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendation. Motley Fool Options has recommended a bull call spread on eBay. MercadoLibre is a Rule Breakers selection. The Fool's disclosure policy recommends that you take a mountain bike off the beaten track.
By Tim Hanson
October 20, 2009 | Comments (2)
Recs
2
* Share
Global investing guru Jim Rogers has said that his incredible success in investing is the result of two basic principles:
1. Buying things that are cheap; and
2. Buying things that are about to see a dynamic change in their favor.
Put those principles together, and you'll succeed as an investor by buying assets that are out of favor -- just before they come back in favor.
Sounds like market timing
Being able to execute these basic principles successfully and repeatedly requires that you either have more information than the stock market at large, or have more intelligently interpreted the information that is available to the stock market at large.
In other words, you probably can't pull off this little trick when it comes to big tech names such as Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO) or eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY). These names are tracked by just about every professional and amateur investor out there, as well as by trade magazines, blogs, nerdy 12-year-olds ... you get the point.
Rogers has demonstrated, however, that you can pull it off in niches where you can gain an informational advantage over the market.
And that doesn't mean you're practicing market timing -- it just means you've noticed a real-world trend in a niche that the broader market hasn't caught onto yet.
O niche, where art thou?
There's good news in this regard: Thanks to the recent chaos in the financial sector, there are more chances to take advantage of market inefficiencies than ever before (or at least since the bull market of the 1990s). That's because -- bear with me here -- stock market analysts are losing their jobs.
Now, the aim here is not to celebrate others' misfortune. Instead, it's to point out that between last September and the middle of this past May, according to Factset Research, there have been more than 2,200 instances of an analyst dropping coverage of a company.
That means opportunity ... for you
Less coverage means less public information, and less public information means a greater opportunity for you to either get more information than the market, or better interpret the information that is available to the market.
This is particularly true if you're willing to look at investment opportunities that few others have the time or resources to consider.
At Motley Fool Global Gains, we believe that some of today's best opportunities exist a little bit off the beaten track. Say, for example, in rural China -- the best little investing opportunity I know.
See, international investing is becoming more popular, as Americans recognize that they can get greater growth and cheaper prices from international holdings in Brazil, India, China, and elsewhere than they can from U.S. stocks. Thus, the major companies in these major emerging markets -- names like MercadoLibre (Nasdaq: MELI), Infosys Technologies (Nasdaq: INFY), and Vale (NYSE: VALE) -- are fairly well-covered by U.S. analysts.
That's not true, however, if you get to the less-traveled parts of China -- a niche whose stocks look pretty cheap today and should benefit over the next few years from a dynamic change in their favor.
One example
First, you may not know that rural China has been and will remain the fastest-growing part of China.
Second, you may not know that rural China stands to benefit significantly from government infrastructure projects and social safety net spending.
And third, you may not know that rural China has long been considered the most entrepreneurial part of China (see the research of MIT's Yasheng Huang) and is home to many companies that are poised to take advantage of further economic liberalizations.
The takeaway
Add it all up, and that makes for a very bright future for a niche that few investors are talking about. That gives you the opportunity to follow Jim Rogers' advice and buy cheap assets that are about to see a dynamic change in their favor.
That's what we seek to do over and over again at Motley Fool Global Gains, our global investing newsletter that's devoted to studying investment opportunities around the world. A major part of our investment research involves actually traveling around the world, to meet with companies and get the view from the ground. You can see what we're recommending by clicking here to join Global Gains free for 30 days.
Already a member of Global Gains? Log in at the top of this page.
This article was first published June 18, 2009. It has been updated.
Tim Hanson is co-advisor of Motley Fool Global Gains. He does not own shares of any company mentioned. eBay is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendation. Motley Fool Options has recommended a bull call spread on eBay. MercadoLibre is a Rule Breakers selection. The Fool's disclosure policy recommends that you take a mountain bike off the beaten track.
Ist doch eigenartig, ebay und Meli im Gleichklang runter...
Das war schon vor Veröffentlichung der ebay-Zahlen so geplant. Jaja, unsere Großbanken...
Geduld!
Das war schon vor Veröffentlichung der ebay-Zahlen so geplant. Jaja, unsere Großbanken...
Geduld!
Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 38.195.803 von keek am 16.10.09 18:46:22Bei der comdirect ist der 10.11.09 ausgewiesen, aber der 02.11. ist mir doch noch lieber...
QIII ist traditionell das Schlechteste wegen der Ferien- und Urlaubszeit, aber die vergleichen eh mit dem Pendantnen des Vorjahres...
QIII ist traditionell das Schlechteste wegen der Ferien- und Urlaubszeit, aber die vergleichen eh mit dem Pendantnen des Vorjahres...
Wollen wir mal hoffen, daß sich unser Zeitungsschreiber mit seinen 50 US$ Kursziel recht bald durchsetzt...
auf die ebayzahlen übermorgen darf man gespannt sein...
auf die ebayzahlen übermorgen darf man gespannt sein...
ebay versuchen sie, unter 25 US$ zu halten, da haben die Großbanken den Wert nach ihrer "Analystenempfehlung" hingedrückt - Abgabedruck erzeugen...
Meli deckeln welche bei 42 US$...
Meli deckeln welche bei 42 US$...
Trading Spotlight
Da hat MELI solche Superzahlen in QII vorgelegt und dann kein Anaylstenmommentar - bis heute, aber quetschen und decklen, mit mäßigem Erfolg. Bei den Wachstumsraten müßte das KGV viel höher stehen und da fällt gerade mal eins wie das von amazon.com ab.
Weitere Faxen im Brief bei MELI und ebay...
Spricht für Ausquetschen heute, da wollen Investoren rein...!
Spricht für Ausquetschen heute, da wollen Investoren rein...!
guten abend!
...der q3-bericht wird voraussichtlich am 02.11. veröffentlicht.
quelle:
http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/snapshot/s…
gruß keek
...der q3-bericht wird voraussichtlich am 02.11. veröffentlicht.
quelle:
http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/snapshot/s…
gruß keek
Jetzt fangen die bei ebay auch mit dem Unsinn an, Brief über 31 US$...
Da wird heute gedrückt werden...
Da wird heute gedrückt werden...
Ist doch erstaunlich, wie an solch einem Tag Meli gedrückt wird und ebay sogar sinkt...
Stecken sich da Großbanken die Taschen voll???
Es fällt auf, daß die immer mit Kurzzielen aufwarten, die die Realität längst erledigt hatte...
Stecken sich da Großbanken die Taschen voll???
Es fällt auf, daß die immer mit Kurzzielen aufwarten, die die Realität längst erledigt hatte...
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