Zinssenkung: Heute, morgen oder gar nie! - 500 Beiträge pro Seite

[Haller01]

Was glaubt ihr, wann wird Greenspan die Zinsen das nächste Mal senken? Vielleicht schon heute (Kurszerfall stoppen!) oder erst an der FED-Sitzung (26.Juni) oder doch gar nicht mehr.

Haller01

[gewinnwarner]

zur nächsten sitzung -0,25

mfg gw

[Indio$]

9:15AM
Industrial output, plant use tumble by Rachel Koning

Industrial production was off by a larger-than-expected 0.8 percent last month, the Federal Reserve reported Friday. And plant use continued to descend. Capacity use was 77.4 percent in May, the lowest usage rate since August 1983, when the United States was just pulling out of a recession. Economists polled by CBS.MarketWatch.com looked for a 0.4-percent drop in output, with a capacity use at 78 percent. The factory sector alone saw output drop 0.7 percent and production would have been worse if it weren`t for a rebound in car manufacturing last month. Production ex-autos was down 0.9 percent in May.
Economists believe the Federal Reserve can cut interest rates by at least 25 basis points at a meeting later this month.

[gewinnwarner]

da wird schon mit mehr gerechnet:

Fed funds futures show probability of 50-pt ease
CHICAGO, June 15 (Reuters) - Futures contracts on the federal funds rate at the Chicago Board of Trade rallied on Friday after the consumer price index eased concern over inflation and raised expectations that the Federal Reserve could ease interest rates 50 basis points at its meeting at the end of the month.

``The core CPI was tame, so the market doesn`t really have to worry about inflation pressures at this point,`` said Kim Rupert, senior economist at Standard & Poor`s, adding that weakness in U.S. stocks and recent soft economic data, particularly in the manufacturing sector, added to the heightened expectations.

July federal funds futures rallied to a 96.370 session high, pricing in about a 48 percent probability that the Fed would ease more aggressively than the 25 basis points already priced into the market. At Thursday`s close, the contract was pricing in about a 22 percent chance of the more aggressive scenario.

The consumer price index for May was up 0.4 percent, versus expectations for a 0.3 percent rise. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.1 percent, tamer than the 0.2 percent gain expected.

So far this year, the Fed has eased rates 2.5 percentage points to 4.0 percent, a seven-year low. The Federal Open Market Committee next meets on June 26-27.

mbg gw

[keepitshort]

der Greenspan macht jetzt nicht viel mit Zinssenkung
deshalb nur 0,25% am 27.Juni
denn der Greenspan verbrennt nicht sein
Zinspotential wenn der Nasdaq100 und der S&P500
die S-K-S-Formation beenden

[Haller01]

Keine anderen Meinungen in dieser heissen Börsenzeit!!??!!??