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Gold in Euro, 2-Jahres-Chart:
Wer jetzt noch das Gold ignoriert, ist selber schuld.
Wer jetzt noch das Gold ignoriert, ist selber schuld.
Die Asiaten gucken auch schon ganz interessiert 
Da könnt ihr euren Goldrausch ausleben 
oder im Kongo: guckst du hier
Thread: Moto - 1000% Empfehlung!!!
oder im Kongo: guckst du hier
Thread: Moto - 1000% Empfehlung!!!
Trading Spotlight
kein halten mehr
Flucht in den sicheren Hafen
von Marc Faber
Seit dem Monat März 2001 ist der Goldpreis von 255 auf über 500 Dollar gestiegen. Zwischen 2001 und 2004 habe der Kurs für das Edelmetall lediglich aufgrund des schwachen Dollarkurses zugelegt, meinen Experten. Aber dieses Jahr hat sich der Greenback gegenüber den meisten ausländischen Währungen gefestigt und trotzdem ist der Goldpreis gestiegen. Also müssen auch andere Gründe für die Gold-Hausse verantwortlich sein. Historische Fakten belegen, daß zu Inflationszeiten Gold an Wert gewinnt. Vertrauen in die Werthaltigkeit der Banknoten schwindet, wenn die Kaufkraft des Papiergeldes abnimmt. Eine verringerte Kaufkraft des Geldes resultiert aus stark ansteigenden Konsumentenpreisen oder explodierenden Vermögensgüterpreisen. In beiden Fällen, wird das Vertrauen in die Währung erschüttert, weil jedes Jahr wesentlich mehr Bargeld benützt werden muß, um den gleichen Warenkorb oder die gleiche Immobilie zu erwerben. Also versuchen sich die Menschen vor dieser Geldentwertung mit dem Erwerb harter Wertanlagen - deren Menge nicht unbeliebig durch unverantwortliche Notenbanken verwässert werden kann - zu schützen. Interessant in dieser Beziehung ist, daß insbesondere nachdem Ben Bernanke als Chef der US-Notenbank (Fed) ernannt wurde, der Goldpreis nach oben schoß. Der neue Mann hat den Ruf, daß er - sollte eine Deflation drohen - alle Gegenmittel der Geldpolitik einsetzten und die Notenpressen anwerfen wird. Dabei muß man berücksichtigen, daß die Fed nicht unglücklich ist über fallende Importpreise, die aufgrund massiver Produktivitätszunahmen in China zustande kommen. Vielmehr herrscht die Sorge vor, daß fallende Immobilien und Aktienpreise den Konsum der Amerikaner, von dem letztlich die Konjunktur abhängt, beeinträchtigen könnten. Deshalb dürfte langfristig die Geldpolitik der Amerikaner einen inflationären Charakter behalten und damit alle harten Vermögenswerte weiter im Wert steigen. Dagegen sollten angesichts der Liquiditätsspritzen die meisten anderen Vermögenswerte gegenüber Gold als Hartwährung an Wert verlieren. Dabei ist es wichtig, einmal das Verhältnis von Dow Jones zum Gold zu betrachten. Im Jahre 2000 brauchte ein Anleger noch 45 Unzen Gold, um eine Einheit Dow Jones zu erwerben. Heute braucht er aber nur noch 22 Unzen, um den gleichen Dow-Jones-Anteil zu kaufen. Mit anderen Worten, Gold hat gegenüber dem Dow Jones seit 2000 über 100 Prozent an Wert gewonnen. Nun ist es schon möglich, wie einige Börsengurus im Jahre 1999 prophezeiten, daß der Dow Jones in den nächsten Jahren auf 36 000, 40 000 oder sogar 100 000 Zähler steigen wird. Vorausgesetzt die Fed erhöht signifikant den Geldumlauf. Allerdings würde eine derartig inflationäre Geldpolitik von einem schwachen Dollar begleitet. Falls dabei der Dow Jones wirklich auf 36 000 Zähler steigen sollte, könnte der Goldpreis leicht auf 3600 Dollar klettern. Damit würde ein Anleger nur noch zehn Unzen Gold benötigen, um einen Dow-Jones-Anteil zu erwerben und könnte eine Unze Gold in 3600 Dollar wechseln anstatt wie heute in nur rund 500 Dollar.
Artikel erschienen am Sa, 3. Dezember 2005
© WELT.de 1995 - 2005
http://www.welt.de/data/2005/12/03/812217.html
von Marc Faber
Seit dem Monat März 2001 ist der Goldpreis von 255 auf über 500 Dollar gestiegen. Zwischen 2001 und 2004 habe der Kurs für das Edelmetall lediglich aufgrund des schwachen Dollarkurses zugelegt, meinen Experten. Aber dieses Jahr hat sich der Greenback gegenüber den meisten ausländischen Währungen gefestigt und trotzdem ist der Goldpreis gestiegen. Also müssen auch andere Gründe für die Gold-Hausse verantwortlich sein. Historische Fakten belegen, daß zu Inflationszeiten Gold an Wert gewinnt. Vertrauen in die Werthaltigkeit der Banknoten schwindet, wenn die Kaufkraft des Papiergeldes abnimmt. Eine verringerte Kaufkraft des Geldes resultiert aus stark ansteigenden Konsumentenpreisen oder explodierenden Vermögensgüterpreisen. In beiden Fällen, wird das Vertrauen in die Währung erschüttert, weil jedes Jahr wesentlich mehr Bargeld benützt werden muß, um den gleichen Warenkorb oder die gleiche Immobilie zu erwerben. Also versuchen sich die Menschen vor dieser Geldentwertung mit dem Erwerb harter Wertanlagen - deren Menge nicht unbeliebig durch unverantwortliche Notenbanken verwässert werden kann - zu schützen. Interessant in dieser Beziehung ist, daß insbesondere nachdem Ben Bernanke als Chef der US-Notenbank (Fed) ernannt wurde, der Goldpreis nach oben schoß. Der neue Mann hat den Ruf, daß er - sollte eine Deflation drohen - alle Gegenmittel der Geldpolitik einsetzten und die Notenpressen anwerfen wird. Dabei muß man berücksichtigen, daß die Fed nicht unglücklich ist über fallende Importpreise, die aufgrund massiver Produktivitätszunahmen in China zustande kommen. Vielmehr herrscht die Sorge vor, daß fallende Immobilien und Aktienpreise den Konsum der Amerikaner, von dem letztlich die Konjunktur abhängt, beeinträchtigen könnten. Deshalb dürfte langfristig die Geldpolitik der Amerikaner einen inflationären Charakter behalten und damit alle harten Vermögenswerte weiter im Wert steigen. Dagegen sollten angesichts der Liquiditätsspritzen die meisten anderen Vermögenswerte gegenüber Gold als Hartwährung an Wert verlieren. Dabei ist es wichtig, einmal das Verhältnis von Dow Jones zum Gold zu betrachten. Im Jahre 2000 brauchte ein Anleger noch 45 Unzen Gold, um eine Einheit Dow Jones zu erwerben. Heute braucht er aber nur noch 22 Unzen, um den gleichen Dow-Jones-Anteil zu kaufen. Mit anderen Worten, Gold hat gegenüber dem Dow Jones seit 2000 über 100 Prozent an Wert gewonnen. Nun ist es schon möglich, wie einige Börsengurus im Jahre 1999 prophezeiten, daß der Dow Jones in den nächsten Jahren auf 36 000, 40 000 oder sogar 100 000 Zähler steigen wird. Vorausgesetzt die Fed erhöht signifikant den Geldumlauf. Allerdings würde eine derartig inflationäre Geldpolitik von einem schwachen Dollar begleitet. Falls dabei der Dow Jones wirklich auf 36 000 Zähler steigen sollte, könnte der Goldpreis leicht auf 3600 Dollar klettern. Damit würde ein Anleger nur noch zehn Unzen Gold benötigen, um einen Dow-Jones-Anteil zu erwerben und könnte eine Unze Gold in 3600 Dollar wechseln anstatt wie heute in nur rund 500 Dollar.
Artikel erschienen am Sa, 3. Dezember 2005
© WELT.de 1995 - 2005
http://www.welt.de/data/2005/12/03/812217.html
gewalig
ZU 8: Und es wird noch viel besser
unheimlich
Rush for gold as price hits $530
Gold prices show no sign of slowing down and are up 19% this year
Gold fever continues to grip world commodity markets, with prices hitting $530 an ounce, a near 25-year high.
Gains came despite concerns that the market may be set for a correction and some analysts are now predicting that prices have even higher to go.
Precious metals have been given a boost as investors look to protect themselves against higher inflation and weakening currencies such as the Japanese yen.
Gold prices have risen more than 16% since November 7.
The precious metal is often seen as a haven in times of political or economic instability.
With many economies expected to hit a period of high inflation and low growth, it is becoming more attractive to investors.
There is also speculation that Asian and European central banks may cut US dollar holdings in favour of gold.
Gold prices show no sign of slowing down and are up 19% this year
Gold fever continues to grip world commodity markets, with prices hitting $530 an ounce, a near 25-year high.
Gains came despite concerns that the market may be set for a correction and some analysts are now predicting that prices have even higher to go.
Precious metals have been given a boost as investors look to protect themselves against higher inflation and weakening currencies such as the Japanese yen.
Gold prices have risen more than 16% since November 7.
The precious metal is often seen as a haven in times of political or economic instability.
With many economies expected to hit a period of high inflation and low growth, it is becoming more attractive to investors.
There is also speculation that Asian and European central banks may cut US dollar holdings in favour of gold.
Gold Boom for 2006
By THOMSON DIALOG: NewsEdge Posted: 12/28/2005 10:48 AM
(Rapaport...AAP Information Services, PERTH) Gold has broken its shackles, surging past the magical $500 an ounce mark, and it may just be the beginning of a new gold boom.
In late November, the spot price of gold finally followed up on its threats and pushed through the psychological barrier of $500 an ounce. The last time it touched these highs was when Alan Greenspan became chairman of the United States Federal Reserve.
It was 1987, and gold reached a high of $502.97 an ounce on the spot market. Today, many analysts are tipping the gold price will not just break the $500 mark but will leave it in its wake.
Ord Minnett research director Russell Lander believes we could just be at the foothill of a gold boom bringing with it gold fever.
"Gold really does affect people`s mood...and people become very irrational, get excited and they rush into stocks," he said. Gold is also considered a safe haven in times of political instability or economic pressure.
Recently the rising oil price and fear of increased inflation has seen investors flock to the precious yellow metal, said CommSec commodities analyst David Thurtell. "Some people like it as an inflation hedge and, since the terrorist concerns started, some people have used it as a bit of a safe haven," he said.
But as the price of oil eases, inflationary concerns are being replaced with concerns about missing an investment opportunity. Thurtell expects gold will continue its run for the first half of 2006, possibly reaching $550 an ounce.
"Then we could see a bit of a demand reaction and a bit of a supply response," he said. By the end of 2006 the spot price of gold could pull back to around $475 an ounce, according to CommSec.
Renowned gold tipper and head of the world`s biggest gold miner Newmont, Pierre Lassonde, has said the price could reach $1,000 an ounce over the next five to six years, passing the record price in 1980 of $850 an ounce.
Fat Prophet senior resource analyst Gavin Wendt is tipping a price of $550 an ounce by the middle of next year and said there were a number of reasons behind the buoyant gold price.
"We are seeing production starting to decline from the three major sources of gold production being Australia, South Africa, and North America," Wendt said. He estimated global production in 2005 would be around 300 tonnes, falling from 2004`s total output of 346 tonnes.
"If you went back around 10 years ago production was up around 1000 tonnes." The World Gold Council said demand for gold has been growing for almost two years with the Middle East, China, and India underpinning the demand.
Demand traditionally increases in the fourth quarter of the year when the Indian jewelry season kicks off. And as with most metals, China accounts for some demand, with the growing middle class keen to showcase their new found wealth, according to Daiwa Securities analyst Mark Pervan.
"In India we are seeing very strong economic growth very similar to China at the moment," he said. "Indians love showing off their wealth through gold and jewelry." Also driving demand is a move by a number of central banks, notably Russia and South Africa, to acquire more gold.
While a booming gold price will fatten the coffers of gold miners, it is also an opportunity for investors. Pervan and other analysts believe smart investors will be putting their money into gold stocks. Newcrest Mining, Lihir Gold, Newmont Mining, and Indophil Resources top the list of the most likely to generate a return on investment.
Copyright 2005 AAP Information Services Pty Ltd.
C 2005 Dialog, a Thomson business. All rights reserved.
Email us about this article
< Previous Item | Back to List | Next Item >
Breaking News
Consumer Confidence Rises Recovers from Fall Slump
Two consumer confidence surveys point to slightly better feelings about ...
DTC Predicts 20% Growth in India Led by Suburbs in`06
The Diamond Trading Company (DTC) has projected a growth ...
UK Retailers Slash Prices to Lure Boxing Day Crowds
Bargain-hunters on December 26 were snapping up some of the biggest Boxing ...
Gold Boom for 2006
Gold has broken its shackles, surging past the magical ...
More News
By THOMSON DIALOG: NewsEdge Posted: 12/28/2005 10:48 AM
(Rapaport...AAP Information Services, PERTH) Gold has broken its shackles, surging past the magical $500 an ounce mark, and it may just be the beginning of a new gold boom.
In late November, the spot price of gold finally followed up on its threats and pushed through the psychological barrier of $500 an ounce. The last time it touched these highs was when Alan Greenspan became chairman of the United States Federal Reserve.
It was 1987, and gold reached a high of $502.97 an ounce on the spot market. Today, many analysts are tipping the gold price will not just break the $500 mark but will leave it in its wake.
Ord Minnett research director Russell Lander believes we could just be at the foothill of a gold boom bringing with it gold fever.
"Gold really does affect people`s mood...and people become very irrational, get excited and they rush into stocks," he said. Gold is also considered a safe haven in times of political instability or economic pressure.
Recently the rising oil price and fear of increased inflation has seen investors flock to the precious yellow metal, said CommSec commodities analyst David Thurtell. "Some people like it as an inflation hedge and, since the terrorist concerns started, some people have used it as a bit of a safe haven," he said.
But as the price of oil eases, inflationary concerns are being replaced with concerns about missing an investment opportunity. Thurtell expects gold will continue its run for the first half of 2006, possibly reaching $550 an ounce.
"Then we could see a bit of a demand reaction and a bit of a supply response," he said. By the end of 2006 the spot price of gold could pull back to around $475 an ounce, according to CommSec.
Renowned gold tipper and head of the world`s biggest gold miner Newmont, Pierre Lassonde, has said the price could reach $1,000 an ounce over the next five to six years, passing the record price in 1980 of $850 an ounce.
Fat Prophet senior resource analyst Gavin Wendt is tipping a price of $550 an ounce by the middle of next year and said there were a number of reasons behind the buoyant gold price.
"We are seeing production starting to decline from the three major sources of gold production being Australia, South Africa, and North America," Wendt said. He estimated global production in 2005 would be around 300 tonnes, falling from 2004`s total output of 346 tonnes.
"If you went back around 10 years ago production was up around 1000 tonnes." The World Gold Council said demand for gold has been growing for almost two years with the Middle East, China, and India underpinning the demand.
Demand traditionally increases in the fourth quarter of the year when the Indian jewelry season kicks off. And as with most metals, China accounts for some demand, with the growing middle class keen to showcase their new found wealth, according to Daiwa Securities analyst Mark Pervan.
"In India we are seeing very strong economic growth very similar to China at the moment," he said. "Indians love showing off their wealth through gold and jewelry." Also driving demand is a move by a number of central banks, notably Russia and South Africa, to acquire more gold.
While a booming gold price will fatten the coffers of gold miners, it is also an opportunity for investors. Pervan and other analysts believe smart investors will be putting their money into gold stocks. Newcrest Mining, Lihir Gold, Newmont Mining, and Indophil Resources top the list of the most likely to generate a return on investment.
Copyright 2005 AAP Information Services Pty Ltd.
C 2005 Dialog, a Thomson business. All rights reserved.
Email us about this article
< Previous Item | Back to List | Next Item >
Breaking News
Consumer Confidence Rises Recovers from Fall Slump
Two consumer confidence surveys point to slightly better feelings about ...
DTC Predicts 20% Growth in India Led by Suburbs in`06
The Diamond Trading Company (DTC) has projected a growth ...
UK Retailers Slash Prices to Lure Boxing Day Crowds
Bargain-hunters on December 26 were snapping up some of the biggest Boxing ...
Gold Boom for 2006
Gold has broken its shackles, surging past the magical ...
More News
unheimlich
The World`s Central Banks Must Keep Buying Gold
Tuesday January 3, 2:48 pm ET
BALTIMORE, Jan. 3 /PRNewswire/ -- As central banks around the world consider bolstering their gold reserves, one analyst says their only choice is to buy more. And prices will continue setting records as a result.
Gold prices have already soared thanks in part to rumors and announcements from central banks. Last week, the metal jumped $6 an ounce in a single day after China Galaxy Securities Co., China`s largest brokerage firm, suggested the Chinese government should add as much as 2,400 tonnes to its reserves. This follows announcements that the Russian and South African central banks would like to increase their gold reserves as well.
According to Justice Litle, a commodity market analyst and frequent contributor to The Daily Reckoning, this trend will continue for some time. And it has nothing to do with the supply-and-demand fundamentals of gold.
"Central banks around the world are sitting on mountains of U.S. dollars," Litle explains. "While Americans might consider that a pile of assets, foreign leaders can only see it as a giant pile of liabilities."
As he points out, the U.S. government alone faces a $331 billion budget deficit while Americans are sitting on $2.1 trillion of debt.
"The deeper into debt America goes, the less valuable its currency becomes," says Litle. Faced with a large supply of a wasting asset, countries "would be crazy not to shovel it into gold as fast as they can."
Litle believes we can expect to see more central banks adding to their gold holdings in the months ahead. And since the world`s central banks have such a big influence on the gold price, we can expect the gold price to shoot up as a result.
"This gold rally could have some very long legs," Litle says.
For more from Justice Litle, see http://www.dailyreckoning.com
Brought to you by Agora Financial, and written by the NY Times best- selling authors, Bill Bonner and Addison Wiggin, The Daily Reckoning is a daily, free e-letter that weaves information about the financial world, investing and everyday life into an educational and entertaining format that has been engaging their readers for over six years.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: www.dailyreckoning.com
Tuesday January 3, 2:48 pm ET
BALTIMORE, Jan. 3 /PRNewswire/ -- As central banks around the world consider bolstering their gold reserves, one analyst says their only choice is to buy more. And prices will continue setting records as a result.
Gold prices have already soared thanks in part to rumors and announcements from central banks. Last week, the metal jumped $6 an ounce in a single day after China Galaxy Securities Co., China`s largest brokerage firm, suggested the Chinese government should add as much as 2,400 tonnes to its reserves. This follows announcements that the Russian and South African central banks would like to increase their gold reserves as well.
According to Justice Litle, a commodity market analyst and frequent contributor to The Daily Reckoning, this trend will continue for some time. And it has nothing to do with the supply-and-demand fundamentals of gold.
"Central banks around the world are sitting on mountains of U.S. dollars," Litle explains. "While Americans might consider that a pile of assets, foreign leaders can only see it as a giant pile of liabilities."
As he points out, the U.S. government alone faces a $331 billion budget deficit while Americans are sitting on $2.1 trillion of debt.
"The deeper into debt America goes, the less valuable its currency becomes," says Litle. Faced with a large supply of a wasting asset, countries "would be crazy not to shovel it into gold as fast as they can."
Litle believes we can expect to see more central banks adding to their gold holdings in the months ahead. And since the world`s central banks have such a big influence on the gold price, we can expect the gold price to shoot up as a result.
"This gold rally could have some very long legs," Litle says.
For more from Justice Litle, see http://www.dailyreckoning.com
Brought to you by Agora Financial, and written by the NY Times best- selling authors, Bill Bonner and Addison Wiggin, The Daily Reckoning is a daily, free e-letter that weaves information about the financial world, investing and everyday life into an educational and entertaining format that has been engaging their readers for over six years.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: www.dailyreckoning.com
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