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    Africa Oil Corp. - World-Class East Africa Oil Exploration (Seite 177)

    eröffnet am 23.06.11 21:04:25 von
    neuester Beitrag 28.04.24 15:36:08 von
    Beiträge: 4.121
    ID: 1.167.139
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    ISIN: CA00829Q1019 · WKN: A0MZJC · Symbol: AFZ
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    Letzter Kurs 09.05.24 Tradegate

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     Ja Nein
      Avatar
      schrieb am 07.07.13 07:48:31
      Beitrag Nr. 2.361 ()
      Zitat von magicvox: Compagnymaker ...."kein Stück aus der Hand geben"!


      ... Ich kann mich nicht erinnern, dass hier irgendjemand solches Trivial-Vokabular aus der Hot-Stock-Szene in den letzten Monaten verwendet hat...

      Mit AOC ist es ganz einfach: es gibt Leute, die begreifen um was es hier geht und es gibt Leute, die das nicht begreifen - That's it und mehr ist da zu auch nicht zu sagen...
      Avatar
      schrieb am 06.07.13 14:26:11
      Beitrag Nr. 2.360 ()
      Compagnymaker ...."kein Stück aus der Hand geben"! Sehe ich zwar auch so und habe auch gestern nochmal nachgelegt aber der Kurs
      verhält sich wirklich kontraproduktiv....! Es müsste doch langsam was in die Gänge kommen mit diesem m.E. wirklich exelenten Wert wobei man zu diesen Kursen vielleicht nur noch letztmalig die Chance bekommt! Was meint Ihr?
      Würd mich mal interessieren
      Avatar
      schrieb am 05.07.13 12:45:01
      Beitrag Nr. 2.359 ()
      Ein bisschen was zum Marktverständnis im Kontext zu AOI von redinvest auf dem iii-Board:

      Hi Farrell90,

      In part it was the holiday, which is a little disappointing, share price wise. If this info had come out on a oMonday, it would run higher all week.
      Actually, investors have got to understand the bigger picture, and how it portrays to the daily gyrations of the share price. They
      need to understand that the main market that dominates the share price I's the OMX exchange in Sweden, where it,s normal to see one million shares traded daily. the Canadian TSE exchange falls into second position, and the Nasdaq AOIFF comes in third.

      We need to follow the OMX if we want to judge the share price movements. If the share price goes north in Sweden, arbitrage will kick in , and the Ca and USA market will move to equal the OMX.

      Besides, US investors have got to understand that we are better off in this situation. IMO the US market is easily manipulated while we are on the particular Nasdaq exchange where we reside on now. That will change eventually as AOIFF continues to grow. We will probably grow into the main Nasdaq market before we climb to the NYSE, which we will, in time,
      do if we are not bought out beforehand.

      Just guessing, but I believe there's a few shorters that automatically short hard on any good new on the US market. They do this to protect their short position, and to keep from getting a margin call. I also believe that a lot of the USA AOIFF investors could not buy yesterday, even if they wanted to. That's because they don't have a margin account, like I do, and they would have to wait three business days for any money into their account, from selling some other company's shares, in order to buy AOIFF.

      Sorry if this sounds a little complicated, but it is what it is. Generally, I was pleased that we went up .15 yesterday with AOIFF.

      My advice is to forget the day to day gyrations of the share price. That' s the small picture. The big picture is that the company has come up aces on several fronts. Our goal to prove up one billion barrels in the Lokichar is within our sight. We are getting there. I'm glad that KH is emphasizing this goal, and if you read one of my previous posts on this matter, you would recall that one billion barrels in the Lokichar would equate to a share price equal to 60 dollars a share on a RISKED basis.

      AOIFF is an incredible oil explorer. Our upside is completely massive. I think we have 10 billion barrels in theLokichar, maybe even a lot more than that. We have wonderful and very experienced management.


      We have at least two very good and world class partners, Tullow and Marathon. We haven huge percentages in most our blocks. Being q the first explorer to tackle onshore Kenya, before others, meaning we took the biggest risk, we have the most favorable and unchanging PSC terms with Kenyan gov.


      In conclusion, everything is good, VERY good. If you need the follow the smaller daily picture, my advice to you is to understand the bigger picture.

      Best,

      Red
      Avatar
      schrieb am 05.07.13 10:12:20
      Beitrag Nr. 2.358 ()
      @Staberhuk: Es ist ihm wohl nicht so gaaaanz klar wovon er berichtet, die Anzahl der Bohrungen bezieht sich auch auch auf die unternehmensweiten noch ausstehenden wells...

      ............

      Warnado1 auf iii hingegen dürfte klar sein von was er spricht wenn er Kenya/Ethiopia mit "middle eastern giant oil fields which rund into BILLIONS of barrels" vergleicht ;):


      Remember this?


      Thursday May 10, 2012 and Monday May 28, 2012

      A Bay Street brokerage recently published a bullish report on AOI, noting that the recent results far exceed pre-drill expectations. The report also notes that the scale of success at Ngamia-1 could indicate that the Lokichar sub-basin alone could contain 1 billion barrels of gross recoverable resource. The analyst also commented that the “pre-drill P50 recoverable resource estimate of 45 million barrels was predicated on some 17 m of net oil pay thus, all else being equal, a simple volumetric estimate would suggest that Ngamia could contain over 250 million barrels of recoverable resources within the existing horizons alone, let alone any potential prospectivity within the deeper, primary objective”

      https://research.canaccordgenuity.com/_layouts/researchnotev…

      https://research.canaccordgenuity.com/_layouts/researchnotev…

      On the 26th May 2012 I made a detailed post titled "Volumetric Estimate Exercise" which I have provided the link for below -

      http://www.iii.co.uk/investment/detail?code=cotn%3AAOIFF&dis…

      Now, lets press fast forward to over a year from those comments and post to current day.

      After the latest update, from Tullow, what we now know is that -

      1, Analysis of the test data from Ngamia-1 has resulted in doubling previous estimate of net oil pay to 200mtrs (the AOI news release states OVER 200mtrs) and an optimised flow rate potential of around 5,000 bopd and significantly increased discovered volume.

      2, Analysis of the test data from Twiga South-1 has resulted in doubling previous estimates of net oil pay 75mtrs (the AOI news release states OVER 75mtrs) and an optimised flow rate potential of around 5,000 bopd and significantly increased discovered volume.

      3, The combined mean associated resources for Ngamia-1 and Twiga South-1 is now estimated to be over 250 mmbo with the potential to increase further following appraisal.

      4, The Etuko well has shown that from results from drilling, wireline logs and samples of
      reservoir fluid confirm a new oil discovery with net pay of OVER 40 metres in the Auwerwer and Upper Lokhone targets. The well is now drilling the Lower Lokhone sands and results from this lower section are expected by the end of July which COULD increase the net pay further.

      As I have always stated, I seriously think Tullow, and AOI to a lesser degree (given the wide mouth of KH), are being very conservative about the current volumes and the enormity of what could discovered in Kenya and Ethopia (although much less is known in this region yet).

      Lets go back to the start of this post using the "“pre-drill P50 recoverable resource estimate of 45 million barrels was predicated on some 17 m of net oil pay" and compare it to current day facts.

      1, Ngamia-1, at least 200mtrs NET pay therefore 200mtrs / 17mtrs = 11.76 * 45MMBO = 529.2MMBO.

      2, Twiga South-1, at least 75mtrs NET pay therefore 75mtrs / 17mtrs = 4.41 * 198.4MMBO.

      3, Etuko-1, at least 40mtrs NEY pay SO FAR therefore 40mtrs / 17mtrs = 2.64 * 45MMBO = 118MMBO.

      For these 3 discoveries alone the numbers above stand at 845.6MMBO which is much admired in the oil industry.

      Given the fact that there is well over 100 prospects and leads to be drilled I personally think we are eventually looking at a project which is comparable to middle eastern giant oil fields which run into BILLIONS of barrels.


      I would even go as far to say that the current numbers on the reserves/resources page as detailed on the AOI website are not as unbelievable as they appear given the fact that only 3 wells have been drilled on block 10BB and 13T and these blocks are not even the biggest resource wise. We still have the "monsters" to drill on blocks 10BA and 12A and that's just Kenya alone EXCLUDING Ethopia's South Omo and our newly acquired Rift Basin Area which is huge, very prospective and we have a very capable partner in this with Marathon for 50% (although Marathon have yet to advertise the fact).

      We are onto something big, very big indeed but all in my humble opinion of course.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.07.13 09:58:54
      Beitrag Nr. 2.357 ()
      Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 44.980.145 von gimo211 am 04.07.13 09:45:04"Tullow’s partner, Africa Oil, had earlier described Etuko site as one of their most attractive prospects in Kenya, estimating its reserve at 231 million barrels per day."

      Weiß der Kommentator, was er schreibt?

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      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.07.13 09:45:04
      Beitrag Nr. 2.356 ()
      http://www.businessdailyafrica.com/Tullow-strikes-new-oil-de…

      Tullow strikes new oil deposits in Turkana


      Oil drilling at Ngamia 1 in Turkana County in April 2012. Tullow says it has struck oil in Etuko-1 following drilling that started in May.


      By George Omondi

      Posted Wednesday, July 3 2013 at 21:16

      IN SUMMARY

      Tullow said it had returned a 60 per cent overall success rate for its Kenya programme in the first six months of 2013, which included the drilling of nine exploration wells and appraising 11 others.


      Kenya’s profile as a potential petroleum producer Wednesday rose a rung higher after British oil explorer, Tullow Plc, announced that it had discovered additional deposits in the Lake Turkana basin.

      Tullow said it had returned a 60 per cent overall success rate for its Kenya programme in the first six months of 2013, which included the drilling of nine exploration wells and appraising 11 others.

      “Exploration and appraisal across Tullow’s operated acreage in Kenya continues to be very successful,” the company said in its trading and operations update.

      The highlight of the company’s activities in Kenya for the six months to June 30 was the discovery of fresh oil deposits with a net pay of more than 40 metres in Etuko-1, some 14 kilometres east of Twiga South-1 in the Lokichar basin.


      New oil tests boost chances of striking commercial deposits


      Tullow’s partner, Africa Oil, had earlier described Etuko site as one of their most attractive prospects in Kenya, estimating its reserve at 231 million barrels per day.

      The company had started its drilling on the block in May 2013, making it the first test in the basin located in South Lockichar, Turkana County.


      Africa Oil eyes viable finds in Kenya


      Wednesday, the British multinational remained positive of prospects in Kenya as it outlined its second half-of-the-year programme which has lined up some 20 exploration sites locally, in Ethiopia, Mozambique, Mauritania, French Guiana and Norway.

      “Following recent successes a third rig and a dedicated testing unit have been contracted to support increased exploration and appraisal in Kenya by year-end,” the firm said in a statement.

      Tullow’s executives said they had significantly increased their estimate of the resources from both fields after successful flow-testing of Ngamia-1 and Twiga South-1, adjusting potential to over 250 million barrels of oil but warned that this could increase after appraisal.

      Early last year, Tullow stirred the local market with the announcement of an oil find in Turkana’s Ngamia-1 exploration block.


      Potential


      The discovery of 200 metres of oil net pay reignited interest in Kenya’s oil and gas exploration fields especially after US-headquartered Apache Corporation followed suit late last year with announcement of discovery of natural gas pay at Mbawa 1 offshore exploration well.

      Apart from the approximately 52 net metres (170 feet) of natural gas pay that the US Corporation encountered in three zones, it said the presence of hydrocarbons in its wells pointed to the areas’ oil potential.
      Tullow strikes natural gas deposits in the north

      The government has since altered its preferred path to the middle income status by adding mining and petroleum as the seventh pillar of the country’s long-term development blueprint, Vision 2030.


      Tullow’s Sh600m tax to Treasury signals oil windfall


      The county’s economic planners estimate that it will take two years for explorers such as Tullow to confirm whether the country has e commercial quantity of oil and another five years before production commences.

      “We should use this time to build infrastructure and the human capital required for commercial exploitation of oil,” says Vision 2030 director-general Mugo Kibati.

      Wednesday, Tullow announced that its flow testing programme at Ngamia-1 in the Lokichar Basin had been successfully completed and found to have a flow rate totalling 3,200 barrels per day (bpd).

      The oil is of 25 to 35 degree American Petroleum Institute (API) gravity, sweet waxy and shows no indication of pressure depletion.

      “The analysis of the test data from both the Ngamia-1 and Twiga South-1 wells has resulted in the doubling of our previous estimates of net oil pay to 200 metres and 75 metres respectively,” the company said in its update.

      It said the oil discovered so far also had an enhanced flow rate potential of around 5,000 bpd per well and significantly increased discovered volumes.

      Ekales-1, the next exploration well lined up in the Basin Bounding Fault Play on trend with Ngamia and Twiga-South, will commence drilling in late July 2013.
      1 Antwort?Die Baumansicht ist in diesem Thread nicht möglich.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 04.07.13 08:47:31
      Beitrag Nr. 2.355 ()
      Tja, war dann doch ein wenig übertrieben :-)
      Alle Gewinne wurden nach und nach abgegeben. Trotz überzeugender News und hervorragenden Aussichten ist keine Kurssteigerung übrig geblieben. Sowas habe ich in meiner langjährigen Börsenzeit noch nie miterlebt.
      Anscheinend stören sich doch viele an den Förderungsraten von 5300 statt der erwarteten 10 000 Barrel.
      An die kursierenden Gerüchte / Vermutungen, dass wieder einige Fonds stark abverkauft haben, weil sie nicht mehr liquide bzw. Kursbereinigungen betreiben, mag ich nicht mehr glauben. Wer sich die Umsätze in Schweden ansieht kann erkennen, dass relativ kleine Blöcke umgesetzt worden sind. Tja und wenn viel verkauft wird, muß es doch auch einen Käufer geben.
      Charttechnisch ist jetzt das Eröffnungs - GAP in Kanada und ebenso in Schweden geschlossen worden. Das ist erstmal eine gute Situation.
      Momentan beginnt der MA 50 zu steigen und der MA200 seit längerem zu fallen. Wenn nun die MA50 die MA 200 von unten nach oben durchbricht, dann haben wir ein extremes Kaufsignal und der Kurs wird nach oben gehen. Wird aber noch dauern.
      Bis dahin ist der Kurs m.E in einem Range gefangen.
      Niki
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.07.13 19:06:57
      Beitrag Nr. 2.354 ()
      Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 44.976.631 von gimo211 am 03.07.13 18:36:30Hast recht, jetzt nicht mehr!
      GAP close.Mein bescheidener Wunsch ist in Erfuellung gegangen.
      Niki
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.07.13 18:36:30
      Beitrag Nr. 2.353 ()
      Es gibt kein Gap!

      Prima, dann darf unser Baby sich nun brav entwickeln...

      Die Ergebnisse heute sind fundamental wertvoll; man sollte dabei keinen allzu kurzfristigen Blick haben... Current Trading ist das eine; langfristige Aussichten das andere...

      Wir haben mit zwei Wells mindestens 250 mmbbls recoverable - das ist ein Statement! Und so konservativ, wie Tullow zunächst seine Einschätzungen formuliert (net Pay Ngamia steigt von über 100m auf nun über 200m; net Pay Twiga nun auch bei über 75m...), würde ich mich nicht wundern, wenn wir schon jetzt eher bei einer halbe Milliarde bbls recoverable liegen...

      Und da ist die Etuko Discovery nicht mit eingerechnet. Da hatten wir 250mmbls im Durchschnitt-Case und ich bin sicher, da ist man nicht von 40m Pay ausgegangen (sondern weniger...).

      Das alles ist fundamental nicht zu ignorieren und lässt erahnen, was AOC für ein sensationelles Investment ist...
      1 Antwort?Die Baumansicht ist in diesem Thread nicht möglich.
      Avatar
      schrieb am 03.07.13 16:07:23
      Beitrag Nr. 2.352 ()
      So wie es momentan aussieht ist die anfängliche Euphorie zumindest in Schweden, verflogen und die Marktteilnehmer nehmen da dann auch noch die letzten Gewinne mit. Derzeitiger Kurs bei 7,32 CAN$
      Wenn man die Charttechnik in Kanada ansieht,dann haben wir heute ein Eröffnungsgap zwischen ca. 7,23 - 7,30 CAN$. Wäre eigentlich schön gewesen, wenn wir das nicht hätten. Einen kurzer Rücksetzer würde ich mir wünschen. Die Meldung ist raus, aber die Masse weis damit nicht viel anzufangen. Die Masse reagiert hier sehr stark nach der Meinung der Analysten und die kommt erst noch. Somit kann der Kursanstieg auch erst nach ein paar Tagen einsetzten. Wollen wir es mal hoffen.
      Der Umsatz in der ersten halben Std ist hier doch recht mager.
      RSI bei 52,43
      Slow Sto bei 27,04 mit Trend nach oben, jedoch noch nicht im grünen Bereich.
      MACD beginnt auch zu drehen, aber auch hier noch weit im roten Bereich.
      Tja, wie schon gestern geschrieben sind Fakten das Eine und die Erwartung das Andere.
      Mittel und Langfristig ergeben sich hier ungeahnte Kurssteigerungen.
      Ich würde sagen, das bei einer anderen allgemeinen Situation ,Weltbörsen sind derzeit im Sinkmodus und Rohstoffaktien nicht der Hit, egal wie sie dastehen, der Kurs locker bei 10 CAN$ stehen könnte.
      Meiner Meinung nach haben wir gute Chancen das wir auf heutigem Erkenntnisstand am Jahresende diese Marke überschritten haben.
      Mal sehen Niki
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      Africa Oil Corp. - World-Class East Africa Oil Exploration