Doral Financial: Wer kann mir diesen Kursabsturz erklären ? - 500 Beiträge pro Seite

[MichaJ]

Statt der erwarteten 1,04 USD gab`s 1,22 USD Quartalsgewinn.

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=DRL

Aus den zahlreichen Postings im Yahoo-Board werd ich auch nicht recht schlau.

MichaJ

[ballard1]

schau dir den Gesamtmarlt an, die Ami´s ticken nicht richtig.
Beige Book und Ölpreis gut. Bei jedem Quartalsergebnis gibts was auszusetzen. Ich würde mir so ein Verhalten am Markt erklären, wenn der DJ überhalb von 13.000 Punkten wäre.
TOKTOKTOK die spinnen die Amis

[betterthantherest]

Doral Cools Down

By Stephen D. Simpson
January 19, 2005

Puerto Rico-based Doral Financial (NYSE: DRL) has been simply en fuego over the past three years, as lower interest rates have turned the Puerto Rican housing market muy caliente and bolstered Doral`s bottom line and share price.

The fourth-quarter earnings report, released Tuesday evening, suggests that things might be cooling off a bit. Doral originated about $2 billion in new loans during the quarter, up 17% from the same time last year but basically flat compared with the third quarter. Curiously, the company`s provision for loan losses decreased year over year from $2.8 million to $1 million -- so although the company made 17% more loans, they reported a lower provision for bad loans.

What`s more, the company took a $97 million loss from investment trading activities. Were it not for a $77 million tax benefit relating to changes in the capital gains tax in Puerto Rico, the company would have reported nearly a 40% sequential drop in income.

Of more concern, the company`s net interest margin (essentially a measure of a bank`s moneymaking capability) appears to be shrinking. The company didn`t officially state its net interest margin, but a rough back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests a number around 2.2% -- a figure that would be below both year-ago and third-quarter results.

Compare this figure with the 4.04% margin reported by BB&T Bank (NYSE: BBT) or the 4.16% reported by Commerce Bank (NYSE: CBH), and it becomes clear that Doral doesn`t have as much wiggle room as its mainland brethren. Even worse, nearly every bank that has reported earnings so far has reported seeing interest margins narrowing.

Doral may be in for a double whammy. Not only does the bank have a somewhat narrow net interest margin to begin with, but also it has an unusually high concentration of investment securities as part of its interest-earning assets. Should the yield curve narrow further, Doral will find it increasingly difficult to make money from that spread, and profits will suffer.

Although Doral doesn`t appear terribly overvalued at a price-to-earnings ratio of about 12 on trailing earnings, the possibility of a worsening yield curve and the company`s comparatively low interest margin suggest that investors should proceed with caution. By the same token, Doral`s strong operating history and Puerto Rico`s incredibly strong housing market should provide some downside protection for those holding the stock.