Ballard, Sofa (Seite 4614)
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Werte aus der Branche Erneuerbare Energien
| Wertpapier | Kurs | Perf. % |
|---|---|---|
| 0,9798 | +30,64 | |
| 5,2000 | +20,37 | |
| 1,1026 | +16,06 | |
| 4,6700 | +14,74 | |
| 10,800 | +8,00 |
| Wertpapier | Kurs | Perf. % |
|---|---|---|
| 22,050 | -8,51 | |
| 14,580 | -8,73 | |
| 6,9400 | -9,58 | |
| 0,5889 | -10,77 | |
| 1,3675 | -21,41 |
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Bericht heute von Seeking Alpha. Link funktioniert nicht.
In the first 10 days of trading, shares of Ballard Power (BLDP) have soared 56.3% to $2.36, from $1.51 at the close of 2013. And volume in 2014 is up sharply, too, reaching an average of 7.1 million shares traded, from an average of 1.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2013.
Why the Sudden Spike in the Stock?
Following news on Jan. 2 of Plug Power's (PLUG) success with meeting a company goal of booking between $30M and $40M in new orders ($32M, actual) for the fourth quarter, tepid and unconvinced investors of the expectations of a bright 2014 for the fuel cell sector jumped in with both feet to scoop up any ticker operating within this space.
The reoccurring pattern of thinking on Wall Street goes: If one company in the industry scores a series of contracts, others in the sector will eventually score as well.
So, if Plug Power is scoring contracts, BLDP will most likely score some contracts soon, as potential "me-too" customers follow the lead of commitments made by Plug's big-boy customers, Wal-Mart (WMT), Kroger (KR), Mercedes and BMW.
And on Jan. 7, Plug Power announced another deal, this time with FedEx (FDX). Under the terms of the agreement, Plug will develop hydrogen fuel cell extenders for 20 of FedEx's electric delivery trucks. Now, FedEx has been added to the impressive list of endorsements for fuel cell technology, in general.
It appears that, after approximately two decades of hope, frustration, despair, and huge investor losses, fuel cell technology may be finally making some serious headway within the commercial marketplace, the logical place of first to adoption.
Visionary 'Nuts' Vs. Newcomer Geniuses
More than a decade ago, investors jumped to buy BLDP at as much as $150 per share during the hope, hype, promise and cult phase of the fuel cell technology craze-a technology, as it turns out, to be too soon for the industry's (and investors') own good.
There's an old adage that may apply to Ballard, Plug and the like, "If you're one step ahead of the crowd, you're a genius. But, if you're two steps ahead, you're a nut." Those investors who bought into BLDP's billion-dollar-plus valuation back in the early 2000's are the nuts, in this case; they were way ahead of the marketplace. But today, investors who buy into BLDP's business could very well be the geniuses, the ones to make the score (see chart, below).
Ballard on Track to Profitability
Though already known, Ballard's sharp rebound from the financial meltdown deserves review, because it's my thesis that Ballard is poised to profit from a confluence of positive trends toward an embracing of cost-cutting capex spending sweeping throughout large multinationals as it relates to energy and operational efficiencies.
Trends in revenue, gross profit, gross margin, EBITDA, operating income and accounts receivable suggest profitability in late 2014, or early 2015, for Ballard-which appears to be consistent with, and indicative of growing commitments to fuel cell technology made by large commercial enterprises in transportation, warehousing and communications, among others.
For the first three quarters of 2013, Ballard posted $43.9 million of revenue, a remarkable rebound of 61% from $27.3 million reported for the same period of 2012.
For the third quarter ending Sept. 30, gross margin improved to 28%, a rise of 16 basis points from the same quarter last year. And, as can be gleaned from the chart, titled "Ballard Power Systems - Revenue, Gross Profit and Gross Margin Trend", Ballard projects gross margin to increase further to well above 30%.
For the first three quarters, the company's gross margin has steadily increased to 25% in 2013, from 17% in 2012, and 13% in 2011.
And Ballard's operating losses continue to shrink., as well. According to the company's income statements for the past 10 years (except for the year 2007), Ballard has made progress shrinking its cash-burn (see chart, titled Ballard Power Systems - "Operating Income Trend").
Finally, and quite consistent with the Ballard's improving financial metrics is the company's accounts receivable, which has soared 79.1% from 2011, to approximately $20.2 million.
Ballard's Guidance Suggests Profitability By 2015
Full-year guidance for 2013 included expectations for a revenue growth rate of 30% from 2012's total, as well as a narrowing of EBITDA losses of 50%.
Given the recent news from Plug that suggests an industry poised to explode higher, a repeat of Ballard's success on the revenue front in 2013 could take Ballard's revenue to approximately $76 million-a revenue level that could be enough to push Ballard into profitability, mostly stemming from its presence and focus on the Asia market (see Jan. 9 news release regarding the M-Field Energy, Limited deal in Taiwan).
That projection of profitability assumes, among other things, a stable to reasonably higher gross margin. A quick back-of-the-napkin calculation suggests that Ballard could squeak out a black bottom line by the first quarter of 2015, or maybe as early as the fourth quarter of 2014.
Conclusion
Though investors who've been burned by the initial slew of fuel cell IPO's 15 to 20 years ago gave the sector a 'loser' image after the industry crash, investors who've come along to pick up the carnage could be taking a well-thought out calculated gamble on BLDP and its brethren at the most opportune time.
It's not the first time that companies and sectors, which have been left for dead, some day make a comeback as the vision initially embraced among the 'nuts' of long ago turns into a reality for the 'geniuses' who were fortunately spared from the long and painful marathon to eventual adoption of a technology whose time has finally come.
In the first 10 days of trading, shares of Ballard Power (BLDP) have soared 56.3% to $2.36, from $1.51 at the close of 2013. And volume in 2014 is up sharply, too, reaching an average of 7.1 million shares traded, from an average of 1.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2013.
Why the Sudden Spike in the Stock?
Following news on Jan. 2 of Plug Power's (PLUG) success with meeting a company goal of booking between $30M and $40M in new orders ($32M, actual) for the fourth quarter, tepid and unconvinced investors of the expectations of a bright 2014 for the fuel cell sector jumped in with both feet to scoop up any ticker operating within this space.
The reoccurring pattern of thinking on Wall Street goes: If one company in the industry scores a series of contracts, others in the sector will eventually score as well.
So, if Plug Power is scoring contracts, BLDP will most likely score some contracts soon, as potential "me-too" customers follow the lead of commitments made by Plug's big-boy customers, Wal-Mart (WMT), Kroger (KR), Mercedes and BMW.
And on Jan. 7, Plug Power announced another deal, this time with FedEx (FDX). Under the terms of the agreement, Plug will develop hydrogen fuel cell extenders for 20 of FedEx's electric delivery trucks. Now, FedEx has been added to the impressive list of endorsements for fuel cell technology, in general.
It appears that, after approximately two decades of hope, frustration, despair, and huge investor losses, fuel cell technology may be finally making some serious headway within the commercial marketplace, the logical place of first to adoption.
Visionary 'Nuts' Vs. Newcomer Geniuses
More than a decade ago, investors jumped to buy BLDP at as much as $150 per share during the hope, hype, promise and cult phase of the fuel cell technology craze-a technology, as it turns out, to be too soon for the industry's (and investors') own good.
There's an old adage that may apply to Ballard, Plug and the like, "If you're one step ahead of the crowd, you're a genius. But, if you're two steps ahead, you're a nut." Those investors who bought into BLDP's billion-dollar-plus valuation back in the early 2000's are the nuts, in this case; they were way ahead of the marketplace. But today, investors who buy into BLDP's business could very well be the geniuses, the ones to make the score (see chart, below).
Ballard on Track to Profitability
Though already known, Ballard's sharp rebound from the financial meltdown deserves review, because it's my thesis that Ballard is poised to profit from a confluence of positive trends toward an embracing of cost-cutting capex spending sweeping throughout large multinationals as it relates to energy and operational efficiencies.
Trends in revenue, gross profit, gross margin, EBITDA, operating income and accounts receivable suggest profitability in late 2014, or early 2015, for Ballard-which appears to be consistent with, and indicative of growing commitments to fuel cell technology made by large commercial enterprises in transportation, warehousing and communications, among others.
For the first three quarters of 2013, Ballard posted $43.9 million of revenue, a remarkable rebound of 61% from $27.3 million reported for the same period of 2012.
For the third quarter ending Sept. 30, gross margin improved to 28%, a rise of 16 basis points from the same quarter last year. And, as can be gleaned from the chart, titled "Ballard Power Systems - Revenue, Gross Profit and Gross Margin Trend", Ballard projects gross margin to increase further to well above 30%.
For the first three quarters, the company's gross margin has steadily increased to 25% in 2013, from 17% in 2012, and 13% in 2011.
And Ballard's operating losses continue to shrink., as well. According to the company's income statements for the past 10 years (except for the year 2007), Ballard has made progress shrinking its cash-burn (see chart, titled Ballard Power Systems - "Operating Income Trend").
Finally, and quite consistent with the Ballard's improving financial metrics is the company's accounts receivable, which has soared 79.1% from 2011, to approximately $20.2 million.
Ballard's Guidance Suggests Profitability By 2015
Full-year guidance for 2013 included expectations for a revenue growth rate of 30% from 2012's total, as well as a narrowing of EBITDA losses of 50%.
Given the recent news from Plug that suggests an industry poised to explode higher, a repeat of Ballard's success on the revenue front in 2013 could take Ballard's revenue to approximately $76 million-a revenue level that could be enough to push Ballard into profitability, mostly stemming from its presence and focus on the Asia market (see Jan. 9 news release regarding the M-Field Energy, Limited deal in Taiwan).
That projection of profitability assumes, among other things, a stable to reasonably higher gross margin. A quick back-of-the-napkin calculation suggests that Ballard could squeak out a black bottom line by the first quarter of 2015, or maybe as early as the fourth quarter of 2014.
Conclusion
Though investors who've been burned by the initial slew of fuel cell IPO's 15 to 20 years ago gave the sector a 'loser' image after the industry crash, investors who've come along to pick up the carnage could be taking a well-thought out calculated gamble on BLDP and its brethren at the most opportune time.
It's not the first time that companies and sectors, which have been left for dead, some day make a comeback as the vision initially embraced among the 'nuts' of long ago turns into a reality for the 'geniuses' who were fortunately spared from the long and painful marathon to eventual adoption of a technology whose time has finally come.
Verschmutzungsrechte Handel soll ausgeweitet werden auf Brennstoffzelle,Tesla könnte 40% Marktanteil verlieren,GM ,Honda und Toyota werden profitierenhttp://www.automobil-industrie.vogel.de/oems/articles/426522…
Zitat von Hydrogenium: Eine pessimistische Einschätzung:
Studie: Schlechte Chancen für Fahrzeuge mit Brennstoffzelle
Trotz erheblicher Kostensenkungen bleiben Fahrzeugen mit Brennstoffzellenantrieb auch in gut zehn Jahren große Marktchancen verwehrt, wie die Beratungsfirma Roland Berger in einer neuen Studie erklärt. Bis 2025 könnten die Herstellungskosten für Brennstoffzellensysteme zwar um 80 Prozent auf rund 9.000 Euro sinken, dies genüge jedoch noch nicht für einen Durchbruch am Markt, teilte das Unternehmen mit. Kostentreiber ist das Edelmetall Platin, das den Preis für ein Brennstoffzellensystem je Fahrzeug derzeit auf rund 45.000 Euro treibt, so die Studie. (DPA – 13. Januar 2014)
Wenn sich da mal die Herren von Roland Berger nicht täuschen, denn 10 Jahre sind in der Entwicklung eine Ewigkeit und Toyota hatte ja schon im Dezember ganz anders berichtet:
Toyota nennt bereits eine Preisspanne für sein Fuel Cell Vehicle (FCV): Zwischen fünf Millionen und zehn Millionen Yen soll die abgasfreie Mittelklasselimousine kosten – das sind etwa 37.000 bis 74.000 Euro. Bisher waren die Schmuckstücke des technischen Fortschritts aufgrund ihres hohen Platingehalts wesentlich teurer und wurden nur zu Testzwecken verleast. Künftig soll zur kontrollierten Reaktion von Wasserstoff und Sauerstoff nicht mehr Edelmetall nötig sein, als heute in einem Dieselkatalysator verbaut ist, kündigen Toyota und Daimler an.
hier zu diesem Thema noch mal der Link zu neuen Materialien.
http://dailyfusion.net/2013/07/irish-researchers-develop-che…
Eine pessimistische Einschätzung:
Studie: Schlechte Chancen für Fahrzeuge mit Brennstoffzelle
Trotz erheblicher Kostensenkungen bleiben Fahrzeugen mit Brennstoffzellenantrieb auch in gut zehn Jahren große Marktchancen verwehrt, wie die Beratungsfirma Roland Berger in einer neuen Studie erklärt. Bis 2025 könnten die Herstellungskosten für Brennstoffzellensysteme zwar um 80 Prozent auf rund 9.000 Euro sinken, dies genüge jedoch noch nicht für einen Durchbruch am Markt, teilte das Unternehmen mit. Kostentreiber ist das Edelmetall Platin, das den Preis für ein Brennstoffzellensystem je Fahrzeug derzeit auf rund 45.000 Euro treibt, so die Studie. (DPA – 13. Januar 2014)
Wenn sich da mal die Herren von Roland Berger nicht täuschen, denn 10 Jahre sind in der Entwicklung eine Ewigkeit und Toyota hatte ja schon im Dezember ganz anders berichtet:
Toyota nennt bereits eine Preisspanne für sein Fuel Cell Vehicle (FCV): Zwischen fünf Millionen und zehn Millionen Yen soll die abgasfreie Mittelklasselimousine kosten – das sind etwa 37.000 bis 74.000 Euro. Bisher waren die Schmuckstücke des technischen Fortschritts aufgrund ihres hohen Platingehalts wesentlich teurer und wurden nur zu Testzwecken verleast. Künftig soll zur kontrollierten Reaktion von Wasserstoff und Sauerstoff nicht mehr Edelmetall nötig sein, als heute in einem Dieselkatalysator verbaut ist, kündigen Toyota und Daimler an.
Studie: Schlechte Chancen für Fahrzeuge mit Brennstoffzelle
Trotz erheblicher Kostensenkungen bleiben Fahrzeugen mit Brennstoffzellenantrieb auch in gut zehn Jahren große Marktchancen verwehrt, wie die Beratungsfirma Roland Berger in einer neuen Studie erklärt. Bis 2025 könnten die Herstellungskosten für Brennstoffzellensysteme zwar um 80 Prozent auf rund 9.000 Euro sinken, dies genüge jedoch noch nicht für einen Durchbruch am Markt, teilte das Unternehmen mit. Kostentreiber ist das Edelmetall Platin, das den Preis für ein Brennstoffzellensystem je Fahrzeug derzeit auf rund 45.000 Euro treibt, so die Studie. (DPA – 13. Januar 2014)
Wenn sich da mal die Herren von Roland Berger nicht täuschen, denn 10 Jahre sind in der Entwicklung eine Ewigkeit und Toyota hatte ja schon im Dezember ganz anders berichtet:
Toyota nennt bereits eine Preisspanne für sein Fuel Cell Vehicle (FCV): Zwischen fünf Millionen und zehn Millionen Yen soll die abgasfreie Mittelklasselimousine kosten – das sind etwa 37.000 bis 74.000 Euro. Bisher waren die Schmuckstücke des technischen Fortschritts aufgrund ihres hohen Platingehalts wesentlich teurer und wurden nur zu Testzwecken verleast. Künftig soll zur kontrollierten Reaktion von Wasserstoff und Sauerstoff nicht mehr Edelmetall nötig sein, als heute in einem Dieselkatalysator verbaut ist, kündigen Toyota und Daimler an.
mh, ich warte eigentlich mal auf eine Meldung von Ballard.... Dass gleich überhaupt nichts vom Montag berichtet wird, schade eigentlich....
Trading Spotlight
ok. bei Plug ist die Kapitalerhöhung durch
irgendwie starten Plug und Ballard gerade gleichzeitig......mal schauen
General Motors gibt morgen ein update bekannt...http://www.energy.gov/articles/live-discussion-energy-101-fu…
Siehe letzter Programmpunkt.
Siehe letzter Programmpunkt.
Schlechte Nachrichten verbreiten sich sehr schnell!!!
Ein gutes Zeichen, ohne Nachrichten!
Vieleicht gibt es so viele gute Nachrichten das mann gar nicht weiss wie und was man zuerst melden soll.
Das die Märkte nicht verrückt spielen.
Nur die Meinung eines Optimisten!
Ein gutes Zeichen, ohne Nachrichten!
Vieleicht gibt es so viele gute Nachrichten das mann gar nicht weiss wie und was man zuerst melden soll.
Das die Märkte nicht verrückt spielen.
Nur die Meinung eines Optimisten!
So eine Meldung wäre doch was gewesen gestern!!! :-) Schade für Ballard...
Telecom FC now cheaper and more reliable than diesel
LONDON (Reuters) - Intelligent Energy, a British hydrogen fuel cell developer and manufacturer, said it had signed an $82 million (50 million pounds) contract, its biggest so far, to provide its technology for mobile phone masts in India.
Chief Executive Henri Winand said the technology, originally developed with Suzuki Motor Corp to power motor scooters, was cheaper and more reliable than diesel generators, which have provided back-up power for the towers.
The agreement with India's Ascend Telecom Infrastructure covers 4,000 towers serving some 10 million mobile phone users, said Intelligent Energy, a privately owned company named by Deloitte as one of the fastest growing UK technology companies in 2013.
"We have been generating power quietly for two years (in India), but now we are taking contracts where we are competitive and more cost-effective than the distributed diesel generation baseline," he said in an telephone interview.
"It's the first contract we have taken of this nature and this size and scope."
The hydrogen fuel cell systems provide back-up power when electricity from the grid fails, which can happen for up to 12 hours of each 24, Winand said.
The contract lasts more than five years and has the potential to grow to about $200 million as Ascend's mast coverage grows, he said. Less
Telecom FC now cheaper and more reliable than diesel
LONDON (Reuters) - Intelligent Energy, a British hydrogen fuel cell developer and manufacturer, said it had signed an $82 million (50 million pounds) contract, its biggest so far, to provide its technology for mobile phone masts in India.
Chief Executive Henri Winand said the technology, originally developed with Suzuki Motor Corp to power motor scooters, was cheaper and more reliable than diesel generators, which have provided back-up power for the towers.
The agreement with India's Ascend Telecom Infrastructure covers 4,000 towers serving some 10 million mobile phone users, said Intelligent Energy, a privately owned company named by Deloitte as one of the fastest growing UK technology companies in 2013.
"We have been generating power quietly for two years (in India), but now we are taking contracts where we are competitive and more cost-effective than the distributed diesel generation baseline," he said in an telephone interview.
"It's the first contract we have taken of this nature and this size and scope."
The hydrogen fuel cell systems provide back-up power when electricity from the grid fails, which can happen for up to 12 hours of each 24, Winand said.
The contract lasts more than five years and has the potential to grow to about $200 million as Ascend's mast coverage grows, he said. Less
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| 26.04.24 |