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Feedback
Newmont predicts gold in multi-year uptrend
U.S. dollar decline, trade deficit drive appreciation
Robert Gibbens
National Post
Thursday, July 04, 2002
ADVERTISEMENT
MONTREAL - Pierre Lassonde, president of Newmont Mining Corp., the world`s biggest gold miner, said yesterday the metal is in a "multi-year" uptrend because of weakness in the U.S. economy and political turmoil.
"Gold at around US$320 an ounce is already at a five-year high with the U.S. current account deficit running at an unsustainable 5% of gross domestic product and a 10% decline in the U.S. dollar," he said in an interview before receiving the Ecole Polytechnique`s 24th Prix Mérite for professional excellence.
"I base my prediction on fundamentals and it`ll take two years to wring the excesses out of the U.S. system," said Mr. Lassonde, co-founder of Franco-Nevada Mining Corp. Ltd. and former manager of two successful gold funds. "There are more WorldComs to come."
The U.S. needs a US$1.3-billion daily inflow of foreign currencies to maintain its former exchange rate but is getting only half that with the collapsing stock market, economic uncertainty, rock-bottom interest rates and an international flight to bullion, he said.
"Gold is the reverse image of the U.S. dollar and the U.S. is in for a double-dip recession and continuing dollar weakness," he said. "Go back to 1985-88 when the U.S. dollar lost 32% of its external value and gold rose 66% ... then later when central banks dumped tonnes [of gold] and drove it down to US$250."
He said the U.S. money supply is rising at 12% a year and rising inflation cannot be avoided.
"It`ll take several years to muddle through and get U.S.corporate earnings back on track."
The newly minted Newmont, the leader by market capitalization and mine output following February`s US$7-billion merger with Franco-Nevada and Australia`s Normandy Mining Ltd., will move away from the traditional reticence of U.S. resource giants and tell shareholders "like it is," said Mr. Lassonde.
"Our own merger got mixed reviews but more industry consolidation is certain as the South African-based miners wrestle towards geographical diversification," he said "For now, we`ll sit on our 15% stake in the combined Kinross Gold Corp., TVX Gold Inc. and Echo Bay Mines Ltd."
He said shareholders must wait for the third and fourth quarters to see the how well the new combined company will perform.
The second-quarter results will come out at the end of this month, but he said shareholders will have to wait till the third and fourth quarters to see how the new company will perform.
© Copyright 2002 National Post
Heute abend 22.30 h soll M3 in Amiland bekannt gegeben werden. Schaun` mer mal!
U.S. dollar decline, trade deficit drive appreciation
Robert Gibbens
National Post
Thursday, July 04, 2002
ADVERTISEMENT
MONTREAL - Pierre Lassonde, president of Newmont Mining Corp., the world`s biggest gold miner, said yesterday the metal is in a "multi-year" uptrend because of weakness in the U.S. economy and political turmoil.
"Gold at around US$320 an ounce is already at a five-year high with the U.S. current account deficit running at an unsustainable 5% of gross domestic product and a 10% decline in the U.S. dollar," he said in an interview before receiving the Ecole Polytechnique`s 24th Prix Mérite for professional excellence.
"I base my prediction on fundamentals and it`ll take two years to wring the excesses out of the U.S. system," said Mr. Lassonde, co-founder of Franco-Nevada Mining Corp. Ltd. and former manager of two successful gold funds. "There are more WorldComs to come."
The U.S. needs a US$1.3-billion daily inflow of foreign currencies to maintain its former exchange rate but is getting only half that with the collapsing stock market, economic uncertainty, rock-bottom interest rates and an international flight to bullion, he said.
"Gold is the reverse image of the U.S. dollar and the U.S. is in for a double-dip recession and continuing dollar weakness," he said. "Go back to 1985-88 when the U.S. dollar lost 32% of its external value and gold rose 66% ... then later when central banks dumped tonnes [of gold] and drove it down to US$250."
He said the U.S. money supply is rising at 12% a year and rising inflation cannot be avoided.
"It`ll take several years to muddle through and get U.S.corporate earnings back on track."
The newly minted Newmont, the leader by market capitalization and mine output following February`s US$7-billion merger with Franco-Nevada and Australia`s Normandy Mining Ltd., will move away from the traditional reticence of U.S. resource giants and tell shareholders "like it is," said Mr. Lassonde.
"Our own merger got mixed reviews but more industry consolidation is certain as the South African-based miners wrestle towards geographical diversification," he said "For now, we`ll sit on our 15% stake in the combined Kinross Gold Corp., TVX Gold Inc. and Echo Bay Mines Ltd."
He said shareholders must wait for the third and fourth quarters to see the how well the new combined company will perform.
The second-quarter results will come out at the end of this month, but he said shareholders will have to wait till the third and fourth quarters to see how the new company will perform.
© Copyright 2002 National Post
Heute abend 22.30 h soll M3 in Amiland bekannt gegeben werden. Schaun` mer mal!
DJ. Gold Fields Suspends Driefontein Output On Fatal Accident
JOHANNESBURG (Dow Jones)--Gold Fields Ltd. (O.GFD), South Africa`s
second-largest gold producer, Thursday temporarily halted production at a shaft
at its Driefontein mine due to a fatal accident caused by seismic activity.
In a statement, the company said a miner had been killed and two were
unaccounted for at Driefontein`s Five Shaft West.
"Production has been stopped at the shaft until we have accounted for the
missing miners," said Gold Fields` spokesman Willie Jacobsz.
Driefontein is the largest gold-producing mine in the Gold Fields group, with
a quarterly output averaging more than 300,000 troy ounces.
-By Angus Macmillan, Dow Jones Newswires; 27 82 2107 307;
angus.macmillan@dowjones.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires 04-07-02
JOHANNESBURG (Dow Jones)--Gold Fields Ltd. (O.GFD), South Africa`s
second-largest gold producer, Thursday temporarily halted production at a shaft
at its Driefontein mine due to a fatal accident caused by seismic activity.
In a statement, the company said a miner had been killed and two were
unaccounted for at Driefontein`s Five Shaft West.
"Production has been stopped at the shaft until we have accounted for the
missing miners," said Gold Fields` spokesman Willie Jacobsz.
Driefontein is the largest gold-producing mine in the Gold Fields group, with
a quarterly output averaging more than 300,000 troy ounces.
-By Angus Macmillan, Dow Jones Newswires; 27 82 2107 307;
angus.macmillan@dowjones.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires 04-07-02
Migrant workers leaving after gold mine blast
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Story Filed: Friday, July 05, 2002 4:04 AM EST
FANZHI, Shanxi Province, Jul 5, 2002 (Xinhua via COMTEX) -- Approximately 10, 000 gold miners, mostly peasant farmers, have to pack up this week to leave the Yixingzhai mining area in Fanzhi County, north China` s Shanxi Province.
They no longer dream of making their fortune following an explosion at a privately-run gold mine on June 22, which has claimed at least 37 lives so far.
In a move to step up controls over the mining area, the local county government has shut down dozens of illegal mines since last weekend and sent thousands of migrant miners home.
A source from local transport authority said that it had arranged extra trains and buses to help over 2,500 migrant workers leave daily. The local government had even sponsored the trip home for those too poor to pay.
"I`ve come all the way to make some money," said Ding Daifu, a peasant farmer from neighboring Shaanxi province. Ding still did not like to leave.
Gold mining had proved a better and profitable job for Ding and his fellow farmer workers, who could make over 1,000 yuan (120 U.S. dollars) a month. "Much more than we make as farmers back home," he said.
Fanzhi county produces 1,350 kilograms of gold a year. A few profit-hungry individuals have opened illegal gold mines, and used dynamite when a piece of gold ore is found.
Such primitive and indigenous ways of mining led to the June 22 tragedy, according to an expert.
The closure of illegal mines means peace and quiet for local residents. "What we really want is to plant trees and grass in the mining area," said a local farmer, "Anyway, the resource here is not inexhaustible. And we do not want to leave an empty mountain for our children."
Copyright 2002 XINHUA NEWS AGENCY.
Copyright © 2002, Xinhua News Agency, all rights reserved.
Wirklich rührend....
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Story Filed: Friday, July 05, 2002 4:04 AM EST
FANZHI, Shanxi Province, Jul 5, 2002 (Xinhua via COMTEX) -- Approximately 10, 000 gold miners, mostly peasant farmers, have to pack up this week to leave the Yixingzhai mining area in Fanzhi County, north China` s Shanxi Province.
They no longer dream of making their fortune following an explosion at a privately-run gold mine on June 22, which has claimed at least 37 lives so far.
In a move to step up controls over the mining area, the local county government has shut down dozens of illegal mines since last weekend and sent thousands of migrant miners home.
A source from local transport authority said that it had arranged extra trains and buses to help over 2,500 migrant workers leave daily. The local government had even sponsored the trip home for those too poor to pay.
"I`ve come all the way to make some money," said Ding Daifu, a peasant farmer from neighboring Shaanxi province. Ding still did not like to leave.
Gold mining had proved a better and profitable job for Ding and his fellow farmer workers, who could make over 1,000 yuan (120 U.S. dollars) a month. "Much more than we make as farmers back home," he said.
Fanzhi county produces 1,350 kilograms of gold a year. A few profit-hungry individuals have opened illegal gold mines, and used dynamite when a piece of gold ore is found.
Such primitive and indigenous ways of mining led to the June 22 tragedy, according to an expert.
The closure of illegal mines means peace and quiet for local residents. "What we really want is to plant trees and grass in the mining area," said a local farmer, "Anyway, the resource here is not inexhaustible. And we do not want to leave an empty mountain for our children."
Copyright 2002 XINHUA NEWS AGENCY.
Copyright © 2002, Xinhua News Agency, all rights reserved.
Wirklich rührend....
Wen`s interessiert:
http://www.commodities-now.com/cnonline/june2002/article3/a3…
Analyse für Gold/Silber/Platin/Palladium und Ausblick für die nächste Zukunft.
Die Reise geht weiter.....
http://www.commodities-now.com/cnonline/june2002/article3/a3…
Analyse für Gold/Silber/Platin/Palladium und Ausblick für die nächste Zukunft.
Die Reise geht weiter.....
http://www.thebulliondesk.com/reports/barcap/40B.pdf
Kann mir jemand sagen, wieviel Gold eigentlich in Japans Zentralbank lagern?
Kann mir jemand sagen, wieviel Gold eigentlich in Japans Zentralbank lagern?
Trading Spotlight
So, die (ersten) 50% Verfall des Rial zum Euro in diesem Jahr wären wohl geschafft. Wann kommen die nächsten (50%, 100% ??).
FXHistory: historical currency exchange rates
Conversion Table: EUR to BRL (Interbank rate)
Time period: 01/01/02 to 07/27/02.
Daily averages: 01/01/2002 2.14640
01/02/2002 2.12410
01/03/2002 2.16410
01/04/2002 2.13870
01/05/2002 2.1350
01/06/2002 2.13540
01/07/2002 2.13840
01/08/2002 2.17550
01/09/2002 2.16650
01/10/2002 2.21010
01/11/2002 2.20610
01/12/2002 2.2560
01/13/2002 2.25470
01/14/2002 2.25860
01/15/2002 2.22840
01/16/2002 2.18120
01/17/2002 2.19160
01/18/2002 2.15960
01/19/2002 2.19040
01/20/2002 2.19110
01/21/2002 2.19080
01/22/2002 2.17690
01/23/2002 2.17570
01/24/2002 2.17060
01/25/2002 2.17780
01/26/2002 2.1540
01/27/2002 2.14840
01/28/2002 2.1520
01/29/2002 2.15660
01/30/2002 2.180
01/31/2002 2.1710
02/01/2002 2.15860
02/02/2002 2.1570
02/03/2002 2.1580
02/04/2002 2.1560
02/05/2002 2.19110
02/06/2002 2.18160
02/07/2002 2.17870
02/08/2002 2.20560
02/09/2002 2.20940
02/10/2002 2.21010
02/11/2002 2.20910
02/12/2002 2.22660
02/13/2002 2.23410
02/14/2002 2.2230
02/15/2002 2.18760
02/16/2002 2.20940
02/17/2002 2.20920
02/18/2002 2.20940
02/19/2002 2.19070
02/20/2002 2.20720
02/21/2002 2.18970
02/22/2002 2.1850
02/23/2002 2.2010
02/24/2002 2.2010
02/25/2002 2.20080
02/26/2002 2.18440
02/27/2002 2.13830
02/28/2002 2.15240
03/01/2002 2.1270
03/02/2002 2.12530
03/03/2002 2.1260
03/04/2002 2.1260
03/05/2002 2.11520
03/06/2002 2.10680
03/07/2002 2.1230
03/08/2002 2.16650
03/09/2002 2.15380
03/10/2002 2.15550
03/11/2002 2.1550
03/12/2002 2.13870
03/13/2002 2.13510
03/14/2002 2.12140
03/15/2002 2.15130
03/16/2002 2.15070
03/17/2002 2.15040
03/18/2002 2.14850
03/19/2002 2.1520
03/20/2002 2.14660
03/21/2002 2.15910
03/22/2002 2.14780
03/23/2002 2.13210
03/24/2002 2.13340
03/25/2002 2.13180
03/26/2002 2.15560
03/27/2002 2.05990
03/28/2002 2.02890
03/29/2002 2.10320
03/30/2002 2.10510
03/31/2002 2.10130
04/01/2002 2.10560
04/02/2002 2.02790
04/03/2002 2.02320
04/04/2002 2.04140
04/05/2002 2.02020
04/06/2002 2.10650
04/07/2002 2.10560
04/08/2002 2.10650
04/09/2002 2.0060
04/10/2002 2.00850
04/11/2002 1.99740
04/12/2002 2.01630
04/13/2002 2.09110
04/14/2002 2.09110
04/15/2002 2.0910
04/16/2002 2.04270
04/17/2002 2.04980
04/18/2002 2.07040
04/19/2002 2.14990
04/20/2002 2.15330
04/21/2002 2.15280
04/22/2002 2.14920
04/23/2002 2.08540
04/24/2002 2.09890
04/25/2002 2.10080
04/26/2002 2.12340
04/27/2002 2.21310
04/28/2002 2.21220
04/29/2002 2.21130
04/30/2002 2.1380
05/01/2002 2.12670
05/02/2002 2.14170
05/03/2002 2.16720
05/04/2002 2.28130
05/05/2002 2.28160
05/06/2002 2.28060
05/07/2002 2.22230
05/08/2002 2.22920
05/09/2002 2.20580
05/10/2002 2.24830
05/11/2002 2.34110
05/12/2002 2.34080
05/13/2002 2.33960
05/14/2002 2.29750
05/15/2002 2.26450
05/16/2002 2.28540
05/17/2002 2.3650
05/18/2002 2.35140
05/19/2002 2.35180
05/20/2002 2.34990
05/21/2002 2.35140
05/22/2002 2.36230
05/23/2002 2.37780
05/24/2002 2.40350
05/25/2002 2.410
05/26/2002 2.40990
05/27/2002 2.40920
05/28/2002 2.32620
05/29/2002 2.34830
05/30/2002 2.35310
05/31/2002 2.35630
06/01/2002 2.35380
06/02/2002 2.3490
06/03/2002 2.35070
06/04/2002 2.38680
06/05/2002 2.44970
06/06/2002 2.44910
06/07/2002 2.5230
06/08/2002 2.48990
06/09/2002 2.48930
06/10/2002 2.48780
06/11/2002 2.49040
06/12/2002 2.58180
06/13/2002 2.62540
06/14/2002 2.55710
06/15/2002 2.6410
06/16/2002 2.64280
06/17/2002 2.640
06/18/2002 2.50480
06/19/2002 2.58470
06/20/2002 2.5920
06/21/2002 2.67880
06/22/2002 2.75030
06/23/2002 2.75060
06/24/2002 2.74630
06/25/2002 2.69480
06/26/2002 2.76350
06/27/2002 2.80010
06/28/2002 2.79190
06/29/2002 2.80370
06/30/2002 2.80370
07/01/2002 2.80230
07/02/2002 2.87490
07/03/2002 2.85590
07/04/2002 2.80520
07/05/2002 2.79910
07/06/2002 2.87460
07/07/2002 2.87440
07/08/2002 2.87810
07/09/2002 2.83560
07/10/2002 2.8370
07/11/2002 2.81910
07/12/2002 2.76370
07/13/2002 2.85720
07/14/2002 2.85680
07/15/2002 2.85790
07/16/2002 2.86580
07/17/2002 2.90920
07/18/2002 2.91790
07/19/2002 2.88380
07/20/2002 2.97120
07/21/2002 2.97240
07/22/2002 2.97180
07/23/2002 2.97220
07/24/2002 2.88660
07/25/2002 2.92990
07/26/2002 3.00910
07/27/2002 2.95740
Average (208 days): 2.33118
High: 3.00910
Das Nirwana läßt grüßen !
FXHistory: historical currency exchange rates
Conversion Table: EUR to BRL (Interbank rate)
Time period: 01/01/02 to 07/27/02.
Daily averages: 01/01/2002 2.14640
01/02/2002 2.12410
01/03/2002 2.16410
01/04/2002 2.13870
01/05/2002 2.1350
01/06/2002 2.13540
01/07/2002 2.13840
01/08/2002 2.17550
01/09/2002 2.16650
01/10/2002 2.21010
01/11/2002 2.20610
01/12/2002 2.2560
01/13/2002 2.25470
01/14/2002 2.25860
01/15/2002 2.22840
01/16/2002 2.18120
01/17/2002 2.19160
01/18/2002 2.15960
01/19/2002 2.19040
01/20/2002 2.19110
01/21/2002 2.19080
01/22/2002 2.17690
01/23/2002 2.17570
01/24/2002 2.17060
01/25/2002 2.17780
01/26/2002 2.1540
01/27/2002 2.14840
01/28/2002 2.1520
01/29/2002 2.15660
01/30/2002 2.180
01/31/2002 2.1710
02/01/2002 2.15860
02/02/2002 2.1570
02/03/2002 2.1580
02/04/2002 2.1560
02/05/2002 2.19110
02/06/2002 2.18160
02/07/2002 2.17870
02/08/2002 2.20560
02/09/2002 2.20940
02/10/2002 2.21010
02/11/2002 2.20910
02/12/2002 2.22660
02/13/2002 2.23410
02/14/2002 2.2230
02/15/2002 2.18760
02/16/2002 2.20940
02/17/2002 2.20920
02/18/2002 2.20940
02/19/2002 2.19070
02/20/2002 2.20720
02/21/2002 2.18970
02/22/2002 2.1850
02/23/2002 2.2010
02/24/2002 2.2010
02/25/2002 2.20080
02/26/2002 2.18440
02/27/2002 2.13830
02/28/2002 2.15240
03/01/2002 2.1270
03/02/2002 2.12530
03/03/2002 2.1260
03/04/2002 2.1260
03/05/2002 2.11520
03/06/2002 2.10680
03/07/2002 2.1230
03/08/2002 2.16650
03/09/2002 2.15380
03/10/2002 2.15550
03/11/2002 2.1550
03/12/2002 2.13870
03/13/2002 2.13510
03/14/2002 2.12140
03/15/2002 2.15130
03/16/2002 2.15070
03/17/2002 2.15040
03/18/2002 2.14850
03/19/2002 2.1520
03/20/2002 2.14660
03/21/2002 2.15910
03/22/2002 2.14780
03/23/2002 2.13210
03/24/2002 2.13340
03/25/2002 2.13180
03/26/2002 2.15560
03/27/2002 2.05990
03/28/2002 2.02890
03/29/2002 2.10320
03/30/2002 2.10510
03/31/2002 2.10130
04/01/2002 2.10560
04/02/2002 2.02790
04/03/2002 2.02320
04/04/2002 2.04140
04/05/2002 2.02020
04/06/2002 2.10650
04/07/2002 2.10560
04/08/2002 2.10650
04/09/2002 2.0060
04/10/2002 2.00850
04/11/2002 1.99740
04/12/2002 2.01630
04/13/2002 2.09110
04/14/2002 2.09110
04/15/2002 2.0910
04/16/2002 2.04270
04/17/2002 2.04980
04/18/2002 2.07040
04/19/2002 2.14990
04/20/2002 2.15330
04/21/2002 2.15280
04/22/2002 2.14920
04/23/2002 2.08540
04/24/2002 2.09890
04/25/2002 2.10080
04/26/2002 2.12340
04/27/2002 2.21310
04/28/2002 2.21220
04/29/2002 2.21130
04/30/2002 2.1380
05/01/2002 2.12670
05/02/2002 2.14170
05/03/2002 2.16720
05/04/2002 2.28130
05/05/2002 2.28160
05/06/2002 2.28060
05/07/2002 2.22230
05/08/2002 2.22920
05/09/2002 2.20580
05/10/2002 2.24830
05/11/2002 2.34110
05/12/2002 2.34080
05/13/2002 2.33960
05/14/2002 2.29750
05/15/2002 2.26450
05/16/2002 2.28540
05/17/2002 2.3650
05/18/2002 2.35140
05/19/2002 2.35180
05/20/2002 2.34990
05/21/2002 2.35140
05/22/2002 2.36230
05/23/2002 2.37780
05/24/2002 2.40350
05/25/2002 2.410
05/26/2002 2.40990
05/27/2002 2.40920
05/28/2002 2.32620
05/29/2002 2.34830
05/30/2002 2.35310
05/31/2002 2.35630
06/01/2002 2.35380
06/02/2002 2.3490
06/03/2002 2.35070
06/04/2002 2.38680
06/05/2002 2.44970
06/06/2002 2.44910
06/07/2002 2.5230
06/08/2002 2.48990
06/09/2002 2.48930
06/10/2002 2.48780
06/11/2002 2.49040
06/12/2002 2.58180
06/13/2002 2.62540
06/14/2002 2.55710
06/15/2002 2.6410
06/16/2002 2.64280
06/17/2002 2.640
06/18/2002 2.50480
06/19/2002 2.58470
06/20/2002 2.5920
06/21/2002 2.67880
06/22/2002 2.75030
06/23/2002 2.75060
06/24/2002 2.74630
06/25/2002 2.69480
06/26/2002 2.76350
06/27/2002 2.80010
06/28/2002 2.79190
06/29/2002 2.80370
06/30/2002 2.80370
07/01/2002 2.80230
07/02/2002 2.87490
07/03/2002 2.85590
07/04/2002 2.80520
07/05/2002 2.79910
07/06/2002 2.87460
07/07/2002 2.87440
07/08/2002 2.87810
07/09/2002 2.83560
07/10/2002 2.8370
07/11/2002 2.81910
07/12/2002 2.76370
07/13/2002 2.85720
07/14/2002 2.85680
07/15/2002 2.85790
07/16/2002 2.86580
07/17/2002 2.90920
07/18/2002 2.91790
07/19/2002 2.88380
07/20/2002 2.97120
07/21/2002 2.97240
07/22/2002 2.97180
07/23/2002 2.97220
07/24/2002 2.88660
07/25/2002 2.92990
07/26/2002 3.00910
07/27/2002 2.95740
Average (208 days): 2.33118
High: 3.00910
Das Nirwana läßt grüßen !
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