Stehen die Weltbörsen vor einem Crash ??? (Seite 30361)

[Kursfreund]

Runner mit dem manipulierten DAX, Kaufkurse sind gefragt.

[greenanke]

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 37.474.992 von greenanke am 26.06.09 15:48:13

... oder andere bescheißen ...

[knkoegel]

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 37.474.728 von Timeslider am 26.06.09 15:19:32

Die Aussage des Chefs der Wirtschaftsabteilung der KP wird mit Sicherheit bald relativiert oder widerrufen.

Die Chinesen haben, prozentual gesehen, in den letzten 2 Monaten garantiert mehr ihrer Dollars unter die Leute gebracht als Japan oder Russland. (Vorausgesetzt die 134 Mrd. Anleihen in Italien waren nicht echt)
China wird in den nächsten Jahren zum dem Staat mit den größten Goldreserven wachsen. (Haben sie vielleicht schon. )
Der Ausbau der Goldreserven dient nicht als Prestigeobjekt sondern um ihre Stellung als Wirtschafts- und Finanzmacht zu untermauern. Meine Meinung.

[greenanke]

Man kann NOCH so viel fabulieren, diskutieren, beschimpfen, behaupten, hochrechnen, Charts analysieren, Artikel aus der ganzen Welt zitieren, staatliche und halbstaatliche Verlautbarungem - selbst in Englisch - hier veröffentlichen, "Experten" zitieren, Gurus nachfolgen ...

Es gibt nur EINEN Weg zum Reichwerden!!! Nämlich:


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajbUpVuGcjY



sparen!

[Kursfreund]

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 37.474.858 von humanistiker am 26.06.09 15:34:53

Hallo,

bin wieder da.
Als Geldanlage lanfristig, ist der unterbewertete DAX gut.

Jetzt sehe ich aber erstmal eine Shortchance, das bricht gleich noch ein. Platsch quatsch.

[Flugplan]

und so sieht das ganze graphisch aus



This graph shows the saving rate starting in 1959 (using a three month centered average for smoothing) through the April Personal Income report. The saving rate was 6.9% in April. (6.3% with average)

The saving rate was boosted by the stimulus package, but this suggests households are saving substantially more than during the last few years (when the saving rate was close to zero). The saving rate will probably dip - the stimulus boost is unsustainable - but then continue to rise (an aging population usually pushes the saving rate higher) and a rising saving rate will repair household balance sheets, but this will also keep pressure on personal consumption.

The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through May (2000 dollars). Note that the y-axis doesn't start at zero to better show the change.



PCE declined sharply in Q3 and Q4 2008, and rebounded slightly in Q1 2009.

Although PCE increased in May (compared to April), Q2 2009 is off to a somewhat weak start, with PCE in both April and May slightly below the levels of Q1. Although it is possible that PCE will pick up in June, it seems likely that PCE will be flat to slightly negative in Q2 (although not the cliff diving of the 2nd half of 2008). The two-month estimate suggests a real PCE decline of 0.7% in Q2 2009.

Usually PCE and Residential Investment (RI) lead the economy out of recession, and right now both remain weak. As households increase their savings rate to repair their balance sheets, it seems unlikely that PCE will increase significantly any time soon.

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009/06/personal-income-an…

[humanistiker]

Das 100 Punktespielchen hat ja wieder funktioniert.
Tageshoch FUTUREDAX 4869,50, Tagestief 4765 was dann
wohl heute NACHbörslich wieder für eine "SHOW" bekommen.
Als Geldanlage ist die Börse jedenfalls nicht mehr zu
gebrauchen

[Flugplan]

May incomes surge, but savings outpace spending

Households push savings rate to 15-year high as May incomes rise

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Households pushed their savings rate to the highest level in more than 15 years in May as a big boost in incomes from the government's stimulus program was devoted more to bolstering nest eggs than increased spending.

The Commerce Department said Friday that consumer spending rose 0.3 percent in May, in line with expectations. But incomes jumped 1.4 percent, the biggest gain in a year and easily outpacing the 0.3 percent increase that economists expected.

The savings rate, which was hovering near zero in early 2008, surged to 6.9 percent, the highest level since December 1993.

The income increase reflected temporary factors related to the $787 billion economic stimulus program that President Barack Obama pushed through Congress in February to fight the recession. That program included one-time payments to people receiving Social Security and other government pension benefits.

The stimulus package also featured reductions in payroll tax withholding designed to get people to start spending more money and boost the economy. Those factors helped increase after-tax incomes 1.6 percent in May. However, without the special factors, after-tax incomes would have risen just 0.2 percent.

The savings rate, which is a percentage of disposable income, rose to 6.9 percent from 5.6 percent in April. Last month's savings rate was far above recent annual rates, which dipped below 1 percent from 2005 through 2007 as a booming economy and soaring home prices pushed Americans to spend most of what they earned.

Those factors have been reversed amid the longest recession since World War II. Triggered by a housing bust, the downturn has depressed home prices by the largest amounts since the Great Depression.

Economists believe that a rise in personal savings rate is a good development in the long run, but they worry that it could make the rebound from the recession slower than it otherwise would have been.

However, the 0.3 percent rise in spending in May was viewed as encouraging after no change in April and a 0.3 percent drop in March. April had originally been reported as a drop of 0.1 percent. It was the best monthly performance since spending rose by 0.4 percent in February.

Consumer spending is closely watched because it accounts for about 70 percent of total economic activity. Economists are hoping that improved spending will help support a rebound in economic activity.

Economists believe that the 0.3 percent rise in spending in May will help bolster the economy in the second quarter and will translate into a smaller drop in gross domestic product of around 2 percent.

Economists believe that GDP will begin growing again in the second half of this year, signaling an end to the recession that began in December 2007.

However, the rebound is expected to be subdued. That's because unemployment, already at a 25-year high of 9.4 percent, is expected to continue rising, pushing worried households to save even more against the threat of further layoffs.

Still, the weak economy has kept a lid on prices. An inflation gauge tied to consumer spending edged up 0.1 percent in May compared with April.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/May-incomes-surge-but-savings-…

[Timeslider]

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 37.474.611 von knkoegel am 26.06.09 15:01:43

Die Aussage des Chefs der Wirtschaftsabteilung der KP wird mit Sicherheit bald relativiert oder widerrufen. M. E. sollen es nur gehörige Warnschüsse an die Amis sein, dass sich Helikopter Ben, Candyman Obama und Co. endlich zusammenreissen und vielleicht mal auf andere Lösungen kommen, als nur Liquidität ....

[Puschkin64]

Antwort auf Beitrag Nr.: 37.474.610 von boersenbuddha am 26.06.09 15:01:40

Ja, es hat geholfen, vielen Dank für Deine rührende Fürsorge.